2021 season — Model vs AP

Full weekly rankings with the current late-tuned config. Side-by-side Model Top 25 and AP Top 25 for every week with available poll data.

Final #1 match

Final model #1

Georgia Bulldogs

Final AP #1

Georgia Bulldogs

Download: summary.json · weekly_agreement.csv

Preseason (Coaches Poll)

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 0 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	100.0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	0-0	99.0	2
3	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	98.0	3
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	97.0	4
5	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	96.0	5
6	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	95.0	6
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	94.0	7
8	Iowa State Cyclones	0-0	93.0	8
9	North Carolina Tar Heels	0-0	92.0	9
10	Cincinnati Bearcats	0-0	91.0	10
11	Florida Gators	0-0	90.0	11
12	Oregon Ducks	0-0	89.0	12
13	LSU Tigers	0-0	88.0	13
14	USC Trojans	0-0	87.0	14
15	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	86.0	15
16	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	85.0	16
17	Indiana Hoosiers	0-0	84.0	17
18	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	83.0	18
19	Texas Longhorns	0-0	82.0	19
20	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	81.0	20
21	Washington Huskies	0-0	80.0	21
22	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	79.0	22
23	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	0-0	78.0	23
24	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	0-0	77.0	24
25	Ole Miss Rebels	0-0	76.0	25

AFCA Coaches Poll

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	0-0	2
3	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	3
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	4
5	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	5
6	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	6
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	7
8	Iowa State Cyclones	0-0	8
9	North Carolina Tar Heels	0-0	9
10	Cincinnati Bearcats	0-0	10
11	Florida Gators	0-0	11
12	Oregon Ducks	0-0	12
13	LSU Tigers	0-0	13
14	USC Trojans	0-0	14
15	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	15
16	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	16
17	Indiana Hoosiers	0-0	17
18	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	18
19	Texas Longhorns	0-0	19
20	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	20
21	Washington Huskies	0-0	21
22	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	22
23	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	0-0	23
24	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	0-0	24
25	Ole Miss Rebels	0-0	25

Week 1

Model #1 UCLA Bruins AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 89 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	UCLA Bruins	2-0	89.13	—
2	UTSA Roadrunners	1-0	85.48	—
3	Oregon Ducks	1-0	74.54	11
4	Michigan State Spartans	1-0	72.83	—
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-0	71.78	4
6	Baylor Bears	1-0	71.31	—
7	USC Trojans	1-0	70.25	15
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	1-0	70.17	19
9	Ole Miss Rebels	1-0	69.17	—
10	Syracuse Orange	1-0	68.97	—
11	Nevada Wolf Pack	1-0	68.69	—
12	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	68.68	1
13	Utah State Aggies	1-0	68.61	—
14	Kansas State Wildcats	1-0	67.98	—
15	Army Black Knights	1-0	67.73	—
16	Florida Gators	1-0	67.58	13
17	Texas Tech Red Raiders	1-0	67.31	—
18	Arkansas Razorbacks	1-0	67.26	—
19	UTEP Miners	2-0	66.77	—
20	Marshall Thundering Herd	1-0	66.32	—
21	Northern Illinois Huskies	1-0	66.32	—
22	Texas Longhorns	1-0	66.01	21
23	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1-0	65.85	9
24	Maryland Terrapins	1-0	65.66	—
25	Purdue Boilermakers	1-0	65.41	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	12
2	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	39
3	Clemson Tigers	0-0	97
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	5
5	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	26
6	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	28
7	Iowa State Cyclones	0-0	68
8	Cincinnati Bearcats	0-0	46
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	23
10	North Carolina Tar Heels	0-0	88
11	Oregon Ducks	0-0	3
12	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	87
13	Florida Gators	0-0	16
14	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	112
15	USC Trojans	0-0	7
16	LSU Tigers	0-0	72
17	Indiana Hoosiers	0-0	106
18	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	29
19	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	8
20	Washington Huskies	0-0	118
21	Texas Longhorns	0-0	22
22	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	0-0	57
23	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	0-0	101
24	Utah Utes	0-0	66
25	Arizona State Sun Devils	0-0	63

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Miami Hurricanes — model #112 vs AP #14 (Δ +98; model lower)
Washington Huskies — model #118 vs AP #20 (Δ +98; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #97 vs AP #3 (Δ +94; model lower)
Indiana Hoosiers — model #106 vs AP #17 (Δ +89; model lower)
North Carolina Tar Heels — model #88 vs AP #10 (Δ +78; model lower)

