2019 season — Model vs AP

Full weekly rankings with the current late-tuned config. Side-by-side Model Top 25 and AP Top 25 for every week with available poll data.

Final #1 match

Final model #1

LSU Tigers

Final AP #1

LSU Tigers

Download: summary.json · weekly_agreement.csv

Preseason (Coaches Poll)

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 match 0 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	0-0	100.0	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	99.0	2
3	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	98.0	3
4	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	97.0	4
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	96.0	5
6	LSU Tigers	0-0	95.0	6
7	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	94.0	7
8	Florida Gators	0-0	93.0	8
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	92.0	9
10	Texas Longhorns	0-0	91.0	10
11	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	90.0	11
12	Washington Huskies	0-0	89.0	12
13	Oregon Ducks	0-0	88.0	13
14	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	87.0	14
15	Utah Utes	0-0	86.0	15
16	Auburn Tigers	0-0	85.0	16
17	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	84.0	17
18	UCF Knights	0-0	83.0	17
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	82.0	19
20	Michigan State Spartans	0-0	81.0	20
21	Washington State Cougars	0-0	80.0	21
22	Syracuse Orange	0-0	79.0	22
23	Stanford Cardinal	0-0	78.0	23
24	Iowa State Cyclones	0-0	77.0	24
25	Northwestern Wildcats	0-0	76.0	25

AFCA Coaches Poll

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	0-0	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	2
3	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	3
4	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	4
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	5
6	LSU Tigers	0-0	6
7	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	7
8	Florida Gators	0-0	8
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	9
10	Texas Longhorns	0-0	10
11	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	11
12	Washington Huskies	0-0	12
13	Oregon Ducks	0-0	13
14	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	14
15	Utah Utes	0-0	15
16	Auburn Tigers	0-0	16
17	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	17
17	UCF Knights	0-0	18
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	19
20	Michigan State Spartans	0-0	20
21	Washington State Cougars	0-0	21
22	Syracuse Orange	0-0	22
23	Stanford Cardinal	0-0	23
24	Iowa State Cyclones	0-0	24
25	Northwestern Wildcats	0-0	25

Week 1

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 differ 85 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	1-0	74.83	3
2	Virginia Cavaliers	1-0	73.06	—
3	Utah Utes	1-0	72.89	14
4	Boise State Broncos	1-0	72.01	—
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1-0	71.74	9
6	Oklahoma State Cowboys	1-0	71.22	—
7	Georgia State Panthers	1-0	70.68	—
8	Auburn Tigers	1-0	70.38	16
9	SMU Mustangs	1-0	70.27	—
10	Indiana Hoosiers	1-0	70.14	—
11	Syracuse Orange	1-0	70.1	22
12	Wisconsin Badgers	1-0	69.95	19
13	Eastern Michigan Eagles	1-0	69.7	—
14	Florida Gators	1-0	69.46	8
15	North Carolina Tar Heels	1-0	68.97	—
16	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	68.37	2
17	Mississippi State Bulldogs	1-0	68.28	—
18	Michigan State Spartans	1-0	67.93	18
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	1-0	67.72	20
20	Colorado Buffaloes	1-0	67.51	—
21	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-0	67.34	5
22	USC Trojans	1-0	67.19	—
23	Michigan Wolverines	1-0	67.16	7
24	Nebraska Cornhuskers	1-0	66.89	24
25	Kentucky Wildcats	1-0	66.38	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	0-0	40
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	16
3	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	1
4	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	26
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	21
6	LSU Tigers	0-0	43
7	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	23
8	Florida Gators	0-0	14
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	5
10	Texas Longhorns	0-0	32
11	Oregon Ducks	0-0	88
12	Texas A&M Aggies	0-0	37
13	Washington Huskies	0-0	56
14	Utah Utes	0-0	3
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	46
16	Auburn Tigers	0-0	8
17	UCF Knights	0-0	48
18	Michigan State Spartans	0-0	18
19	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	12
20	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	19
21	Iowa State Cyclones	0-0	74
22	Syracuse Orange	0-0	11
23	Washington State Cougars	0-0	44
24	Nebraska Cornhuskers	0-0	24
25	Stanford Cardinal	0-0	28

