← All seasons
2023 season — Model vs AP
Full weekly rankings with the current late-tuned config. Side-by-side Model Top 25
and AP Top 25 for every week with available poll data.
Final #1 match
Final model #1
Michigan Wolverines
Final AP #1
Michigan Wolverines
Download: summary.json ·
weekly_agreement.csv
Preseason (Coaches Poll)
Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 match
0 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0-0 | 100.0 | 1 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 0-0 | 99.0 | 2 |
| 3 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0-0 | 98.0 | 3 |
| 4 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0-0 | 97.0 | 4 |
| 5 | LSU Tigers | 0-0 | 96.0 | 5 |
| 6 | USC Trojans | 0-0 | 95.0 | 6 |
| 7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0-0 | 94.0 | 7 |
| 8 | Florida State Seminoles | 0-0 | 93.0 | 8 |
| 9 | Clemson Tigers | 0-0 | 92.0 | 9 |
| 10 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0-0 | 91.0 | 10 |
| 11 | Washington Huskies | 0-0 | 90.0 | 11 |
| 12 | Texas Longhorns | 0-0 | 89.0 | 12 |
| 13 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0-0 | 88.0 | 13 |
| 14 | Utah Utes | 0-0 | 87.0 | 14 |
| 15 | Oregon Ducks | 0-0 | 86.0 | 15 |
| 16 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0-0 | 85.0 | 16 |
| 17 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0-0 | 84.0 | 17 |
| 18 | Oregon State Beavers | 0-0 | 83.0 | 18 |
| 19 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0-0 | 82.0 | 19 |
| 20 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 0-0 | 81.0 | 20 |
| 21 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0-0 | 80.0 | 21 |
| 22 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0-0 | 79.0 | 22 |
| 23 | Tulane Green Wave | 0-0 | 78.0 | 23 |
| 24 | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0-0 | 77.0 | 24 |
| 25 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0-0 | 76.0 | 25 |
AFCA Coaches Poll
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0-0 | 1 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 0-0 | 2 |
| 3 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0-0 | 3 |
| 4 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0-0 | 4 |
| 5 | LSU Tigers | 0-0 | 5 |
| 6 | USC Trojans | 0-0 | 6 |
| 7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0-0 | 7 |
| 8 | Florida State Seminoles | 0-0 | 8 |
| 9 | Clemson Tigers | 0-0 | 9 |
| 10 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0-0 | 10 |
| 11 | Washington Huskies | 0-0 | 11 |
| 12 | Texas Longhorns | 0-0 | 12 |
| 13 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0-0 | 13 |
| 14 | Utah Utes | 0-0 | 14 |
| 15 | Oregon Ducks | 0-0 | 15 |
| 16 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0-0 | 16 |
| 17 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0-0 | 17 |
| 18 | Oregon State Beavers | 0-0 | 18 |
| 19 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0-0 | 19 |
| 20 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 0-0 | 20 |
| 21 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0-0 | 21 |
| 22 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0-0 | 22 |
| 23 | Tulane Green Wave | 0-0 | 23 |
| 24 | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0-0 | 24 |
| 25 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0-0 | 25 |
Week 1
Model #1 Auburn Tigers
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 differ
94 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Auburn Tigers | 1-0 | 88.71 | — |
| 2 | USC Trojans | 2-0 | 79.52 | 6 |
| 3 | SMU Mustangs | 1-0 | 78.23 | — |
| 4 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 2-0 | 73.39 | 13 |
| 5 | Washington State Cougars | 1-0 | 72.38 | — |
| 6 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 1-0 | 72.38 | 3 |
| 7 | California Golden Bears | 1-0 | 71.28 | — |
| 8 | NC State Wolfpack | 1-0 | 71.19 | — |
| 9 | Colorado Buffaloes | 1-0 | 70.93 | — |
| 10 | Florida State Seminoles | 1-0 | 70.73 | 8 |
| 11 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 2-0 | 70.01 | — |
| 12 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 1-0 | 69.86 | 21 |
| 13 | Texas State Bobcats | 1-0 | 69.14 | — |
| 14 | Tennessee Volunteers | 1-0 | 68.4 | 12 |
| 15 | Louisville Cardinals | 1-0 | 68.06 | — |
| 16 | Utah Utes | 1-0 | 68.01 | 14 |
| 17 | Northern Illinois Huskies | 1-0 | 67.91 | — |
| 18 | Fresno State Bulldogs | 1-0 | 67.67 | — |
| 19 | UCLA Bruins | 1-0 | 66.99 | — |
| 20 | Stanford Cardinal | 1-0 | 66.53 | — |
| 21 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 1-0 | 66.35 | 7 |
| 22 | Oregon State Beavers | 1-0 | 66.16 | 18 |
| 23 | Duke Blue Devils | 1-0 | 66.14 | — |
| 24 | Washington Huskies | 1-0 | 65.73 | 10 |
| 25 | Virginia Tech Hokies | 1-0 | 65.21 | — |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0-0 | 55 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 0-0 | 29 |
| 3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0-0 | 6 |
| 4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0-0 | 39 |
| 5 | LSU Tigers | 0-0 | 97 |
| 6 | USC Trojans | 0-0 | 2 |
| 7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0-0 | 21 |
| 8 | Florida State Seminoles | 0-0 | 10 |
| 9 | Clemson Tigers | 0-0 | 101 |
| 10 | Washington Huskies | 0-0 | 24 |
| 11 | Texas Longhorns | 0-0 | 30 |
| 12 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0-0 | 14 |
| 13 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0-0 | 4 |
| 14 | Utah Utes | 0-0 | 16 |
| 15 | Oregon Ducks | 0-0 | 45 |
| 16 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0-0 | 60 |
| 17 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0-0 | 96 |
| 18 | Oregon State Beavers | 0-0 | 22 |
| 19 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0-0 | 31 |
| 20 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0-0 | 50 |
| 21 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 0-0 | 12 |
| 22 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0-0 | 51 |
| 23 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0-0 | 37 |
| 24 | Tulane Green Wave | 0-0 | 35 |
| 25 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 0-0 | 38 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- LSU Tigers — model #97 vs AP #5 (Δ +92; model lower)
- Clemson Tigers — model #101 vs AP #9 (Δ +92; model lower)
- TCU Horned Frogs — model #96 vs AP #17 (Δ +79; model lower)
- Georgia Bulldogs — model #55 vs AP #1 (Δ +54; model lower)