Week 2

Model #1 Oregon Ducks AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 171 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Oregon Ducks	2-0	88.8	12
2	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	2-0	79.42	—
3	Iowa Hawkeyes	2-0	78.61	10
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	2-0	77.35	11
5	Kentucky Wildcats	2-0	75.43	—
6	Florida Gators	2-0	74.7	13
7	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	73.88	2
8	Pittsburgh Panthers	2-0	73.7	—
9	Mississippi State Bulldogs	2-0	72.93	—
10	Texas A&M Aggies	2-0	72.19	5
11	Arkansas Razorbacks	2-0	72.16	—
12	Virginia Tech Hokies	2-0	71.91	19
13	Baylor Bears	2-0	70.53	—
14	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	69.5	1
15	Purdue Boilermakers	2-0	69.31	—
16	Kansas State Wildcats	2-0	68.46	—
17	Virginia Cavaliers	2-0	68.03	—
18	Maryland Terrapins	2-0	67.75	—
19	UCLA Bruins	2-0	67.67	16
20	Michigan State Spartans	2-0	67.4	—
21	Michigan Wolverines	2-0	66.84	—
22	UTSA Roadrunners	2-0	66.53	—
23	UCF Knights	2-0	65.87	—
24	Ole Miss Rebels	2-0	65.79	20
25	Texas Tech Red Raiders	2-0	64.94	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	14
2	Georgia Bulldogs	1-0	7
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-0	27
4	Oklahoma Sooners	1-0	26
5	Texas A&M Aggies	1-0	10
6	Clemson Tigers	0-1	76
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	1-0	61
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1-0	32
9	Iowa State Cyclones	1-0	78
10	Iowa Hawkeyes	1-0	3
11	Penn State Nittany Lions	1-0	4
12	Oregon Ducks	1-0	1
13	Florida Gators	1-0	6
14	USC Trojans	1-0	68
15	Texas Longhorns	1-0	60
16	UCLA Bruins	2-0	19
17	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	1-0	46
18	Wisconsin Badgers	0-1	50
19	Virginia Tech Hokies	1-0	12
20	Ole Miss Rebels	1-0	24
21	Utah Utes	1-0	84
22	Miami Hurricanes	0-1	58
23	Arizona State Sun Devils	1-0	55
24	North Carolina Tar Heels	0-1	67
25	Auburn Tigers	1-0	45

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Clemson Tigers — model #76 vs AP #6 (Δ +70; model lower)
Iowa State Cyclones — model #78 vs AP #9 (Δ +69; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #84 vs AP #21 (Δ +63; model lower)
Cincinnati Bearcats — model #61 vs AP #7 (Δ +54; model lower)
USC Trojans — model #68 vs AP #14 (Δ +54; model lower)

Week 3

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 244 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	83.51	2
2	Kansas State Wildcats	3-0	82.85	—
3	Oregon Ducks	3-0	82.2	4
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	3-0	79.67	10
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	79.55	1
6	Maryland Terrapins	3-0	78.68	—
7	Michigan Wolverines	3-0	77.11	25
8	Iowa Hawkeyes	3-0	76.49	5
9	Stanford Cardinal	2-1	72.87	—
10	Arkansas Razorbacks	3-0	72.16	20
11	Michigan State Spartans	3-0	72.14	—
12	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-1	72.12	9
13	Ole Miss Rebels	3-0	70.68	17
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3-0	69.38	12
15	West Virginia Mountaineers	2-1	69.37	—
16	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	3-0	68.82	—
17	Baylor Bears	3-0	68.72	—
18	Texas A&M Aggies	3-0	68.59	7
19	Texas Tech Red Raiders	3-0	66.97	—
20	Virginia Tech Hokies	2-1	66.55	15
21	Florida Gators	2-1	66.39	11
22	Oklahoma Sooners	3-0	65.39	3
23	BYU Cougars	3-0	65.1	23
24	Kentucky Wildcats	3-0	64.92	—
25	Army Black Knights	3-0	64.91	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	5
2	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	1
3	Oklahoma Sooners	2-0	22
4	Oregon Ducks	2-0	3
5	Iowa Hawkeyes	2-0	8
6	Clemson Tigers	1-1	59
7	Texas A&M Aggies	2-0	18
8	Cincinnati Bearcats	2-0	33
9	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-1	12
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	2-0	4
11	Florida Gators	2-0	21
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2-0	14
13	UCLA Bruins	2-0	43
14	Iowa State Cyclones	1-1	56
15	Virginia Tech Hokies	2-0	20
16	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	2-0	42
17	Ole Miss Rebels	2-0	13
18	Wisconsin Badgers	1-1	46
19	Arizona State Sun Devils	2-0	75
20	Arkansas Razorbacks	2-0	10
21	North Carolina Tar Heels	1-1	32
22	Auburn Tigers	2-0	51
23	BYU Cougars	2-0	23
24	Miami Hurricanes	1-1	72
25	Michigan Wolverines	2-0	7

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Arizona State Sun Devils — model #75 vs AP #19 (Δ +56; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #59 vs AP #6 (Δ +53; model lower)
Miami Hurricanes — model #72 vs AP #24 (Δ +48; model lower)
Iowa State Cyclones — model #56 vs AP #14 (Δ +42; model lower)
UCLA Bruins — model #43 vs AP #13 (Δ +30; model lower)

Week 4

Model #1 Michigan Wolverines AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 311 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Michigan Wolverines	4-0	87.47	19
2	Arkansas Razorbacks	4-0	86.03	16
3	Georgia Bulldogs	4-0	82.52	2
4	Oregon Ducks	4-0	80.28	3
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	79.88	1
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-0	78.49	12
7	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-0	76.63	—
8	Iowa Hawkeyes	4-0	75.18	5
9	Michigan State Spartans	4-0	75.15	20
10	UCLA Bruins	3-1	73.79	24
11	Kentucky Wildcats	4-0	71.73	—
12	Florida Gators	3-1	70.7	11
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-0	70.67	6
14	Maryland Terrapins	4-0	69.57	—
15	Fresno State Bulldogs	4-1	68.47	22
16	Baylor Bears	4-0	67.6	—
17	Purdue Boilermakers	3-1	67.14	—
18	Oklahoma Sooners	4-0	67.04	4
19	Texas Longhorns	3-1	67.03	—
20	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	3-1	66.73	—
21	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-1	66.34	10
22	Ole Miss Rebels	3-0	66.2	13
23	Boston College Eagles	4-0	66.16	—
24	LSU Tigers	3-1	65.94	—
25	BYU Cougars	4-0	65.03	15

