2020 season — Model vs AP

Full weekly rankings with the current late-tuned config. Side-by-side Model Top 25 and AP Top 25 for every week with available poll data.

Final #1 match

Final model #1

Alabama Crimson Tide

Final AP #1

Alabama Crimson Tide

Download: summary.json · weekly_agreement.csv

Preseason (Coaches Poll)

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 match 0 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	0-0	100.0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	99.0	2
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	98.0	3
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	97.0	4
5	LSU Tigers	0-0	96.0	5
6	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	95.0	6
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	94.0	7
8	Florida Gators	0-0	93.0	8
9	Oregon Ducks	0-0	92.0	9
10	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	91.0	10
11	Auburn Tigers	0-0	90.0	11
12	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	89.0	12
13	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	88.0	13
14	Texas Longhorns	0-0	87.0	14
15	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	86.0	15
16	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	85.0	16
17	USC Trojans	0-0	84.0	17
18	Minnesota Golden Gophers	0-0	83.0	18
19	North Carolina Tar Heels	0-0	82.0	19
20	Utah Utes	0-0	81.0	20
21	UCF Knights	0-0	80.0	21
22	Cincinnati Bearcats	0-0	79.0	22
23	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	78.0	23
24	Virginia Tech Hokies	0-0	77.0	24
25	Iowa State Cyclones	0-0	76.0	25

AFCA Coaches Poll

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	0-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	2
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	3
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	4
5	LSU Tigers	0-0	5
6	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	6
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	7
8	Florida Gators	0-0	8
9	Oregon Ducks	0-0	9
10	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	10
11	Auburn Tigers	0-0	11
12	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	12
13	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	13
14	Texas Longhorns	0-0	14
15	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	15
16	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	16
17	USC Trojans	0-0	17
18	Minnesota Golden Gophers	0-0	18
19	North Carolina Tar Heels	0-0	19
20	Utah Utes	0-0	20
21	UCF Knights	0-0	21
22	Cincinnati Bearcats	0-0	22
23	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	23
24	Virginia Tech Hokies	0-0	24
25	Iowa State Cyclones	0-0	25

Week 1

Model #1 SMU Mustangs AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 differ 9 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	SMU Mustangs	1-0	71.89	—
2	South Alabama Jaguars	1-0	71.18	—
3	BYU Cougars	1-0	68.02	—
4	Memphis Tigers	1-0	64.53	—
5	Army Black Knights	1-0	63.88	—
6	Marshall Thundering Herd	1-0	51.7	—
7	North Texas Mean Green	1-0	48.62	—
8	Liberty Flames	0-0	48.34	—
9	Massachusetts Minutemen	0-0	47.99	—
10	New Mexico State Aggies	0-0	47.62	—
11	Cincinnati Bearcats	0-0	47.02	20
12	UCF Knights	0-0	47.01	21
13	Houston Cougars	0-0	46.91	—
14	Tulane Green Wave	0-0	46.89	—
15	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	0-0	46.88	—
16	East Carolina Pirates	0-0	46.87	—
17	South Florida Bulls	0-0	46.81	—
18	Temple Owls	0-0	46.78	—
19	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	0-0	46.71	—
20	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	0-0	46.67	—
21	Buffalo Bulls	0-0	46.64	—
22	Appalachian State Mountaineers	0-0	46.64	—
23	Georgia Southern Eagles	0-0	46.62	—
24	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	46.62	3
25	North Carolina Tar Heels	0-0	46.6	18

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	0-0	37
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	33
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	24
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	52
5	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	40
6	LSU Tigers	0-0	79
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	87
8	Florida Gators	0-0	30
9	Oregon Ducks	0-0	36
10	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	44
11	Auburn Tigers	0-0	71
12	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	100
13	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	42
14	Texas Longhorns	0-0	49
15	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	80
16	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	57
17	USC Trojans	0-0	78
18	North Carolina Tar Heels	0-0	25
19	Minnesota Golden Gophers	0-0	75
20	Cincinnati Bearcats	0-0	11
21	UCF Knights	0-0	12
22	Utah Utes	0-0	56
23	Iowa State Cyclones	0-0	41
24	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	84
25	Tennessee Volunteers	0-0	93

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Wisconsin Badgers — model #100 vs AP #12 (Δ +88; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #87 vs AP #7 (Δ +80; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #79 vs AP #6 (Δ +73; model lower)
Tennessee Volunteers — model #93 vs AP #25 (Δ +68; model lower)
Oklahoma State Cowboys — model #80 vs AP #15 (Δ +65; model lower)

Week 2

Model #1 Tulane Green Wave AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 differ 29 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Tulane Green Wave	1-0	88.88	—
2	Army Black Knights	2-0	79.32	—
3	Memphis Tigers	1-0	75.24	—
4	Clemson Tigers	1-0	67.64	1
5	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	1-0	66.47	—
6	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	1-0	65.33	—
7	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	1-0	65.13	—
8	BYU Cougars	1-0	64.54	—
9	Miami Hurricanes	1-0	63.5	—
10	North Carolina Tar Heels	1-0	61.72	18
11	SMU Mustangs	1-0	61.28	—
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1-0	61.11	10
13	Texas Longhorns	1-0	59.81	14
14	Appalachian State Mountaineers	1-0	59.41	—
15	Louisville Cardinals	1-0	59.29	—
16	South Alabama Jaguars	1-1	58.62	—
17	Arkansas State Red Wolves	1-1	55.94	—
18	UTSA Roadrunners	1-0	52.35	—
19	Pittsburgh Panthers	1-0	52.05	—
20	Marshall Thundering Herd	1-0	50.68	—
21	Oklahoma Sooners	1-0	49.91	5
22	West Virginia Mountaineers	1-0	49.73	—
23	Liberty Flames	0-0	48.15	—
24	Massachusetts Minutemen	0-0	47.57	—
25	South Florida Bulls	1-0	47.56	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	0-0	4
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	47
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	41
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	58
5	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	21
6	LSU Tigers	0-0	76
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	81
8	Florida Gators	0-0	44
9	Oregon Ducks	0-0	49
10	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	12
11	Auburn Tigers	0-0	72
12	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	92
13	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	50
14	Texas Longhorns	0-0	13
15	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	105
16	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	63
17	USC Trojans	0-0	75
18	North Carolina Tar Heels	0-0	10
19	Minnesota Golden Gophers	0-0	74
20	Cincinnati Bearcats	0-0	26
21	UCF Knights	0-0	27
22	Utah Utes	0-0	62
23	Iowa State Cyclones	0-0	120
24	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	78
25	Tennessee Volunteers	0-0	87