- Kansas State Wildcats — model #60 vs AP #16 (Δ +44; model lower)
Week 2
Model #1 UCLA Bruins
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 differ
179 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | UCLA Bruins | 2-0 | 86.9 | — |
| 2 | Auburn Tigers | 2-0 | 84.42 | — |
| 3 | Texas Longhorns | 2-0 | 84.21 | 11 |
| 4 | USC Trojans | 3-0 | 81.89 | 6 |
| 5 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 3-0 | 81.52 | 10 |
| 6 | Miami Hurricanes | 2-0 | 80.94 | — |
| 7 | Washington State Cougars | 2-0 | 77.38 | — |
| 8 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 2-0 | 76.0 | — |
| 9 | Florida State Seminoles | 2-0 | 75.21 | 4 |
| 10 | Colorado Buffaloes | 2-0 | 74.87 | 22 |
| 11 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 2-0 | 74.21 | — |
| 12 | Utah Utes | 2-0 | 72.4 | 12 |
| 13 | Oklahoma Sooners | 2-0 | 71.34 | 18 |
| 14 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 2-0 | 70.82 | 17 |
| 15 | Ole Miss Rebels | 2-0 | 70.67 | 20 |
| 16 | Washington Huskies | 2-0 | 70.32 | 8 |
| 17 | Fresno State Bulldogs | 2-0 | 69.68 | — |
| 18 | Oregon Ducks | 2-0 | 67.16 | 13 |
| 19 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 2-0 | 66.14 | — |
| 20 | Oregon State Beavers | 2-0 | 65.85 | 16 |
| 21 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 2-0 | 65.69 | 5 |
| 22 | Michigan Wolverines | 2-0 | 65.66 | 2 |
| 23 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 2-0 | 64.76 | 7 |
| 24 | Kansas Jayhawks | 2-0 | 64.31 | — |
| 25 | Louisville Cardinals | 2-0 | 63.48 | — |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 1-0 | 45 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 1-0 | 22 |
| 3 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1-0 | 61 |
| 4 | Florida State Seminoles | 1-0 | 9 |
| 5 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 1-0 | 21 |
| 6 | USC Trojans | 2-0 | 4 |
| 7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 1-0 | 23 |
| 8 | Washington Huskies | 1-0 | 16 |
| 9 | Tennessee Volunteers | 1-0 | 40 |
| 10 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 2-0 | 5 |
| 11 | Texas Longhorns | 1-0 | 3 |
| 12 | Utah Utes | 1-0 | 12 |
| 13 | Oregon Ducks | 1-0 | 18 |
| 14 | LSU Tigers | 0-1 | 77 |
| 15 | Kansas State Wildcats | 1-0 | 34 |
| 16 | Oregon State Beavers | 1-0 | 20 |
| 17 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 1-0 | 14 |
| 18 | Oklahoma Sooners | 1-0 | 13 |
| 19 | Wisconsin Badgers | 1-0 | 62 |
| 20 | Ole Miss Rebels | 1-0 | 15 |
| 21 | Duke Blue Devils | 1-0 | 28 |
| 22 | Colorado Buffaloes | 1-0 | 10 |
| 23 | Texas A&M Aggies | 1-0 | 41 |
| 24 | Tulane Green Wave | 1-0 | 67 |
| 25 | Clemson Tigers | 0-1 | 86 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- LSU Tigers — model #77 vs AP #14 (Δ +63; model lower)
- Clemson Tigers — model #86 vs AP #25 (Δ +61; model lower)
- Alabama Crimson Tide — model #61 vs AP #3 (Δ +58; model lower)
- Georgia Bulldogs — model #45 vs AP #1 (Δ +44; model lower)
- Wisconsin Badgers — model #62 vs AP #19 (Δ +43; model lower)
Week 3
Model #1 Texas Longhorns
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 differ
254 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Texas Longhorns | 3-0 | 86.76 | 4 |
| 2 | Florida State Seminoles | 3-0 | 84.12 | 3 |
| 3 | Colorado Buffaloes | 3-0 | 80.79 | 18 |
| 4 | Miami Hurricanes | 3-0 | 79.75 | 22 |
| 5 | Ole Miss Rebels | 3-0 | 79.68 | 17 |
| 6 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 3-0 | 78.82 | 20 |
| 7 | Washington Huskies | 3-0 | 76.6 | 8 |
| 8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 4-0 | 75.6 | 9 |
| 9 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 3-0 | 74.49 | — |
| 10 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3-0 | 74.32 | 7 |
| 11 | UCLA Bruins | 3-0 | 74.17 | 24 |
| 12 | Auburn Tigers | 3-0 | 73.81 | — |
| 13 | Oklahoma Sooners | 3-0 | 72.77 | 19 |
| 14 | Washington State Cougars | 3-0 | 72.43 | 23 |
| 15 | Duke Blue Devils | 3-0 | 71.12 | 21 |
| 16 | Utah Utes | 3-0 | 69.75 | 12 |
| 17 | Syracuse Orange | 3-0 | 69.24 | — |
| 18 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 3-0 | 68.94 | 6 |
| 19 | Michigan Wolverines | 3-0 | 67.88 | 2 |
| 20 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 3-0 | 66.87 | 25 |
| 21 | Oregon Ducks | 3-0 | 66.47 | 13 |
| 22 | Oregon State Beavers | 3-0 | 66.4 | 16 |
| 23 | USC Trojans | 3-0 | 65.68 | 5 |
| 24 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 3-0 | 65.64 | — |
| 25 | Louisville Cardinals | 3-0 | 64.84 | — |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 2-0 | 31 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 2-0 | 19 |
| 3 | Florida State Seminoles | 2-0 | 2 |
| 4 | Texas Longhorns | 2-0 | 1 |
| 5 | USC Trojans | 3-0 | 23 |
| 6 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 2-0 | 18 |
| 7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 2-0 | 10 |
| 8 | Washington Huskies | 2-0 | 7 |
| 9 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 3-0 | 8 |
| 10 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1-1 | 35 |
| 11 | Tennessee Volunteers | 2-0 | 60 |
| 12 | Utah Utes | 2-0 | 16 |
| 13 | Oregon Ducks | 2-0 | 21 |
| 14 | LSU Tigers | 1-1 | 28 |
| 15 | Kansas State Wildcats | 2-0 | 53 |
| 16 | Oregon State Beavers | 2-0 | 22 |
| 17 | Ole Miss Rebels | 2-0 | 5 |
| 18 | Colorado Buffaloes | 2-0 | 3 |
| 19 | Oklahoma Sooners | 2-0 | 13 |
| 20 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 2-0 | 6 |
| 21 | Duke Blue Devils | 2-0 | 15 |
| 22 | Miami Hurricanes | 2-0 | 4 |
| 23 | Washington State Cougars | 2-0 | 14 |
| 24 | UCLA Bruins | 2-0 | 11 |
| 25 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 2-0 | 20 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- Tennessee Volunteers — model #60 vs AP #11 (Δ +49; model lower)
- Kansas State Wildcats — model #53 vs AP #15 (Δ +38; model lower)
- Georgia Bulldogs — model #31 vs AP #1 (Δ +30; model lower)
- Alabama Crimson Tide — model #35 vs AP #10 (Δ +25; model lower)
- USC Trojans — model #23 vs AP #5 (Δ +18; model lower)
Week 4
Model #1 Texas Longhorns
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 differ
321 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Texas Longhorns | 4-0 | 87.46 | 3 |
| 2 | Miami Hurricanes | 4-0 | 81.95 | 20 |
| 3 | Florida State Seminoles | 4-0 | 81.0 | 4 |
| 4 | Oregon Ducks | 4-0 | 80.37 | 10 |