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	5
2	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	3
3	Oregon Ducks	3-0	4
4	Oklahoma Sooners	3-0	18
5	Iowa Hawkeyes	3-0	8
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	3-0	13
7	Texas A&M Aggies	3-0	32
8	Cincinnati Bearcats	3-0	37
9	Clemson Tigers	2-1	53
10	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-1	21
11	Florida Gators	2-1	12
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3-0	6
13	Ole Miss Rebels	3-0	22
14	Iowa State Cyclones	2-1	59
15	BYU Cougars	3-0	25
16	Arkansas Razorbacks	3-0	2
17	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	3-0	39
18	Wisconsin Badgers	1-1	52
19	Michigan Wolverines	3-0	1
20	Michigan State Spartans	3-0	9
21	North Carolina Tar Heels	2-1	69
22	Fresno State Bulldogs	3-1	15
23	Auburn Tigers	2-1	49
24	UCLA Bruins	2-1	10
25	Kansas State Wildcats	3-0	28

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

North Carolina Tar Heels — model #69 vs AP #21 (Δ +48; model lower)
Iowa State Cyclones — model #59 vs AP #14 (Δ +45; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #53 vs AP #9 (Δ +44; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #52 vs AP #18 (Δ +34; model lower)
Cincinnati Bearcats — model #37 vs AP #8 (Δ +29; model lower)

Week 5

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 372 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	5-0	90.98	2
2	Iowa Hawkeyes	5-0	84.24	5
3	Michigan Wolverines	5-0	83.88	14
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	80.2	1
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-1	77.66	11
6	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-0	75.31	19
7	Kentucky Wildcats	5-0	75.06	—
8	Arkansas Razorbacks	4-1	74.72	8
9	Oklahoma Sooners	5-0	74.33	6
10	BYU Cougars	5-0	74.02	13
11	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-0	72.76	4
12	Cincinnati Bearcats	4-0	71.56	7
13	Michigan State Spartans	5-0	71.36	17
14	Oregon Ducks	4-1	71.13	3
15	Texas Longhorns	4-1	69.86	—
16	UCLA Bruins	3-2	69.41	20
17	Stanford Cardinal	3-2	68.11	—
18	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	5-0	68.1	24
19	Florida Gators	3-2	66.98	10
20	Kansas State Wildcats	3-2	66.91	—
21	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-1	66.64	9
22	Arizona State Sun Devils	4-1	66.54	—
23	Pittsburgh Panthers	4-1	65.99	—
24	Oregon State Beavers	4-1	65.25	—
25	Auburn Tigers	4-1	65.06	22

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	4
2	Georgia Bulldogs	4-0	1
3	Oregon Ducks	4-0	14
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-0	11
5	Iowa Hawkeyes	4-0	2
6	Oklahoma Sooners	4-0	9
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	3-0	12
8	Arkansas Razorbacks	4-0	8
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-0	21
10	Florida Gators	3-1	19
11	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-1	5
12	Ole Miss Rebels	3-0	37
13	BYU Cougars	4-0	10
14	Michigan Wolverines	4-0	3
15	Texas A&M Aggies	3-1	60
16	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	4-0	41
17	Michigan State Spartans	4-0	13
18	Fresno State Bulldogs	4-1	38
19	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-0	6
20	UCLA Bruins	3-1	16
21	Baylor Bears	4-0	32
22	Auburn Tigers	3-1	25
23	NC State Wolfpack	3-1	36
24	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	4-0	18
25	Clemson Tigers	2-2	39

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Texas A&M Aggies — model #60 vs AP #15 (Δ +45; model lower)
Ole Miss Rebels — model #37 vs AP #12 (Δ +25; model lower)
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers — model #41 vs AP #16 (Δ +25; model lower)
Fresno State Bulldogs — model #38 vs AP #18 (Δ +20; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #39 vs AP #25 (Δ +14; model lower)

Week 6

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 423 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	6-0	95.57	2
2	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-0	85.24	3
3	Michigan Wolverines	6-0	84.67	9
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-1	78.81	1
5	Kentucky Wildcats	6-0	77.81	16
6	Oklahoma Sooners	6-0	76.93	6
7	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-1	76.46	7
8	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-0	76.09	12
9	Michigan State Spartans	6-0	74.62	11
10	Cincinnati Bearcats	5-0	74.45	5
11	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	6-0	72.92	19
12	BYU Cougars	5-1	72.07	10
13	Arkansas Razorbacks	4-2	71.36	13
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-1	69.8	14
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-1	69.58	4
16	Florida Gators	4-2	69.31	20
17	Arizona State Sun Devils	5-1	68.95	22
18	Oregon Ducks	4-1	67.53	8
19	Pittsburgh Panthers	4-1	67.45	—
20	Ole Miss Rebels	4-1	66.92	17
21	Boise State Broncos	3-3	66.41	—
22	Kansas State Wildcats	3-2	65.64	—
23	Mississippi State Bulldogs	3-2	65.57	—
24	SMU Mustangs	6-0	65.54	24
25	Baylor Bears	5-1	65.06	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	4
2	Georgia Bulldogs	5-0	1
3	Iowa Hawkeyes	5-0	2
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-0	15
5	Cincinnati Bearcats	4-0	10
6	Oklahoma Sooners	5-0	6
7	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-1	7
8	Oregon Ducks	4-1	18
9	Michigan Wolverines	5-0	3
10	BYU Cougars	5-0	12
11	Michigan State Spartans	5-0	9
12	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-0	8
13	Arkansas Razorbacks	4-1	13
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-1	14
15	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	5-0	36
16	Kentucky Wildcats	5-0	5
17	Ole Miss Rebels	3-1	20
18	Auburn Tigers	4-1	34
19	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	5-0	11
20	Florida Gators	3-2	16
21	Texas Longhorns	4-1	27
22	Arizona State Sun Devils	4-1	17
23	NC State Wolfpack	4-1	37
24	SMU Mustangs	5-0	24
25	San Diego State Aztecs	4-0	33

