Defoor Ratings Home 2026 weeks Method 2016–2025

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2025 season — Model vs AP

Full weekly rankings with the current late-tuned config. Side-by-side Model Top 25 and AP Top 25 for every week with available poll data.

Final #1 match
Final model #1
Indiana Hoosiers
Final AP #1
Indiana Hoosiers

Download: summary.json · weekly_agreement.csv

Preseason (Coaches Poll)

Model #1 Texas Longhorns AP #1 Texas Longhorns #1 match 0 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Texas Longhorns0-0100.01
2Ohio State Buckeyes0-099.02
3Penn State Nittany Lions0-098.03
4Georgia Bulldogs0-097.04
5Notre Dame Fighting Irish0-096.05
6Clemson Tigers0-095.06
7Oregon Ducks0-094.07
8Alabama Crimson Tide0-093.08
9LSU Tigers0-092.09
10Miami Hurricanes0-091.010
11Arizona State Sun Devils0-090.011
12Illinois Fighting Illini0-089.012
13South Carolina Gamecocks0-088.013
14Michigan Wolverines0-087.014
15Ole Miss Rebels0-086.015
16SMU Mustangs0-085.016
17Florida Gators0-084.017
18Tennessee Volunteers0-083.018
19Indiana Hoosiers0-082.019
20Kansas State Wildcats0-081.020
21Iowa State Cyclones0-080.021
22Texas A&M Aggies0-079.021
23BYU Cougars0-078.023
24Texas Tech Red Raiders0-077.024
25Boise State Broncos0-076.025

AFCA Coaches Poll

RkTeamRecModel
1Texas Longhorns0-01
2Ohio State Buckeyes0-02
3Penn State Nittany Lions0-03
4Georgia Bulldogs0-04
5Notre Dame Fighting Irish0-05
6Clemson Tigers0-06
7Oregon Ducks0-07
8Alabama Crimson Tide0-08
9LSU Tigers0-09
10Miami Hurricanes0-010
11Arizona State Sun Devils0-011
12Illinois Fighting Illini0-012
13South Carolina Gamecocks0-013
14Michigan Wolverines0-014
15Ole Miss Rebels0-015
16SMU Mustangs0-016
17Florida Gators0-017
18Tennessee Volunteers0-018
19Indiana Hoosiers0-019
20Kansas State Wildcats0-020
21Iowa State Cyclones0-021
21Texas A&M Aggies0-022
23BYU Cougars0-023
24Texas Tech Red Raiders0-024
25Boise State Broncos0-025

Week 1

Model #1 Kansas Jayhawks AP #1 — 96 games through this point
No AP Top 25 available for this week in the ESPN cache.

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Kansas Jayhawks2-085.7—
2Arizona Wildcats1-078.95—
3Iowa State Cyclones2-078.78—
4LSU Tigers1-075.4—
5Auburn Tigers1-074.4—
6Utah Utes1-073.57—
7Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets1-072.83—
8Mississippi State Bulldogs1-071.92—
9TCU Horned Frogs1-071.45—
10South Carolina Gamecocks1-070.54—
11Ohio State Buckeyes1-070.28—
12Tennessee Volunteers1-069.84—
13Nebraska Cornhuskers1-069.64—
14California Golden Bears1-069.23—
15Florida State Seminoles1-068.15—
16Michigan Wolverines1-067.59—
17Temple Owls1-067.1—
18Texas A&M Aggies1-067.09—
19Penn State Nittany Lions1-066.88—
20UNLV Rebels2-066.83—
21Indiana Hoosiers1-066.71—
22Miami Hurricanes1-066.53—
23Georgia Bulldogs1-066.21—
24Washington Huskies1-065.96—
25Maryland Terrapins1-065.81—

AP Top 25

No AP poll for this week.

Week 2

Model #1 Ole Miss Rebels AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 differ 179 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Ole Miss Rebels2-084.120
2LSU Tigers2-078.713
3Auburn Tigers2-077.79—
4South Florida Bulls2-076.14—
5Mississippi State Bulldogs2-074.85—
6Missouri Tigers2-073.82—
7Texas A&M Aggies2-073.5619
8NC State Wolfpack2-073.16—
9Florida State Seminoles2-071.6714
10Iowa State Cyclones3-071.3316
11Tennessee Volunteers2-071.2422
12Tulane Green Wave2-071.04—
13Penn State Nittany Lions2-070.982
14TCU Horned Frogs1-070.61—
15Nebraska Cornhuskers2-070.37—
16Ohio State Buckeyes2-069.621
17Maryland Terrapins2-069.39—
18Houston Cougars2-069.08—
19Indiana Hoosiers2-068.8723
20Illinois Fighting Illini2-068.7611
21Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets2-068.5—
22Rutgers Scarlet Knights2-068.05—
23Michigan State Spartans2-066.84—
24Oklahoma Sooners2-066.8318
25Arizona Wildcats2-066.27—

