2024 season — Model vs AP

Full weekly rankings with the current late-tuned config. Side-by-side Model Top 25 and AP Top 25 for every week with available poll data.

Final #1 match

Final model #1

Ohio State Buckeyes

Final AP #1

Ohio State Buckeyes

Download: summary.json · weekly_agreement.csv

Preseason (Coaches Poll)

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 0 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	100.0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	99.0	2
3	Oregon Ducks	0-0	98.0	3
4	Texas Longhorns	0-0	97.0	4
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	96.0	5
6	Ole Miss Rebels	0-0	95.0	6
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	94.0	7
8	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	93.0	8
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	92.0	9
10	Florida State Seminoles	0-0	91.0	10
11	Missouri Tigers	0-0	90.0	11
12	LSU Tigers	0-0	89.0	12
13	Utah Utes	0-0	88.0	13
14	Clemson Tigers	0-0	87.0	14
15	Tennessee Volunteers	0-0	86.0	15
16	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	85.0	16
17	Kansas State Wildcats	0-0	84.0	17
18	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	83.0	18
19	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	82.0	19
20	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	81.0	20
21	Arizona Wildcats	0-0	80.0	21
22	NC State Wolfpack	0-0	79.0	22
23	USC Trojans	0-0	78.0	23
24	Kansas Jayhawks	0-0	77.0	24
25	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	76.0	25

AFCA Coaches Poll

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	2
3	Oregon Ducks	0-0	3
4	Texas Longhorns	0-0	4
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	5
6	Ole Miss Rebels	0-0	6
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	7
8	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	8
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	9
10	Florida State Seminoles	0-0	10
11	Missouri Tigers	0-0	11
12	LSU Tigers	0-0	12
13	Utah Utes	0-0	13
14	Clemson Tigers	0-0	14
15	Tennessee Volunteers	0-0	15
16	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	16
17	Kansas State Wildcats	0-0	17
18	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	18
19	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	19
20	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	20
21	Arizona Wildcats	0-0	21
22	NC State Wolfpack	0-0	22
23	USC Trojans	0-0	23
24	Kansas Jayhawks	0-0	24
25	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	25

Week 1

Model #1 SMU Mustangs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 differ 100 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	SMU Mustangs	2-0	106.12	—
2	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	2-0	84.27	—
3	Miami Hurricanes	1-0	75.76	19
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	1-0	75.13	8
5	North Carolina Tar Heels	1-0	73.65	—
6	UCLA Bruins	1-0	73.59	—
7	TCU Horned Frogs	1-0	71.9	—
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1-0	71.24	7
9	USC Trojans	1-0	70.75	23
10	UNLV Rebels	1-0	70.02	—
11	James Madison Dukes	1-0	69.93	—
12	Georgia Bulldogs	1-0	69.88	1
13	Sam Houston Bearkats	1-0	68.66	—
14	Eastern Michigan Eagles	1-0	68.38	—
15	Boston College Eagles	1-0	68.01	—
16	North Texas Mean Green	1-0	67.25	—
17	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	1-0	66.63	—
18	Indiana Hoosiers	1-0	66.54	—
19	Wisconsin Badgers	1-0	66.04	—
20	Michigan Wolverines	1-0	65.98	9
21	Vanderbilt Commodores	1-0	65.81	—
22	Syracuse Orange	1-0	65.53	—
23	Nebraska Cornhuskers	1-0	64.84	—
24	Michigan State Spartans	1-0	64.76	—
25	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-0	64.48	2

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	12
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	25
3	Oregon Ducks	0-0	68
4	Texas Longhorns	0-0	32
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	37
6	Ole Miss Rebels	0-0	38
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	8
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	4
9	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	20
10	Florida State Seminoles	0-0	127
11	Missouri Tigers	0-0	46
12	Utah Utes	0-0	54
13	LSU Tigers	0-0	100
14	Clemson Tigers	0-0	113
15	Tennessee Volunteers	0-0	42
16	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	33
17	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	77
18	Kansas State Wildcats	0-0	59
19	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	3
20	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	105
21	Arizona Wildcats	0-0	53
22	Kansas Jayhawks	0-0	52
23	USC Trojans	0-0	9
24	NC State Wolfpack	0-0	71
25	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	45

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Florida State Seminoles — model #127 vs AP #10 (Δ +117; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #113 vs AP #14 (Δ +99; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #100 vs AP #13 (Δ +87; model lower)
Texas A&M Aggies — model #105 vs AP #20 (Δ +85; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #68 vs AP #3 (Δ +65; model lower)

Week 2

Model #1 Syracuse Orange AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 differ 178 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Syracuse Orange	2-0	87.36	—
2	Texas Longhorns	2-0	81.27	3
3	South Carolina Gamecocks	2-0	78.98	—
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	2-0	77.49	8
5	BYU Cougars	2-0	75.93	—
6	Michigan State Spartans	2-0	75.46	—
7	USC Trojans	2-0	73.63	13
8	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	72.66	1
9	North Carolina Tar Heels	2-0	72.18	—
10	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	71.56	4
11	Miami Hurricanes	2-0	71.44	12
12	Indiana Hoosiers	2-0	70.86	—
13	Pittsburgh Panthers	2-0	69.2	—
14	California Golden Bears	2-0	69.0	—
15	UCF Knights	2-0	68.94	—
16	Vanderbilt Commodores	2-0	68.64	—
17	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	2-1	68.44	23
18	Duke Blue Devils	2-0	67.78	—
19	Arizona State Sun Devils	2-0	67.64	—
20	TCU Horned Frogs	2-0	67.02	—
21	Tennessee Volunteers	2-0	66.64	14
22	Boston College Eagles	2-0	66.54	—
23	Nebraska Cornhuskers	2-0	65.95	—
24	Kansas State Wildcats	2-0	65.53	17
25	Oregon Ducks	2-0	64.58	7

