2022 season — Model vs AP

Full weekly rankings with the current late-tuned config. Side-by-side Model Top 25 and AP Top 25 for every week with available poll data.

Final #1 match

Final model #1

Georgia Bulldogs

Final AP #1

Georgia Bulldogs

Download: summary.json · weekly_agreement.csv

Preseason (Coaches Poll)

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 0 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	100.0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	99.0	2
3	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	98.0	3
4	Clemson Tigers	0-0	97.0	4
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	96.0	5
6	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	95.0	6
7	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	94.0	7
8	Utah Utes	0-0	93.0	8
9	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	92.0	9
10	Baylor Bears	0-0	91.0	10
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	90.0	11
12	Oregon Ducks	0-0	89.0	12
13	NC State Wolfpack	0-0	88.0	13
14	Michigan State Spartans	0-0	87.0	14
15	USC Trojans	0-0	86.0	15
16	Pittsburgh Panthers	0-0	85.0	16
17	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	84.0	17
18	Texas Longhorns	0-0	83.0	18
19	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	0-0	82.0	19
20	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	81.0	20
21	Kentucky Wildcats	0-0	80.0	21
22	Cincinnati Bearcats	0-0	79.0	22
23	Arkansas Razorbacks	0-0	78.0	23
24	Ole Miss Rebels	0-0	77.0	24
25	Houston Cougars	0-0	76.0	25

AFCA Coaches Poll

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	2
3	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	3
4	Clemson Tigers	0-0	4
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	5
6	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	6
7	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	7
8	Utah Utes	0-0	8
9	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	9
10	Baylor Bears	0-0	10
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	11
12	Oregon Ducks	0-0	12
13	NC State Wolfpack	0-0	13
14	Michigan State Spartans	0-0	14
15	USC Trojans	0-0	15
16	Pittsburgh Panthers	0-0	16
17	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	17
18	Texas Longhorns	0-0	18
19	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	0-0	19
20	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	20
21	Kentucky Wildcats	0-0	21
22	Cincinnati Bearcats	0-0	22
23	Arkansas Razorbacks	0-0	23
24	Ole Miss Rebels	0-0	24
25	Houston Cougars	0-0	25

Week 1

Model #1 Indiana Hoosiers AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 94 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Indiana Hoosiers	1-0	94.83	—
2	SMU Mustangs	1-0	80.39	—
3	Nevada Wolf Pack	2-0	78.12	—
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	78.01	1
5	Florida State Seminoles	2-0	74.8	—
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	1-0	72.74	—
7	TCU Horned Frogs	1-0	71.18	—
8	Clemson Tigers	1-0	70.66	4
9	Northwestern Wildcats	1-0	70.36	—
10	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	1-0	69.91	—
11	Arizona Wildcats	1-0	69.28	—
12	Illinois Fighting Illini	1-1	68.64	—
13	North Carolina Tar Heels	2-0	68.35	—
14	NC State Wolfpack	1-0	67.42	13
15	BYU Cougars	1-0	67.29	25
16	Georgia Bulldogs	1-0	66.95	3
17	South Carolina Gamecocks	1-0	65.71	—
18	Liberty Flames	1-0	65.39	—
19	Vanderbilt Commodores	2-0	65.32	—
20	Ole Miss Rebels	1-0	65.29	21
21	Florida Gators	1-0	65.23	—
22	Syracuse Orange	1-0	65.1	—
23	Mississippi State Bulldogs	1-0	64.96	—
24	Ohio Bobcats	1-0	64.75	—
25	Houston Cougars	1-0	64.6	24

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	4
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	30
3	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	16
4	Clemson Tigers	0-0	8
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	97
6	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	54
7	Utah Utes	0-0	88
8	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	32
9	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	48
10	Baylor Bears	0-0	49
11	Oregon Ducks	0-0	121
12	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	47
13	NC State Wolfpack	0-0	14
14	USC Trojans	0-0	46
15	Michigan State Spartans	0-0	28
16	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	50
17	Pittsburgh Panthers	0-0	31
18	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	52
19	Arkansas Razorbacks	0-0	27
20	Kentucky Wildcats	0-0	26
21	Ole Miss Rebels	0-0	20
22	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	0-0	60
23	Cincinnati Bearcats	0-0	92
24	Houston Cougars	0-0	25
25	BYU Cougars	0-0	15

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Oregon Ducks — model #121 vs AP #11 (Δ +110; model lower)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #97 vs AP #5 (Δ +92; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #88 vs AP #7 (Δ +81; model lower)
Cincinnati Bearcats — model #92 vs AP #23 (Δ +69; model lower)
Texas A&M Aggies — model #54 vs AP #6 (Δ +48; model lower)