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers — model #36 vs AP #15 (Δ +21; model lower)
Auburn Tigers — model #34 vs AP #18 (Δ +16; model lower)
NC State Wolfpack — model #37 vs AP #23 (Δ +14; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #15 vs AP #4 (Δ +11; model lower)
Kentucky Wildcats — model #5 vs AP #16 (Δ -11; model higher)

Week 7

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 475 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	7-0	99.35	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-1	83.25	5
3	Michigan Wolverines	6-0	80.65	8
4	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-0	80.62	12
5	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-1	80.04	2
6	Cincinnati Bearcats	6-0	75.37	3
7	Michigan State Spartans	7-0	75.21	10
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-1	74.84	6
9	Oklahoma Sooners	7-0	74.68	4
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-1	72.7	7
11	Kentucky Wildcats	6-1	72.06	11
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-1	71.96	14
13	Baylor Bears	6-1	70.8	—
14	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	6-0	69.58	16
15	Ole Miss Rebels	5-1	69.18	13
16	Auburn Tigers	5-2	68.57	—
17	Air Force Falcons	6-1	68.19	—
18	Texas A&M Aggies	5-2	68.08	21
19	Pittsburgh Panthers	5-1	67.97	—
20	Oregon Ducks	5-1	67.92	9
21	BYU Cougars	5-2	67.56	19
22	Purdue Boilermakers	4-2	65.61	—
23	Minnesota Golden Gophers	4-2	65.1	—
24	Arkansas Razorbacks	4-3	64.12	17
25	San Diego State Aztecs	6-0	63.9	24

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	6-0	1
2	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-0	5
3	Cincinnati Bearcats	5-0	6
4	Oklahoma Sooners	6-0	9
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-1	2
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-1	8
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-1	10
8	Michigan Wolverines	6-0	3
9	Oregon Ducks	4-1	20
10	Michigan State Spartans	6-0	7
11	Kentucky Wildcats	6-0	11
12	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-0	4
13	Ole Miss Rebels	4-1	15
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-1	12
15	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	6-0	41
16	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	6-0	14
17	Arkansas Razorbacks	4-2	24
18	Arizona State Sun Devils	5-1	29
19	BYU Cougars	5-1	21
20	Florida Gators	4-2	31
21	Texas A&M Aggies	4-2	18
22	NC State Wolfpack	4-1	33
23	SMU Mustangs	6-0	37
24	San Diego State Aztecs	5-0	25
25	Texas Longhorns	4-2	32

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers — model #41 vs AP #15 (Δ +26; model lower)
SMU Mustangs — model #37 vs AP #23 (Δ +14; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #20 vs AP #9 (Δ +11; model lower)
Arizona State Sun Devils — model #29 vs AP #18 (Δ +11; model lower)
Florida Gators — model #31 vs AP #20 (Δ +11; model lower)

Week 8

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 529 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	7-0	91.2	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-1	85.82	4
3	Michigan Wolverines	7-0	83.74	6
4	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-1	78.73	8
5	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-1	76.81	11
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-1	76.19	5
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	7-0	75.99	2
8	Oklahoma Sooners	8-0	74.9	3
9	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	7-0	74.49	16
10	Baylor Bears	6-1	73.61	20
11	Oregon Ducks	6-1	73.35	10
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6-1	73.29	13
13	Michigan State Spartans	7-0	72.7	9
14	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-2	71.1	7
15	Texas A&M Aggies	6-2	71.0	17
16	San Diego State Aztecs	7-0	70.01	22
17	Ole Miss Rebels	6-1	69.21	12
18	Kentucky Wildcats	6-1	68.41	15
19	Minnesota Golden Gophers	5-2	67.87	—
20	Pittsburgh Panthers	6-1	66.63	23
21	Iowa State Cyclones	5-2	66.55	—
22	Fresno State Bulldogs	6-2	66.38	—
23	Wisconsin Badgers	4-3	65.94	—
24	BYU Cougars	6-2	65.9	—
25	Auburn Tigers	5-2	65.65	19

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	7-0	1
2	Cincinnati Bearcats	6-0	7
3	Oklahoma Sooners	7-0	8
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-1	2
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-1	6
6	Michigan Wolverines	6-0	3
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-1	14
8	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-0	4
9	Michigan State Spartans	7-0	13
10	Oregon Ducks	5-1	11
11	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-1	5
12	Ole Miss Rebels	5-1	17
13	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-1	12
14	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	6-0	53
15	Kentucky Wildcats	6-1	18
16	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	6-0	9
17	Texas A&M Aggies	5-2	15
18	NC State Wolfpack	5-1	44
19	Auburn Tigers	5-2	25
20	Baylor Bears	6-1	10
21	SMU Mustangs	6-0	37
22	San Diego State Aztecs	6-0	16
23	Pittsburgh Panthers	5-1	20
24	UTSA Roadrunners	7-0	26
25	Purdue Boilermakers	4-2	29