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Oregon Ducks — model #88 vs AP #11 (Δ +77; model lower)
Iowa State Cyclones — model #74 vs AP #21 (Δ +53; model lower)
Washington Huskies — model #56 vs AP #13 (Δ +43; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #40 vs AP #1 (Δ +39; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #43 vs AP #6 (Δ +37; model lower)

Week 2

Model #1 Auburn Tigers AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 differ 159 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Auburn Tigers	2-0	86.23	10
2	SMU Mustangs	2-0	82.49	—
3	Michigan State Spartans	2-0	80.14	19
4	Clemson Tigers	2-0	78.98	1
5	Kentucky Wildcats	2-0	78.54	—
6	LSU Tigers	2-0	78.09	6
7	Utah Utes	2-0	77.11	13
8	Iowa Hawkeyes	2-0	76.9	20
9	Colorado Buffaloes	2-0	76.38	—
10	Mississippi State Bulldogs	2-0	74.62	—
11	Boise State Broncos	2-0	73.78	24
12	North Carolina Tar Heels	2-0	73.28	—
13	USC Trojans	2-0	72.43	—
14	Wyoming Cowboys	2-0	70.67	—
15	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-0	70.42	5
16	Illinois Fighting Illini	2-0	70.3	—
17	Michigan Wolverines	2-0	70.12	7
18	Wisconsin Badgers	2-0	70.11	17
19	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	2-0	69.76	—
20	Virginia Cavaliers	2-0	69.46	—
21	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	69.43	2
22	Maryland Terrapins	2-0	69.3	—
23	Penn State Nittany Lions	2-0	64.88	15
24	Indiana Hoosiers	2-0	64.58	—
25	Memphis Tigers	2-0	63.79	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	1-0	4
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	21
3	Georgia Bulldogs	1-0	26
4	Oklahoma Sooners	1-0	33
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-0	15
6	LSU Tigers	1-0	6
7	Michigan Wolverines	1-0	17
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1-0	31
9	Texas Longhorns	1-0	53
10	Auburn Tigers	1-0	1
11	Florida Gators	1-0	30
12	Texas A&M Aggies	1-0	50
13	Utah Utes	1-0	7
14	Washington Huskies	1-0	80
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	1-0	23
16	Oregon Ducks	0-1	36
17	Wisconsin Badgers	1-0	18
18	UCF Knights	1-0	37
19	Michigan State Spartans	1-0	3
20	Iowa Hawkeyes	1-0	8
21	Syracuse Orange	1-0	63
22	Washington State Cougars	1-0	51
23	Stanford Cardinal	1-0	57
24	Boise State Broncos	1-0	11
25	Iowa State Cyclones	1-0	81
25	Nebraska Cornhuskers	1-0	38

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Washington Huskies — model #80 vs AP #14 (Δ +66; model lower)
Iowa State Cyclones — model #81 vs AP #25 (Δ +56; model lower)
Texas Longhorns — model #53 vs AP #9 (Δ +44; model lower)
Syracuse Orange — model #63 vs AP #21 (Δ +42; model lower)
Texas A&M Aggies — model #50 vs AP #12 (Δ +38; model lower)