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Ohio State Buckeyes1-016
2Penn State Nittany Lions1-013
3LSU Tigers1-02
4Georgia Bulldogs1-044
5Miami Hurricanes1-039
6Oregon Ducks1-032
7Texas Longhorns0-146
8Clemson Tigers0-162
9Notre Dame Fighting Irish0-177
10South Carolina Gamecocks1-041
11Illinois Fighting Illini1-020
12Arizona State Sun Devils1-076
13Florida Gators1-067
14Florida State Seminoles1-09
15Michigan Wolverines1-055
16Iowa State Cyclones2-010
17SMU Mustangs1-090
18Oklahoma Sooners1-024
19Texas A&M Aggies1-07
20Ole Miss Rebels1-01
21Alabama Crimson Tide0-140
22Tennessee Volunteers1-011
23Indiana Hoosiers1-019
24Texas Tech Red Raiders1-043
25Utah Utes1-028
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • SMU Mustangs — model #90 vs AP #17 (Δ +73; model lower)
  • Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #77 vs AP #9 (Δ +68; model lower)
  • Arizona State Sun Devils — model #76 vs AP #12 (Δ +64; model lower)
  • Clemson Tigers — model #62 vs AP #8 (Δ +54; model lower)
  • Florida Gators — model #67 vs AP #13 (Δ +54; model lower)

Week 3

Model #1 Ole Miss Rebels AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 differ 249 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Ole Miss Rebels3-086.9717
2LSU Tigers3-079.933
3Oklahoma Sooners3-079.7613
4Texas A&M Aggies3-078.4616
5NC State Wolfpack3-078.33—
6Auburn Tigers3-077.2224
7Georgia Bulldogs3-076.166
8Mississippi State Bulldogs3-075.96—
9Vanderbilt Commodores3-075.56—
10USC Trojans3-075.41—
11Florida State Seminoles2-074.5610
12Ohio State Buckeyes3-072.981
13Iowa State Cyclones4-071.8614
14Houston Cougars3-071.47—
15Missouri Tigers3-071.3625
16Utah Utes3-070.3920
17Miami Hurricanes3-069.995
18Alabama Crimson Tide2-168.5919
19Oregon Ducks3-068.444
20Indiana Hoosiers3-067.7722
21Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets3-067.4—
22Nebraska Cornhuskers3-066.73—
23Tulane Green Wave3-066.69—
24Arizona Wildcats3-066.35—
25Illinois Fighting Illini3-066.199

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Ohio State Buckeyes2-012
2Penn State Nittany Lions2-026
3LSU Tigers2-02
4Oregon Ducks2-019
5Miami Hurricanes2-017
6Georgia Bulldogs2-07
7Texas Longhorns1-133
8Notre Dame Fighting Irish0-179
9Illinois Fighting Illini2-025
10Florida State Seminoles2-011
11South Carolina Gamecocks2-057
12Clemson Tigers1-172
13Oklahoma Sooners2-03
14Iowa State Cyclones3-013
15Tennessee Volunteers2-032
16Texas A&M Aggies2-04
17Ole Miss Rebels2-01
18South Florida Bulls2-042
19Alabama Crimson Tide1-118
20Utah Utes2-016
21Texas Tech Red Raiders2-039
22Indiana Hoosiers2-020
23Michigan Wolverines1-129
24Auburn Tigers2-06
25Missouri Tigers2-015
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #79 vs AP #8 (Δ +71; model lower)
  • Clemson Tigers — model #72 vs AP #12 (Δ +60; model lower)
  • South Carolina Gamecocks — model #57 vs AP #11 (Δ +46; model lower)
  • Texas Longhorns — model #33 vs AP #7 (Δ +26; model lower)
  • Penn State Nittany Lions — model #26 vs AP #2 (Δ +24; model lower)

Week 4

Model #1 Oklahoma Sooners AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 differ 311 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Oklahoma Sooners4-091.1311
2Ole Miss Rebels4-087.713
3Indiana Hoosiers4-078.2419
4USC Trojans4-077.4525
5Missouri Tigers4-077.2123
6Mississippi State Bulldogs4-076.91—
7Georgia Bulldogs3-075.225
8Texas A&M Aggies3-074.8210
9Michigan Wolverines3-174.4421
10Texas Tech Red Raiders4-073.9217
11Vanderbilt Commodores4-073.7620
12Miami Hurricanes4-073.274
13LSU Tigers4-073.073
14Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets4-072.3318
15Florida State Seminoles3-069.917
16Houston Cougars3-069.58—
17Ohio State Buckeyes3-068.31
18Iowa State Cyclones4-068.1812
19Auburn Tigers3-167.7122
20Kansas Jayhawks3-167.47—
21Tennessee Volunteers3-167.2915
22Maryland Terrapins4-067.19—
23Memphis Tigers4-067.16—
24BYU Cougars3-067.05—
25NC State Wolfpack3-166.96—

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Ohio State Buckeyes3-017
2Penn State Nittany Lions3-042
3LSU Tigers3-013
4Miami Hurricanes3-012
5Georgia Bulldogs3-07
6Oregon Ducks3-026
7Florida State Seminoles2-015
8Texas Longhorns2-132
9Illinois Fighting Illini3-035
10Texas A&M Aggies3-08
11Oklahoma Sooners3-01
12Iowa State Cyclones4-018
13Ole Miss Rebels3-02
14Alabama Crimson Tide2-130
15Tennessee Volunteers2-121
16Utah Utes3-033
17Texas Tech Red Raiders3-010
18Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets3-014
19Indiana Hoosiers3-03
20Vanderbilt Commodores3-011
21Michigan Wolverines2-19
22Auburn Tigers3-019
23Missouri Tigers3-05
24Notre Dame Fighting Irish0-255
25USC Trojans3-04
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • Penn State Nittany Lions — model #42 vs AP #2 (Δ +40; model lower)
  • Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #55 vs AP #24 (Δ +31; model lower)
  • Illinois Fighting Illini — model #35 vs AP #9 (Δ +26; model lower)
  • Texas Longhorns — model #32 vs AP #8 (Δ +24; model lower)
  • USC Trojans — model #4 vs AP #25 (Δ -21; model higher)