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers — model #53 vs AP #14 (Δ +39; model lower)
NC State Wolfpack — model #44 vs AP #18 (Δ +26; model lower)
SMU Mustangs — model #37 vs AP #21 (Δ +16; model lower)
Baylor Bears — model #10 vs AP #20 (Δ -10; model higher)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #14 vs AP #7 (Δ +7; model lower)

Week 9

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 582 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	8-0	89.62	1
2	Michigan State Spartans	8-0	83.83	8
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-1	82.18	5
4	Michigan Wolverines	7-1	79.73	6
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-1	78.86	3
6	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-1	77.93	15
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-1	77.28	11
8	Cincinnati Bearcats	8-0	76.91	2
9	Oklahoma Sooners	9-0	76.37	4
10	Oregon Ducks	7-1	76.15	7
11	Wisconsin Badgers	5-3	73.87	—
12	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	8-0	73.59	13
13	Baylor Bears	7-1	73.56	16
14	Fresno State Bulldogs	7-2	70.7	—
15	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-2	70.6	9
16	Minnesota Golden Gophers	6-2	70.34	—
17	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-3	69.49	20
18	San Diego State Aztecs	7-1	68.04	21
19	BYU Cougars	7-2	67.99	25
20	Mississippi State Bulldogs	5-3	67.52	—
21	Auburn Tigers	6-2	66.94	18
22	Texas A&M Aggies	6-2	66.27	14
23	Boise State Broncos	4-4	65.9	—
24	Purdue Boilermakers	5-3	64.99	—
25	Iowa State Cyclones	5-3	64.12	22

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	7-0	1
2	Cincinnati Bearcats	7-0	8
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-1	5
4	Oklahoma Sooners	8-0	9
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-1	3
6	Michigan Wolverines	7-0	4
7	Oregon Ducks	6-1	10
8	Michigan State Spartans	7-0	2
9	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-1	15
10	Ole Miss Rebels	6-1	27
11	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6-1	7
12	Kentucky Wildcats	6-1	34
13	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	7-0	12
14	Texas A&M Aggies	6-2	22
15	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-1	6
16	Baylor Bears	6-1	13
17	Pittsburgh Panthers	6-1	30
18	Auburn Tigers	5-2	21
19	SMU Mustangs	7-0	46
20	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-2	17
21	San Diego State Aztecs	7-0	18
22	Iowa State Cyclones	5-2	25
23	UTSA Roadrunners	8-0	31
24	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	6-1	50
25	BYU Cougars	6-2	19

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

SMU Mustangs — model #46 vs AP #19 (Δ +27; model lower)
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers — model #50 vs AP #24 (Δ +26; model lower)
Kentucky Wildcats — model #34 vs AP #12 (Δ +22; model lower)
Ole Miss Rebels — model #27 vs AP #10 (Δ +17; model lower)
Pittsburgh Panthers — model #30 vs AP #17 (Δ +13; model lower)

Week 10

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 643 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	9-0	88.85	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-1	82.06	6
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-1	81.26	3
4	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-1	80.72	8
5	Michigan Wolverines	8-1	80.68	9
6	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-1	78.59	11
7	Michigan State Spartans	8-1	77.83	5
8	Wisconsin Badgers	6-3	77.2	—
9	Cincinnati Bearcats	9-0	74.99	2
10	Purdue Boilermakers	6-3	74.2	—
11	Oklahoma Sooners	9-0	73.59	4
12	Baylor Bears	7-2	73.5	14
13	Iowa Hawkeyes	7-2	72.74	19
14	Boise State Broncos	5-4	72.47	—
15	Texas A&M Aggies	7-2	72.28	13
16	Oregon Ducks	8-1	72.01	7
17	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-3	69.09	22
18	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	8-1	67.58	10
19	San Diego State Aztecs	8-1	67.51	—
20	Fresno State Bulldogs	7-3	67.2	25
21	BYU Cougars	8-2	67.16	17
22	UTSA Roadrunners	9-0	66.94	16
23	Auburn Tigers	6-3	66.58	12
24	Ole Miss Rebels	7-2	66.37	15
25	Iowa State Cyclones	6-3	66.15	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	8-0	1
2	Cincinnati Bearcats	8-0	9
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-1	3
4	Oklahoma Sooners	9-0	11
5	Michigan State Spartans	8-0	7
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-1	2
7	Oregon Ducks	7-1	16
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-1	4
9	Michigan Wolverines	7-1	5
10	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	8-0	18
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-1	6
12	Auburn Tigers	6-2	23
13	Texas A&M Aggies	6-2	15
14	Baylor Bears	7-1	12
15	Ole Miss Rebels	6-2	24
16	UTSA Roadrunners	8-0	22
17	BYU Cougars	7-2	21
18	Kentucky Wildcats	6-2	41
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-2	13
20	Houston Cougars	7-1	34
21	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	7-1	46
22	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-3	17
23	SMU Mustangs	7-1	49
24	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	7-1	35
25	Fresno State Bulldogs	7-2	20