| 5 | Washington State Cougars | 4-0 | 80.08 | 21 |
| 6 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 4-0 | 79.53 | 7 |
| 7 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 4-0 | 79.42 | 6 |
| 8 | Washington Huskies | 4-0 | 78.93 | 8 |
| 9 | Oklahoma Sooners | 4-0 | 76.23 | 16 |
| 10 | Michigan Wolverines | 4-0 | 76.15 | 2 |
| 11 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 4-0 | 75.84 | 17 |
| 12 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 3-1 | 75.42 | 13 |
| 13 | Utah Utes | 4-0 | 73.07 | 11 |
| 14 | Colorado Buffaloes | 3-1 | 70.9 | 19 |
| 15 | Texas A&M Aggies | 3-1 | 70.37 | — |
| 16 | Duke Blue Devils | 4-0 | 69.97 | 18 |
| 17 | Missouri Tigers | 4-0 | 69.24 | — |
| 18 | Wisconsin Badgers | 3-1 | 68.27 | — |
| 19 | Louisville Cardinals | 4-0 | 68.05 | — |
| 20 | Syracuse Orange | 4-0 | 67.36 | — |
| 21 | USC Trojans | 4-0 | 67.31 | 5 |
| 22 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 4-1 | 67.29 | 9 |
| 23 | Ole Miss Rebels | 3-1 | 67.2 | 15 |
| 24 | Kansas Jayhawks | 4-0 | 66.08 | — |
| 25 | Maryland Terrapins | 4-0 | 65.49 | — |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 3-0 | 27 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 3-0 | 10 |
| 3 | Texas Longhorns | 3-0 | 1 |
| 4 | Florida State Seminoles | 3-0 | 3 |
| 5 | USC Trojans | 3-0 | 21 |
| 6 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 3-0 | 7 |
| 7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3-0 | 6 |
| 8 | Washington Huskies | 3-0 | 8 |
| 9 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 4-0 | 22 |
| 10 | Oregon Ducks | 3-0 | 4 |
| 11 | Utah Utes | 3-0 | 13 |
| 12 | LSU Tigers | 2-1 | 29 |
| 13 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 2-1 | 12 |
| 14 | Oregon State Beavers | 3-0 | 37 |
| 15 | Ole Miss Rebels | 3-0 | 23 |
| 16 | Oklahoma Sooners | 3-0 | 9 |
| 17 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 3-0 | 11 |
| 18 | Duke Blue Devils | 3-0 | 16 |
| 19 | Colorado Buffaloes | 3-0 | 14 |
| 20 | Miami Hurricanes | 3-0 | 2 |
| 21 | Washington State Cougars | 3-0 | 5 |
| 22 | UCLA Bruins | 3-0 | 32 |
| 23 | Tennessee Volunteers | 2-1 | 45 |
| 24 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 3-0 | 40 |
| 25 | Florida Gators | 2-1 | 35 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- Georgia Bulldogs — model #27 vs AP #1 (Δ +26; model lower)
- Oregon State Beavers — model #37 vs AP #14 (Δ +23; model lower)
- Tennessee Volunteers — model #45 vs AP #23 (Δ +22; model lower)
- Miami Hurricanes — model #2 vs AP #20 (Δ -18; model higher)
- LSU Tigers — model #29 vs AP #12 (Δ +17; model lower)
Week 5
Model #1 Texas Longhorns
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 differ
380 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Texas Longhorns | 5-0 | 93.56 | 3 |
| 2 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 5-0 | 83.39 | 6 |
| 3 | Michigan Wolverines | 5-0 | 81.51 | 2 |
| 4 | Washington Huskies | 5-0 | 81.34 | 7 |
| 5 | Oklahoma Sooners | 5-0 | 78.87 | 14 |
| 6 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 4-0 | 78.82 | 4 |
| 7 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 4-1 | 78.81 | 12 |
| 8 | Washington State Cougars | 4-0 | 78.23 | 16 |
| 9 | Miami Hurricanes | 4-0 | 76.62 | 18 |
| 10 | Florida State Seminoles | 4-0 | 76.41 | 5 |
| 11 | Oregon Ducks | 5-0 | 76.2 | 9 |
| 12 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 5-1 | 73.74 | 11 |
| 13 | USC Trojans | 5-0 | 73.02 | 8 |
| 14 | Missouri Tigers | 5-0 | 70.83 | 23 |
| 15 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 4-0 | 70.29 | 15 |
| 16 | Oregon State Beavers | 4-1 | 70.18 | 19 |
| 17 | Louisville Cardinals | 5-0 | 69.25 | — |
| 18 | Texas A&M Aggies | 4-1 | 68.76 | — |
| 19 | Ole Miss Rebels | 4-1 | 68.16 | 20 |
| 20 | Wisconsin Badgers | 3-1 | 67.73 | — |
| 21 | Georgia Bulldogs | 5-0 | 67.42 | 1 |
| 22 | Duke Blue Devils | 4-1 | 67.18 | 17 |
| 23 | Maryland Terrapins | 5-0 | 66.79 | — |
| 24 | Kentucky Wildcats | 5-0 | 66.38 | — |
| 25 | Utah Utes | 4-1 | 64.92 | 10 |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 4-0 | 21 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 4-0 | 3 |
| 3 | Texas Longhorns | 4-0 | 1 |
| 4 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 4-0 | 6 |
| 5 | Florida State Seminoles | 4-0 | 10 |
| 6 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 4-0 | 2 |
| 7 | Washington Huskies | 4-0 | 4 |
| 8 | USC Trojans | 4-0 | 13 |
| 9 | Oregon Ducks | 4-0 | 11 |
| 10 | Utah Utes | 4-0 | 25 |
| 11 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 4-1 | 12 |
| 12 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 3-1 | 7 |
| 13 | LSU Tigers | 3-1 | 43 |
| 14 | Oklahoma Sooners | 4-0 | 5 |
| 15 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 4-0 | 15 |
| 16 | Washington State Cougars | 4-0 | 8 |
| 17 | Duke Blue Devils | 4-0 | 22 |
| 18 | Miami Hurricanes | 4-0 | 9 |
| 19 | Oregon State Beavers | 3-1 | 16 |
| 20 | Ole Miss Rebels | 3-1 | 19 |
| 21 | Tennessee Volunteers | 3-1 | 38 |
| 22 | Florida Gators | 3-1 | 45 |
| 23 | Missouri Tigers | 4-0 | 14 |
| 24 | Kansas Jayhawks | 4-0 | 29 |
| 25 | Fresno State Bulldogs | 4-0 | 35 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- LSU Tigers — model #43 vs AP #13 (Δ +30; model lower)
- Florida Gators — model #45 vs AP #22 (Δ +23; model lower)
- Georgia Bulldogs — model #21 vs AP #1 (Δ +20; model lower)
- Tennessee Volunteers — model #38 vs AP #21 (Δ +17; model lower)
- Utah Utes — model #25 vs AP #10 (Δ +15; model lower)
Week 6
Model #1 Oklahoma Sooners
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 differ
431 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma Sooners | 6-0 | 90.31 | 12 |
| 2 | Texas Longhorns | 5-1 | 87.84 | 3 |
| 3 | Louisville Cardinals | 6-0 | 84.22 | 25 |
| 4 | Michigan Wolverines | 6-0 | 84.08 | 2 |
| 5 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 5-1 | 82.79 | 11 |
| 6 | Florida State Seminoles | 5-0 | 81.33 | 5 |
| 7 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 5-0 | 80.37 | 4 |
| 8 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 5-0 | 78.93 | 6 |
| 9 | Washington State Cougars | 4-1 | 75.42 | 13 |
| 10 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 5-0 | 74.68 | 14 |
| 11 | Washington Huskies | 5-0 | 74.54 | 7 |
| 12 | Georgia Bulldogs | 6-0 | 73.87 | 1 |
| 13 | Ole Miss Rebels | 5-1 | 73.69 | 16 |
| 14 | USC Trojans | 6-0 | 73.04 | 9 |