Week 5

Model #1 Indiana Hoosiers AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 differ 364 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Indiana Hoosiers5-087.4311
2Ole Miss Rebels5-087.0313
3Vanderbilt Commodores5-080.9118
4Texas A&M Aggies4-078.989
5Oklahoma Sooners4-078.887
6Tennessee Volunteers4-176.4815
7Alabama Crimson Tide3-175.6417
8Ohio State Buckeyes4-074.891
9Illinois Fighting Illini4-174.123
10Oregon Ducks5-073.466
11Iowa State Cyclones5-073.014
12Missouri Tigers5-072.4120
13Texas Tech Red Raiders4-072.0612
14BYU Cougars4-071.9425
15Mississippi State Bulldogs4-171.88—
16Miami Hurricanes4-070.732
17Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets5-070.3816
18Michigan Wolverines3-170.0919
19Georgia Bulldogs3-168.945
20LSU Tigers4-168.094
21USC Trojans4-167.8321
22Arizona State Sun Devils4-167.33—
23Memphis Tigers5-066.97—
24North Texas Mean Green5-066.35—
25Houston Cougars4-066.23—

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Ohio State Buckeyes3-08
2Miami Hurricanes4-016
3Penn State Nittany Lions3-047
4LSU Tigers4-020
5Georgia Bulldogs3-019
6Oregon Ducks4-010
7Oklahoma Sooners4-05
8Florida State Seminoles3-032
9Texas A&M Aggies3-04
10Texas Longhorns3-144
11Indiana Hoosiers4-01
12Texas Tech Red Raiders4-013
13Ole Miss Rebels4-02
14Iowa State Cyclones4-011
15Tennessee Volunteers3-16
16Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets4-017
17Alabama Crimson Tide2-17
18Vanderbilt Commodores4-03
19Michigan Wolverines3-118
20Missouri Tigers4-012
21USC Trojans4-021
22Notre Dame Fighting Irish1-234
23Illinois Fighting Illini3-19
24TCU Horned Frogs3-042
25BYU Cougars3-014
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • Penn State Nittany Lions — model #47 vs AP #3 (Δ +44; model lower)
  • Texas Longhorns — model #44 vs AP #10 (Δ +34; model lower)
  • Florida State Seminoles — model #32 vs AP #8 (Δ +24; model lower)
  • TCU Horned Frogs — model #42 vs AP #24 (Δ +18; model lower)
  • LSU Tigers — model #20 vs AP #4 (Δ +16; model lower)

Week 6

Model #1 Indiana Hoosiers AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 differ 415 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Indiana Hoosiers5-083.888
2Texas A&M Aggies5-083.26
3Miami Hurricanes5-082.073
4Alabama Crimson Tide4-182.0110
5Ole Miss Rebels5-080.474
6Ohio State Buckeyes5-078.781
7Texas Tech Red Raiders5-078.5211
8Oklahoma Sooners5-078.465
9Illinois Fighting Illini5-174.7122
10Cincinnati Bearcats4-172.92—
11Georgia Bulldogs4-172.4612
12Michigan Wolverines4-172.4420
13Vanderbilt Commodores5-171.3216
14BYU Cougars5-071.1823
15Virginia Cavaliers5-170.8924
16Missouri Tigers5-070.1419
17Memphis Tigers6-069.5—
18Oregon Ducks5-069.452
19Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets5-068.9717
20Tennessee Volunteers4-168.3315
21Duke Blue Devils4-267.24—
22Nebraska Cornhuskers4-167.11—
23Iowa State Cyclones5-167.0414
24LSU Tigers4-166.8113
25Notre Dame Fighting Irish3-266.521

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Ohio State Buckeyes4-06
2Oregon Ducks5-018
3Miami Hurricanes4-03
4Ole Miss Rebels5-05
5Oklahoma Sooners4-08
6Texas A&M Aggies4-02
7Penn State Nittany Lions3-158
8Indiana Hoosiers5-01
9Texas Longhorns3-151
10Alabama Crimson Tide3-14
11Texas Tech Red Raiders4-07
12Georgia Bulldogs3-111
13LSU Tigers4-124
14Iowa State Cyclones5-023
15Tennessee Volunteers4-120
16Vanderbilt Commodores5-013
17Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets5-019
18Florida State Seminoles3-137
19Missouri Tigers5-016
20Michigan Wolverines3-112
21Notre Dame Fighting Irish2-225
22Illinois Fighting Illini4-19
23BYU Cougars4-014
24Virginia Cavaliers4-115
25Arizona State Sun Devils4-126
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • Penn State Nittany Lions — model #58 vs AP #7 (Δ +51; model lower)
  • Texas Longhorns — model #51 vs AP #9 (Δ +42; model lower)
  • Florida State Seminoles — model #37 vs AP #18 (Δ +19; model lower)
  • Oregon Ducks — model #18 vs AP #2 (Δ +16; model lower)
  • Illinois Fighting Illini — model #9 vs AP #22 (Δ -13; model higher)