Week 2

Model #1 Mississippi State Bulldogs AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 176 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Mississippi State Bulldogs	2-0	86.3	—
2	Kentucky Wildcats	2-0	82.83	20
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	80.05	1
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	2-0	77.73	—
5	Syracuse Orange	2-0	77.64	—
6	Arkansas Razorbacks	2-0	76.52	16
7	Duke Blue Devils	2-0	76.17	—
8	North Carolina Tar Heels	3-0	75.0	—
9	Indiana Hoosiers	2-0	74.27	—
10	Oregon State Beavers	2-0	74.03	—
11	Tennessee Volunteers	2-0	72.94	24
12	NC State Wolfpack	2-0	72.54	18
13	USC Trojans	2-0	72.42	10
14	BYU Cougars	2-0	72.14	21
15	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	2-0	71.25	23
16	Illinois Fighting Illini	2-1	68.55	—
17	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-0	68.31	3
18	SMU Mustangs	2-0	67.92	—
19	Michigan State Spartans	2-0	67.28	14
20	Kansas State Wildcats	2-0	66.59	—
21	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	65.94	2
22	Texas Tech Red Raiders	2-0	65.14	—
23	Oklahoma State Cowboys	2-0	64.81	11
24	Clemson Tigers	2-0	64.7	5
25	Florida State Seminoles	2-0	64.35	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	3
2	Georgia Bulldogs	1-0	21
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-0	17
4	Michigan Wolverines	1-0	44
5	Clemson Tigers	1-0	24
6	Texas A&M Aggies	1-0	77
7	Oklahoma Sooners	1-0	28
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-1	105
9	Baylor Bears	1-0	70
10	USC Trojans	1-0	13
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	1-0	23
12	Florida Gators	1-0	39
13	Utah Utes	0-1	75
14	Michigan State Spartans	1-0	19
15	Miami Hurricanes	1-0	32
16	Arkansas Razorbacks	1-0	6
17	Pittsburgh Panthers	1-0	59
18	NC State Wolfpack	1-0	12
19	Wisconsin Badgers	1-0	85
20	Kentucky Wildcats	1-0	2
21	BYU Cougars	1-0	14
22	Ole Miss Rebels	1-0	27
23	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	1-0	15
24	Tennessee Volunteers	1-0	11
25	Houston Cougars	1-0	43

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #105 vs AP #8 (Δ +97; model lower)
Texas A&M Aggies — model #77 vs AP #6 (Δ +71; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #85 vs AP #19 (Δ +66; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #75 vs AP #13 (Δ +62; model lower)
Baylor Bears — model #70 vs AP #9 (Δ +61; model lower)

Week 3

Model #1 Florida State Seminoles AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 differ 248 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Florida State Seminoles	3-0	82.07	—
2	Penn State Nittany Lions	3-0	80.88	22
3	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	80.27	1
4	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	3-0	79.9	19
5	Tennessee Volunteers	3-0	78.32	15
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	77.77	2
7	USC Trojans	3-0	76.96	7
8	Syracuse Orange	3-0	75.56	—
9	LSU Tigers	2-1	74.41	—
10	Indiana Hoosiers	3-0	73.84	—
11	Kentucky Wildcats	3-0	73.51	9
12	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-0	72.98	3
13	NC State Wolfpack	3-0	72.66	16
14	Kansas Jayhawks	3-0	71.8	—
15	Mississippi State Bulldogs	2-1	71.64	—
16	Maryland Terrapins	3-0	70.33	—
17	Oklahoma Sooners	3-0	69.48	6
18	Illinois Fighting Illini	2-1	67.14	—
19	Washington Huskies	3-0	67.0	—
20	North Carolina Tar Heels	3-0	66.98	—
21	Arkansas Razorbacks	3-0	66.86	10
22	Ole Miss Rebels	3-0	66.63	20
23	Tulane Green Wave	3-0	66.37	—
24	Oregon State Beavers	3-0	66.29	—
25	Iowa State Cyclones	3-0	65.88	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	3
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	6
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-0	12
4	Michigan Wolverines	2-0	35
5	Clemson Tigers	2-0	29
6	Oklahoma Sooners	2-0	17
7	USC Trojans	2-0	7
8	Oklahoma State Cowboys	2-0	34
9	Kentucky Wildcats	2-0	11
10	Arkansas Razorbacks	2-0	21
11	Michigan State Spartans	2-0	46
12	BYU Cougars	2-0	38
13	Miami Hurricanes	2-0	63
14	Utah Utes	1-1	58
15	Tennessee Volunteers	2-0	5
16	NC State Wolfpack	2-0	13
17	Baylor Bears	1-1	52
18	Florida Gators	1-1	33
19	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	2-0	4
20	Ole Miss Rebels	2-0	22
21	Texas Longhorns	1-1	31
22	Penn State Nittany Lions	2-0	2
23	Pittsburgh Panthers	1-1	28
24	Texas A&M Aggies	1-1	44
25	Oregon Ducks	1-1	42

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Miami Hurricanes — model #63 vs AP #13 (Δ +50; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #58 vs AP #14 (Δ +44; model lower)
Michigan State Spartans — model #46 vs AP #11 (Δ +35; model lower)
Baylor Bears — model #52 vs AP #17 (Δ +35; model lower)
Michigan Wolverines — model #35 vs AP #4 (Δ +31; model lower)