| 15 | Oregon Ducks | 5-0 | 73.02 | 8 |
| 16 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 5-2 | 71.7 | 10 |
| 17 | Oregon State Beavers | 5-1 | 70.35 | 15 |
| 18 | Utah Utes | 4-1 | 67.95 | 18 |
| 19 | Wisconsin Badgers | 4-1 | 67.72 | — |
| 20 | Miami Hurricanes | 4-1 | 67.54 | 17 |
| 21 | LSU Tigers | 4-2 | 66.84 | 23 |
| 22 | UCLA Bruins | 4-1 | 66.49 | — |
| 23 | Duke Blue Devils | 4-1 | 65.24 | 19 |
| 24 | James Madison Dukes | 5-0 | 64.0 | — |
| 25 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 5-1 | 63.77 | — |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 5-0 | 12 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 5-0 | 4 |
| 3 | Texas Longhorns | 5-0 | 2 |
| 4 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 4-0 | 7 |
| 5 | Florida State Seminoles | 4-0 | 6 |
| 6 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 5-0 | 8 |
| 7 | Washington Huskies | 5-0 | 11 |
| 8 | Oregon Ducks | 5-0 | 15 |
| 9 | USC Trojans | 5-0 | 14 |
| 10 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 5-1 | 16 |
| 11 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 4-1 | 5 |
| 12 | Oklahoma Sooners | 5-0 | 1 |
| 13 | Washington State Cougars | 4-0 | 9 |
| 14 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 4-0 | 10 |
| 15 | Oregon State Beavers | 4-1 | 17 |
| 16 | Ole Miss Rebels | 4-1 | 13 |
| 17 | Miami Hurricanes | 4-0 | 20 |
| 18 | Utah Utes | 4-1 | 18 |
| 19 | Duke Blue Devils | 4-1 | 23 |
| 20 | Kentucky Wildcats | 5-0 | 32 |
| 21 | Missouri Tigers | 5-0 | 30 |
| 22 | Tennessee Volunteers | 4-1 | 39 |
| 23 | LSU Tigers | 3-2 | 21 |
| 24 | Fresno State Bulldogs | 5-0 | 49 |
| 25 | Louisville Cardinals | 5-0 | 3 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- Fresno State Bulldogs — model #49 vs AP #24 (Δ +25; model lower)
- Louisville Cardinals — model #3 vs AP #25 (Δ -22; model higher)
- Tennessee Volunteers — model #39 vs AP #22 (Δ +17; model lower)
- Kentucky Wildcats — model #32 vs AP #20 (Δ +12; model lower)
- Georgia Bulldogs — model #12 vs AP #1 (Δ +11; model lower)
Week 7
Model #1 Oklahoma Sooners
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 differ
486 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma Sooners | 6-0 | 85.97 | 5 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 7-0 | 84.0 | 2 |
| 3 | Florida State Seminoles | 6-0 | 83.96 | 4 |
| 4 | Washington Huskies | 6-0 | 83.56 | 7 |
| 5 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 6-0 | 83.22 | 3 |
| 6 | Texas Longhorns | 5-1 | 83.07 | 9 |
| 7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 6-0 | 80.77 | 6 |
| 8 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 6-1 | 79.47 | 11 |
| 9 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 6-2 | 76.88 | 21 |
| 10 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 6-0 | 76.74 | 12 |
| 11 | Louisville Cardinals | 6-1 | 75.1 | 14 |
| 12 | Oregon State Beavers | 6-1 | 73.97 | 15 |
| 13 | Ole Miss Rebels | 5-1 | 73.49 | 13 |
| 14 | Georgia Bulldogs | 7-0 | 71.88 | 1 |
| 15 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 6-1 | 71.46 | — |
| 16 | LSU Tigers | 5-2 | 70.58 | 22 |
| 17 | Oregon Ducks | 5-1 | 70.55 | 8 |
| 18 | USC Trojans | 6-1 | 70.52 | 10 |
| 19 | James Madison Dukes | 6-0 | 69.36 | — |
| 20 | Missouri Tigers | 6-1 | 68.61 | — |
| 21 | Utah Utes | 5-1 | 67.37 | 16 |
| 22 | Liberty Flames | 6-0 | 67.17 | — |
| 23 | Duke Blue Devils | 5-1 | 66.49 | 17 |
| 24 | Arizona Wildcats | 4-3 | 64.46 | — |
| 25 | Kansas State Wildcats | 4-2 | 63.59 | — |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 6-0 | 14 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 6-0 | 2 |
| 3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 5-0 | 5 |
| 4 | Florida State Seminoles | 5-0 | 3 |
| 5 | Oklahoma Sooners | 6-0 | 1 |
| 6 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 5-0 | 7 |
| 7 | Washington Huskies | 5-0 | 4 |
| 8 | Oregon Ducks | 5-0 | 17 |
| 9 | Texas Longhorns | 5-1 | 6 |
| 10 | USC Trojans | 6-0 | 18 |
| 11 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 5-1 | 8 |
| 12 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 5-0 | 10 |
| 13 | Ole Miss Rebels | 5-1 | 13 |
| 14 | Louisville Cardinals | 6-0 | 11 |
| 15 | Oregon State Beavers | 5-1 | 12 |
| 16 | Utah Utes | 4-1 | 21 |
| 17 | Duke Blue Devils | 4-1 | 23 |
| 18 | UCLA Bruins | 4-1 | 33 |
| 19 | Washington State Cougars | 4-1 | 28 |
| 19 | Tennessee Volunteers | 4-1 | 27 |
| 21 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 5-2 | 9 |
| 22 | LSU Tigers | 4-2 | 16 |
| 23 | Kansas Jayhawks | 5-1 | 37 |
| 24 | Kentucky Wildcats | 5-1 | 42 |
| 25 | Miami Hurricanes | 4-1 | 26 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- Kentucky Wildcats — model #42 vs AP #24 (Δ +18; model lower)
- UCLA Bruins — model #33 vs AP #18 (Δ +15; model lower)
- Kansas Jayhawks — model #37 vs AP #23 (Δ +14; model lower)
- Georgia Bulldogs — model #14 vs AP #1 (Δ +13; model lower)
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #9 vs AP #21 (Δ -12; model higher)
Week 8
Model #1 Michigan Wolverines
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 differ
540 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Michigan Wolverines | 8-0 | 87.43 | 2 |
| 2 | Florida State Seminoles | 7-0 | 86.04 | 4 |
| 3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 7-0 | 86.01 | 3 |
| 4 | Texas Longhorns | 6-1 | 84.73 | 8 |
| 5 | Oklahoma Sooners | 7-0 | 84.44 | 6 |
| 6 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 7-1 | 82.3 | 11 |
| 7 | Washington Huskies | 7-0 | 80.36 | 5 |
| 8 | Oregon State Beavers | 6-1 | 77.43 | 12 |
| 9 | Ole Miss Rebels | 6-1 | 75.16 | 13 |
| 10 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 6-1 | 73.64 | 7 |
| 11 | Utah Utes | 6-1 | 73.05 | 14 |
| 12 | James Madison Dukes | 7-0 | 72.78 | — |
| 13 | Louisville Cardinals | 6-1 | 72.51 | 21 |
| 14 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 6-2 | 71.99 | 15 |
| 15 | LSU Tigers | 6-2 | 71.52 | 19 |
| 16 | Missouri Tigers | 7-1 | 71.35 | 20 |
| 17 | Oregon Ducks | 6-1 | 71.28 | 9 |
| 18 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 6-1 | 71.26 | 10 |
| 19 | Georgia Bulldogs | 7-0 | 68.7 | 1 |
| 20 | Liberty Flames | 7-0 | 68.32 | — |
| 21 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 6-2 | 67.42 | 24 |
| 22 | USC Trojans | 6-2 | 65.93 | 18 |
| 23 | UCLA Bruins | 5-2 | 65.51 | 25 |