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Iowa State Cyclones — model #120 vs AP #23 (Δ +97; model lower)
Oklahoma State Cowboys — model #105 vs AP #15 (Δ +90; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #92 vs AP #12 (Δ +80; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #81 vs AP #7 (Δ +74; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #76 vs AP #6 (Δ +70; model lower)

Week 3

Model #1 BYU Cougars AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 differ 49 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	BYU Cougars	1-0	95.47	21
2	SMU Mustangs	2-0	80.52	—
3	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	2-0	77.46	19
4	Miami Hurricanes	2-0	76.57	17
5	UCF Knights	1-0	71.3	14
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2-0	66.83	7
7	Navy Midshipmen	1-1	65.15	—
8	Memphis Tigers	1-0	64.79	16
9	Army Black Knights	2-0	64.47	22
10	Marshall Thundering Herd	2-0	64.31	—
11	Clemson Tigers	2-0	62.6	1
12	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	2-0	61.96	—
13	UTSA Roadrunners	2-0	59.68	—
14	Tulane Green Wave	1-1	59.36	—
15	Boston College Eagles	1-0	58.46	—
16	Texas Longhorns	1-0	57.7	9
17	Pittsburgh Panthers	2-0	56.79	25
18	Liberty Flames	1-0	55.59	—
19	North Carolina Tar Heels	1-0	54.42	12
20	Troy Trojans	1-0	53.75	—
21	Arkansas State Red Wolves	1-1	52.74	—
22	Appalachian State Mountaineers	1-1	52.64	23
23	Oklahoma State Cowboys	1-0	52.42	11
24	South Alabama Jaguars	1-1	51.37	—
25	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	1-0	49.93	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	1-0	11
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	42
3	Oklahoma Sooners	1-0	31
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	60
5	Florida Gators	0-0	45
6	LSU Tigers	0-0	78
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1-0	6
8	Auburn Tigers	0-0	74
9	Texas Longhorns	1-0	16
10	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	51
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	23
12	North Carolina Tar Heels	1-0	19
13	Cincinnati Bearcats	0-0	26
14	UCF Knights	0-0	5
15	Tennessee Volunteers	0-0	89
16	Memphis Tigers	1-0	8
17	Miami Hurricanes	1-0	4
18	Louisville Cardinals	1-0	36
19	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	1-0	3
20	Virginia Tech Hokies	0-0	38
21	BYU Cougars	1-0	1
22	Army Black Knights	2-0	9
23	Kentucky Wildcats	0-0	91
23	Appalachian State Mountaineers	1-0	22
25	Pittsburgh Panthers	1-0	17

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Tennessee Volunteers — model #89 vs AP #15 (Δ +74; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #78 vs AP #6 (Δ +72; model lower)
Kentucky Wildcats — model #91 vs AP #23 (Δ +68; model lower)
Auburn Tigers — model #74 vs AP #8 (Δ +66; model lower)
Georgia Bulldogs — model #60 vs AP #4 (Δ +56; model lower)

Week 4

Model #1 BYU Cougars AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 differ 79 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	BYU Cougars	2-0	97.98	18
2	Miami Hurricanes	3-0	87.48	12
3	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	3-0	85.83	19
4	UCF Knights	2-0	76.58	13
5	SMU Mustangs	3-0	75.3	—
6	Texas Longhorns	2-0	70.19	8
7	Pittsburgh Panthers	3-0	69.0	21
8	Cincinnati Bearcats	2-0	67.48	14
9	Memphis Tigers	1-0	65.98	17
10	Oklahoma State Cowboys	2-0	65.5	15
11	Navy Midshipmen	1-1	65.49	—
12	Liberty Flames	2-0	64.79	—
13	Boston College Eagles	2-0	63.89	—
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2-0	62.07	7
15	Marshall Thundering Herd	2-0	61.44	25
16	Tulane Green Wave	2-1	60.9	—
17	North Carolina Tar Heels	1-0	60.47	11
18	Clemson Tigers	2-0	60.44	1
19	UTSA Roadrunners	3-0	59.24	—
20	Arkansas State Red Wolves	1-1	58.84	—
21	Virginia Tech Hokies	1-0	58.15	20
22	UAB Blazers	2-1	57.61	—
23	Army Black Knights	2-1	57.49	22
24	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	55.68	2
25	Georgia Bulldogs	1-0	55.25	4