Week 7

Model #1 Indiana Hoosiers AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 differ 471 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Indiana Hoosiers6-090.567
2Ohio State Buckeyes6-090.091
3Alabama Crimson Tide5-183.658
4Texas Tech Red Raiders6-083.479
5Texas A&M Aggies6-083.185
6Miami Hurricanes5-081.422
7Ole Miss Rebels6-079.994
8Georgia Bulldogs5-174.9210
9BYU Cougars6-073.9518
10Illinois Fighting Illini5-273.0617
11USC Trojans5-171.06—
12Notre Dame Fighting Irish4-270.8616
13Nebraska Cornhuskers5-170.11—
14Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets6-070.0813
15Utah Utes5-169.66—
16Oklahoma Sooners5-168.836
17Cincinnati Bearcats5-168.4—
18Tennessee Volunteers5-167.6412
19Virginia Cavaliers5-167.6119
20LSU Tigers5-167.4711
21South Florida Bulls5-166.6724
22Memphis Tigers6-066.6523
23Washington Huskies5-166.48—
24Oregon Ducks5-166.133
25Texas Longhorns4-266.1—

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Ohio State Buckeyes5-02
2Miami Hurricanes5-06
3Oregon Ducks5-024
4Ole Miss Rebels5-07
5Texas A&M Aggies5-05
6Oklahoma Sooners5-016
7Indiana Hoosiers5-01
8Alabama Crimson Tide4-13
9Texas Tech Red Raiders5-04
10Georgia Bulldogs4-18
11LSU Tigers4-120
12Tennessee Volunteers4-118
13Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets5-014
14Missouri Tigers5-030
15Michigan Wolverines4-126
16Notre Dame Fighting Irish3-212
17Illinois Fighting Illini5-110
18BYU Cougars5-09
19Virginia Cavaliers5-119
20Vanderbilt Commodores5-128
21Arizona State Sun Devils4-133
22Iowa State Cyclones5-129
23Memphis Tigers6-022
24South Florida Bulls4-121
25Florida State Seminoles3-250
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • Florida State Seminoles — model #50 vs AP #25 (Δ +25; model lower)
  • Oregon Ducks — model #24 vs AP #3 (Δ +21; model lower)
  • Missouri Tigers — model #30 vs AP #14 (Δ +16; model lower)
  • Arizona State Sun Devils — model #33 vs AP #21 (Δ +12; model lower)
  • Michigan Wolverines — model #26 vs AP #15 (Δ +11; model lower)

Week 8

Model #1 Indiana Hoosiers AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 differ 531 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Indiana Hoosiers7-088.223
2Ohio State Buckeyes7-087.811
3Alabama Crimson Tide6-187.756
4Texas A&M Aggies7-084.134
5Miami Hurricanes5-179.352
6Georgia Bulldogs6-179.049
7BYU Cougars7-078.5615
8Texas Tech Red Raiders6-177.577
9Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets7-074.7212
10Notre Dame Fighting Irish5-274.6513
11Louisville Cardinals5-172.77—
12Ole Miss Rebels6-172.425
13Oklahoma Sooners6-172.2214
14Utah Utes5-270.4223
15Virginia Cavaliers6-170.1918
16Vanderbilt Commodores6-169.9817
17Oregon Ducks6-169.318
18South Florida Bulls6-168.7519
19Texas Longhorns5-268.6121
20USC Trojans5-268.3120
21Illinois Fighting Illini5-267.83—
22Cincinnati Bearcats6-167.5224
23Michigan Wolverines5-266.98—
24Arizona State Sun Devils5-266.17—
25Missouri Tigers6-165.9116

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Ohio State Buckeyes6-02
2Miami Hurricanes5-05
3Indiana Hoosiers6-01
4Texas A&M Aggies6-04
5Ole Miss Rebels6-012
6Alabama Crimson Tide5-13
7Texas Tech Red Raiders6-08
8Oregon Ducks5-117
9Georgia Bulldogs5-16
10LSU Tigers5-130
11Tennessee Volunteers5-127
12Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets6-09
13Notre Dame Fighting Irish4-210
14Oklahoma Sooners5-113
15BYU Cougars6-07
16Missouri Tigers5-125
17Vanderbilt Commodores5-116
18Virginia Cavaliers5-115
19South Florida Bulls5-118
20USC Trojans5-120
21Texas Longhorns4-219
22Memphis Tigers6-033
23Utah Utes5-114
24Cincinnati Bearcats5-122
25Nebraska Cornhuskers5-132
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • LSU Tigers — model #30 vs AP #10 (Δ +20; model lower)
  • Tennessee Volunteers — model #27 vs AP #11 (Δ +16; model lower)
  • Memphis Tigers — model #33 vs AP #22 (Δ +11; model lower)
  • Oregon Ducks — model #17 vs AP #8 (Δ +9; model lower)
  • Missouri Tigers — model #25 vs AP #16 (Δ +9; model lower)

Week 9

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 differ 584 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Alabama Crimson Tide7-187.874
2Texas A&M Aggies8-087.463
3Indiana Hoosiers8-086.782
4Ohio State Buckeyes7-084.541
5BYU Cougars8-082.4311
6Georgia Bulldogs6-178.255
7Texas Tech Red Raiders7-177.814
8Miami Hurricanes6-177.189
9Ole Miss Rebels7-176.28
10Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets8-074.357
11Notre Dame Fighting Irish5-272.812
12Texas Longhorns6-272.2322
13Louisville Cardinals6-172.0719
14Vanderbilt Commodores7-171.6510
15Michigan Wolverines6-271.1225
16Virginia Cavaliers7-169.9316
17Oregon Ducks7-169.686
18Oklahoma Sooners6-269.5513
19Utah Utes6-269.52—
20Memphis Tigers7-169.26—
21Houston Cougars7-168.73—
22Cincinnati Bearcats7-167.7721
23South Florida Bulls6-266.8918
24USC Trojans5-266.15—
25Nebraska Cornhuskers6-265.68—