| 24 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 5-2 | 65.17 | — |
| 25 | Kansas State Wildcats | 5-2 | 64.84 | — |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 7-0 | 19 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 7-0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 6-0 | 3 |
| 4 | Florida State Seminoles | 6-0 | 2 |
| 5 | Washington Huskies | 6-0 | 7 |
| 6 | Oklahoma Sooners | 6-0 | 5 |
| 7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 6-0 | 10 |
| 8 | Texas Longhorns | 5-1 | 4 |
| 9 | Oregon Ducks | 5-1 | 17 |
| 10 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 6-0 | 18 |
| 11 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 6-1 | 6 |
| 12 | Oregon State Beavers | 6-1 | 8 |
| 13 | Ole Miss Rebels | 5-1 | 9 |
| 14 | Utah Utes | 5-1 | 11 |
| 15 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 6-2 | 14 |
| 16 | Duke Blue Devils | 5-1 | 29 |
| 17 | Tennessee Volunteers | 5-1 | 30 |
| 18 | USC Trojans | 6-1 | 22 |
| 19 | LSU Tigers | 5-2 | 15 |
| 20 | Missouri Tigers | 6-1 | 16 |
| 21 | Louisville Cardinals | 6-1 | 13 |
| 22 | Air Force Falcons | 6-0 | 28 |
| 23 | Tulane Green Wave | 5-1 | 33 |
| 24 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 6-1 | 21 |
| 25 | UCLA Bruins | 4-2 | 23 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- Georgia Bulldogs — model #19 vs AP #1 (Δ +18; model lower)
- Duke Blue Devils — model #29 vs AP #16 (Δ +13; model lower)
- Tennessee Volunteers — model #30 vs AP #17 (Δ +13; model lower)
- Tulane Green Wave — model #33 vs AP #23 (Δ +10; model lower)
- Oregon Ducks — model #17 vs AP #9 (Δ +8; model lower)
Week 9
Model #1 Ohio State Buckeyes
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 differ
594 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 8-0 | 87.64 | 3 |
| 2 | Florida State Seminoles | 8-0 | 85.19 | 4 |
| 3 | Texas Longhorns | 7-1 | 85.13 | 7 |
| 4 | Michigan Wolverines | 8-0 | 83.26 | 2 |
| 5 | Washington Huskies | 8-0 | 83.2 | 5 |
| 6 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 7-1 | 80.73 | 9 |
| 7 | Oklahoma Sooners | 7-1 | 78.86 | 6 |
| 8 | Louisville Cardinals | 7-1 | 76.91 | 18 |
| 9 | Oregon Ducks | 7-1 | 76.77 | 8 |
| 10 | Ole Miss Rebels | 7-1 | 74.24 | 12 |
| 11 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 7-2 | 73.63 | 14 |
| 12 | Oregon State Beavers | 6-2 | 73.37 | 11 |
| 13 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 6-2 | 72.82 | — |
| 14 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 7-1 | 72.69 | 10 |
| 15 | James Madison Dukes | 8-0 | 72.18 | 25 |
| 16 | Utah Utes | 6-2 | 71.41 | 13 |
| 17 | Georgia Bulldogs | 8-0 | 71.3 | 1 |
| 18 | Liberty Flames | 8-0 | 69.83 | — |
| 19 | LSU Tigers | 6-2 | 69.75 | 15 |
| 20 | Missouri Tigers | 7-1 | 69.57 | 16 |
| 21 | USC Trojans | 7-2 | 68.64 | 24 |
| 22 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 6-2 | 68.55 | 17 |
| 23 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 6-2 | 66.33 | — |
| 24 | Kansas State Wildcats | 6-2 | 65.74 | — |
| 25 | Arizona Wildcats | 5-3 | 65.09 | — |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 7-0 | 17 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 8-0 | 4 |
| 3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 7-0 | 1 |
| 4 | Florida State Seminoles | 7-0 | 2 |
| 5 | Washington Huskies | 7-0 | 5 |
| 6 | Oklahoma Sooners | 7-0 | 7 |
| 7 | Texas Longhorns | 6-1 | 3 |
| 8 | Oregon Ducks | 6-1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 7-1 | 6 |
| 10 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 6-1 | 14 |
| 11 | Oregon State Beavers | 6-1 | 12 |
| 12 | Ole Miss Rebels | 6-1 | 10 |
| 13 | Utah Utes | 6-1 | 16 |
| 14 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 6-2 | 11 |
| 15 | LSU Tigers | 6-2 | 19 |
| 16 | Missouri Tigers | 7-1 | 20 |
| 17 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 6-1 | 22 |
| 18 | Louisville Cardinals | 6-1 | 8 |
| 19 | Air Force Falcons | 7-0 | 27 |
| 20 | Duke Blue Devils | 5-2 | 36 |
| 21 | Tennessee Volunteers | 5-2 | 26 |
| 22 | Tulane Green Wave | 6-1 | 35 |
| 23 | UCLA Bruins | 5-2 | 29 |
| 24 | USC Trojans | 6-2 | 21 |
| 25 | James Madison Dukes | 7-0 | 15 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- Georgia Bulldogs — model #17 vs AP #1 (Δ +16; model lower)
- Duke Blue Devils — model #36 vs AP #20 (Δ +16; model lower)
- Tulane Green Wave — model #35 vs AP #22 (Δ +13; model lower)
- Louisville Cardinals — model #8 vs AP #18 (Δ -10; model higher)
- James Madison Dukes — model #15 vs AP #25 (Δ -10; model higher)
Week 10
Model #1 Texas Longhorns
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 differ
659 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Texas Longhorns | 8-1 | 88.93 | 7 |
| 2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 9-0 | 87.98 | 3 |
| 3 | Florida State Seminoles | 9-0 | 86.9 | 4 |
| 4 | Washington Huskies | 9-0 | 84.32 | 5 |
| 5 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 8-1 | 83.66 | 8 |
| 6 | Michigan Wolverines | 9-0 | 80.74 | 2 |
| 7 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 7-2 | 78.73 | — |
| 8 | Louisville Cardinals | 8-1 | 77.74 | 15 |
| 9 | Georgia Bulldogs | 9-0 | 76.39 | 1 |
| 10 | Oregon Ducks | 8-1 | 75.94 | 6 |
| 11 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 8-1 | 75.87 | 9 |
| 12 | Ole Miss Rebels | 8-1 | 75.14 | 11 |
| 13 | James Madison Dukes | 9-0 | 74.36 | 23 |
| 14 | Oklahoma Sooners | 7-2 | 72.65 | 10 |
| 15 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 7-3 | 70.65 | 12 |
| 16 | Oregon State Beavers | 7-2 | 69.83 | 16 |
| 17 | Liberty Flames | 9-0 | 68.66 | — |
| 18 | LSU Tigers | 6-3 | 68.41 | 13 |
| 19 | Utah Utes | 7-2 | 68.31 | 18 |
| 20 | Kansas Jayhawks | 7-2 | 68.08 | 22 |
| 21 | Missouri Tigers | 7-2 | 67.83 | 14 |
| 22 | Kansas State Wildcats | 6-3 | 67.63 | 25 |
| 23 | Arizona Wildcats | 6-3 | 66.81 | — |
| 24 | Tennessee Volunteers | 7-2 | 65.21 | 19 |
| 25 | USC Trojans | 7-3 | 65.11 | 24 |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 8-0 | 9 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 8-0 | 6 |
| 3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 8-0 | 2 |
| 4 | Florida State Seminoles | 8-0 | 3 |
| 5 | Washington Huskies | 8-0 | 4 |
| 6 | Oregon Ducks | 7-1 | 10 |
| 7 | Texas Longhorns | 7-1 | 1 |
| 8 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 7-1 | 5 |
| 9 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 7-1 | 11 |