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	2-0	18
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	24
3	Oklahoma Sooners	1-0	107
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	25
5	Florida Gators	0-0	27
6	LSU Tigers	0-0	118
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2-0	14
8	Auburn Tigers	0-0	32
8	Texas Longhorns	1-0	6
10	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	38
11	North Carolina Tar Heels	1-0	17
12	Miami Hurricanes	2-0	2
13	UCF Knights	1-0	4
14	Cincinnati Bearcats	1-0	8
15	Oklahoma State Cowboys	1-0	10
16	Tennessee Volunteers	0-0	28
17	Memphis Tigers	1-0	9
18	BYU Cougars	1-0	1
19	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	2-0	3
20	Virginia Tech Hokies	0-0	21
21	Pittsburgh Panthers	2-0	7
22	Army Black Knights	2-0	23
23	Kentucky Wildcats	0-0	114
24	Louisville Cardinals	1-1	40
25	Marshall Thundering Herd	2-0	15

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

LSU Tigers — model #118 vs AP #6 (Δ +112; model lower)
Oklahoma Sooners — model #107 vs AP #3 (Δ +104; model lower)
Kentucky Wildcats — model #114 vs AP #23 (Δ +91; model lower)
Texas A&M Aggies — model #38 vs AP #10 (Δ +28; model lower)
Auburn Tigers — model #32 vs AP #8 (Δ +24; model lower)

Week 5

Model #1 Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 differ 111 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	3-0	86.96	—
2	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	82.77	17
3	BYU Cougars	3-0	82.75	22
4	Miami Hurricanes	3-0	81.03	8
5	SMU Mustangs	4-0	74.46	—
6	North Carolina Tar Heels	2-0	73.58	12
7	Virginia Tech Hokies	2-0	73.25	—
8	Clemson Tigers	3-0	70.08	1
9	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	1-1	69.27	—
10	Iowa State Cyclones	2-1	68.66	—
11	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	68.08	4
12	NC State Wolfpack	2-1	66.51	—
13	Cincinnati Bearcats	3-0	64.94	15
14	TCU Horned Frogs	1-1	63.9	—
15	UAB Blazers	3-1	61.56	—
16	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	3-0	61.15	—
17	UCF Knights	2-1	61.13	11
18	Liberty Flames	3-0	60.33	—
19	Pittsburgh Panthers	3-1	59.25	24
20	Florida Gators	2-0	59.07	3
21	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	58.32	2
22	Texas Longhorns	2-1	58.32	9
23	Tulane Green Wave	2-1	57.71	—
24	Memphis Tigers	1-1	57.21	25
25	Boston College Eagles	2-1	56.97	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	2-0	8
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	21
3	Florida Gators	1-0	20
4	Georgia Bulldogs	1-0	11
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2-0	26
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	60
7	Auburn Tigers	1-0	51
8	Miami Hurricanes	3-0	4
9	Texas Longhorns	2-0	22
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	90
11	UCF Knights	2-0	17
12	North Carolina Tar Heels	1-0	6
13	Texas A&M Aggies	1-0	112
14	Oregon Ducks	0-0	65
15	Cincinnati Bearcats	2-0	13
16	Mississippi State Bulldogs	1-0	37
17	Oklahoma State Cowboys	2-0	2
18	Oklahoma Sooners	1-1	111
19	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	96
20	LSU Tigers	0-1	55
21	Tennessee Volunteers	1-0	29
22	BYU Cougars	2-0	3
23	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	79
24	Pittsburgh Panthers	3-0	19
25	Memphis Tigers	1-0	24

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Texas A&M Aggies — model #112 vs AP #13 (Δ +99; model lower)
Oklahoma Sooners — model #111 vs AP #18 (Δ +93; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #90 vs AP #10 (Δ +80; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #96 vs AP #19 (Δ +77; model lower)
Michigan Wolverines — model #79 vs AP #23 (Δ +56; model lower)

Week 6

Model #1 North Carolina Tar Heels AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 differ 140 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	North Carolina Tar Heels	3-0	89.58	8
2	Clemson Tigers	4-0	87.26	1
3	BYU Cougars	4-0	86.03	15
4	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	3-0	78.35	23
5	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	76.59	3
6	Virginia Tech Hokies	2-1	74.89	19
7	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	74.54	10
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	70.41	2
9	NC State Wolfpack	3-1	68.56	—
10	Miami Hurricanes	3-1	68.43	7
11	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	1-1	67.42	—
12	Boston College Eagles	3-1	66.7	—
13	SMU Mustangs	4-0	66.16	18
14	Kansas State Wildcats	3-1	63.35	—
15	UCF Knights	2-1	62.22	—
16	Iowa State Cyclones	3-1	61.83	24
17	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3-0	61.09	5
18	Cincinnati Bearcats	3-0	60.61	11
19	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	3-0	59.95	—
20	Marshall Thundering Herd	3-0	59.42	—
21	Liberty Flames	4-0	58.8	—
22	Houston Cougars	1-0	57.27	—
23	Memphis Tigers	1-1	57.08	—
24	UAB Blazers	3-1	56.32	—
25	Tennessee Volunteers	2-1	55.53	14

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	3-0	2
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	8
3	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	5
4	Florida Gators	2-0	26
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2-0	17
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	64
7	Miami Hurricanes	3-0	10
8	North Carolina Tar Heels	2-0	1
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	94
10	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	7
11	Cincinnati Bearcats	3-0	18
12	Oregon Ducks	0-0	65
13	Auburn Tigers	1-1	29
14	Tennessee Volunteers	2-0	25
15	BYU Cougars	3-0	3
16	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	100
17	LSU Tigers	1-1	115
18	SMU Mustangs	4-0	13
19	Virginia Tech Hokies	2-0	6
20	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	81
21	Texas A&M Aggies	1-1	34
22	Texas Longhorns	2-1	45
23	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	3-0	4
24	Iowa State Cyclones	2-1	16
25	Minnesota Golden Gophers	0-0	90