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Ohio State Buckeyes7-04
2Indiana Hoosiers7-03
3Texas A&M Aggies7-02
4Alabama Crimson Tide6-11
5Georgia Bulldogs6-16
6Oregon Ducks6-117
7Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets7-010
8Ole Miss Rebels6-19
9Miami Hurricanes5-18
10Vanderbilt Commodores6-114
11BYU Cougars7-05
12Notre Dame Fighting Irish5-211
13Oklahoma Sooners6-118
14Texas Tech Red Raiders6-17
15Missouri Tigers6-129
16Virginia Cavaliers6-116
17Tennessee Volunteers5-226
18South Florida Bulls6-123
19Louisville Cardinals5-113
20LSU Tigers5-238
21Cincinnati Bearcats6-122
22Texas Longhorns5-212
23Illinois Fighting Illini5-236
24Arizona State Sun Devils5-230
25Michigan Wolverines5-215
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • LSU Tigers — model #38 vs AP #20 (Δ +18; model lower)
  • Missouri Tigers — model #29 vs AP #15 (Δ +14; model lower)
  • Illinois Fighting Illini — model #36 vs AP #23 (Δ +13; model lower)
  • Oregon Ducks — model #17 vs AP #6 (Δ +11; model lower)
  • Texas Longhorns — model #12 vs AP #22 (Δ -10; model higher)

Week 10

Model #1 Indiana Hoosiers AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 differ 636 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Indiana Hoosiers9-088.052
2Ohio State Buckeyes8-085.411
3Alabama Crimson Tide7-183.374
4Texas A&M Aggies8-083.193
5BYU Cougars8-082.8910
6Texas Tech Red Raiders8-182.3813
7Texas Longhorns7-278.0620
8Georgia Bulldogs7-177.925
9Ole Miss Rebels8-176.957
10Louisville Cardinals7-175.116
11Utah Utes7-274.6924
12Virginia Cavaliers8-174.3215
13Notre Dame Fighting Irish6-274.0612
14Miami Hurricanes6-273.2710
15Oklahoma Sooners7-272.8318
16USC Trojans6-271.1723
17Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets8-169.898
18Memphis Tigers8-168.5925
19Vanderbilt Commodores7-268.329
20Michigan Wolverines7-267.4721
21Arizona State Sun Devils6-367.41—
22Pittsburgh Panthers7-267.27—
23Houston Cougars7-266.7322
24Oregon Ducks7-166.616
25North Texas Mean Green8-165.07—

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Ohio State Buckeyes7-02
2Indiana Hoosiers8-01
3Texas A&M Aggies8-04
4Alabama Crimson Tide7-13
5Georgia Bulldogs6-18
6Oregon Ducks7-124
7Ole Miss Rebels7-19
8Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets8-017
9Vanderbilt Commodores7-119
10BYU Cougars8-05
10Miami Hurricanes6-114
12Notre Dame Fighting Irish5-213
13Texas Tech Red Raiders7-16
14Tennessee Volunteers6-228
15Virginia Cavaliers7-112
16Louisville Cardinals6-110
17Cincinnati Bearcats7-129
18Oklahoma Sooners6-215
19Missouri Tigers6-234
20Texas Longhorns6-27
21Michigan Wolverines6-220
22Houston Cougars7-123
23USC Trojans5-216
24Utah Utes6-211
25Memphis Tigers7-118
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • Oregon Ducks — model #24 vs AP #6 (Δ +18; model lower)
  • Missouri Tigers — model #34 vs AP #19 (Δ +15; model lower)
  • Tennessee Volunteers — model #28 vs AP #14 (Δ +14; model lower)
  • Texas Longhorns — model #7 vs AP #20 (Δ -13; model higher)
  • Utah Utes — model #11 vs AP #24 (Δ -13; model higher)

Week 11

Model #1 Indiana Hoosiers AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 differ 688 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Indiana Hoosiers10-088.032
2Texas Tech Red Raiders9-187.829
3Texas A&M Aggies9-086.683
4Ohio State Buckeyes9-084.791
5Alabama Crimson Tide8-184.174
6BYU Cougars8-179.828
7Georgia Bulldogs8-179.365
8Notre Dame Fighting Irish7-277.6810
9Texas Longhorns7-276.1613
10Ole Miss Rebels9-175.347
11Utah Utes7-273.0117
12Miami Hurricanes7-272.9818
13USC Trojans7-272.6320
14Louisville Cardinals7-271.6914
15Oregon Ducks8-170.496
16Oklahoma Sooners7-270.4511
17Houston Cougars8-269.95—
18Virginia Cavaliers8-269.3612
19Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets8-168.4216
20Vanderbilt Commodores8-267.7115
21Tulane Green Wave7-267.32—
22Arizona State Sun Devils6-366.9—
23Michigan Wolverines7-266.5521
24Iowa State Cyclones6-466.49—
25Memphis Tigers8-265.8622