| 10 | Oklahoma Sooners | 7-1 | 14 |
| 11 | Ole Miss Rebels | 7-1 | 12 |
| 12 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 7-2 | 15 |
| 13 | LSU Tigers | 6-2 | 18 |
| 14 | Missouri Tigers | 7-1 | 21 |
| 15 | Louisville Cardinals | 7-1 | 8 |
| 16 | Oregon State Beavers | 6-2 | 16 |
| 17 | Air Force Falcons | 8-0 | 38 |
| 18 | Utah Utes | 6-2 | 19 |
| 19 | Tennessee Volunteers | 6-2 | 24 |
| 20 | UCLA Bruins | 6-2 | 36 |
| 21 | Tulane Green Wave | 7-1 | 32 |
| 22 | Kansas Jayhawks | 6-2 | 20 |
| 23 | James Madison Dukes | 8-0 | 13 |
| 24 | USC Trojans | 7-2 | 25 |
| 25 | Kansas State Wildcats | 6-2 | 22 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- Air Force Falcons — model #38 vs AP #17 (Δ +21; model lower)
- UCLA Bruins — model #36 vs AP #20 (Δ +16; model lower)
- Tulane Green Wave — model #32 vs AP #21 (Δ +11; model lower)
- James Madison Dukes — model #13 vs AP #23 (Δ -10; model higher)
- Georgia Bulldogs — model #9 vs AP #1 (Δ +8; model lower)
Week 11
Model #1 Texas Longhorns
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 differ
724 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Texas Longhorns | 9-1 | 87.89 | 7 |
| 2 | Washington Huskies | 10-0 | 87.06 | 5 |
| 3 | Florida State Seminoles | 10-0 | 86.47 | 4 |
| 4 | Michigan Wolverines | 10-0 | 85.46 | 2 |
| 5 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 10-0 | 84.21 | 3 |
| 6 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 9-1 | 83.14 | 8 |
| 7 | Georgia Bulldogs | 10-0 | 82.51 | 1 |
| 8 | Oregon Ducks | 9-1 | 79.0 | 6 |
| 9 | Oklahoma Sooners | 8-2 | 78.09 | 17 |
| 10 | Louisville Cardinals | 9-1 | 75.8 | 11 |
| 11 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 7-3 | 74.98 | 15 |
| 12 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 8-2 | 73.71 | 9 |
| 13 | James Madison Dukes | 10-0 | 73.07 | 21 |
| 14 | Ole Miss Rebels | 8-2 | 72.57 | 10 |
| 15 | Missouri Tigers | 8-2 | 72.06 | 16 |
| 16 | Liberty Flames | 10-0 | 69.32 | 25 |
| 17 | Oregon State Beavers | 8-2 | 69.18 | 12 |
| 18 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 7-3 | 68.98 | 22 |
| 19 | LSU Tigers | 7-3 | 68.12 | 18 |
| 20 | Kansas State Wildcats | 7-3 | 67.69 | — |
| 21 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 8-2 | 67.22 | 24 |
| 22 | Arizona Wildcats | 7-3 | 66.73 | 23 |
| 23 | Utah Utes | 7-3 | 66.29 | 13 |
| 24 | Kansas Jayhawks | 7-3 | 65.76 | 19 |
| 25 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 8-2 | 65.54 | — |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 9-0 | 7 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 9-0 | 4 |
| 3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 9-0 | 5 |
| 4 | Florida State Seminoles | 9-0 | 3 |
| 5 | Washington Huskies | 9-0 | 2 |
| 6 | Oregon Ducks | 8-1 | 8 |
| 7 | Texas Longhorns | 8-1 | 1 |
| 8 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 8-1 | 6 |
| 9 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 8-1 | 12 |
| 10 | Ole Miss Rebels | 8-1 | 14 |
| 11 | Louisville Cardinals | 8-1 | 10 |
| 12 | Oregon State Beavers | 7-2 | 17 |
| 13 | Utah Utes | 7-2 | 23 |
| 14 | Tennessee Volunteers | 7-2 | 29 |
| 15 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 7-2 | 11 |
| 16 | Missouri Tigers | 7-2 | 15 |
| 17 | Oklahoma Sooners | 7-2 | 9 |
| 18 | LSU Tigers | 6-3 | 19 |
| 19 | Kansas Jayhawks | 7-2 | 24 |
| 20 | Tulane Green Wave | 8-1 | 34 |
| 21 | James Madison Dukes | 9-0 | 13 |
| 22 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 7-3 | 18 |
| 23 | Arizona Wildcats | 6-3 | 22 |
| 24 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 7-2 | 21 |
| 25 | Liberty Flames | 9-0 | 16 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- Tennessee Volunteers — model #29 vs AP #14 (Δ +15; model lower)
- Tulane Green Wave — model #34 vs AP #20 (Δ +14; model lower)
- Utah Utes — model #23 vs AP #13 (Δ +10; model lower)
- Liberty Flames — model #16 vs AP #25 (Δ -9; model higher)
- Oklahoma Sooners — model #9 vs AP #17 (Δ -8; model higher)
Week 12
Model #1 Texas Longhorns
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 differ
792 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Texas Longhorns | 10-1 | 88.48 | 7 |
| 2 | Washington Huskies | 11-0 | 88.0 | 5 |
| 3 | Georgia Bulldogs | 11-0 | 84.88 | 1 |
| 4 | Michigan Wolverines | 11-0 | 84.47 | 2 |
| 5 | Florida State Seminoles | 11-0 | 83.99 | 4 |
| 6 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 11-0 | 83.35 | 3 |
| 7 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 10-1 | 81.12 | 8 |
| 8 | Oregon Ducks | 10-1 | 78.74 | 6 |
| 9 | Oklahoma Sooners | 9-2 | 78.48 | 14 |
| 10 | Louisville Cardinals | 10-1 | 78.3 | 9 |
| 11 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 8-3 | 74.04 | 24 |
| 12 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 9-2 | 73.53 | 12 |
| 13 | Ole Miss Rebels | 9-2 | 72.36 | 13 |
| 14 | Arizona Wildcats | 8-3 | 71.67 | 19 |
| 15 | Missouri Tigers | 9-2 | 71.29 | 11 |
| 16 | Kansas State Wildcats | 8-3 | 71.01 | 23 |
| 17 | James Madison Dukes | 10-1 | 69.85 | 18 |
| 18 | LSU Tigers | 8-3 | 69.5 | 15 |
| 19 | Liberty Flames | 11-0 | 69.46 | 25 |
| 20 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8-3 | 68.8 | 20 |
| 21 | Oregon State Beavers | 8-3 | 67.49 | 10 |
| 22 | Clemson Tigers | 7-4 | 66.44 | — |
| 23 | NC State Wolfpack | 8-3 | 65.75 | — |
| 24 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 8-3 | 64.7 | 22 |
| 25 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 9-2 | 64.52 | — |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 10-0 | 3 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 10-0 | 4 |
| 3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 10-0 | 6 |
| 4 | Florida State Seminoles | 10-0 | 5 |
| 5 | Washington Huskies | 10-0 | 2 |
| 6 | Oregon Ducks | 9-1 | 8 |
| 7 | Texas Longhorns | 9-1 | 1 |
| 8 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 9-1 | 7 |
| 9 | Louisville Cardinals | 9-1 | 10 |
| 10 | Oregon State Beavers | 8-2 | 21 |
| 11 | Missouri Tigers | 8-2 | 15 |
| 12 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 8-2 | 12 |
| 13 | Ole Miss Rebels | 8-2 | 13 |
| 14 | Oklahoma Sooners | 8-2 | 9 |
| 15 | LSU Tigers | 7-3 | 18 |
| 16 | Utah Utes | 7-3 | 26 |
| 17 | Tulane Green Wave | 9-1 | 34 |
| 18 | James Madison Dukes | 10-0 | 17 |
| 19 | Arizona Wildcats | 7-3 | 14 |
| 20 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 7-3 | 20 |