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

LSU Tigers — model #115 vs AP #17 (Δ +98; model lower)
Penn State Nittany Lions — model #94 vs AP #9 (Δ +85; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #100 vs AP #16 (Δ +84; model lower)
Minnesota Golden Gophers — model #90 vs AP #25 (Δ +65; model lower)
Michigan Wolverines — model #81 vs AP #20 (Δ +61; model lower)

Week 7

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 match 168 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	5-0	93.17	1
2	BYU Cougars	5-0	88.63	14
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	86.85	2
4	North Carolina Tar Heels	3-1	79.21	5
5	Miami Hurricanes	4-1	76.93	13
6	Virginia Tech Hokies	3-1	76.25	23
7	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	4-0	74.16	—
8	SMU Mustangs	5-0	71.78	17
9	Georgia Bulldogs	3-1	70.24	3
10	NC State Wolfpack	4-1	69.05	—
11	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	3-1	67.66	21
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-0	65.45	4
13	Marshall Thundering Herd	4-0	64.01	—
14	Liberty Flames	5-0	63.53	—
15	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	63.45	7
16	Memphis Tigers	2-1	61.87	—
17	Cincinnati Bearcats	3-0	61.5	8
18	Texas A&M Aggies	3-1	60.42	11
19	Boston College Eagles	3-2	58.02	—
20	UAB Blazers	4-1	57.89	—
21	Army Black Knights	5-1	57.82	—
22	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	1-1	57.21	—
23	Florida Gators	2-1	57.03	10
24	Kansas State Wildcats	3-1	56.53	22
25	Iowa State Cyclones	3-1	55.99	20

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	4-0	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	3
3	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	9
4	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3-0	12
5	North Carolina Tar Heels	3-0	4
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	65
7	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	15
8	Cincinnati Bearcats	3-0	17
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	95
10	Florida Gators	2-1	23
11	Texas A&M Aggies	2-1	18
12	Oregon Ducks	0-0	70
13	Miami Hurricanes	3-1	5
14	BYU Cougars	4-0	2
15	Auburn Tigers	2-1	26
16	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	100
17	SMU Mustangs	4-0	8
18	Tennessee Volunteers	2-1	31
19	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	84
20	Iowa State Cyclones	3-1	25
21	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	3-0	11
22	Kansas State Wildcats	3-1	24
23	Virginia Tech Hokies	2-1	6
24	Minnesota Golden Gophers	0-0	91
25	USC Trojans	0-0	92

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Penn State Nittany Lions — model #95 vs AP #9 (Δ +86; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #100 vs AP #16 (Δ +84; model lower)
Minnesota Golden Gophers — model #91 vs AP #24 (Δ +67; model lower)
USC Trojans — model #92 vs AP #25 (Δ +67; model lower)
Michigan Wolverines — model #84 vs AP #19 (Δ +65; model lower)

Week 8

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 match 215 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	6-0	95.79	1
2	BYU Cougars	6-0	91.64	12
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	90.28	2
4	North Carolina Tar Heels	4-1	84.27	14
5	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	5-0	80.76	25
6	Cincinnati Bearcats	4-0	79.18	9
7	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	4-1	78.13	—
8	Miami Hurricanes	5-1	77.23	11
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-0	75.15	3
10	Virginia Tech Hokies	3-2	72.11	19
11	Marshall Thundering Herd	5-0	71.83	22
12	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-0	71.12	6
13	SMU Mustangs	5-1	69.19	16
14	Georgia Bulldogs	3-1	68.16	4
15	Liberty Flames	6-0	67.83	—
16	Kansas State Wildcats	4-1	66.37	20
17	NC State Wolfpack	4-2	66.29	23
18	Memphis Tigers	3-1	65.15	—
19	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	2-1	64.69	—
20	Army Black Knights	6-1	62.99	—
21	Iowa State Cyclones	3-2	61.87	17
22	Appalachian State Mountaineers	3-1	61.02	—
23	Boston College Eagles	4-2	60.99	—
24	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	3-2	60.43	—
25	UAB Blazers	4-2	59.41	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	5-0	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	3
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-0	9
4	Georgia Bulldogs	3-1	14
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	73
6	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	12
7	Texas A&M Aggies	3-1	27
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	109
9	Cincinnati Bearcats	3-0	6
10	Florida Gators	2-1	33
11	Miami Hurricanes	4-1	8
12	BYU Cougars	5-0	2
13	Oregon Ducks	0-0	74
14	North Carolina Tar Heels	3-1	4
14	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	91
16	SMU Mustangs	5-0	13
17	Iowa State Cyclones	3-1	21
18	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	57
19	Virginia Tech Hokies	3-1	10
20	Kansas State Wildcats	3-1	16
21	Minnesota Golden Gophers	0-0	118
22	Marshall Thundering Herd	4-0	11
23	NC State Wolfpack	4-1	17
24	USC Trojans	0-0	88
25	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	4-0	5

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Penn State Nittany Lions — model #109 vs AP #8 (Δ +101; model lower)
Minnesota Golden Gophers — model #118 vs AP #21 (Δ +97; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #91 vs AP #14 (Δ +77; model lower)
Ohio State Buckeyes — model #73 vs AP #5 (Δ +68; model lower)
USC Trojans — model #88 vs AP #24 (Δ +64; model lower)