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Ohio State Buckeyes8-04
2Indiana Hoosiers9-01
3Texas A&M Aggies8-03
4Alabama Crimson Tide7-15
5Georgia Bulldogs7-17
6Oregon Ducks7-115
7Ole Miss Rebels8-110
8BYU Cougars8-06
9Texas Tech Red Raiders8-12
10Notre Dame Fighting Irish6-28
11Oklahoma Sooners7-216
12Virginia Cavaliers8-118
13Texas Longhorns7-29
14Louisville Cardinals7-114
15Vanderbilt Commodores7-220
16Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets8-119
17Utah Utes7-211
18Miami Hurricanes6-212
19Missouri Tigers6-240
20USC Trojans6-213
21Michigan Wolverines7-223
22Memphis Tigers8-125
23Tennessee Volunteers6-334
24Washington Huskies6-239
25Cincinnati Bearcats7-228
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • Missouri Tigers — model #40 vs AP #19 (Δ +21; model lower)
  • Washington Huskies — model #39 vs AP #24 (Δ +15; model lower)
  • Tennessee Volunteers — model #34 vs AP #23 (Δ +11; model lower)
  • Oregon Ducks — model #15 vs AP #6 (Δ +9; model lower)
  • Texas Tech Red Raiders — model #2 vs AP #9 (Δ -7; model higher)

Week 12

Model #1 Texas Tech Red Raiders AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 differ 747 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Texas Tech Red Raiders10-188.668
2Texas A&M Aggies10-087.493
3Indiana Hoosiers11-086.572
4Ohio State Buckeyes10-083.11
5Georgia Bulldogs9-182.625
6BYU Cougars9-181.5912
7Notre Dame Fighting Irish8-281.09
8Alabama Crimson Tide8-280.684
9Ole Miss Rebels10-178.586
10Oklahoma Sooners8-276.2211
11USC Trojans8-274.4917
12Utah Utes8-273.9815
13Miami Hurricanes8-273.116
14Virginia Cavaliers9-272.0620
15Texas Longhorns7-371.9610
16Oregon Ducks9-171.347
17Louisville Cardinals7-369.9919
18Houston Cougars8-269.28—
19Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets9-168.714
20Michigan Wolverines8-267.4318
21Tulane Green Wave8-267.07—
22Vanderbilt Commodores8-266.7513
23Arizona State Sun Devils7-365.26—
24North Texas Mean Green9-164.95—
25Iowa State Cyclones6-464.3—

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Ohio State Buckeyes9-04
2Indiana Hoosiers10-03
3Texas A&M Aggies9-02
4Alabama Crimson Tide8-18
5Georgia Bulldogs8-15
6Ole Miss Rebels9-19
7Oregon Ducks8-116
8Texas Tech Red Raiders9-11
9Notre Dame Fighting Irish7-27
10Texas Longhorns7-215
11Oklahoma Sooners7-210
12BYU Cougars8-16
13Vanderbilt Commodores8-222
14Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets8-119
15Utah Utes7-212
16Miami Hurricanes7-213
17USC Trojans7-211
18Michigan Wolverines7-220
19Louisville Cardinals7-217
20Virginia Cavaliers8-214
21Tennessee Volunteers6-331
22Cincinnati Bearcats7-240
23Pittsburgh Panthers7-227
24James Madison Dukes8-126
25South Florida Bulls7-232
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • Cincinnati Bearcats — model #40 vs AP #22 (Δ +18; model lower)
  • Tennessee Volunteers — model #31 vs AP #21 (Δ +10; model lower)
  • Oregon Ducks — model #16 vs AP #7 (Δ +9; model lower)
  • Vanderbilt Commodores — model #22 vs AP #13 (Δ +9; model lower)
  • Texas Tech Red Raiders — model #1 vs AP #8 (Δ -7; model higher)

Week 13

Model #1 Texas A&M Aggies AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 differ 811 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Texas A&M Aggies11-087.123
2Texas Tech Red Raiders10-186.496
3Indiana Hoosiers11-084.892
4Ohio State Buckeyes11-083.681
5BYU Cougars10-181.4611
6Georgia Bulldogs10-181.134
7Notre Dame Fighting Irish9-280.829
8Alabama Crimson Tide9-279.6510
9Oklahoma Sooners9-279.218
10Ole Miss Rebels10-177.775
11Oregon Ducks10-176.426
12Utah Utes9-274.2913
13Miami Hurricanes9-273.914
14Texas Longhorns8-371.9317
15USC Trojans8-371.1716
16Arizona State Sun Devils8-368.51—
17Michigan Wolverines9-268.2718
18Virginia Cavaliers9-268.2419
19Iowa State Cyclones7-468.09—
20SMU Mustangs8-367.7—
21Vanderbilt Commodores9-267.5512
22Pittsburgh Panthers8-367.18—
23Tulane Green Wave9-266.0324
24North Texas Mean Green10-166.0122
25Louisville Cardinals7-465.97—