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	1-0	8
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-0	36
3	Texas Longhorns	1-0	2
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	10
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1-0	54
6	Ole Miss Rebels	1-0	35
7	Oregon Ducks	1-0	25
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	1-0	4
9	Missouri Tigers	1-0	38
10	Michigan Wolverines	1-0	60
11	Utah Utes	1-0	34
12	Miami Hurricanes	1-0	11
13	USC Trojans	1-0	7
14	Tennessee Volunteers	1-0	21
15	Oklahoma Sooners	1-0	37
16	Oklahoma State Cowboys	1-0	32
17	Kansas State Wildcats	1-0	24
18	LSU Tigers	0-1	73
19	Kansas Jayhawks	1-0	74
20	Arizona Wildcats	1-0	63
21	Iowa Hawkeyes	1-0	83
22	Louisville Cardinals	1-0	44
23	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	2-0	17
24	NC State Wolfpack	1-0	95
25	Clemson Tigers	0-1	65

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

NC State Wolfpack — model #95 vs AP #24 (Δ +71; model lower)
Iowa Hawkeyes — model #83 vs AP #21 (Δ +62; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #73 vs AP #18 (Δ +55; model lower)
Kansas Jayhawks — model #74 vs AP #19 (Δ +55; model lower)
Michigan Wolverines — model #60 vs AP #10 (Δ +50; model lower)

Week 3

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 differ 241 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	85.23	4
2	Texas Longhorns	3-0	81.76	2
3	UCF Knights	3-0	79.06	—
4	Michigan State Spartans	3-0	77.42	—
5	Washington State Cougars	3-0	77.0	—
6	Oregon Ducks	3-0	74.58	9
7	USC Trojans	2-0	74.55	11
8	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	74.53	1
9	Indiana Hoosiers	3-0	73.53	—
10	Syracuse Orange	2-0	71.53	—
11	Missouri Tigers	3-0	71.3	6
12	Arizona State Sun Devils	3-0	70.35	—
13	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	69.55	13
14	UNLV Rebels	3-0	68.99	—
15	Kansas State Wildcats	3-0	68.83	14
16	Pittsburgh Panthers	3-0	68.56	—
17	Maryland Terrapins	2-1	68.51	—
18	Northern Illinois Huskies	2-0	68.12	25
19	Ole Miss Rebels	3-0	68.0	5
20	Oklahoma Sooners	3-0	67.97	15
21	Utah Utes	3-0	67.93	12
22	LSU Tigers	2-1	67.8	16
23	California Golden Bears	3-0	67.76	—
24	BYU Cougars	3-0	67.52	—
25	Penn State Nittany Lions	2-0	67.47	8

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	8
2	Texas Longhorns	2-0	2
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-0	41
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	1
5	Ole Miss Rebels	2-0	19
6	Missouri Tigers	2-0	11
7	Tennessee Volunteers	2-0	27
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	2-0	25
9	Oregon Ducks	2-0	6
10	Miami Hurricanes	2-0	29
11	USC Trojans	2-0	7
12	Utah Utes	2-0	21
13	Oklahoma State Cowboys	2-0	13
14	Kansas State Wildcats	2-0	15
15	Oklahoma Sooners	2-0	20
16	LSU Tigers	1-1	22
17	Michigan Wolverines	1-1	34
18	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1-1	26
19	Louisville Cardinals	2-0	56
20	Arizona Wildcats	2-0	78
21	Iowa State Cyclones	2-0	39
22	Clemson Tigers	1-1	51
23	Nebraska Cornhuskers	2-0	33
24	Boston College Eagles	2-0	43
25	Northern Illinois Huskies	2-0	18

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Arizona Wildcats — model #78 vs AP #20 (Δ +58; model lower)
Ohio State Buckeyes — model #41 vs AP #3 (Δ +38; model lower)
Louisville Cardinals — model #56 vs AP #19 (Δ +37; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #51 vs AP #22 (Δ +29; model lower)
Tennessee Volunteers — model #27 vs AP #7 (Δ +20; model lower)

Week 4

Model #1 Texas Longhorns AP #1 Texas Longhorns #1 match 305 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Texas Longhorns	4-0	86.33	1
2	Washington State Cougars	4-0	82.15	—
3	Missouri Tigers	4-0	81.15	7
4	BYU Cougars	4-0	78.66	—
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	76.49	4
6	Tennessee Volunteers	4-0	75.88	6
7	Utah Utes	4-0	75.0	12
8	Miami Hurricanes	4-0	74.18	8
9	Illinois Fighting Illini	4-0	73.19	24
10	Michigan Wolverines	3-1	72.71	18
11	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	71.59	2
12	Boston College Eagles	3-1	71.51	—
13	Ole Miss Rebels	4-0	69.82	5
14	LSU Tigers	3-1	69.74	16
15	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3-1	69.7	17
16	Indiana Hoosiers	4-0	68.92	—
17	Maryland Terrapins	3-1	68.71	—
18	Oregon Ducks	3-0	68.65	9
19	Pittsburgh Panthers	4-0	68.65	—
20	Iowa State Cyclones	3-0	68.22	20
21	Michigan State Spartans	3-1	68.21	—
22	USC Trojans	2-1	68.1	11
23	UCF Knights	3-0	67.77	—
24	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-1	67.26	14
25	Duke Blue Devils	4-0	65.73	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Texas Longhorns	3-0	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	11
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-0	37
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	5
5	Ole Miss Rebels	3-0	13
6	Tennessee Volunteers	3-0	6
7	Missouri Tigers	3-0	3
8	Miami Hurricanes	3-0	8
9	Oregon Ducks	3-0	18
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	2-0	29
11	USC Trojans	2-0	22
12	Utah Utes	3-0	7
13	Kansas State Wildcats	3-0	41
14	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	24
15	Oklahoma Sooners	3-0	28
16	LSU Tigers	2-1	14
17	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2-1	15
18	Michigan Wolverines	2-1	10
19	Louisville Cardinals	2-0	30
20	Iowa State Cyclones	2-0	20
21	Clemson Tigers	1-1	59
22	Nebraska Cornhuskers	3-0	33
23	Northern Illinois Huskies	2-0	52
24	Illinois Fighting Illini	3-0	9
25	Texas A&M Aggies	2-1	34