Week 3

Model #1 Florida Gators AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 differ 227 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Florida Gators	3-0	85.25	9
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-0	83.68	6
3	Auburn Tigers	3-0	79.95	8
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	79.86	2
5	Clemson Tigers	3-0	79.06	1
6	Kentucky Wildcats	2-1	77.74	—
7	Kansas State Wildcats	3-0	77.7	—
8	LSU Tigers	3-0	76.8	4
9	Utah Utes	3-0	73.54	11
10	Arizona State Sun Devils	3-0	72.71	—
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	72.64	—
12	Iowa Hawkeyes	3-0	72.31	19
13	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	3-0	72.11	—
14	Eastern Michigan Eagles	2-1	70.17	—
15	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	69.7	3
16	California Golden Bears	3-0	69.69	—
17	Mississippi State Bulldogs	2-1	69.49	—
18	UCF Knights	3-0	68.92	17
19	Air Force Falcons	2-0	67.86	—
20	Virginia Cavaliers	3-0	66.85	25
21	Memphis Tigers	3-0	66.19	—
22	Wisconsin Badgers	2-0	66.11	14
23	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2-0	66.03	7
24	Oklahoma Sooners	3-0	66.02	5
25	SMU Mustangs	3-0	65.53	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	2-0	5
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	4
3	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	15
4	LSU Tigers	2-0	8
5	Oklahoma Sooners	2-0	24
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-0	2
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1-0	23
8	Auburn Tigers	2-0	3
9	Florida Gators	2-0	1
10	Michigan Wolverines	2-0	35
11	Utah Utes	2-0	9
12	Texas Longhorns	1-1	33
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	2-0	30
14	Wisconsin Badgers	2-0	22
15	Oregon Ducks	1-1	48
16	Texas A&M Aggies	1-1	54
17	UCF Knights	2-0	18
18	Michigan State Spartans	2-0	26
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	2-0	12
20	Washington State Cougars	2-0	40
21	Maryland Terrapins	2-0	46
22	Boise State Broncos	2-0	29
23	Washington Huskies	1-1	34
24	USC Trojans	2-0	41
25	Virginia Cavaliers	2-0	20

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Texas A&M Aggies — model #54 vs AP #16 (Δ +38; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #48 vs AP #15 (Δ +33; model lower)
Michigan Wolverines — model #35 vs AP #10 (Δ +25; model lower)
Maryland Terrapins — model #46 vs AP #21 (Δ +25; model lower)
Texas Longhorns — model #33 vs AP #12 (Δ +21; model lower)

Week 4

Model #1 Auburn Tigers AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 differ 285 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Auburn Tigers	4-0	88.19	8
2	LSU Tigers	4-0	81.54	4
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-0	79.72	6
4	Clemson Tigers	4-0	79.28	1
5	California Golden Bears	4-0	78.17	23
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	77.44	2
7	Texas Longhorns	3-1	76.09	12
8	Florida Gators	4-0	76.04	9
9	Colorado Buffaloes	3-1	75.9	—
10	SMU Mustangs	4-0	74.54	—
11	Mississippi State Bulldogs	3-1	73.3	—
12	Georgia Bulldogs	4-0	73.27	3
13	Boise State Broncos	4-0	72.62	20
14	Kansas State Wildcats	3-0	72.5	—
15	Wisconsin Badgers	3-0	70.62	13
16	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-1	70.22	—
17	Virginia Cavaliers	4-0	69.6	21
18	Michigan State Spartans	3-1	68.57	—
19	Arizona State Sun Devils	3-1	68.53	24
20	Washington Huskies	3-1	68.41	22
21	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	4-0	67.89	—
22	USC Trojans	3-1	67.89	—
23	Missouri Tigers	3-1	66.52	—
24	Oregon Ducks	3-1	64.84	16
25	Iowa Hawkeyes	3-0	64.07	18

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	3-0	4
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	6
3	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	12
4	LSU Tigers	3-0	2
5	Oklahoma Sooners	3-0	26
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-0	3
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2-0	34
8	Auburn Tigers	3-0	1
9	Florida Gators	3-0	8
10	Utah Utes	3-0	33
11	Michigan Wolverines	2-0	43
12	Texas Longhorns	2-1	7
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	3-0	28
13	Wisconsin Badgers	2-0	15
15	UCF Knights	3-0	37
16	Oregon Ducks	2-1	24
17	Texas A&M Aggies	2-1	62
18	Iowa Hawkeyes	3-0	25
19	Washington State Cougars	3-0	57
20	Boise State Broncos	3-0	13
21	Virginia Cavaliers	3-0	17
22	Washington Huskies	2-1	20
23	California Golden Bears	3-0	5
24	Arizona State Sun Devils	3-0	19
25	TCU Horned Frogs	2-0	45