Week 4

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 314 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	4-0	83.54	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	80.3	2
3	Kansas Jayhawks	4-0	79.92	—
4	Florida State Seminoles	4-0	79.48	—
5	Tennessee Volunteers	4-0	77.65	11
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-0	77.44	14
7	USC Trojans	4-0	76.32	7
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-0	75.63	3
9	LSU Tigers	3-1	74.04	—
10	Syracuse Orange	4-0	73.39	—
11	Clemson Tigers	4-0	71.49	5
12	Kentucky Wildcats	4-0	70.72	8
13	Kansas State Wildcats	3-1	70.13	—
14	NC State Wolfpack	4-0	69.91	12
15	Mississippi State Bulldogs	3-1	69.86	—
16	BYU Cougars	3-1	69.82	19
17	Baylor Bears	3-1	69.17	17
18	Ole Miss Rebels	4-0	69.0	16
19	Oregon Ducks	3-1	68.92	15
20	James Madison Dukes	3-0	68.77	—
21	Michigan Wolverines	4-0	67.63	4
22	Texas A&M Aggies	3-1	66.83	23
23	Minnesota Golden Gophers	4-0	65.78	—
24	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	3-1	64.93	21
25	Iowa State Cyclones	3-1	64.87	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	2
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-0	8
4	Michigan Wolverines	3-0	21
5	Clemson Tigers	3-0	11
6	Oklahoma Sooners	3-0	29
7	USC Trojans	3-0	7
8	Kentucky Wildcats	3-0	12
9	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	50
10	Arkansas Razorbacks	3-0	30
11	Tennessee Volunteers	3-0	5
12	NC State Wolfpack	3-0	14
13	Utah Utes	2-1	52
14	Penn State Nittany Lions	3-0	6
15	Oregon Ducks	2-1	19
16	Ole Miss Rebels	3-0	18
17	Baylor Bears	2-1	17
18	Washington Huskies	3-0	26
19	BYU Cougars	2-1	16
20	Florida Gators	2-1	36
21	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	3-0	24
22	Texas Longhorns	2-1	43
23	Texas A&M Aggies	2-1	22
24	Pittsburgh Panthers	2-1	37
25	Miami Hurricanes	2-1	63

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Oklahoma State Cowboys — model #50 vs AP #9 (Δ +41; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #52 vs AP #13 (Δ +39; model lower)
Miami Hurricanes — model #63 vs AP #25 (Δ +38; model lower)
Oklahoma Sooners — model #29 vs AP #6 (Δ +23; model lower)
Texas Longhorns — model #43 vs AP #22 (Δ +21; model lower)

Week 5

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 differ 377 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	85.14	2
2	Clemson Tigers	5-0	83.53	5
3	Georgia Bulldogs	5-0	83.51	1
4	Kansas Jayhawks	5-0	79.11	—
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-0	78.43	3
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-0	78.24	11
7	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	4-1	76.7	22
8	LSU Tigers	4-1	76.39	—
9	Michigan Wolverines	5-0	75.58	4
10	Mississippi State Bulldogs	4-1	75.54	—
11	Ole Miss Rebels	5-0	75.3	14
12	USC Trojans	5-0	73.06	6
13	Florida State Seminoles	4-1	72.4	23
14	TCU Horned Frogs	4-0	71.45	—
15	Syracuse Orange	5-0	70.76	—
16	Kansas State Wildcats	4-1	70.72	25
17	Tennessee Volunteers	4-0	69.49	8
18	UCLA Bruins	5-0	69.36	—
19	Tulane Green Wave	4-1	68.22	—
20	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-0	67.68	9
21	NC State Wolfpack	4-1	66.31	10
22	Maryland Terrapins	4-1	66.25	—
23	Oregon Ducks	4-1	65.89	13
24	James Madison Dukes	4-0	64.98	—
25	Kentucky Wildcats	4-1	64.45	7

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	4-0	3
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	1
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-0	5
4	Michigan Wolverines	4-0	9
5	Clemson Tigers	4-0	2
6	USC Trojans	4-0	12
7	Kentucky Wildcats	4-0	25
8	Tennessee Volunteers	4-0	17
9	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	20
10	NC State Wolfpack	4-0	21
11	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-0	6
12	Utah Utes	3-1	34
13	Oregon Ducks	3-1	23
14	Ole Miss Rebels	4-0	11
15	Washington Huskies	4-0	41
16	Baylor Bears	3-1	40
17	Texas A&M Aggies	3-1	42
18	Oklahoma Sooners	3-1	37
19	BYU Cougars	3-1	33
20	Arkansas Razorbacks	3-1	47
21	Minnesota Golden Gophers	4-0	49
22	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	3-1	7
23	Florida State Seminoles	4-0	13
24	Pittsburgh Panthers	3-1	52
25	Kansas State Wildcats	3-1	16

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Minnesota Golden Gophers — model #49 vs AP #21 (Δ +28; model lower)
Pittsburgh Panthers — model #52 vs AP #24 (Δ +28; model lower)
Arkansas Razorbacks — model #47 vs AP #20 (Δ +27; model lower)
Washington Huskies — model #41 vs AP #15 (Δ +26; model lower)
Texas A&M Aggies — model #42 vs AP #17 (Δ +25; model lower)

Week 6

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 434 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	6-0	88.13	2
2	Clemson Tigers	6-0	85.44	5
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	84.89	1
4	Tennessee Volunteers	5-0	81.26	8
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-0	80.56	3
6	Ole Miss Rebels	6-0	78.08	9
7	TCU Horned Frogs	5-0	78.06	17
8	Michigan Wolverines	6-0	75.95	4
9	USC Trojans	6-0	75.41	6
10	Mississippi State Bulldogs	5-1	75.4	23
11	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	5-1	73.8	15
12	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-0	73.5	10
13	Syracuse Orange	5-0	72.11	22
14	NC State Wolfpack	5-1	71.71	14
15	UCLA Bruins	6-0	70.95	18
16	Kansas Jayhawks	5-1	70.64	19
17	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-0	70.38	7
18	Tulane Green Wave	5-1	70.11	—
19	Texas Longhorns	4-2	69.38	—
20	Kansas State Wildcats	5-1	68.19	20
21	Florida State Seminoles	4-2	68.15	—
22	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3-2	66.6	—
23	James Madison Dukes	5-0	66.34	—
24	Purdue Boilermakers	4-2	65.97	—
25	Oregon Ducks	5-1	65.26	12