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Clemson Tigers — model #59 vs AP #21 (Δ +38; model lower)
Ohio State Buckeyes — model #37 vs AP #3 (Δ +34; model lower)
Northern Illinois Huskies — model #52 vs AP #23 (Δ +29; model lower)
Kansas State Wildcats — model #41 vs AP #13 (Δ +28; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #29 vs AP #10 (Δ +19; model lower)

Week 5

Model #1 BYU Cougars AP #1 Texas Longhorns #1 differ 360 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	BYU Cougars	5-0	86.35	22
2	Texas Longhorns	5-0	84.07	1
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	82.57	4
4	Tennessee Volunteers	4-0	75.37	5
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-0	74.89	9
6	Indiana Hoosiers	5-0	74.75	—
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-1	74.57	16
8	Oregon Ducks	4-0	74.01	8
9	Georgia Bulldogs	3-1	73.74	2
10	Michigan Wolverines	4-1	72.62	12
11	Miami Hurricanes	5-0	72.43	7
12	LSU Tigers	4-1	72.08	14
13	Washington State Cougars	4-1	71.54	—
14	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-0	70.94	3
15	Kansas State Wildcats	4-1	70.29	23
16	Illinois Fighting Illini	4-1	70.16	19
17	Missouri Tigers	4-0	70.06	11
18	USC Trojans	3-1	69.66	13
19	South Carolina Gamecocks	3-1	69.39	—
20	Colorado Buffaloes	4-1	68.43	—
21	Oklahoma Sooners	4-1	68.37	21
22	Duke Blue Devils	5-0	68.26	—
23	Nebraska Cornhuskers	4-1	68.17	—
24	Iowa State Cyclones	4-0	66.85	18
25	Kentucky Wildcats	3-2	66.76	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Texas Longhorns	4-0	2
2	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	9
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-0	14
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	3
5	Tennessee Volunteers	4-0	4
6	Ole Miss Rebels	4-0	32
7	Miami Hurricanes	4-0	11
8	Oregon Ducks	3-0	8
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	3-0	5
10	Utah Utes	4-0	35
11	Missouri Tigers	4-0	17
12	Michigan Wolverines	3-1	10
13	USC Trojans	2-1	18
14	LSU Tigers	3-1	12
15	Louisville Cardinals	3-0	42
16	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3-1	7
17	Clemson Tigers	2-1	41
18	Iowa State Cyclones	3-0	24
19	Illinois Fighting Illini	4-0	16
20	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-1	47
21	Oklahoma Sooners	3-1	21
22	BYU Cougars	4-0	1
23	Kansas State Wildcats	3-1	15
24	Texas A&M Aggies	3-1	28
25	Boise State Broncos	2-1	26

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Louisville Cardinals — model #42 vs AP #15 (Δ +27; model lower)
Oklahoma State Cowboys — model #47 vs AP #20 (Δ +27; model lower)
Ole Miss Rebels — model #32 vs AP #6 (Δ +26; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #35 vs AP #10 (Δ +25; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #41 vs AP #17 (Δ +24; model lower)

Week 6

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 409 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-1	78.8	1
2	Miami Hurricanes	6-0	78.61	8
3	Texas Longhorns	5-0	78.53	2
4	BYU Cougars	5-0	78.35	17
5	Indiana Hoosiers	6-0	77.76	23
6	Texas A&M Aggies	5-1	76.58	25
7	Oregon Ducks	5-0	76.2	6
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-0	75.79	3
9	Ole Miss Rebels	5-1	75.65	12
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-0	74.16	7
11	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-1	73.31	14
12	Georgia Bulldogs	4-1	72.82	5
13	Washington State Cougars	4-1	72.59	—
14	Tennessee Volunteers	4-1	69.61	4
15	Iowa State Cyclones	5-0	69.25	16
16	Nebraska Cornhuskers	5-1	68.83	—
17	SMU Mustangs	5-1	68.18	—
18	Texas Tech Red Raiders	5-1	68.13	—
19	Pittsburgh Panthers	5-0	67.88	—
20	Illinois Fighting Illini	4-1	67.32	24
21	Missouri Tigers	4-1	67.18	9
22	Arkansas Razorbacks	4-2	66.88	—
23	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	4-1	66.78	—
24	LSU Tigers	4-1	65.97	13
25	Maryland Terrapins	3-2	65.69	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	1
2	Texas Longhorns	5-0	3
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-0	8
4	Tennessee Volunteers	4-0	14
5	Georgia Bulldogs	3-1	12
6	Oregon Ducks	4-0	7
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-0	10
8	Miami Hurricanes	5-0	2
9	Missouri Tigers	4-0	21
10	Michigan Wolverines	4-1	32
11	USC Trojans	3-1	38
12	Ole Miss Rebels	4-1	9
13	LSU Tigers	4-1	24
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-1	11
15	Clemson Tigers	3-1	37
16	Iowa State Cyclones	4-0	15
17	BYU Cougars	5-0	4
18	Utah Utes	4-1	50
19	Oklahoma Sooners	4-1	29
20	Kansas State Wildcats	4-1	28
21	Boise State Broncos	3-1	27
22	Louisville Cardinals	3-1	43
23	Indiana Hoosiers	5-0	5
24	Illinois Fighting Illini	4-1	20
25	Texas A&M Aggies	4-1	6
25	UNLV Rebels	4-0	51

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Utah Utes — model #50 vs AP #18 (Δ +32; model lower)
USC Trojans — model #38 vs AP #11 (Δ +27; model lower)
UNLV Rebels — model #51 vs AP #25 (Δ +26; model lower)
Michigan Wolverines — model #32 vs AP #10 (Δ +22; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #37 vs AP #15 (Δ +22; model lower)