| 21 | Tennessee Volunteers | 7-3 | 29 |
| 22 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 8-2 | 24 |
| 23 | Kansas State Wildcats | 7-3 | 16 |
| 24 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 7-3 | 11 |
| 25 | Liberty Flames | 10-0 | 19 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- Tulane Green Wave — model #34 vs AP #17 (Δ +17; model lower)
- Oklahoma State Cowboys — model #11 vs AP #24 (Δ -13; model higher)
- Oregon State Beavers — model #21 vs AP #10 (Δ +11; model lower)
- Utah Utes — model #26 vs AP #16 (Δ +10; model lower)
- Tennessee Volunteers — model #29 vs AP #21 (Δ +8; model lower)
Week 13
Model #1 Texas Longhorns
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 differ
857 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Texas Longhorns | 11-1 | 88.42 | 7 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 12-0 | 88.3 | 3 |
| 3 | Washington Huskies | 12-0 | 87.75 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia Bulldogs | 12-0 | 85.87 | 1 |
| 5 | Florida State Seminoles | 12-0 | 83.86 | 5 |
| 6 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 11-1 | 81.66 | 8 |
| 7 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 11-1 | 81.33 | 2 |
| 8 | Oregon Ducks | 11-1 | 79.94 | 6 |
| 9 | Oklahoma Sooners | 10-2 | 79.17 | 13 |
| 10 | Louisville Cardinals | 10-2 | 75.73 | 9 |
| 11 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 10-2 | 73.92 | 11 |
| 12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 9-3 | 73.41 | 21 |
| 13 | Ole Miss Rebels | 10-2 | 73.18 | 12 |
| 14 | Missouri Tigers | 10-2 | 72.36 | 10 |
| 15 | James Madison Dukes | 11-1 | 71.49 | 24 |
| 16 | LSU Tigers | 9-3 | 70.48 | 14 |
| 17 | Arizona Wildcats | 9-3 | 70.11 | 16 |
| 18 | Liberty Flames | 12-0 | 69.47 | 22 |
| 19 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9-3 | 69.43 | 17 |
| 20 | NC State Wolfpack | 9-3 | 69.06 | — |
| 21 | Kansas State Wildcats | 8-4 | 68.94 | 19 |
| 22 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 10-2 | 66.61 | 20 |
| 23 | Oregon State Beavers | 8-4 | 65.88 | 15 |
| 24 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 8-4 | 65.51 | — |
| 25 | Clemson Tigers | 8-4 | 64.63 | — |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 11-0 | 4 |
| 2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 11-0 | 7 |
| 3 | Michigan Wolverines | 11-0 | 2 |
| 4 | Washington Huskies | 11-0 | 3 |
| 5 | Florida State Seminoles | 11-0 | 5 |
| 6 | Oregon Ducks | 10-1 | 8 |
| 7 | Texas Longhorns | 10-1 | 1 |
| 8 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 10-1 | 6 |
| 9 | Louisville Cardinals | 10-1 | 10 |
| 10 | Missouri Tigers | 9-2 | 14 |
| 11 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 9-2 | 11 |
| 12 | Ole Miss Rebels | 9-2 | 13 |
| 13 | Oklahoma Sooners | 9-2 | 9 |
| 14 | LSU Tigers | 8-3 | 16 |
| 15 | Oregon State Beavers | 8-3 | 23 |
| 16 | Arizona Wildcats | 8-3 | 17 |
| 17 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8-3 | 19 |
| 18 | Tulane Green Wave | 10-1 | 32 |
| 19 | Kansas State Wildcats | 8-3 | 21 |
| 20 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 9-2 | 22 |
| 21 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 8-3 | 12 |
| 22 | Liberty Flames | 11-0 | 18 |
| 23 | Toledo Rockets | 10-1 | 27 |
| 24 | James Madison Dukes | 10-1 | 15 |
| 25 | Tennessee Volunteers | 7-4 | 29 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- Tulane Green Wave — model #32 vs AP #18 (Δ +14; model lower)
- Oklahoma State Cowboys — model #12 vs AP #21 (Δ -9; model higher)
- James Madison Dukes — model #15 vs AP #24 (Δ -9; model higher)
- Oregon State Beavers — model #23 vs AP #15 (Δ +8; model lower)
- Texas Longhorns — model #1 vs AP #7 (Δ -6; model higher)
Week 14
Model #1 Texas Longhorns
AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs
#1 differ
867 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Texas Longhorns | 12-1 | 92.62 | 7 |
| 2 | Washington Huskies | 13-0 | 91.21 | 3 |
| 3 | Michigan Wolverines | 13-0 | 89.49 | 2 |
| 4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 12-1 | 87.63 | 8 |
| 5 | Florida State Seminoles | 13-0 | 87.37 | 4 |
| 6 | Georgia Bulldogs | 12-1 | 82.5 | 1 |
| 7 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 11-1 | 80.13 | 6 |
| 8 | Oregon Ducks | 11-2 | 79.06 | 5 |
| 9 | Oklahoma Sooners | 10-2 | 78.36 | 12 |
| 10 | Louisville Cardinals | 10-3 | 73.98 | 15 |
| 11 | Ole Miss Rebels | 10-2 | 72.02 | 11 |
| 12 | Liberty Flames | 13-0 | 71.71 | 20 |
| 13 | Missouri Tigers | 10-2 | 71.69 | 9 |
| 14 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 10-2 | 71.65 | 10 |
| 15 | James Madison Dukes | 11-1 | 71.51 | 24 |
| 16 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 9-4 | 71.25 | 19 |
| 17 | Arizona Wildcats | 9-3 | 69.77 | 14 |
| 18 | LSU Tigers | 9-3 | 69.73 | 13 |
| 19 | Kansas State Wildcats | 8-4 | 69.55 | — |
| 20 | NC State Wolfpack | 9-3 | 68.12 | 21 |
| 21 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9-3 | 68.02 | 16 |
| 22 | Oregon State Beavers | 8-4 | 65.59 | 21 |
| 23 | SMU Mustangs | 11-2 | 65.06 | 25 |
| 24 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 10-3 | 64.94 | 18 |
| 25 | Clemson Tigers | 8-4 | 64.0 | — |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 12-0 | 6 |
| 2 | Michigan Wolverines | 12-0 | 3 |
| 3 | Washington Huskies | 12-0 | 2 |
| 4 | Florida State Seminoles | 12-0 | 5 |
| 5 | Oregon Ducks | 11-1 | 8 |
| 6 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 11-1 | 7 |
| 7 | Texas Longhorns | 11-1 | 1 |
| 8 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 11-1 | 4 |
| 9 | Missouri Tigers | 10-2 | 13 |
| 10 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 10-2 | 14 |
| 11 | Ole Miss Rebels | 10-2 | 11 |
| 12 | Oklahoma Sooners | 10-2 | 9 |
| 13 | LSU Tigers | 9-3 | 18 |
| 14 | Arizona Wildcats | 9-3 | 17 |
| 15 | Louisville Cardinals | 10-2 | 10 |
| 16 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9-3 | 21 |
| 17 | Tulane Green Wave | 11-1 | 36 |
| 18 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 10-2 | 24 |
| 19 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 9-3 | 16 |
| 20 | Liberty Flames | 12-0 | 12 |
| 21 | NC State Wolfpack | 9-3 | 20 |
| 21 | Oregon State Beavers | 8-4 | 22 |
| 23 | Toledo Rockets | 11-1 | 32 |
| 24 | James Madison Dukes | 11-1 | 15 |
| 25 | SMU Mustangs | 10-2 | 23 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- Tulane Green Wave — model #36 vs AP #17 (Δ +19; model lower)