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

SMU Mustangs — model #49 vs AP #23 (Δ +26; model lower)
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers — model #46 vs AP #21 (Δ +25; model lower)
Kentucky Wildcats — model #41 vs AP #18 (Δ +23; model lower)
Houston Cougars — model #34 vs AP #20 (Δ +14; model lower)
Auburn Tigers — model #23 vs AP #12 (Δ +11; model lower)

Week 11

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 706 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	10-0	91.74	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-1	83.44	6
3	Michigan Wolverines	9-1	82.21	9
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-1	80.84	3
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-1	80.67	7
6	Oklahoma State Cowboys	9-1	79.76	10
7	Michigan State Spartans	9-1	77.61	8
8	Wisconsin Badgers	7-3	75.57	20
9	Baylor Bears	8-2	75.34	18
10	Ole Miss Rebels	8-2	73.79	12
11	Cincinnati Bearcats	10-0	73.54	2
12	Boise State Broncos	6-4	72.68	—
13	Oregon Ducks	9-1	72.2	5
14	Iowa Hawkeyes	8-2	71.03	19
15	Mississippi State Bulldogs	6-4	70.68	—
16	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	9-1	69.9	13
17	Oklahoma Sooners	9-1	69.74	4
18	San Diego State Aztecs	9-1	69.06	—
19	BYU Cougars	8-2	68.35	14
20	Texas A&M Aggies	7-3	67.6	11
21	Purdue Boilermakers	6-4	66.47	—
22	Fresno State Bulldogs	8-3	66.37	—
23	Pittsburgh Panthers	8-2	66.21	25
24	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-4	66.05	23
25	UTSA Roadrunners	10-0	65.78	15

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	9-0	1
2	Cincinnati Bearcats	9-0	11
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-1	4
4	Oklahoma Sooners	9-0	17
5	Oregon Ducks	8-1	13
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-1	2
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-1	5
8	Michigan State Spartans	8-1	7
9	Michigan Wolverines	8-1	3
10	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-1	6
11	Texas A&M Aggies	7-2	20
12	Ole Miss Rebels	7-2	10
13	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	8-1	16
14	BYU Cougars	8-2	19
15	UTSA Roadrunners	9-0	25
16	Auburn Tigers	6-3	32
17	Houston Cougars	8-1	31
18	Baylor Bears	7-2	9
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	7-2	14
20	Wisconsin Badgers	6-3	8
21	NC State Wolfpack	7-2	33
22	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	8-1	54
23	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-3	24
24	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	8-1	27
25	Pittsburgh Panthers	7-2	23

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers — model #54 vs AP #22 (Δ +32; model lower)
Auburn Tigers — model #32 vs AP #16 (Δ +16; model lower)
Houston Cougars — model #31 vs AP #17 (Δ +14; model lower)
Oklahoma Sooners — model #17 vs AP #4 (Δ +13; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #8 vs AP #20 (Δ -12; model higher)

Week 12

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 772 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	11-0	89.53	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-1	85.58	5
3	Oklahoma State Cowboys	10-1	82.27	9
4	Michigan Wolverines	10-1	81.95	8
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-1	81.49	2
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-1	77.72	6
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	11-0	77.27	3
8	Baylor Bears	9-2	76.68	11
9	Wisconsin Badgers	8-3	74.53	19
10	Ole Miss Rebels	9-2	72.57	10
11	San Diego State Aztecs	10-1	72.35	23
12	Boise State Broncos	7-4	71.62	—
13	Iowa Hawkeyes	9-2	70.64	18
14	Oklahoma Sooners	10-1	70.64	12
15	Mississippi State Bulldogs	7-4	70.39	—
16	Oregon Ducks	9-2	68.66	4
17	Michigan State Spartans	9-2	68.57	7
18	BYU Cougars	9-2	68.55	14
19	Pittsburgh Panthers	9-2	68.21	20
20	Purdue Boilermakers	7-4	67.68	—
21	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	9-2	66.96	13
22	Utah Utes	8-3	66.59	24
23	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	10-1	66.45	22
24	Air Force Falcons	8-3	65.9	—
25	Fresno State Bulldogs	8-3	65.79	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	10-0	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-1	5
3	Cincinnati Bearcats	10-0	7
4	Oregon Ducks	9-1	16
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-1	2
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-1	6
7	Michigan State Spartans	9-1	17
8	Michigan Wolverines	9-1	4
9	Oklahoma State Cowboys	9-1	3
10	Ole Miss Rebels	8-2	10
11	Baylor Bears	8-2	8
12	Oklahoma Sooners	9-1	14
13	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	9-1	21
14	BYU Cougars	8-2	18
15	UTSA Roadrunners	10-0	27
16	Texas A&M Aggies	7-3	28
17	Houston Cougars	9-1	30
18	Iowa Hawkeyes	8-2	13
19	Wisconsin Badgers	7-3	9
20	Pittsburgh Panthers	8-2	19
21	Arkansas Razorbacks	7-3	32
22	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	9-1	23
23	San Diego State Aztecs	9-1	11
24	Utah Utes	7-3	22
25	NC State Wolfpack	7-3	34

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Houston Cougars — model #30 vs AP #17 (Δ +13; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #16 vs AP #4 (Δ +12; model lower)
UTSA Roadrunners — model #27 vs AP #15 (Δ +12; model lower)
Texas A&M Aggies — model #28 vs AP #16 (Δ +12; model lower)
San Diego State Aztecs — model #11 vs AP #23 (Δ -12; model higher)