Week 9

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 match 258 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	7-0	95.4	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	87.99	2
3	BYU Cougars	7-0	85.91	11
4	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	6-0	82.45	20
5	Cincinnati Bearcats	5-0	79.11	7
6	North Carolina Tar Heels	4-2	78.36	15
7	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	5-1	77.09	—
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6-0	76.05	4
9	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-1	73.89	6
10	Virginia Tech Hokies	4-2	72.58	—
11	Miami Hurricanes	5-1	72.13	12
12	Iowa State Cyclones	4-2	71.07	23
13	Oklahoma Sooners	4-2	70.69	24
14	Georgia Bulldogs	4-1	69.96	5
15	Kansas State Wildcats	4-2	68.92	16
16	NC State Wolfpack	4-2	68.78	—
17	Texas Longhorns	4-2	68.5	—
18	Marshall Thundering Herd	5-0	67.57	19
19	SMU Mustangs	6-1	67.08	22
20	UCF Knights	4-2	65.81	—
21	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	4-2	65.23	—
22	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	3-1	64.29	—
23	Liberty Flames	6-0	62.0	—
24	Texas A&M Aggies	4-1	61.4	8
25	West Virginia Mountaineers	4-2	61.04	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	6-0	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	2
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-0	48
4	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-0	8
5	Georgia Bulldogs	3-1	14
6	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-0	9
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	4-0	5
8	Texas A&M Aggies	3-1	24
9	Wisconsin Badgers	1-0	69
10	Florida Gators	2-1	29
11	BYU Cougars	6-0	3
12	Miami Hurricanes	5-1	11
13	Michigan Wolverines	1-0	99
14	Oregon Ducks	0-0	79
15	North Carolina Tar Heels	4-1	6
16	Kansas State Wildcats	4-1	15
17	Indiana Hoosiers	1-0	41
18	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-1	106
19	Marshall Thundering Herd	5-0	18
20	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	5-0	4
21	USC Trojans	0-0	93
22	SMU Mustangs	5-1	19
23	Iowa State Cyclones	3-2	12
24	Oklahoma Sooners	3-2	13
25	Boise State Broncos	1-0	40

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Penn State Nittany Lions — model #106 vs AP #18 (Δ +88; model lower)
Michigan Wolverines — model #99 vs AP #13 (Δ +86; model lower)
USC Trojans — model #93 vs AP #21 (Δ +72; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #79 vs AP #14 (Δ +65; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #69 vs AP #9 (Δ +60; model lower)

Week 10

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 match 307 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	7-1	92.11	1
2	BYU Cougars	8-0	89.79	9
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-0	88.89	4
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	87.96	2
5	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	7-0	84.51	15
6	Cincinnati Bearcats	6-0	83.64	6
7	North Carolina Tar Heels	5-2	80.06	—
8	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-1	79.48	14
9	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	6-1	79.09	—
10	Miami Hurricanes	6-1	79.01	11
11	Liberty Flames	7-0	74.91	25
12	Iowa State Cyclones	5-2	73.97	17
13	Oklahoma Sooners	5-2	72.98	19
14	SMU Mustangs	7-1	72.78	18
15	Texas A&M Aggies	5-1	71.96	7
16	Texas Longhorns	5-2	71.25	22
17	Virginia Tech Hokies	4-3	70.97	—
18	Florida Gators	4-1	70.31	8
19	Marshall Thundering Herd	6-0	70.25	16
20	NC State Wolfpack	4-3	67.4	—
21	Kansas State Wildcats	4-3	67.13	—
22	Georgia Bulldogs	4-2	66.39	5
23	UCF Knights	4-2	64.64	—
24	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	4-2	63.74	—
25	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	3-1	63.25	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	7-0	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	4
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-0	37
4	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6-0	3
5	Georgia Bulldogs	4-1	22
6	Cincinnati Bearcats	5-0	6
7	Texas A&M Aggies	4-1	15
8	Florida Gators	3-1	18
9	BYU Cougars	7-0	2
10	Wisconsin Badgers	1-0	81
11	Miami Hurricanes	5-1	10
12	Oregon Ducks	0-0	71
13	Indiana Hoosiers	2-0	39
14	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-1	8
15	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	6-0	5
16	Marshall Thundering Herd	5-0	19
17	Iowa State Cyclones	4-2	12
18	SMU Mustangs	6-1	14
19	Oklahoma Sooners	4-2	13
20	USC Trojans	0-0	68
21	Boise State Broncos	2-0	51
22	Texas Longhorns	4-2	16
23	Michigan Wolverines	1-1	70
24	Auburn Tigers	4-2	28
25	Liberty Flames	6-0	11

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Wisconsin Badgers — model #81 vs AP #10 (Δ +71; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #71 vs AP #12 (Δ +59; model lower)
USC Trojans — model #68 vs AP #20 (Δ +48; model lower)
Michigan Wolverines — model #70 vs AP #23 (Δ +47; model lower)
Ohio State Buckeyes — model #37 vs AP #3 (Δ +34; model lower)