Week 7

Model #1 Texas Longhorns AP #1 Texas Longhorns #1 match 461 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Texas Longhorns	6-0	83.16	1
2	Oregon Ducks	6-0	82.04	3
3	BYU Cougars	6-0	81.3	14
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-1	80.97	7
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-0	76.83	4
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-1	76.64	11
7	Texas A&M Aggies	5-1	74.96	15
8	LSU Tigers	5-1	74.21	13
9	Iowa State Cyclones	6-0	74.15	11
10	Miami Hurricanes	6-0	73.54	6
11	Georgia Bulldogs	5-1	73.47	5
12	Indiana Hoosiers	6-0	73.07	18
13	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-1	72.01	2
14	Washington State Cougars	5-1	70.15	—
15	Pittsburgh Panthers	6-0	69.84	22
16	Missouri Tigers	5-1	69.81	21
17	SMU Mustangs	5-1	69.71	25
18	Syracuse Orange	5-1	69.26	—
19	Kansas State Wildcats	5-1	68.99	18
20	Vanderbilt Commodores	4-2	68.85	—
21	Texas Tech Red Raiders	5-1	68.31	—
22	Ole Miss Rebels	5-2	68.28	9
23	Tennessee Volunteers	5-1	68.06	8
24	Boise State Broncos	5-1	67.89	17
25	Louisville Cardinals	4-2	66.27	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Texas Longhorns	5-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-0	13
3	Oregon Ducks	5-0	2
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-0	5
5	Georgia Bulldogs	4-1	11
6	Miami Hurricanes	6-0	10
7	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-1	4
8	Tennessee Volunteers	4-1	23
9	Ole Miss Rebels	5-1	22
10	Clemson Tigers	4-1	27
11	Iowa State Cyclones	5-0	9
11	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-1	6
13	LSU Tigers	4-1	8
14	BYU Cougars	5-0	3
15	Texas A&M Aggies	5-1	7
16	Utah Utes	4-1	55
17	Boise State Broncos	4-1	24
18	Indiana Hoosiers	6-0	12
18	Oklahoma Sooners	4-1	37
18	Kansas State Wildcats	4-1	19
21	Missouri Tigers	4-1	16
22	Pittsburgh Panthers	5-0	15
23	Illinois Fighting Illini	4-1	26
24	Michigan Wolverines	4-2	34
25	SMU Mustangs	5-1	17

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Utah Utes — model #55 vs AP #16 (Δ +39; model lower)
Oklahoma Sooners — model #37 vs AP #18 (Δ +19; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #27 vs AP #10 (Δ +17; model lower)
Tennessee Volunteers — model #23 vs AP #8 (Δ +15; model lower)
Ole Miss Rebels — model #22 vs AP #9 (Δ +13; model lower)

Week 8

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Texas Longhorns #1 differ 520 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-2	84.19	7
2	Georgia Bulldogs	6-1	82.96	5
3	BYU Cougars	7-0	82.32	13
4	Oregon Ducks	7-0	80.26	2
5	LSU Tigers	6-1	79.88	8
6	Miami Hurricanes	7-0	79.79	6
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6-1	78.77	12
8	Indiana Hoosiers	7-0	76.46	16
9	Tennessee Volunteers	6-1	76.3	11
10	Texas A&M Aggies	6-1	75.17	14
11	Texas Longhorns	6-1	74.8	1
12	Kansas State Wildcats	6-1	73.03	17
13	Iowa State Cyclones	7-0	72.87	9
14	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-0	72.74	3
15	Ole Miss Rebels	5-2	71.67	18
16	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-1	70.61	4
17	SMU Mustangs	6-1	69.67	21
18	Missouri Tigers	6-1	69.55	19
19	Vanderbilt Commodores	5-2	68.39	—
20	Pittsburgh Panthers	6-0	67.62	20
21	Syracuse Orange	5-1	67.46	—
22	Clemson Tigers	6-1	67.05	10
23	Washington State Cougars	6-1	65.92	—
24	Boise State Broncos	5-1	65.57	15
25	South Carolina Gamecocks	4-3	64.99	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Texas Longhorns	6-0	11
2	Oregon Ducks	6-0	4
3	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-0	14
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-1	16
5	Georgia Bulldogs	5-1	2
6	Miami Hurricanes	6-0	6
7	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-1	1
8	LSU Tigers	5-1	5
9	Iowa State Cyclones	6-0	13
10	Clemson Tigers	5-1	22
11	Tennessee Volunteers	5-1	9
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-1	7
13	BYU Cougars	6-0	3
14	Texas A&M Aggies	5-1	10
15	Boise State Broncos	5-1	24
16	Indiana Hoosiers	6-0	8
17	Kansas State Wildcats	5-1	12
18	Ole Miss Rebels	5-2	15
19	Missouri Tigers	5-1	18
20	Pittsburgh Panthers	6-0	20
21	SMU Mustangs	5-1	17
22	Illinois Fighting Illini	5-1	27
23	Army Black Knights	6-0	28
24	Michigan Wolverines	4-2	45
25	Navy Midshipmen	5-0	32

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Michigan Wolverines — model #45 vs AP #24 (Δ +21; model lower)
Ohio State Buckeyes — model #16 vs AP #4 (Δ +12; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #22 vs AP #10 (Δ +12; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #14 vs AP #3 (Δ +11; model lower)
Texas Longhorns — model #11 vs AP #1 (Δ +10; model lower)