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	3
2	Georgia Bulldogs	5-0	1
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-0	5
4	Michigan Wolverines	5-0	8
5	Clemson Tigers	5-0	2
6	USC Trojans	5-0	9
7	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-0	17
8	Tennessee Volunteers	4-0	4
9	Ole Miss Rebels	5-0	6
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-0	12
11	Utah Utes	4-1	34
12	Oregon Ducks	4-1	25
13	Kentucky Wildcats	4-1	31
14	NC State Wolfpack	4-1	14
15	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	4-1	11
16	BYU Cougars	4-1	40
17	TCU Horned Frogs	4-0	7
18	UCLA Bruins	5-0	15
19	Kansas Jayhawks	5-0	16
20	Kansas State Wildcats	4-1	20
21	Washington Huskies	4-1	57
22	Syracuse Orange	5-0	13
23	Mississippi State Bulldogs	4-1	10
24	Cincinnati Bearcats	4-1	37
25	LSU Tigers	4-1	26

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Washington Huskies — model #57 vs AP #21 (Δ +36; model lower)
BYU Cougars — model #40 vs AP #16 (Δ +24; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #34 vs AP #11 (Δ +23; model lower)
Kentucky Wildcats — model #31 vs AP #13 (Δ +18; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #25 vs AP #12 (Δ +13; model lower)

Week 7

Model #1 Tennessee Volunteers AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 differ 487 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Tennessee Volunteers	6-0	90.4	6
2	Georgia Bulldogs	7-0	87.04	1
3	Michigan Wolverines	7-0	85.36	5
4	Clemson Tigers	7-0	84.75	4
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-1	81.74	3
6	Ole Miss Rebels	7-0	81.28	9
7	TCU Horned Frogs	6-0	80.64	13
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-0	76.55	2
9	Syracuse Orange	6-0	74.66	18
10	UCLA Bruins	6-0	74.31	11
11	USC Trojans	6-1	73.52	7
12	LSU Tigers	5-2	73.45	—
13	Texas Longhorns	5-2	72.12	22
14	Kentucky Wildcats	5-2	71.86	22
15	Tulane Green Wave	6-1	71.25	—
16	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-1	70.64	10
17	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	5-1	69.69	14
18	Utah Utes	5-2	69.04	20
19	Mississippi State Bulldogs	5-2	67.82	16
20	Purdue Boilermakers	5-2	67.51	—
21	Kansas State Wildcats	5-1	67.01	17
22	Illinois Fighting Illini	6-1	66.94	24
23	North Carolina Tar Heels	6-1	66.6	—
24	NC State Wolfpack	5-2	66.16	15
25	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-1	64.86	8

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	6-0	2
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-0	8
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	5
4	Clemson Tigers	6-0	4
5	Michigan Wolverines	6-0	3
6	Tennessee Volunteers	5-0	1
7	USC Trojans	6-0	11
8	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-0	25
9	Ole Miss Rebels	6-0	6
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-0	16
11	UCLA Bruins	6-0	10
12	Oregon Ducks	5-1	30
13	TCU Horned Frogs	5-0	7
14	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	5-1	17
15	NC State Wolfpack	5-1	24
16	Mississippi State Bulldogs	5-1	19
17	Kansas State Wildcats	5-1	21
18	Syracuse Orange	5-0	9
19	Kansas Jayhawks	5-1	26
20	Utah Utes	4-2	18
21	Cincinnati Bearcats	5-1	46
22	Kentucky Wildcats	4-2	14
22	Texas Longhorns	4-2	13
24	Illinois Fighting Illini	5-1	22
25	James Madison Dukes	5-0	34

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Cincinnati Bearcats — model #46 vs AP #21 (Δ +25; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #30 vs AP #12 (Δ +18; model lower)
Oklahoma State Cowboys — model #25 vs AP #8 (Δ +17; model lower)
NC State Wolfpack — model #24 vs AP #15 (Δ +9; model lower)
Syracuse Orange — model #9 vs AP #18 (Δ -9; model higher)

Week 8

Model #1 Tennessee Volunteers AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 differ 540 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Tennessee Volunteers	7-0	89.66	3
2	Clemson Tigers	8-0	89.08	5
3	Georgia Bulldogs	7-0	85.88	1
4	TCU Horned Frogs	7-0	84.3	8
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-1	83.87	6
6	Michigan Wolverines	7-0	81.14	4
7	LSU Tigers	6-2	79.77	—
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-0	79.1	2
9	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-1	73.82	11
10	Ole Miss Rebels	7-1	73.8	7
11	USC Trojans	6-1	72.63	12
12	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	6-1	71.96	13
13	Tulane Green Wave	7-1	71.42	25
14	Oregon Ducks	6-1	71.14	10
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-1	70.76	16
16	Syracuse Orange	6-1	70.56	14
17	UCLA Bruins	6-1	69.53	9
18	Utah Utes	5-2	67.99	15
19	Kentucky Wildcats	5-2	67.73	19
20	NC State Wolfpack	5-2	67.35	23
21	Texas Longhorns	5-3	66.18	20
22	Kansas State Wildcats	5-2	65.35	17
23	Illinois Fighting Illini	6-1	64.72	18
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	5-3	64.62	24
25	North Carolina Tar Heels	6-1	64.35	22