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Ohio State Buckeyes10-04
2Indiana Hoosiers11-03
3Texas A&M Aggies10-01
4Georgia Bulldogs9-16
5Ole Miss Rebels10-110
6Oregon Ducks9-111
6Texas Tech Red Raiders10-12
8Oklahoma Sooners8-29
9Notre Dame Fighting Irish8-27
10Alabama Crimson Tide8-28
11BYU Cougars9-15
12Vanderbilt Commodores8-221
13Utah Utes8-212
14Miami Hurricanes8-213
15Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets9-126
16USC Trojans8-215
17Texas Longhorns7-314
18Michigan Wolverines8-217
19Virginia Cavaliers9-218
20Tennessee Volunteers7-329
21James Madison Dukes9-127
22North Texas Mean Green9-124
23Missouri Tigers7-338
24Tulane Green Wave8-223
25Houston Cougars8-230
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • Missouri Tigers — model #38 vs AP #23 (Δ +15; model lower)
  • Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets — model #26 vs AP #15 (Δ +11; model lower)
  • Vanderbilt Commodores — model #21 vs AP #12 (Δ +9; model lower)
  • Tennessee Volunteers — model #29 vs AP #20 (Δ +9; model lower)
  • BYU Cougars — model #5 vs AP #11 (Δ -6; model higher)

Week 14

Model #1 Ohio State Buckeyes AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 match 878 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Ohio State Buckeyes12-085.751
2Texas Tech Red Raiders11-185.537
3Indiana Hoosiers12-084.942
4Georgia Bulldogs11-182.144
5Texas A&M Aggies11-182.093
6Miami Hurricanes10-280.6713
7Alabama Crimson Tide10-280.2610
8BYU Cougars11-180.1511
9Notre Dame Fighting Irish10-279.79
10Ole Miss Rebels11-178.46
11Texas Longhorns9-377.516
12Oregon Ducks11-177.025
13Oklahoma Sooners10-275.328
14Utah Utes10-272.2414
15USC Trojans9-370.8919
16Virginia Cavaliers10-270.1917
17Vanderbilt Commodores10-269.9612
18Iowa State Cyclones8-468.86—
19SMU Mustangs8-467.6225
20North Texas Mean Green11-167.4421
21Louisville Cardinals8-466.48—
22Tulane Green Wave10-266.3922
23Houston Cougars9-366.06—
24Arizona State Sun Devils8-466.04—
25Arizona Wildcats9-365.99—

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Ohio State Buckeyes11-01
2Indiana Hoosiers11-03
3Texas A&M Aggies11-05
4Georgia Bulldogs10-14
5Oregon Ducks10-112
6Ole Miss Rebels10-110
7Texas Tech Red Raiders10-12
8Oklahoma Sooners9-213
9Notre Dame Fighting Irish9-29
10Alabama Crimson Tide9-27
11BYU Cougars10-18
12Vanderbilt Commodores9-217
13Miami Hurricanes9-26
14Utah Utes9-214
15Michigan Wolverines9-227
16Texas Longhorns8-311
17Virginia Cavaliers9-216
18Tennessee Volunteers8-339
19USC Trojans8-315
20James Madison Dukes10-129
21North Texas Mean Green10-120
22Tulane Green Wave9-222
23Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets9-226
24Pittsburgh Panthers8-330
25SMU Mustangs8-319
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • Tennessee Volunteers — model #39 vs AP #18 (Δ +21; model lower)
  • Michigan Wolverines — model #27 vs AP #15 (Δ +12; model lower)
  • James Madison Dukes — model #29 vs AP #20 (Δ +9; model lower)
  • Oregon Ducks — model #12 vs AP #5 (Δ +7; model lower)
  • Miami Hurricanes — model #6 vs AP #13 (Δ -7; model higher)

Week 15

Model #1 Indiana Hoosiers AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 differ 887 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Indiana Hoosiers13-090.422
2Texas Tech Red Raiders12-188.155
3Georgia Bulldogs12-186.693
4Ohio State Buckeyes12-183.741
5Texas A&M Aggies11-181.077
6Ole Miss Rebels11-179.566
7Miami Hurricanes10-279.4612
8Notre Dame Fighting Irish10-279.129
9BYU Cougars11-278.5711
10Oregon Ducks11-176.724
11Texas Longhorns9-376.5214
12Alabama Crimson Tide10-376.1910
13Oklahoma Sooners10-274.778
14Tulane Green Wave11-272.0221
15Utah Utes10-270.6615
16USC Trojans9-370.1217
17Virginia Cavaliers10-369.7216
18Vanderbilt Commodores10-268.9913
19Iowa State Cyclones8-467.99—
20SMU Mustangs8-467.02—
21James Madison Dukes12-167.0219
22Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets9-366.5524
23South Florida Bulls9-366.1—
24Houston Cougars9-365.29—
25Arizona Wildcats9-365.2422

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Ohio State Buckeyes12-04
2Indiana Hoosiers12-01
3Georgia Bulldogs11-13
4Oregon Ducks11-110
5Texas Tech Red Raiders11-12
6Ole Miss Rebels11-16
7Texas A&M Aggies11-15
8Oklahoma Sooners10-213
9Notre Dame Fighting Irish10-28
10Alabama Crimson Tide10-212
11BYU Cougars11-19
12Miami Hurricanes10-27
13Vanderbilt Commodores10-218
14Texas Longhorns9-311
15Utah Utes10-215
16Virginia Cavaliers10-217
17USC Trojans9-316
18Michigan Wolverines9-329
19James Madison Dukes11-121
20North Texas Mean Green11-127
21Tulane Green Wave10-214
22Arizona Wildcats9-325
23Navy Midshipmen9-236
24Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets9-322
25Missouri Tigers8-444
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • Missouri Tigers — model #44 vs AP #25 (Δ +19; model lower)
  • Navy Midshipmen — model #36 vs AP #23 (Δ +13; model lower)
  • Michigan Wolverines — model #29 vs AP #18 (Δ +11; model lower)
  • North Texas Mean Green — model #27 vs AP #20 (Δ +7; model lower)
  • Tulane Green Wave — model #14 vs AP #21 (Δ -7; model higher)