Week 9

Model #1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish AP #1 Oregon Ducks #1 differ 577 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-1	83.46	12
2	Oregon Ducks	8-0	83.32	1
3	BYU Cougars	8-0	83.29	11
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-2	83.1	15
5	Miami Hurricanes	8-0	81.51	6
6	Georgia Bulldogs	6-1	81.33	2
7	Texas A&M Aggies	7-1	81.01	14
8	Texas Longhorns	7-1	78.53	5
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-0	76.7	3
10	LSU Tigers	6-2	76.62	8
11	Indiana Hoosiers	8-0	76.19	13
12	Kansas State Wildcats	7-1	73.81	16
13	SMU Mustangs	7-1	73.48	22
14	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-1	72.91	4
15	Iowa State Cyclones	7-0	72.8	10
16	Tennessee Volunteers	6-1	72.32	7
17	Boise State Broncos	6-1	71.4	17
18	Pittsburgh Panthers	7-0	71.33	19
19	Ole Miss Rebels	6-2	70.33	18
20	Vanderbilt Commodores	5-3	67.64	25
21	Colorado Buffaloes	6-2	65.96	—
22	Washington State Cougars	7-1	65.04	—
23	Clemson Tigers	6-1	64.54	9
24	Syracuse Orange	5-2	63.65	—
25	Missouri Tigers	6-2	63.28	21

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Oregon Ducks	7-0	2
2	Georgia Bulldogs	6-1	6
3	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-0	9
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-1	14
5	Texas Longhorns	6-1	8
6	Miami Hurricanes	7-0	5
7	Tennessee Volunteers	6-1	16
8	LSU Tigers	6-1	10
9	Clemson Tigers	6-1	23
10	Iowa State Cyclones	7-0	15
11	BYU Cougars	7-0	3
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6-1	1
13	Indiana Hoosiers	7-0	11
14	Texas A&M Aggies	6-1	7
15	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-2	4
16	Kansas State Wildcats	6-1	12
17	Boise State Broncos	5-1	17
18	Ole Miss Rebels	5-2	19
19	Pittsburgh Panthers	6-0	18
20	Illinois Fighting Illini	6-1	26
21	Missouri Tigers	6-1	25
22	SMU Mustangs	6-1	13
23	Army Black Knights	7-0	33
24	Navy Midshipmen	6-0	44
25	Vanderbilt Commodores	5-2	20

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Navy Midshipmen — model #44 vs AP #24 (Δ +20; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #23 vs AP #9 (Δ +14; model lower)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #1 vs AP #12 (Δ -11; model higher)
Alabama Crimson Tide — model #4 vs AP #15 (Δ -11; model higher)
Ohio State Buckeyes — model #14 vs AP #4 (Δ +10; model lower)

Week 10

Model #1 Oregon Ducks AP #1 Oregon Ducks #1 match 626 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Oregon Ducks	9-0	87.15	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-2	83.09	14
3	BYU Cougars	8-0	82.42	9
4	Miami Hurricanes	9-0	81.39	5
5	Georgia Bulldogs	7-1	81.0	2
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-1	79.59	4
7	Indiana Hoosiers	9-0	79.41	13
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-1	79.15	8
9	Ole Miss Rebels	7-2	77.57	19
10	LSU Tigers	6-2	77.07	16
11	Texas Longhorns	7-1	76.42	6
12	SMU Mustangs	8-1	76.3	20
13	Tennessee Volunteers	7-1	74.89	7
14	Texas A&M Aggies	7-2	74.27	10
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-1	71.9	3
16	Boise State Broncos	7-1	71.58	15
17	Iowa State Cyclones	7-1	71.48	11
18	Kansas State Wildcats	7-2	71.33	17
19	South Carolina Gamecocks	5-3	70.19	—
20	Pittsburgh Panthers	7-1	69.4	18
21	Louisville Cardinals	6-3	67.9	—
22	Vanderbilt Commodores	6-3	67.43	—
23	Washington State Cougars	7-1	66.29	22
24	Syracuse Orange	6-2	66.27	—
25	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-3	65.43	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Oregon Ducks	8-0	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	6-1	5
3	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-0	15
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-1	6
5	Miami Hurricanes	8-0	4
6	Texas Longhorns	7-1	11
7	Tennessee Volunteers	6-1	13
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-1	8
9	BYU Cougars	8-0	3
10	Texas A&M Aggies	7-1	14
11	Iowa State Cyclones	7-0	17
11	Clemson Tigers	6-1	32
13	Indiana Hoosiers	8-0	7
14	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-2	2
15	Boise State Broncos	6-1	16
16	LSU Tigers	6-2	10
17	Kansas State Wildcats	7-1	18
18	Pittsburgh Panthers	7-0	20
19	Ole Miss Rebels	6-2	9
20	SMU Mustangs	7-1	12
21	Army Black Knights	7-0	31
22	Washington State Cougars	7-1	23
23	Colorado Buffaloes	6-2	27
24	Illinois Fighting Illini	6-2	36
25	Missouri Tigers	6-2	30

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Clemson Tigers — model #32 vs AP #11 (Δ +21; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #15 vs AP #3 (Δ +12; model lower)
Alabama Crimson Tide — model #2 vs AP #14 (Δ -12; model higher)
Illinois Fighting Illini — model #36 vs AP #24 (Δ +12; model lower)
Ole Miss Rebels — model #9 vs AP #19 (Δ -10; model higher)