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	7-0	3
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-0	8
3	Tennessee Volunteers	6-0	1
4	Michigan Wolverines	7-0	6
5	Clemson Tigers	7-0	2
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-1	5
7	Ole Miss Rebels	7-0	10
8	TCU Horned Frogs	6-0	4
9	UCLA Bruins	6-0	17
10	Oregon Ducks	5-1	14
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-1	9
12	USC Trojans	6-1	11
13	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	5-1	12
14	Syracuse Orange	6-0	16
15	Utah Utes	5-2	18
16	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-1	15
17	Kansas State Wildcats	5-1	22
18	Illinois Fighting Illini	6-1	23
19	Kentucky Wildcats	5-2	19
20	Texas Longhorns	5-2	21
21	Cincinnati Bearcats	5-1	39
22	North Carolina Tar Heels	6-1	25
23	NC State Wolfpack	5-2	20
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	5-2	24
25	Tulane Green Wave	6-1	13

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Cincinnati Bearcats — model #39 vs AP #21 (Δ +18; model lower)
Tulane Green Wave — model #13 vs AP #25 (Δ -12; model higher)
UCLA Bruins — model #17 vs AP #9 (Δ +8; model lower)
Ohio State Buckeyes — model #8 vs AP #2 (Δ +6; model lower)
Kansas State Wildcats — model #22 vs AP #17 (Δ +5; model lower)

Week 9

Model #1 Tennessee Volunteers AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 differ 588 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Tennessee Volunteers	8-0	87.59	3
2	TCU Horned Frogs	8-0	87.23	7
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-0	86.64	2
4	Georgia Bulldogs	8-0	85.89	1
5	Clemson Tigers	8-0	85.72	5
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-1	79.21	6
7	Michigan Wolverines	8-0	78.8	4
8	Kansas State Wildcats	6-2	73.96	22
9	LSU Tigers	6-2	73.76	18
10	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-3	73.13	—
11	Oregon Ducks	7-1	72.54	8
12	Tulane Green Wave	7-1	72.27	23
13	USC Trojans	7-1	72.16	10
14	Syracuse Orange	6-2	72.16	16
15	Ole Miss Rebels	8-1	71.47	15
16	UCLA Bruins	7-1	70.49	12
17	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-2	70.38	9
18	Utah Utes	6-2	68.97	14
19	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	6-2	68.31	10
20	NC State Wolfpack	6-2	68.22	24
21	Louisville Cardinals	5-3	67.75	—
22	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-2	67.45	13
23	Illinois Fighting Illini	7-1	67.37	17
24	North Carolina Tar Heels	7-1	66.77	21
25	Texas Longhorns	5-3	65.29	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	7-0	4
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-0	3
3	Tennessee Volunteers	7-0	1
4	Michigan Wolverines	7-0	7
5	Clemson Tigers	8-0	5
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-1	6
7	TCU Horned Frogs	7-0	2
8	Oregon Ducks	6-1	11
9	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-1	17
10	USC Trojans	6-1	13
10	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	6-1	19
12	UCLA Bruins	6-1	16
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-1	22
14	Utah Utes	5-2	18
15	Ole Miss Rebels	7-1	15
16	Syracuse Orange	6-1	14
17	Illinois Fighting Illini	6-1	23
18	LSU Tigers	6-2	9
19	Kentucky Wildcats	5-2	40
20	Cincinnati Bearcats	6-1	43
21	North Carolina Tar Heels	6-1	24
22	Kansas State Wildcats	5-2	8
23	Tulane Green Wave	7-1	12
24	NC State Wolfpack	5-2	20
25	South Carolina Gamecocks	5-2	45

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Cincinnati Bearcats — model #43 vs AP #20 (Δ +23; model lower)
Kentucky Wildcats — model #40 vs AP #19 (Δ +21; model lower)
South Carolina Gamecocks — model #45 vs AP #25 (Δ +20; model lower)
Kansas State Wildcats — model #8 vs AP #22 (Δ -14; model higher)
Tulane Green Wave — model #12 vs AP #23 (Δ -11; model higher)

Week 10

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 648 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	9-0	92.09	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-0	87.77	2
3	TCU Horned Frogs	9-0	85.92	7
4	Tennessee Volunteers	8-1	83.69	2
5	Michigan Wolverines	9-0	79.96	4
6	Clemson Tigers	8-1	78.48	5
7	LSU Tigers	7-2	78.31	15
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6-3	77.02	—
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-2	74.91	6
10	Oregon Ducks	8-1	72.78	8
11	Texas Longhorns	6-3	72.25	—
12	Tulane Green Wave	8-1	72.04	19
13	UCLA Bruins	8-1	71.2	10
14	USC Trojans	8-1	71.13	9
15	NC State Wolfpack	7-2	70.0	21
16	Ole Miss Rebels	8-1	69.7	11
17	Syracuse Orange	6-3	69.47	22
18	Baylor Bears	6-3	69.45	—
19	Utah Utes	7-2	68.59	12
20	Florida State Seminoles	6-3	68.34	—
21	Kansas State Wildcats	6-3	68.15	13
22	North Carolina Tar Heels	8-1	68.11	17
23	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-2	67.89	16
24	Louisville Cardinals	6-3	67.34	—
25	Kansas Jayhawks	6-3	67.19	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	8-0	1
2	Tennessee Volunteers	8-0	4
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-0	2
4	Michigan Wolverines	8-0	5
5	Clemson Tigers	8-0	6
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-1	9
7	TCU Horned Frogs	8-0	3
8	Oregon Ducks	7-1	10
9	USC Trojans	7-1	14
10	UCLA Bruins	7-1	13
11	Ole Miss Rebels	8-1	16
12	Utah Utes	6-2	19
13	Kansas State Wildcats	6-2	21
14	Illinois Fighting Illini	7-1	29
15	LSU Tigers	6-2	7
16	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-2	23
17	North Carolina Tar Heels	7-1	22
18	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-2	26
19	Tulane Green Wave	7-1	12
20	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	6-2	30
21	NC State Wolfpack	6-2	15
22	Syracuse Orange	6-2	17
23	Liberty Flames	7-1	31
24	Oregon State Beavers	6-2	40
25	UCF Knights	6-2	32