Week 11

Model #1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 352 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-0	93.85	2
2	Clemson Tigers	7-1	89.61	4
3	BYU Cougars	8-0	89.59	8
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	84.15	1
5	Miami Hurricanes	7-1	83.8	9
6	Cincinnati Bearcats	7-0	83.11	7
7	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	7-0	82.07	15
8	North Carolina Tar Heels	6-2	81.0	—
9	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	7-1	78.99	25
10	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-1	78.9	14
11	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	4-1	74.98	—
12	Marshall Thundering Herd	7-0	73.3	16
13	Iowa State Cyclones	5-2	72.55	17
14	Liberty Flames	8-0	72.28	22
15	Florida Gators	5-1	71.84	6
16	Oklahoma Sooners	5-2	70.66	18
17	Texas Longhorns	5-2	69.84	21
18	Virginia Tech Hokies	4-4	69.1	—
19	SMU Mustangs	7-2	69.02	19
20	UCF Knights	5-2	68.54	—
21	Texas A&M Aggies	5-1	68.07	5
22	NC State Wolfpack	5-3	66.6	—
23	West Virginia Mountaineers	5-3	66.07	—
24	Georgia Bulldogs	4-2	65.21	12
25	Kansas State Wildcats	4-3	64.2	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	4
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-0	1
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-0	42
4	Clemson Tigers	7-1	2
5	Texas A&M Aggies	5-1	21
6	Florida Gators	4-1	15
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	6-0	6
8	BYU Cougars	8-0	3
9	Miami Hurricanes	6-1	5
10	Indiana Hoosiers	3-0	40
11	Oregon Ducks	1-0	50
12	Georgia Bulldogs	4-2	24
13	Wisconsin Badgers	1-0	46
14	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-1	10
15	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	7-0	7
16	Marshall Thundering Herd	6-0	12
17	Iowa State Cyclones	5-2	13
18	Oklahoma Sooners	5-2	16
19	SMU Mustangs	7-1	19
20	USC Trojans	1-0	58
21	Texas Longhorns	5-2	17
22	Liberty Flames	7-0	14
23	Northwestern Wildcats	3-0	29
24	Auburn Tigers	4-2	33
25	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	6-1	9

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Ohio State Buckeyes — model #42 vs AP #3 (Δ +39; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #50 vs AP #11 (Δ +39; model lower)
USC Trojans — model #58 vs AP #20 (Δ +38; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #46 vs AP #13 (Δ +33; model lower)
Indiana Hoosiers — model #40 vs AP #10 (Δ +30; model lower)

Week 12

Model #1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 396 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-0	93.0	2
2	Cincinnati Bearcats	8-0	88.29	7
3	Clemson Tigers	7-1	88.16	4
4	BYU Cougars	9-0	87.68	8
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-0	84.41	1
6	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	8-0	84.07	15
7	Miami Hurricanes	7-1	83.35	12
8	North Carolina Tar Heels	6-2	80.79	—
9	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	7-1	79.66	24
10	Oklahoma Sooners	6-2	77.76	18
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-2	77.29	14
12	Iowa State Cyclones	6-2	74.97	17
13	NC State Wolfpack	6-3	74.28	—
14	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	5-1	74.04	25
15	Florida Gators	6-1	72.02	6
16	Marshall Thundering Herd	7-0	70.95	15
17	Liberty Flames	8-1	69.08	21
18	Texas Longhorns	5-2	68.53	22
19	SMU Mustangs	7-2	67.48	—
20	UCF Knights	5-3	66.3	—
21	Georgia Bulldogs	5-2	65.13	13
22	Texas A&M Aggies	5-1	64.58	5
23	Northwestern Wildcats	5-0	64.55	19
24	Virginia Tech Hokies	4-5	63.82	—
25	West Virginia Mountaineers	5-3	63.25	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	5
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-0	1
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-0	34
4	Clemson Tigers	7-1	3
5	Texas A&M Aggies	5-1	22
6	Florida Gators	5-1	15
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	7-0	2
8	BYU Cougars	8-0	4
9	Indiana Hoosiers	4-0	46
10	Wisconsin Badgers	2-0	48
11	Oregon Ducks	2-0	50
12	Miami Hurricanes	7-1	7
13	Georgia Bulldogs	4-2	21
14	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-1	11
15	Marshall Thundering Herd	7-0	16
15	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	7-0	6
17	Iowa State Cyclones	5-2	12
18	Oklahoma Sooners	5-2	10
19	Northwestern Wildcats	4-0	23
20	USC Trojans	2-0	52
21	Liberty Flames	8-0	17
22	Texas Longhorns	5-2	18
23	Auburn Tigers	4-2	35
24	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	7-1	9
25	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	4-1	14

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Oregon Ducks — model #50 vs AP #11 (Δ +39; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #48 vs AP #10 (Δ +38; model lower)
Indiana Hoosiers — model #46 vs AP #9 (Δ +37; model lower)
USC Trojans — model #52 vs AP #20 (Δ +32; model lower)
Ohio State Buckeyes — model #34 vs AP #3 (Δ +31; model lower)

Week 13

Model #1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 440 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-0	98.07	2
2	Clemson Tigers	8-1	89.58	4
3	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	9-0	87.01	16
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	86.47	1
5	Cincinnati Bearcats	8-0	85.39	7
6	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	8-1	82.53	23
7	BYU Cougars	9-0	81.9	8
8	Miami Hurricanes	7-1	81.32	10
9	Iowa State Cyclones	7-2	79.16	15
10	North Carolina Tar Heels	6-3	77.78	25
11	Oklahoma Sooners	6-2	76.53	14
12	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-2	74.96	21
13	NC State Wolfpack	7-3	72.85	—
14	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	5-1	72.78	24
15	Florida Gators	7-1	72.71	6
16	Marshall Thundering Herd	7-0	70.5	17
17	Liberty Flames	9-1	68.75	—
18	UCF Knights	6-3	67.28	—
19	Texas Longhorns	5-3	65.58	20
20	SMU Mustangs	7-3	65.54	—
21	Texas A&M Aggies	6-1	65.32	5
22	Virginia Tech Hokies	4-5	64.75	—
23	Georgia Bulldogs	6-2	64.49	13
24	Appalachian State Mountaineers	7-2	63.22	—
25	Northwestern Wildcats	5-1	62.98	11