Week 11

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Oregon Ducks #1 differ 676 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-2	86.28	11
2	Oregon Ducks	10-0	85.78	1
3	Ole Miss Rebels	8-2	84.25	16
4	BYU Cougars	9-0	81.66	9
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-1	79.49	10
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-1	78.9	3
7	Georgia Bulldogs	7-2	78.67	2
8	Indiana Hoosiers	10-0	78.57	8
9	Miami Hurricanes	9-1	77.53	4
10	SMU Mustangs	8-1	75.88	13
11	Texas Longhorns	8-1	75.68	5
12	South Carolina Gamecocks	6-3	74.56	—
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-1	73.36	6
14	Tennessee Volunteers	8-1	73.23	7
15	Texas A&M Aggies	7-2	72.55	15
16	Kansas State Wildcats	7-2	72.0	22
17	LSU Tigers	6-3	71.69	14
18	Louisville Cardinals	6-3	71.12	25
19	Boise State Broncos	8-1	70.53	12
20	Syracuse Orange	6-3	67.3	—
21	Pittsburgh Panthers	7-2	66.92	23
22	Iowa State Cyclones	7-2	66.5	17
23	Colorado Buffaloes	7-2	66.16	21
24	Clemson Tigers	7-2	65.89	19
25	Missouri Tigers	7-2	64.56	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Oregon Ducks	9-0	2
2	Georgia Bulldogs	7-1	7
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-1	6
4	Miami Hurricanes	9-0	9
5	Texas Longhorns	7-1	11
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-1	13
7	Tennessee Volunteers	7-1	14
8	Indiana Hoosiers	9-0	8
9	BYU Cougars	8-0	4
10	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-1	5
11	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-2	1
12	Boise State Broncos	7-1	19
13	SMU Mustangs	8-1	10
14	LSU Tigers	6-2	17
15	Texas A&M Aggies	7-2	15
16	Ole Miss Rebels	7-2	3
17	Iowa State Cyclones	7-1	22
18	Army Black Knights	8-0	28
19	Clemson Tigers	6-2	24
20	Washington State Cougars	7-1	26
21	Colorado Buffaloes	6-2	23
22	Kansas State Wildcats	7-2	16
23	Pittsburgh Panthers	7-1	21
24	Vanderbilt Commodores	6-3	29
25	Louisville Cardinals	6-3	18

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Ole Miss Rebels — model #3 vs AP #16 (Δ -13; model higher)
Alabama Crimson Tide — model #1 vs AP #11 (Δ -10; model higher)
Army Black Knights — model #28 vs AP #18 (Δ +10; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #13 vs AP #6 (Δ +7; model lower)
Tennessee Volunteers — model #14 vs AP #7 (Δ +7; model lower)

Week 12

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Oregon Ducks #1 differ 731 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-2	86.49	9
2	Oregon Ducks	11-0	85.4	1
3	Ole Miss Rebels	8-2	84.3	10
4	Georgia Bulldogs	8-2	82.07	11
5	BYU Cougars	9-1	79.81	7
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-1	79.46	8
7	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-1	78.97	2
8	Texas Longhorns	9-1	78.86	3
9	Miami Hurricanes	9-1	75.41	12
10	South Carolina Gamecocks	7-3	75.4	23
11	Indiana Hoosiers	10-0	74.59	5
12	SMU Mustangs	9-1	73.9	14
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-1	73.26	4
14	Texas A&M Aggies	8-2	71.34	15
15	Arizona State Sun Devils	8-2	70.73	—
16	Boise State Broncos	9-1	70.38	13
17	Clemson Tigers	8-2	70.19	17
18	Tennessee Volunteers	8-2	70.19	6
19	Kansas State Wildcats	7-3	69.98	20
20	Colorado Buffaloes	8-2	69.96	18
21	Iowa State Cyclones	8-2	69.29	—
22	Syracuse Orange	7-3	67.58	—
23	Louisville Cardinals	6-4	67.12	22
24	Pittsburgh Panthers	7-3	66.58	—
25	LSU Tigers	6-4	66.45	21

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Oregon Ducks	10-0	2
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-1	7
3	Texas Longhorns	8-1	8
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-1	13
5	Indiana Hoosiers	10-0	11
6	Tennessee Volunteers	8-1	18
7	BYU Cougars	9-0	5
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-1	6
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-2	1
10	Ole Miss Rebels	8-2	3
11	Georgia Bulldogs	7-2	4
12	Miami Hurricanes	9-1	9
13	Boise State Broncos	8-1	16
14	SMU Mustangs	8-1	12
15	Texas A&M Aggies	7-2	14
16	Army Black Knights	9-0	31
17	Clemson Tigers	7-2	17
18	Colorado Buffaloes	7-2	20
19	Washington State Cougars	8-1	28
20	Kansas State Wildcats	7-2	19
21	LSU Tigers	6-3	25
22	Louisville Cardinals	6-3	23
23	South Carolina Gamecocks	6-3	10
24	Missouri Tigers	7-2	29
25	Tulane Green Wave	8-2	26

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Army Black Knights — model #31 vs AP #16 (Δ +15; model lower)
South Carolina Gamecocks — model #10 vs AP #23 (Δ -13; model higher)
Tennessee Volunteers — model #18 vs AP #6 (Δ +12; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #13 vs AP #4 (Δ +9; model lower)
Washington State Cougars — model #28 vs AP #19 (Δ +9; model lower)

Week 13

Model #1 Oregon Ducks AP #1 Oregon Ducks #1 match 796 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Oregon Ducks	11-0	85.15	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	9-2	83.97	8
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-3	81.99	7
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-1	81.76	2
5	Ole Miss Rebels	8-3	81.49	9
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-1	81.32	6
7	Texas Longhorns	10-1	81.1	3
8	Miami Hurricanes	10-1	76.53	11
9	BYU Cougars	9-2	76.37	14
10	Arizona State Sun Devils	9-2	75.72	21
11	SMU Mustangs	10-1	75.58	13
12	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-1	74.94	4
13	South Carolina Gamecocks	8-3	73.22	19
14	Texas A&M Aggies	8-3	72.52	15
15	Kansas State Wildcats	8-3	71.5	—
16	Tennessee Volunteers	9-2	71.42	10
17	Boise State Broncos	10-1	71.04	12
18	Louisville Cardinals	7-4	70.67	—
19	Iowa State Cyclones	9-2	70.21	22
20	Indiana Hoosiers	10-1	70.16	5
21	Syracuse Orange	8-3	68.83	—
22	LSU Tigers	7-4	68.21	—
23	Missouri Tigers	8-3	66.82	—
24	Colorado Buffaloes	8-3	66.79	16
25	Clemson Tigers	9-2	65.96	17