Week 13

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 837 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	12-0	88.61	1
2	Michigan Wolverines	11-1	87.49	6
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-1	83.09	3
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-2	81.89	2
5	Oklahoma State Cowboys	11-1	81.77	7
6	Cincinnati Bearcats	12-0	78.31	4
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-1	76.36	5
8	San Diego State Aztecs	11-1	75.12	22
9	Baylor Bears	10-2	75.12	9
10	Wisconsin Badgers	8-4	72.53	18
11	Ole Miss Rebels	10-2	72.25	8
12	Iowa Hawkeyes	10-2	71.61	17
13	Michigan State Spartans	10-2	71.12	12
14	Boise State Broncos	7-5	71.08	—
15	Oregon Ducks	10-2	71.0	11
16	Minnesota Golden Gophers	8-4	69.55	—
17	Pittsburgh Panthers	10-2	68.83	20
18	BYU Cougars	10-2	68.51	13
19	Oklahoma Sooners	10-2	68.13	10
20	Mississippi State Bulldogs	7-5	67.67	—
21	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	10-2	67.29	21
22	Utah Utes	9-3	67.05	16
23	Arkansas Razorbacks	8-4	67.02	25
24	Air Force Falcons	9-3	66.65	—
25	Fresno State Bulldogs	9-3	66.6	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	11-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-1	4
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-1	3
4	Cincinnati Bearcats	11-0	6
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-1	7
6	Michigan Wolverines	10-1	2
7	Oklahoma State Cowboys	10-1	5
8	Ole Miss Rebels	9-2	11
9	Baylor Bears	9-2	9
10	Oklahoma Sooners	10-1	19
11	Oregon Ducks	9-2	15
12	Michigan State Spartans	9-2	13
13	BYU Cougars	9-2	18
14	Texas A&M Aggies	8-3	32
15	UTSA Roadrunners	11-0	31
16	Utah Utes	8-3	22
17	Iowa Hawkeyes	9-2	12
18	Wisconsin Badgers	8-3	10
19	Houston Cougars	10-1	33
20	Pittsburgh Panthers	9-2	17
21	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	9-2	21
22	San Diego State Aztecs	10-1	8
23	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	10-1	27
24	NC State Wolfpack	8-3	36
25	Arkansas Razorbacks	7-4	23

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Texas A&M Aggies — model #32 vs AP #14 (Δ +18; model lower)
UTSA Roadrunners — model #31 vs AP #15 (Δ +16; model lower)
Houston Cougars — model #33 vs AP #19 (Δ +14; model lower)
San Diego State Aztecs — model #8 vs AP #22 (Δ -14; model higher)
NC State Wolfpack — model #36 vs AP #24 (Δ +12; model lower)

Week 14

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 differ 848 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	12-1	91.71	4
2	Michigan Wolverines	12-1	89.9	2
3	Georgia Bulldogs	12-1	84.74	1
4	Oklahoma State Cowboys	11-2	81.01	5
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-2	80.46	7
6	Baylor Bears	11-2	79.94	9
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	13-0	79.84	3
8	San Diego State Aztecs	11-2	75.03	19
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-1	74.44	6
10	Boise State Broncos	7-5	73.05	—
11	Utah Utes	10-3	72.46	14
12	Pittsburgh Panthers	11-2	71.75	17
13	Ole Miss Rebels	10-2	71.73	8
14	Wisconsin Badgers	8-4	70.94	—
15	Michigan State Spartans	10-2	70.35	11
16	BYU Cougars	10-2	69.89	12
17	Iowa Hawkeyes	10-3	69.62	15
18	Utah State Aggies	10-3	69.39	—
19	Oklahoma Sooners	10-2	68.34	13
20	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	12-1	67.98	20
21	Oregon Ducks	10-3	67.93	10
22	Minnesota Golden Gophers	8-4	67.92	—
23	Mississippi State Bulldogs	7-5	67.27	—
24	Arkansas Razorbacks	8-4	67.01	23
25	Air Force Falcons	9-3	66.44	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	12-0	3
2	Michigan Wolverines	11-1	2
3	Cincinnati Bearcats	12-0	7
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-1	1
5	Oklahoma State Cowboys	11-1	4
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-1	9
7	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-2	5
8	Ole Miss Rebels	10-2	13
9	Baylor Bears	10-2	6
10	Oregon Ducks	10-2	21
11	Michigan State Spartans	10-2	15
12	BYU Cougars	10-2	16
13	Oklahoma Sooners	10-2	19
14	Utah Utes	9-3	11
15	Iowa Hawkeyes	10-2	17
16	Houston Cougars	11-1	34
17	Pittsburgh Panthers	10-2	12
18	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	10-2	28
19	San Diego State Aztecs	11-1	8
20	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	11-1	20
21	NC State Wolfpack	9-3	38
22	Clemson Tigers	9-3	31
23	Arkansas Razorbacks	8-4	24
24	Texas A&M Aggies	8-4	33
25	Kentucky Wildcats	9-3	35

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Houston Cougars — model #34 vs AP #16 (Δ +18; model lower)
NC State Wolfpack — model #38 vs AP #21 (Δ +17; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #21 vs AP #10 (Δ +11; model lower)
San Diego State Aztecs — model #8 vs AP #19 (Δ -11; model higher)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons — model #28 vs AP #18 (Δ +10; model lower)