- Toledo Rockets — model #32 vs AP #23 (Δ +9; model lower)
- James Madison Dukes — model #15 vs AP #24 (Δ -9; model higher)
- Liberty Flames — model #12 vs AP #20 (Δ -8; model higher)
- Texas Longhorns — model #1 vs AP #7 (Δ -6; model higher)
Week 15
Model #1 Texas Longhorns
AP #1 Michigan Wolverines
#1 differ
868 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Texas Longhorns | 12-1 | 92.56 | 3 |
| 2 | Washington Huskies | 13-0 | 91.17 | 2 |
| 3 | Michigan Wolverines | 13-0 | 89.47 | 1 |
| 4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 12-1 | 87.61 | 5 |
| 5 | Florida State Seminoles | 13-0 | 87.46 | 4 |
| 6 | Georgia Bulldogs | 12-1 | 82.47 | 6 |
| 7 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 11-1 | 80.12 | 7 |
| 8 | Oregon Ducks | 11-2 | 79.02 | 8 |
| 9 | Oklahoma Sooners | 10-2 | 78.31 | 12 |
| 10 | Louisville Cardinals | 10-3 | 74.05 | 16 |
| 11 | Ole Miss Rebels | 10-2 | 71.99 | 11 |
| 12 | Liberty Flames | 13-0 | 71.72 | 18 |
| 13 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 10-2 | 71.64 | 10 |
| 14 | Missouri Tigers | 10-2 | 71.62 | 9 |
| 15 | James Madison Dukes | 11-1 | 71.58 | 24 |
| 16 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 9-4 | 71.18 | 22 |
| 17 | LSU Tigers | 9-3 | 70.0 | 13 |
| 18 | Arizona Wildcats | 9-3 | 69.74 | 14 |
| 19 | Kansas State Wildcats | 8-4 | 69.56 | — |
| 20 | NC State Wolfpack | 9-3 | 68.16 | 19 |
| 21 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9-3 | 68.05 | 15 |
| 22 | Oregon State Beavers | 8-4 | 65.56 | 21 |
| 23 | SMU Mustangs | 11-2 | 64.97 | 17 |
| 24 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 10-3 | 64.92 | 20 |
| 25 | Troy Trojans | 11-2 | 64.0 | — |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Michigan Wolverines | 13-0 | 3 |
| 2 | Washington Huskies | 13-0 | 2 |
| 3 | Texas Longhorns | 12-1 | 1 |
| 4 | Florida State Seminoles | 13-0 | 5 |
| 5 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 12-1 | 4 |
| 6 | Georgia Bulldogs | 12-1 | 6 |
| 7 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 11-1 | 7 |
| 8 | Oregon Ducks | 11-2 | 8 |
| 9 | Missouri Tigers | 10-2 | 14 |
| 10 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 10-2 | 13 |
| 11 | Ole Miss Rebels | 10-2 | 11 |
| 12 | Oklahoma Sooners | 10-2 | 9 |
| 13 | LSU Tigers | 9-3 | 17 |
| 14 | Arizona Wildcats | 9-3 | 18 |
| 15 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9-3 | 21 |
| 16 | Louisville Cardinals | 10-3 | 10 |
| 17 | SMU Mustangs | 11-2 | 23 |
| 18 | Liberty Flames | 13-0 | 12 |
| 19 | NC State Wolfpack | 9-3 | 20 |
| 20 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 10-3 | 24 |
| 21 | Oregon State Beavers | 8-4 | 22 |
| 22 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 9-4 | 16 |
| 23 | Tulane Green Wave | 11-2 | 36 |
| 24 | James Madison Dukes | 11-1 | 15 |
| 25 | Tennessee Volunteers | 8-4 | 30 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- Tulane Green Wave — model #36 vs AP #23 (Δ +13; model lower)
- James Madison Dukes — model #15 vs AP #24 (Δ -9; model higher)
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #21 vs AP #15 (Δ +6; model lower)
- Louisville Cardinals — model #10 vs AP #16 (Δ -6; model higher)
- SMU Mustangs — model #23 vs AP #17 (Δ +6; model lower)
Final (postseason)
Model #1 Michigan Wolverines
AP #1 Michigan Wolverines
#1 match
911 games through this point
Model Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Score | AP |
|---|
| 1 | Michigan Wolverines | 15-0 | 99.66 | 1 |
| 2 | Washington Huskies | 14-1 | 92.59 | 2 |
| 3 | Georgia Bulldogs | 13-1 | 90.25 | 4 |
| 4 | Texas Longhorns | 12-2 | 88.03 | 3 |
| 5 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 12-2 | 84.69 | 5 |
| 6 | Oregon Ducks | 12-2 | 81.31 | 6 |
| 7 | Florida State Seminoles | 13-1 | 80.3 | 6 |
| 8 | Missouri Tigers | 11-2 | 78.71 | 8 |
| 9 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 11-2 | 77.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Ole Miss Rebels | 11-2 | 76.82 | 9 |
| 11 | Louisville Cardinals | 10-4 | 73.4 | 19 |
| 12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 10-4 | 72.78 | 16 |
| 13 | Arizona Wildcats | 10-3 | 71.95 | 11 |
| 14 | Oklahoma Sooners | 10-3 | 71.23 | 15 |
| 15 | Kansas State Wildcats | 9-4 | 71.17 | 18 |
| 16 | LSU Tigers | 10-3 | 69.92 | 12 |
| 17 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 10-3 | 69.35 | 14 |
| 18 | James Madison Dukes | 11-2 | 68.42 | — |
| 19 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 10-3 | 68.25 | 13 |
| 20 | Duke Blue Devils | 8-5 | 67.55 | — |
| 21 | NC State Wolfpack | 9-4 | 66.3 | 21 |
| 22 | Liberty Flames | 13-1 | 66.1 | 25 |
| 23 | Tennessee Volunteers | 9-4 | 65.32 | 17 |
| 24 | Oregon State Beavers | 8-5 | 64.63 | — |
| 25 | SMU Mustangs | 11-3 | 63.87 | 22 |
AP Top 25
| Rk | Team | Rec | Model |
|---|
| 1 | Michigan Wolverines | 15-0 | 1 |
| 2 | Washington Huskies | 14-1 | 2 |
| 3 | Texas Longhorns | 12-2 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia Bulldogs | 13-1 | 3 |
| 5 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 12-2 | 5 |
| 6 | Florida State Seminoles | 13-1 | 7 |
| 6 | Oregon Ducks | 12-2 | 6 |
| 8 | Missouri Tigers | 11-2 | 8 |
| 9 | Ole Miss Rebels | 11-2 | 10 |
| 10 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 11-2 | 9 |
| 11 | Arizona Wildcats | 10-3 | 13 |
| 12 | LSU Tigers | 10-3 | 16 |
| 13 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 10-3 | 19 |
| 14 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 10-3 | 17 |
| 15 | Oklahoma Sooners | 10-3 | 14 |
| 16 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 10-4 | 12 |
| 17 | Tennessee Volunteers | 9-4 | 23 |
| 18 | Kansas State Wildcats | 9-4 | 15 |
| 19 | Louisville Cardinals | 10-4 | 11 |
| 20 | Clemson Tigers | 9-4 | 28 |
| 21 | NC State Wolfpack | 9-4 | 21 |
| 22 | SMU Mustangs | 11-3 | 25 |
| 23 | Kansas Jayhawks | 9-4 | 27 |
| 24 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 10-4 | 29 |
| 25 | Liberty Flames | 13-1 | 22 |
Largest disagreements (AP teams):- Louisville Cardinals — model #11 vs AP #19 (Δ -8; model higher)
- Clemson Tigers — model #28 vs AP #20 (Δ +8; model lower)
- Penn State Nittany Lions — model #19 vs AP #13 (Δ +6; model lower)
- Tennessee Volunteers — model #23 vs AP #17 (Δ +6; model lower)
- Iowa Hawkeyes — model #29 vs AP #24 (Δ +5; model lower)