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Oregon Ducks	11-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-1	4
3	Texas Longhorns	9-1	7
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-1	12
5	Indiana Hoosiers	10-0	20
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-1	6
7	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-2	3
8	Georgia Bulldogs	8-2	2
9	Ole Miss Rebels	8-2	5
10	Tennessee Volunteers	8-2	16
11	Miami Hurricanes	9-1	8
12	Boise State Broncos	9-1	17
13	SMU Mustangs	9-1	11
14	BYU Cougars	9-1	9
15	Texas A&M Aggies	8-2	14
16	Colorado Buffaloes	8-2	24
17	Clemson Tigers	8-2	25
18	Army Black Knights	9-0	42
19	South Carolina Gamecocks	7-3	13
20	Tulane Green Wave	9-2	27
21	Arizona State Sun Devils	8-2	10
22	Iowa State Cyclones	8-2	19
23	UNLV Rebels	8-2	28
24	Illinois Fighting Illini	7-3	30
25	Washington State Cougars	8-2	35

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Army Black Knights — model #42 vs AP #18 (Δ +24; model lower)
Indiana Hoosiers — model #20 vs AP #5 (Δ +15; model lower)
Arizona State Sun Devils — model #10 vs AP #21 (Δ -11; model higher)
Washington State Cougars — model #35 vs AP #25 (Δ +10; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #12 vs AP #4 (Δ +8; model lower)

Week 14

Model #1 Oregon Ducks AP #1 Oregon Ducks #1 match 863 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Oregon Ducks	12-0	84.35	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-3	84.11	13
3	Texas Longhorns	11-1	83.98	3
4	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-1	83.32	5
5	Georgia Bulldogs	10-2	82.8	6
6	Ole Miss Rebels	9-3	80.98	15
7	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-2	79.77	2
8	SMU Mustangs	11-1	76.09	9
9	Arizona State Sun Devils	10-2	75.08	14
10	BYU Cougars	10-2	74.52	19
11	Tennessee Volunteers	10-2	74.51	7
12	South Carolina Gamecocks	9-3	74.08	16
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-1	73.99	4
14	Miami Hurricanes	10-2	73.5	8
15	Iowa State Cyclones	10-2	72.69	17
16	Texas A&M Aggies	8-4	72.57	20
17	Syracuse Orange	9-3	70.8	—
18	Boise State Broncos	11-1	70.73	11
19	LSU Tigers	8-4	70.14	—
20	Indiana Hoosiers	11-1	69.16	10
21	Kansas State Wildcats	8-4	68.75	—
22	Colorado Buffaloes	9-3	68.73	23
23	Louisville Cardinals	8-4	68.52	—
24	Baylor Bears	8-4	67.68	—
25	Missouri Tigers	9-3	65.68	24

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Oregon Ducks	11-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-1	7
3	Texas Longhorns	10-1	3
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-1	13
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-1	4
6	Georgia Bulldogs	9-2	5
7	Tennessee Volunteers	9-2	11
8	Miami Hurricanes	10-1	14
9	SMU Mustangs	10-1	8
10	Indiana Hoosiers	10-1	20
11	Boise State Broncos	10-1	18
12	Clemson Tigers	9-2	27
13	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-3	2
14	Arizona State Sun Devils	9-2	9
15	Ole Miss Rebels	8-3	6
16	South Carolina Gamecocks	8-3	12
17	Iowa State Cyclones	9-2	15
18	Tulane Green Wave	9-2	31
19	BYU Cougars	9-2	10
20	Texas A&M Aggies	8-3	16
21	UNLV Rebels	9-2	29
22	Illinois Fighting Illini	8-3	26
23	Colorado Buffaloes	8-3	22
24	Missouri Tigers	8-3	25
25	Army Black Knights	9-1	42

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Army Black Knights — model #42 vs AP #25 (Δ +17; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #27 vs AP #12 (Δ +15; model lower)
Tulane Green Wave — model #31 vs AP #18 (Δ +13; model lower)
Alabama Crimson Tide — model #2 vs AP #13 (Δ -11; model higher)
Indiana Hoosiers — model #20 vs AP #10 (Δ +10; model lower)

Week 15

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Oregon Ducks #1 differ 872 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	11-2	90.37	5
2	Oregon Ducks	13-0	87.55	1
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-1	83.12	4
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-3	81.42	11
5	Texas Longhorns	11-2	81.3	2
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-2	79.62	7
7	Arizona State Sun Devils	11-2	79.34	12
8	Ole Miss Rebels	9-3	79.05	15
9	SMU Mustangs	11-2	74.13	8
10	BYU Cougars	10-2	74.09	17
11	South Carolina Gamecocks	9-3	74.03	13
12	Tennessee Volunteers	10-2	73.98	6
13	Miami Hurricanes	10-2	72.9	14
14	Boise State Broncos	12-1	72.88	10
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-2	72.47	3
16	Texas A&M Aggies	8-4	71.99	—
17	Iowa State Cyclones	10-3	70.44	16
18	Syracuse Orange	9-3	70.33	23
19	Louisville Cardinals	8-4	69.24	—
20	LSU Tigers	8-4	69.13	—
21	Indiana Hoosiers	11-1	68.39	9
22	Colorado Buffaloes	9-3	68.17	20
23	Clemson Tigers	10-3	67.59	18
24	Kansas State Wildcats	8-4	67.35	—
25	Baylor Bears	8-4	66.73	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Oregon Ducks	12-0	2
2	Texas Longhorns	11-1	5
3	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-1	15
4	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-1	3
5	Georgia Bulldogs	10-2	1
6	Tennessee Volunteers	10-2	12
7	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-2	6
8	SMU Mustangs	11-1	9
9	Indiana Hoosiers	11-1	21
10	Boise State Broncos	11-1	14
11	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-3	4
12	Arizona State Sun Devils	10-2	7
13	South Carolina Gamecocks	9-3	11
14	Miami Hurricanes	10-2	13
15	Ole Miss Rebels	9-3	8
16	Iowa State Cyclones	10-2	17
17	BYU Cougars	10-2	10
18	Clemson Tigers	9-3	23
19	UNLV Rebels	10-2	29
20	Colorado Buffaloes	9-3	22
21	Illinois Fighting Illini	9-3	28
22	Missouri Tigers	9-3	26
23	Syracuse Orange	9-3	18
24	Army Black Knights	10-1	27
25	Memphis Tigers	10-2	38