Week 15

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 849 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	12-1	91.71	1
2	Michigan Wolverines	12-1	89.87	2
3	Georgia Bulldogs	12-1	84.73	3
4	Oklahoma State Cowboys	11-2	81.0	9
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-2	80.45	7
6	Cincinnati Bearcats	13-0	80.28	4
7	Baylor Bears	11-2	79.94	6
8	San Diego State Aztecs	11-2	75.08	—
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-1	74.54	5
10	Boise State Broncos	7-5	72.98	—
11	Utah Utes	10-3	72.42	10
12	Ole Miss Rebels	10-2	71.71	8
13	Pittsburgh Panthers	11-2	71.7	13
14	Wisconsin Badgers	8-4	70.84	—
15	Michigan State Spartans	10-2	70.31	11
16	BYU Cougars	10-2	69.79	12
17	Iowa Hawkeyes	10-3	69.55	17
18	Utah State Aggies	10-3	69.44	—
19	Oklahoma Sooners	10-2	68.32	14
20	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	12-1	67.95	16
21	Minnesota Golden Gophers	8-4	67.92	—
22	Oregon Ducks	10-3	67.89	15
23	Mississippi State Bulldogs	7-5	67.27	—
24	Arkansas Razorbacks	8-4	66.99	22
25	Air Force Falcons	9-3	66.7	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	12-1	1
2	Michigan Wolverines	12-1	2
3	Georgia Bulldogs	12-1	3
4	Cincinnati Bearcats	13-0	6
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-1	9
6	Baylor Bears	11-2	7
7	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-2	5
8	Ole Miss Rebels	10-2	12
9	Oklahoma State Cowboys	11-2	4
10	Utah Utes	10-3	11
11	Michigan State Spartans	10-2	15
12	BYU Cougars	10-2	16
13	Pittsburgh Panthers	11-2	13
14	Oklahoma Sooners	10-2	19
15	Oregon Ducks	10-3	22
16	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	12-1	20
17	Iowa Hawkeyes	10-3	17
18	NC State Wolfpack	9-3	38
19	Clemson Tigers	9-3	31
20	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	10-3	28
21	Houston Cougars	11-2	34
22	Arkansas Razorbacks	8-4	24
23	Texas A&M Aggies	8-4	33
24	UTSA Roadrunners	12-1	30
25	Kentucky Wildcats	9-3	35

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

NC State Wolfpack — model #38 vs AP #18 (Δ +20; model lower)
Houston Cougars — model #34 vs AP #21 (Δ +13; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #31 vs AP #19 (Δ +12; model lower)
Texas A&M Aggies — model #33 vs AP #23 (Δ +10; model lower)
Kentucky Wildcats — model #35 vs AP #25 (Δ +10; model lower)

Final (postseason)

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Georgia Bulldogs #1 match 887 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	14-1	97.09	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	13-2	90.7	2
3	Michigan Wolverines	12-2	87.74	3
4	Oklahoma State Cowboys	12-2	84.96	7
5	Baylor Bears	12-2	83.9	5
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-2	82.13	6
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	13-1	77.74	4
8	Michigan State Spartans	11-2	74.94	9
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-2	73.93	8
10	San Diego State Aztecs	12-2	73.08	25
11	Pittsburgh Panthers	11-3	71.88	13
12	Oklahoma Sooners	11-2	71.61	10
13	Wisconsin Badgers	9-4	70.79	—
14	Utah State Aggies	11-3	70.22	24
15	Ole Miss Rebels	10-3	70.16	11
16	Boise State Broncos	7-5	69.79	—
17	Minnesota Golden Gophers	9-4	69.39	—
18	Clemson Tigers	10-3	68.5	14
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	10-4	68.06	23
20	Arkansas Razorbacks	9-4	67.77	21
21	Utah Utes	10-4	67.01	12
22	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	13-1	66.72	16
23	Kentucky Wildcats	10-3	66.25	18
24	Air Force Falcons	10-3	65.55	—
25	Purdue Boilermakers	9-4	65.11	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Georgia Bulldogs	14-1	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	13-2	2
3	Michigan Wolverines	12-2	3
4	Cincinnati Bearcats	13-1	7
5	Baylor Bears	12-2	5
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-2	6
7	Oklahoma State Cowboys	12-2	4
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-2	9
9	Michigan State Spartans	11-2	8
10	Oklahoma Sooners	11-2	12
11	Ole Miss Rebels	10-3	15
12	Utah Utes	10-4	21
13	Pittsburgh Panthers	11-3	11
14	Clemson Tigers	10-3	18
15	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	11-3	26
16	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	13-1	22
17	Houston Cougars	12-2	28
18	Kentucky Wildcats	10-3	23
19	BYU Cougars	10-3	27
20	NC State Wolfpack	9-3	38
21	Arkansas Razorbacks	9-4	20
22	Oregon Ducks	10-4	32
23	Iowa Hawkeyes	10-4	19
24	Utah State Aggies	11-3	14
25	San Diego State Aztecs	12-2	10

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

NC State Wolfpack — model #38 vs AP #20 (Δ +18; model lower)
San Diego State Aztecs — model #10 vs AP #25 (Δ -15; model higher)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons — model #26 vs AP #15 (Δ +11; model lower)
Houston Cougars — model #28 vs AP #17 (Δ +11; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #32 vs AP #22 (Δ +10; model lower)