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-0	4
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-0	1
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-0	29
4	Clemson Tigers	7-1	2
5	Texas A&M Aggies	5-1	21
6	Florida Gators	6-1	15
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	8-0	5
8	BYU Cougars	9-0	7
9	Oregon Ducks	3-0	52
10	Miami Hurricanes	7-1	8
11	Northwestern Wildcats	5-0	25
12	Indiana Hoosiers	4-1	35
13	Georgia Bulldogs	5-2	23
14	Oklahoma Sooners	6-2	11
15	Iowa State Cyclones	6-2	9
16	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	8-0	3
17	Marshall Thundering Herd	7-0	16
18	Wisconsin Badgers	2-1	51
19	USC Trojans	3-0	56
20	Texas Longhorns	5-2	19
21	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-2	12
22	Auburn Tigers	5-2	37
23	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	7-1	6
24	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	5-1	14
25	North Carolina Tar Heels	6-2	10

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Oregon Ducks — model #52 vs AP #9 (Δ +43; model lower)
USC Trojans — model #56 vs AP #19 (Δ +37; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #51 vs AP #18 (Δ +33; model lower)
Ohio State Buckeyes — model #29 vs AP #3 (Δ +26; model lower)
Indiana Hoosiers — model #35 vs AP #12 (Δ +23; model lower)

Week 14

Model #1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 486 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-0	94.44	2
2	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	10-0	93.57	14
3	Clemson Tigers	9-1	89.15	4
4	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	9-1	88.31	20
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-0	86.77	1
6	Iowa State Cyclones	8-2	84.7	12
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	8-0	81.51	7
8	Miami Hurricanes	8-1	80.16	9
9	BYU Cougars	9-1	79.82	8
10	Oklahoma Sooners	7-2	79.78	13
11	Texas Longhorns	6-3	73.47	—
12	North Carolina Tar Heels	7-3	72.17	—
13	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-3	71.92	19
14	Florida Gators	8-1	71.87	6
15	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	6-1	71.73	22
16	NC State Wolfpack	8-3	70.41	—
17	Texas A&M Aggies	7-1	67.78	5
18	TCU Horned Frogs	5-4	67.17	—
19	Marshall Thundering Herd	7-1	67.02	15
20	UCF Knights	6-3	66.83	—
21	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-0	66.24	3
22	SMU Mustangs	7-3	65.31	—
23	Liberty Flames	9-1	64.58	25
24	Appalachian State Mountaineers	7-3	62.19	—
25	Northwestern Wildcats	5-1	62.12	16

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	5
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-0	1
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-0	21
4	Clemson Tigers	8-1	3
5	Texas A&M Aggies	6-1	17
6	Florida Gators	7-1	14
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	8-0	7
8	BYU Cougars	9-0	9
9	Miami Hurricanes	7-1	8
10	Indiana Hoosiers	5-1	28
11	Georgia Bulldogs	6-2	26
12	Iowa State Cyclones	7-2	6
13	Oklahoma Sooners	6-2	10
14	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	9-0	2
15	Marshall Thundering Herd	7-0	19
16	Northwestern Wildcats	5-1	25
17	USC Trojans	3-0	53
18	Wisconsin Badgers	2-1	58
19	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-2	13
20	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	8-1	4
21	Oregon Ducks	3-1	50
22	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	5-1	15
23	Washington Huskies	3-0	70
24	Iowa Hawkeyes	4-2	37
25	Liberty Flames	9-1	23

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Washington Huskies — model #70 vs AP #23 (Δ +47; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #58 vs AP #18 (Δ +40; model lower)
USC Trojans — model #53 vs AP #17 (Δ +36; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #50 vs AP #21 (Δ +29; model lower)
Ohio State Buckeyes — model #21 vs AP #3 (Δ +18; model lower)

Week 15

Model #1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 523 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-0	95.0	2
2	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	11-0	92.28	11
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-0	91.05	1
4	Clemson Tigers	9-1	87.52	4
5	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	9-1	85.43	17
6	North Carolina Tar Heels	8-3	82.09	20
7	Iowa State Cyclones	8-2	81.65	10
8	BYU Cougars	10-1	81.04	14
9	Cincinnati Bearcats	8-0	78.32	7
10	Oklahoma Sooners	7-2	78.09	13
11	Miami Hurricanes	8-2	77.22	9
12	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-3	71.12	—
13	Florida Gators	8-2	71.02	6
14	NC State Wolfpack	8-3	71.0	—
15	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	6-1	70.0	18
16	TCU Horned Frogs	6-4	69.97	—
17	Texas A&M Aggies	7-1	69.18	5
18	Texas Longhorns	6-3	68.6	23
19	Liberty Flames	9-1	65.76	22
20	Georgia Bulldogs	7-2	65.69	12
21	Appalachian State Mountaineers	8-3	65.56	—
22	Marshall Thundering Herd	7-1	64.71	—
23	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-0	64.52	3
24	UCF Knights	6-3	64.14	—
25	SMU Mustangs	7-3	64.11	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-0	3
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-0	1
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-0	23
4	Clemson Tigers	9-1	4
5	Texas A&M Aggies	7-1	17
6	Florida Gators	8-1	13
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	8-0	9
8	Indiana Hoosiers	6-1	33
9	Miami Hurricanes	8-1	11
10	Iowa State Cyclones	8-2	7
11	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	10-0	2
12	Georgia Bulldogs	6-2	20
13	Oklahoma Sooners	7-2	10
14	BYU Cougars	9-1	8
15	Northwestern Wildcats	5-1	26
16	USC Trojans	3-0	40
17	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	9-1	5
18	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	6-1	15
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	5-2	34
20	North Carolina Tar Heels	7-3	6
21	Colorado Buffaloes	4-0	45
22	Liberty Flames	9-1	19
23	Texas Longhorns	6-3	18
24	Buffalo Bulls	4-0	49
25	Wisconsin Badgers	2-2	58