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Oregon State Beavers — model #40 vs AP #24 (Δ +16; model lower)
Illinois Fighting Illini — model #29 vs AP #14 (Δ +15; model lower)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons — model #30 vs AP #20 (Δ +10; model lower)
Kansas State Wildcats — model #21 vs AP #13 (Δ +8; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #7 vs AP #15 (Δ -8; model higher)

Week 11

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 713 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	10-0	93.99	1
2	TCU Horned Frogs	10-0	88.42	4
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-0	86.32	2
4	Tennessee Volunteers	9-1	85.42	5
5	Clemson Tigers	9-1	81.27	12
6	Michigan Wolverines	10-0	79.45	3
7	LSU Tigers	8-2	77.51	7
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-2	76.42	10
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-3	75.89	20
10	Florida State Seminoles	7-3	74.74	25
11	North Carolina Tar Heels	9-1	71.31	15
12	UCLA Bruins	8-2	71.27	9
13	Utah Utes	8-2	71.25	13
14	Kansas State Wildcats	7-3	71.04	23
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-2	70.73	14
16	Texas Longhorns	6-4	70.52	18
17	USC Trojans	9-1	70.17	8
18	UCF Knights	8-2	69.58	22
19	Ole Miss Rebels	8-2	68.91	11
20	Washington Huskies	8-2	67.71	24
21	Louisville Cardinals	6-4	67.51	—
22	Oregon Ducks	8-2	67.06	6
23	NC State Wolfpack	7-3	67.02	17
24	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-3	66.86	—
25	Tulane Green Wave	8-2	65.69	16

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	9-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-0	3
3	Michigan Wolverines	9-0	6
4	TCU Horned Frogs	9-0	2
5	Tennessee Volunteers	8-1	4
6	Oregon Ducks	8-1	22
7	LSU Tigers	7-2	7
8	USC Trojans	8-1	17
9	UCLA Bruins	8-1	12
10	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-2	8
11	Ole Miss Rebels	8-1	19
12	Clemson Tigers	8-1	5
13	Utah Utes	7-2	13
14	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-2	15
15	North Carolina Tar Heels	8-1	11
16	Tulane Green Wave	8-1	25
17	NC State Wolfpack	7-2	23
18	Texas Longhorns	6-3	16
19	Liberty Flames	8-1	37
20	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6-3	9
21	Illinois Fighting Illini	7-2	35
22	UCF Knights	7-2	18
23	Kansas State Wildcats	6-3	14
24	Washington Huskies	7-2	20
25	Florida State Seminoles	6-3	10

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Liberty Flames — model #37 vs AP #19 (Δ +18; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #22 vs AP #6 (Δ +16; model lower)
Florida State Seminoles — model #10 vs AP #25 (Δ -15; model higher)
Illinois Fighting Illini — model #35 vs AP #21 (Δ +14; model lower)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #9 vs AP #20 (Δ -11; model higher)

Week 12

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 778 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	11-0	96.81	1
2	TCU Horned Frogs	11-0	88.93	4
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-0	86.04	2
4	Tennessee Volunteers	9-2	84.86	5
5	Clemson Tigers	10-1	80.96	9
6	LSU Tigers	9-2	79.28	6
7	Michigan Wolverines	11-0	78.8	3
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-2	77.09	8
9	Texas Longhorns	7-4	75.71	—
10	Florida State Seminoles	8-3	75.61	20
11	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-3	73.97	18
12	USC Trojans	10-1	73.33	7
13	Oregon Ducks	9-2	71.88	12
14	Louisville Cardinals	7-4	71.38	—
15	Kansas State Wildcats	8-3	71.05	19
16	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-2	70.15	11
17	UCLA Bruins	8-3	69.78	16
18	Tulane Green Wave	9-2	68.89	21
19	North Carolina Tar Heels	9-2	68.42	13
20	Utah Utes	8-3	67.45	10
21	Ole Miss Rebels	8-3	67.01	14
22	UCF Knights	8-3	66.99	17
23	Washington Huskies	9-2	66.78	15
24	Baylor Bears	6-5	65.39	—
25	Troy Trojans	9-2	65.3	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	10-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-0	3
3	Michigan Wolverines	10-0	7
4	TCU Horned Frogs	10-0	2
5	Tennessee Volunteers	9-1	4
6	LSU Tigers	8-2	6
7	USC Trojans	9-1	12
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-2	8
9	Clemson Tigers	9-1	5
10	Utah Utes	8-2	20
11	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-2	16
12	Oregon Ducks	8-2	13
13	North Carolina Tar Heels	9-1	19
14	Ole Miss Rebels	8-2	21
15	Washington Huskies	8-2	23
16	UCLA Bruins	8-2	17
17	UCF Knights	8-2	22
18	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-3	11
19	Kansas State Wildcats	7-3	15
20	Florida State Seminoles	7-3	10
21	Tulane Green Wave	8-2	18
22	Cincinnati Bearcats	8-2	44
23	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	9-1	29
24	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-3	27
25	Oregon State Beavers	7-3	31