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Memphis Tigers — model #38 vs AP #25 (Δ +13; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #15 vs AP #3 (Δ +12; model lower)
Indiana Hoosiers — model #21 vs AP #9 (Δ +12; model lower)
UNLV Rebels — model #29 vs AP #19 (Δ +10; model lower)
Alabama Crimson Tide — model #4 vs AP #11 (Δ -7; model higher)

Week 16

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Oregon Ducks #1 differ 873 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	11-2	90.27	2
2	Oregon Ducks	13-0	87.31	1
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-1	84.02	3
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-3	81.43	11
5	Texas Longhorns	11-2	81.22	4
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-2	79.5	6
7	Arizona State Sun Devils	11-2	79.2	10
8	Ole Miss Rebels	9-3	79.01	16
9	SMU Mustangs	11-2	74.05	12
10	South Carolina Gamecocks	9-3	74.01	14
11	BYU Cougars	10-2	73.99	17
12	Tennessee Volunteers	10-2	73.94	7
13	Miami Hurricanes	10-2	72.84	15
14	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-2	72.36	5
15	Boise State Broncos	12-1	72.02	8
16	Texas A&M Aggies	8-4	72.02	—
17	Iowa State Cyclones	10-3	70.34	18
18	Syracuse Orange	9-3	70.2	22
19	Louisville Cardinals	8-4	69.2	—
20	LSU Tigers	8-4	69.1	—
21	Indiana Hoosiers	11-1	68.33	9
22	Colorado Buffaloes	9-3	68.04	20
23	Kansas State Wildcats	8-4	67.64	—
24	Clemson Tigers	10-3	67.55	13
25	Baylor Bears	8-4	66.56	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Oregon Ducks	13-0	2
2	Georgia Bulldogs	11-2	1
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-1	3
4	Texas Longhorns	11-2	5
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-2	14
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-2	6
7	Tennessee Volunteers	10-2	12
8	Boise State Broncos	12-1	15
9	Indiana Hoosiers	11-1	21
10	Arizona State Sun Devils	11-2	7
11	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-3	4
12	SMU Mustangs	11-2	9
13	Clemson Tigers	10-3	24
14	South Carolina Gamecocks	9-3	10
15	Miami Hurricanes	10-2	13
16	Ole Miss Rebels	9-3	8
17	BYU Cougars	10-2	11
18	Iowa State Cyclones	10-3	17
19	Army Black Knights	11-1	28
20	Colorado Buffaloes	9-3	22
21	Illinois Fighting Illini	9-3	27
22	Syracuse Orange	9-3	18
23	Missouri Tigers	9-3	26
24	UNLV Rebels	10-3	31
25	Memphis Tigers	10-2	40

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Memphis Tigers — model #40 vs AP #25 (Δ +15; model lower)
Indiana Hoosiers — model #21 vs AP #9 (Δ +12; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #24 vs AP #13 (Δ +11; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #14 vs AP #5 (Δ +9; model lower)
Army Black Knights — model #28 vs AP #19 (Δ +9; model lower)

Final (postseason)

Model #1 Ohio State Buckeyes AP #1 Ohio State Buckeyes #1 match 919 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	14-2	101.44	1
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	14-2	94.77	2
3	Oregon Ducks	13-1	87.87	3
4	Texas Longhorns	13-3	87.02	4
5	Georgia Bulldogs	11-3	82.04	6
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	13-3	82.01	5
7	Ole Miss Rebels	10-3	78.64	11
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-4	78.36	17
9	Arizona State Sun Devils	11-3	77.43	7
10	LSU Tigers	9-4	72.68	—
11	BYU Cougars	11-2	72.49	13
12	Tennessee Volunteers	10-3	71.58	9
13	Iowa State Cyclones	11-3	71.42	15
14	Syracuse Orange	10-3	70.74	20
15	Texas A&M Aggies	8-5	70.22	—
16	Indiana Hoosiers	11-2	70.15	10
17	South Carolina Gamecocks	9-4	69.81	19
18	Boise State Broncos	12-2	69.27	8
19	Miami Hurricanes	10-3	69.07	18
20	SMU Mustangs	11-3	68.96	12
21	Illinois Fighting Illini	10-3	66.81	16
22	Kansas State Wildcats	9-4	66.12	—
23	Michigan Wolverines	8-5	65.41	—
24	Navy Midshipmen	10-3	65.28	—
25	Louisville Cardinals	9-4	65.15	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	14-2	1
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	14-2	2
3	Oregon Ducks	13-1	3
4	Texas Longhorns	13-3	4
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	13-3	6
6	Georgia Bulldogs	11-3	5
7	Arizona State Sun Devils	11-3	9
8	Boise State Broncos	12-2	18
9	Tennessee Volunteers	10-3	12
10	Indiana Hoosiers	11-2	16
11	Ole Miss Rebels	10-3	7
12	SMU Mustangs	11-3	20
13	BYU Cougars	11-2	11
14	Clemson Tigers	10-4	30
15	Iowa State Cyclones	11-3	13
16	Illinois Fighting Illini	10-3	21
17	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-4	8
18	Miami Hurricanes	10-3	19
19	South Carolina Gamecocks	9-4	17
20	Syracuse Orange	10-3	14
21	Army Black Knights	12-2	33
22	Missouri Tigers	10-3	26
23	UNLV Rebels	11-3	38
24	Memphis Tigers	11-2	37
25	Colorado Buffaloes	9-4	29

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Clemson Tigers — model #30 vs AP #14 (Δ +16; model lower)
UNLV Rebels — model #38 vs AP #23 (Δ +15; model lower)
Memphis Tigers — model #37 vs AP #24 (Δ +13; model lower)
Army Black Knights — model #33 vs AP #21 (Δ +12; model lower)
Boise State Broncos — model #18 vs AP #8 (Δ +10; model lower)