Week 16

Model #1 Indiana Hoosiers AP #1 Indiana Hoosiers #1 match 888 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Indiana Hoosiers13-090.621
2Texas Tech Red Raiders12-188.344
3Georgia Bulldogs12-186.762
4Ohio State Buckeyes12-183.953
5Texas A&M Aggies11-179.977
6Notre Dame Fighting Irish10-279.459
7Ole Miss Rebels11-179.296
8BYU Cougars11-278.7512
9Miami Hurricanes10-278.4710
10Oregon Ducks11-176.95
11Texas Longhorns9-376.7514
12Alabama Crimson Tide10-376.211
13Oklahoma Sooners10-274.838
14Tulane Green Wave11-271.8117
15Utah Utes10-270.8215
16USC Trojans9-370.2916
17Virginia Cavaliers10-369.7320
18Vanderbilt Commodores10-268.9913
19Iowa State Cyclones8-468.11—
20James Madison Dukes12-167.1119
21SMU Mustangs8-467.01—
22Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets9-366.524
23South Florida Bulls9-365.85—
24Houston Cougars9-365.45—
25Arizona Wildcats9-365.3721

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Indiana Hoosiers13-01
2Georgia Bulldogs12-13
3Ohio State Buckeyes12-14
4Texas Tech Red Raiders12-12
5Oregon Ducks11-110
6Ole Miss Rebels11-17
7Texas A&M Aggies11-15
8Oklahoma Sooners10-213
9Notre Dame Fighting Irish10-26
10Miami Hurricanes10-29
11Alabama Crimson Tide10-312
12BYU Cougars11-28
13Vanderbilt Commodores10-218
14Texas Longhorns9-311
15Utah Utes10-215
16USC Trojans9-316
17Tulane Green Wave11-214
18Michigan Wolverines9-329
19James Madison Dukes12-120
20Virginia Cavaliers10-317
21Arizona Wildcats9-325
22Navy Midshipmen9-235
23North Texas Mean Green11-226
24Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets9-322
25Missouri Tigers8-444
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • Missouri Tigers — model #44 vs AP #25 (Δ +19; model lower)
  • Navy Midshipmen — model #35 vs AP #22 (Δ +13; model lower)
  • Michigan Wolverines — model #29 vs AP #18 (Δ +11; model lower)
  • Oregon Ducks — model #10 vs AP #5 (Δ +5; model lower)
  • Oklahoma Sooners — model #13 vs AP #8 (Δ +5; model lower)

Final (postseason)

Model #1 Indiana Hoosiers AP #1 Indiana Hoosiers #1 match 934 games through this point

Model Top 25

RkTeamRecScoreAP
1Indiana Hoosiers16-0104.871
2Miami Hurricanes13-390.552
3Oregon Ducks13-288.174
4Texas Tech Red Raiders12-285.137
5Georgia Bulldogs12-282.946
6Ohio State Buckeyes12-281.995
7Ole Miss Rebels13-281.983
8Texas Longhorns10-377.9312
9BYU Cougars12-277.0411
10Notre Dame Fighting Irish10-276.9610
11Alabama Crimson Tide11-475.549
12Texas A&M Aggies11-272.118
13Virginia Cavaliers11-370.6616
14Tulane Green Wave11-370.3518
15SMU Mustangs9-469.76—
16Utah Utes11-269.4814
17Oklahoma Sooners10-369.3113
18USC Trojans9-468.3720
19TCU Horned Frogs9-467.8625
20NC State Wolfpack8-567.72—
21North Texas Mean Green12-267.6124
22Louisville Cardinals9-466.7—
23Duke Blue Devils9-566.62—
24Houston Cougars10-366.3922
25Iowa Hawkeyes9-466.2817

AP Top 25

RkTeamRecModel
1Indiana Hoosiers16-01
2Miami Hurricanes13-32
3Ole Miss Rebels13-27
4Oregon Ducks13-23
5Ohio State Buckeyes12-26
6Georgia Bulldogs12-25
7Texas Tech Red Raiders12-24
8Texas A&M Aggies11-212
9Alabama Crimson Tide11-411
10Notre Dame Fighting Irish10-210
11BYU Cougars12-29
12Texas Longhorns10-38
13Oklahoma Sooners10-317
14Utah Utes11-216
15Vanderbilt Commodores10-331
16Virginia Cavaliers11-313
17Iowa Hawkeyes9-425
18Tulane Green Wave11-314
19James Madison Dukes12-228
20USC Trojans9-418
21Michigan Wolverines9-433
22Houston Cougars10-324
23Navy Midshipmen11-230
24North Texas Mean Green12-221
25TCU Horned Frogs9-419
Largest disagreements (AP teams):
  • Vanderbilt Commodores — model #31 vs AP #15 (Δ +16; model lower)
  • Michigan Wolverines — model #33 vs AP #21 (Δ +12; model lower)
  • James Madison Dukes — model #28 vs AP #19 (Δ +9; model lower)
  • Iowa Hawkeyes — model #25 vs AP #17 (Δ +8; model lower)
  • Navy Midshipmen — model #30 vs AP #23 (Δ +7; model lower)