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Cincinnati Bearcats — model #44 vs AP #22 (Δ +22; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #20 vs AP #10 (Δ +10; model lower)
Florida State Seminoles — model #10 vs AP #20 (Δ -10; model higher)
Washington Huskies — model #23 vs AP #15 (Δ +8; model lower)
Ole Miss Rebels — model #21 vs AP #14 (Δ +7; model lower)

Week 13

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 841 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	12-0	99.57	1
2	Michigan Wolverines	12-0	86.36	3
3	Tennessee Volunteers	10-2	85.39	9
4	TCU Horned Frogs	12-0	84.88	4
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-1	79.65	2
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-2	78.11	8
7	Clemson Tigers	10-2	77.9	7
8	USC Trojans	11-1	76.57	5
9	LSU Tigers	9-3	76.18	6
10	Florida State Seminoles	9-3	74.62	16
11	Texas Longhorns	8-4	74.08	24
12	Tulane Green Wave	10-2	72.12	19
13	Louisville Cardinals	7-5	71.54	—
14	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	71.32	11
15	Washington Huskies	10-2	70.93	12
16	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-4	69.9	13
17	UCLA Bruins	9-3	69.26	17
18	Utah Utes	9-3	68.16	14
19	Oregon Ducks	9-3	68.07	10
20	South Carolina Gamecocks	8-4	68.0	—
21	Kansas State Wildcats	9-3	67.9	15
22	Ole Miss Rebels	8-4	67.65	20
23	NC State Wolfpack	8-4	67.48	—
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	67.2	—
25	Kentucky Wildcats	7-5	66.78	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	11-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-0	5
3	Michigan Wolverines	11-0	2
4	TCU Horned Frogs	11-0	4
5	USC Trojans	10-1	8
6	LSU Tigers	9-2	9
7	Clemson Tigers	10-1	7
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-2	6
9	Tennessee Volunteers	9-2	3
10	Oregon Ducks	9-2	19
11	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-2	14
12	Washington Huskies	9-2	15
13	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-3	16
14	Utah Utes	8-3	18
15	Kansas State Wildcats	8-3	21
16	Florida State Seminoles	8-3	10
17	UCLA Bruins	8-3	17
18	North Carolina Tar Heels	9-2	28
19	Tulane Green Wave	9-2	12
20	Ole Miss Rebels	8-3	22
21	Cincinnati Bearcats	9-2	44
22	Oregon State Beavers	8-3	27
23	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	9-1	36
24	Texas Longhorns	7-4	11
25	UCF Knights	8-3	29

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Cincinnati Bearcats — model #44 vs AP #21 (Δ +23; model lower)
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers — model #36 vs AP #23 (Δ +13; model lower)
Texas Longhorns — model #11 vs AP #24 (Δ -13; model higher)
North Carolina Tar Heels — model #28 vs AP #18 (Δ +10; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #19 vs AP #10 (Δ +9; model lower)

Week 14

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 853 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	13-0	103.26	1
2	Michigan Wolverines	13-0	87.34	2
3	TCU Horned Frogs	12-1	84.54	3
4	Tennessee Volunteers	10-2	83.62	7
5	Clemson Tigers	11-2	80.33	10
6	Utah Utes	10-3	79.52	12
7	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-1	78.96	5
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-2	77.22	6
9	Kansas State Wildcats	10-3	75.5	13
10	Florida State Seminoles	9-3	74.39	14
11	Tulane Green Wave	11-2	74.32	18
12	LSU Tigers	9-4	73.77	11
13	Texas Longhorns	8-4	72.79	21
14	USC Trojans	11-2	72.03	4
15	Washington Huskies	10-2	70.33	9
16	Louisville Cardinals	7-5	70.29	—
17	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	70.09	8
18	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-4	67.87	19
19	UCLA Bruins	9-3	67.34	17
20	South Carolina Gamecocks	8-4	67.01	20
21	NC State Wolfpack	8-4	67.01	—
22	Ole Miss Rebels	8-4	66.97	—
23	Troy Trojans	11-2	66.89	—
24	Kentucky Wildcats	7-5	66.83	—
25	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	66.17	25

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	12-0	1
2	Michigan Wolverines	12-0	2
3	TCU Horned Frogs	12-0	3
4	USC Trojans	11-1	14
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-1	7
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-2	8
7	Tennessee Volunteers	10-2	4
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	17
9	Washington Huskies	10-2	15
10	Clemson Tigers	10-2	5
11	LSU Tigers	9-3	12
12	Utah Utes	9-3	6
13	Kansas State Wildcats	9-3	9
14	Florida State Seminoles	9-3	10
15	Oregon Ducks	9-3	26
16	Oregon State Beavers	9-3	27
17	UCLA Bruins	9-3	19
18	Tulane Green Wave	10-2	11
19	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-4	18
20	South Carolina Gamecocks	8-4	20
21	Texas Longhorns	8-4	13
22	UCF Knights	9-3	29
23	UTSA Roadrunners	10-2	30
24	North Carolina Tar Heels	9-3	28
25	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	25