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Wisconsin Badgers — model #58 vs AP #25 (Δ +33; model lower)
Indiana Hoosiers — model #33 vs AP #8 (Δ +25; model lower)
Buffalo Bulls — model #49 vs AP #24 (Δ +25; model lower)
USC Trojans — model #40 vs AP #16 (Δ +24; model lower)
Colorado Buffaloes — model #45 vs AP #21 (Δ +24; model lower)

Week 16

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 542 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	10-1	95.97	4
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-0	95.29	1
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-1	90.71	2
4	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	11-0	89.57	9
5	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	9-1	83.63	17
6	Oklahoma Sooners	8-2	82.48	12
7	Cincinnati Bearcats	9-0	81.34	6
8	North Carolina Tar Heels	8-3	80.43	16
9	Iowa State Cyclones	8-3	80.16	8
10	BYU Cougars	10-1	77.79	14
11	Miami Hurricanes	8-2	75.76	19
12	Texas A&M Aggies	8-1	72.74	5
13	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-3	70.93	—
14	Florida Gators	8-3	69.57	11
15	NC State Wolfpack	8-3	69.39	24
16	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-0	69.13	3
17	TCU Horned Frogs	6-4	69.1	—
18	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	6-2	69.05	20
19	Texas Longhorns	6-3	68.42	21
20	Georgia Bulldogs	7-2	64.84	10
21	Liberty Flames	9-1	64.45	22
22	San José State Spartans	7-0	64.01	25
23	SMU Mustangs	7-3	63.26	—
24	UCF Knights	6-3	63.25	—
25	Appalachian State Mountaineers	8-3	63.08	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-0	2
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-0	3
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-0	16
4	Clemson Tigers	9-1	1
5	Texas A&M Aggies	7-1	12
6	Cincinnati Bearcats	8-0	7
7	Indiana Hoosiers	6-1	30
8	Iowa State Cyclones	8-2	9
9	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	11-0	4
10	Georgia Bulldogs	7-2	20
11	Florida Gators	8-2	14
12	Oklahoma Sooners	7-2	6
13	USC Trojans	5-0	45
14	BYU Cougars	10-1	10
15	Northwestern Wildcats	6-1	26
16	North Carolina Tar Heels	8-3	8
17	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	9-1	5
18	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-2	34
19	Miami Hurricanes	8-2	11
20	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	6-1	18
21	Texas Longhorns	6-3	19
22	Liberty Flames	9-1	21
23	Buffalo Bulls	5-0	51
24	NC State Wolfpack	8-3	15
25	San José State Spartans	6-0	22

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

USC Trojans — model #45 vs AP #13 (Δ +32; model lower)
Buffalo Bulls — model #51 vs AP #23 (Δ +28; model lower)
Indiana Hoosiers — model #30 vs AP #7 (Δ +23; model lower)
Iowa Hawkeyes — model #34 vs AP #18 (Δ +16; model lower)
Ohio State Buckeyes — model #16 vs AP #3 (Δ +13; model lower)

Final (postseason)

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 568 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	13-0	110.11	1
2	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	11-1	89.84	14
3	Oklahoma Sooners	9-2	89.11	6
4	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	10-1	84.92	15
5	Iowa State Cyclones	9-3	84.29	9
6	Clemson Tigers	10-2	83.94	3
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-2	80.74	5
8	BYU Cougars	11-1	79.62	11
9	Texas A&M Aggies	9-1	77.64	4
10	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-3	76.51	20
11	Georgia Bulldogs	8-2	75.4	7
12	Texas Longhorns	7-3	74.39	19
13	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-1	73.99	2
14	North Carolina Tar Heels	8-4	71.59	18
15	Cincinnati Bearcats	9-1	71.5	8
16	Florida Gators	8-4	70.04	13
17	Miami Hurricanes	8-3	67.69	22
18	Ball State Cardinals	7-1	67.41	23
19	Liberty Flames	10-1	67.28	17
20	Northwestern Wildcats	7-2	66.56	10
21	TCU Horned Frogs	6-4	66.45	—
22	Appalachian State Mountaineers	9-3	66.4	—
23	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	6-3	65.05	—
24	West Virginia Mountaineers	6-4	65.03	—
25	San José State Spartans	7-1	62.32	24

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	13-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-1	13
3	Clemson Tigers	10-2	6
4	Texas A&M Aggies	9-1	9
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-2	7
6	Oklahoma Sooners	9-2	3
7	Georgia Bulldogs	8-2	11
8	Cincinnati Bearcats	9-1	15
9	Iowa State Cyclones	9-3	5
10	Northwestern Wildcats	7-2	20
11	BYU Cougars	11-1	8
12	Indiana Hoosiers	6-2	35
13	Florida Gators	8-4	16
14	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	11-1	2
15	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	10-1	4
16	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-2	32
17	Liberty Flames	10-1	19
18	North Carolina Tar Heels	8-4	14
19	Texas Longhorns	7-3	12
20	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-3	10
21	USC Trojans	5-1	50
22	Miami Hurricanes	8-3	17
23	Ball State Cardinals	7-1	18
24	San José State Spartans	7-1	25
25	Buffalo Bulls	6-1	30

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

USC Trojans — model #50 vs AP #21 (Δ +29; model lower)
Indiana Hoosiers — model #35 vs AP #12 (Δ +23; model lower)
Iowa Hawkeyes — model #32 vs AP #16 (Δ +16; model lower)
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers — model #2 vs AP #14 (Δ -12; model higher)
Ohio State Buckeyes — model #13 vs AP #2 (Δ +11; model lower)