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Oregon Ducks — model #26 vs AP #15 (Δ +11; model lower)
Oregon State Beavers — model #27 vs AP #16 (Δ +11; model lower)
USC Trojans — model #14 vs AP #4 (Δ +10; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #17 vs AP #8 (Δ +9; model lower)
Texas Longhorns — model #13 vs AP #21 (Δ -8; model higher)

Week 15

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 854 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	13-0	103.24	1
2	Michigan Wolverines	13-0	87.28	2
3	TCU Horned Frogs	12-1	84.62	3
4	Tennessee Volunteers	10-2	83.62	6
5	Clemson Tigers	11-2	80.31	10
6	Utah Utes	10-3	79.44	7
7	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-1	78.9	4
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-2	77.48	5
9	Kansas State Wildcats	10-3	75.45	11
10	Florida State Seminoles	9-3	74.35	13
11	Tulane Green Wave	11-2	74.11	14
12	LSU Tigers	9-4	73.77	16
13	Texas Longhorns	8-4	73.67	21
14	USC Trojans	11-2	71.99	8
15	Louisville Cardinals	7-5	70.29	—
16	Washington Huskies	10-2	70.26	12
17	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	70.03	9
18	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-4	67.85	19
19	UCLA Bruins	9-3	67.27	18
20	NC State Wolfpack	8-4	67.08	25
21	South Carolina Gamecocks	8-4	67.01	20
22	Troy Trojans	11-2	66.95	23
23	Ole Miss Rebels	8-4	66.94	—
24	Kentucky Wildcats	7-5	66.8	—
25	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	66.11	24

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	13-0	1
2	Michigan Wolverines	13-0	2
3	TCU Horned Frogs	12-1	3
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-1	7
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-2	8
6	Tennessee Volunteers	10-2	4
7	Utah Utes	10-3	6
8	USC Trojans	11-2	14
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	17
10	Clemson Tigers	11-2	5
11	Kansas State Wildcats	10-3	9
12	Washington Huskies	10-2	16
13	Florida State Seminoles	9-3	10
14	Tulane Green Wave	11-2	11
15	Oregon Ducks	9-3	26
16	LSU Tigers	9-4	12
17	Oregon State Beavers	9-3	27
18	UCLA Bruins	9-3	19
19	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-4	18
20	South Carolina Gamecocks	8-4	21
21	Texas Longhorns	8-4	13
22	UTSA Roadrunners	11-2	30
23	Troy Trojans	11-2	22
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	25
25	NC State Wolfpack	8-4	20

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Oregon Ducks — model #26 vs AP #15 (Δ +11; model lower)
Oregon State Beavers — model #27 vs AP #17 (Δ +10; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #17 vs AP #9 (Δ +8; model lower)
Texas Longhorns — model #13 vs AP #21 (Δ -8; model higher)
UTSA Roadrunners — model #30 vs AP #22 (Δ +8; model lower)

Final (postseason)

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 896 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	15-0	111.09	1
2	Tennessee Volunteers	11-2	87.19	6
3	Michigan Wolverines	13-1	85.27	3
4	TCU Horned Frogs	13-2	81.77	2
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-2	80.59	4
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-2	80.19	5
7	Tulane Green Wave	12-2	78.52	9
8	Clemson Tigers	11-3	76.76	13
9	Utah Utes	10-4	76.08	10
10	Washington Huskies	11-2	75.91	8
11	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-2	75.65	7
12	LSU Tigers	10-4	75.32	16
13	Florida State Seminoles	10-3	72.84	11
14	USC Trojans	11-3	71.33	12
15	Louisville Cardinals	8-5	69.97	—
16	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-4	69.82	18
17	Oregon Ducks	10-3	68.63	15
18	Kansas State Wildcats	10-4	68.43	14
19	Texas Longhorns	8-5	68.38	25
20	Troy Trojans	12-2	68.25	19
21	Mississippi State Bulldogs	9-4	68.19	20
22	NC State Wolfpack	8-5	67.13	—
23	Oregon State Beavers	10-3	67.05	17
24	North Carolina Tar Heels	9-5	66.06	—
25	Pittsburgh Panthers	9-4	64.32	22

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	15-0	1
2	TCU Horned Frogs	13-2	4
3	Michigan Wolverines	13-1	3
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-2	5
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-2	6
6	Tennessee Volunteers	11-2	2
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-2	11
8	Washington Huskies	11-2	10
9	Tulane Green Wave	12-2	7
10	Utah Utes	10-4	9
11	Florida State Seminoles	10-3	13
12	USC Trojans	11-3	14
13	Clemson Tigers	11-3	8
14	Kansas State Wildcats	10-4	18
15	Oregon Ducks	10-3	17
16	LSU Tigers	10-4	12
17	Oregon State Beavers	10-3	23
18	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-4	16
19	Troy Trojans	12-2	20
20	Mississippi State Bulldogs	9-4	21
21	UCLA Bruins	9-4	32
22	Pittsburgh Panthers	9-4	25
23	South Carolina Gamecocks	8-5	26
24	Fresno State Bulldogs	10-4	39
25	Texas Longhorns	8-5	19

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Fresno State Bulldogs — model #39 vs AP #24 (Δ +15; model lower)
UCLA Bruins — model #32 vs AP #21 (Δ +11; model lower)
Oregon State Beavers — model #23 vs AP #17 (Δ +6; model lower)
Texas Longhorns — model #19 vs AP #25 (Δ -6; model higher)
Clemson Tigers — model #8 vs AP #13 (Δ -5; model higher)