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Texas A&M Aggies — model #62 vs AP #17 (Δ +45; model lower)
Washington State Cougars — model #57 vs AP #19 (Δ +38; model lower)
Michigan Wolverines — model #43 vs AP #11 (Δ +32; model lower)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #34 vs AP #7 (Δ +27; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #33 vs AP #10 (Δ +23; model lower)

Week 5

Model #1 Auburn Tigers AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 differ 340 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Auburn Tigers	5-0	90.58	7
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-0	88.12	5
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	82.15	2
4	Clemson Tigers	5-0	80.46	1
5	Arizona State Sun Devils	4-1	79.01	—
6	SMU Mustangs	5-0	78.38	—
7	Washington Huskies	4-1	75.99	17
8	LSU Tigers	4-0	75.59	4
9	Georgia Bulldogs	4-0	74.7	3
10	Colorado Buffaloes	3-1	72.39	—
11	Texas Longhorns	3-1	71.9	11
12	California Golden Bears	4-1	71.38	15
13	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-1	71.24	—
14	Michigan State Spartans	4-1	70.76	25
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-0	70.44	12
16	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	5-0	70.41	—
17	Boise State Broncos	4-0	70.4	16
18	Wisconsin Badgers	4-0	70.26	8
19	USC Trojans	3-2	68.86	21
20	Oklahoma Sooners	4-0	68.71	6
21	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3-1	68.31	10
22	Florida Gators	5-0	67.65	9
23	Utah Utes	4-1	65.15	19
24	Air Force Falcons	3-1	64.07	—
25	Iowa Hawkeyes	4-0	64.02	14

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	4-0	4
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	3
3	Georgia Bulldogs	4-0	9
4	LSU Tigers	4-0	8
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-0	2
6	Oklahoma Sooners	3-0	20
7	Auburn Tigers	4-0	1
8	Wisconsin Badgers	3-0	18
9	Florida Gators	4-0	22
10	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2-1	21
11	Texas Longhorns	3-1	11
12	Penn State Nittany Lions	3-0	15
13	Oregon Ducks	3-1	32
14	Iowa Hawkeyes	3-0	25
15	California Golden Bears	4-0	12
16	Boise State Broncos	4-0	17
17	Washington Huskies	3-1	7
18	Virginia Cavaliers	4-0	27
19	Utah Utes	3-1	23
20	Michigan Wolverines	2-1	44
21	USC Trojans	3-1	19
22	UCF Knights	3-1	29
23	Texas A&M Aggies	2-2	46
24	Kansas State Wildcats	3-0	26
25	Michigan State Spartans	3-1	14

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Michigan Wolverines — model #44 vs AP #20 (Δ +24; model lower)
Texas A&M Aggies — model #46 vs AP #23 (Δ +23; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #32 vs AP #13 (Δ +19; model lower)
Oklahoma Sooners — model #20 vs AP #6 (Δ +14; model lower)
Florida Gators — model #22 vs AP #9 (Δ +13; model lower)

Week 6

Model #1 Ohio State Buckeyes AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 388 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-0	96.22	4
2	Auburn Tigers	5-1	84.29	7
3	LSU Tigers	5-0	79.81	5
4	Florida Gators	6-0	79.1	10
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	78.24	1
6	SMU Mustangs	6-0	77.43	24
7	Clemson Tigers	5-0	76.14	2
8	Oklahoma Sooners	5-0	75.43	6
9	Georgia Bulldogs	5-0	75.1	3
10	Wisconsin Badgers	5-0	74.84	8
11	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-0	74.52	12
12	Texas Longhorns	4-1	73.49	11
13	Arizona State Sun Devils	4-1	71.65	20
14	Baylor Bears	5-0	69.97	—
15	Oregon Ducks	4-1	68.97	13
16	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-1	68.12	9
17	Arizona Wildcats	4-1	67.22	—
18	Washington Huskies	4-2	67.01	15
19	Memphis Tigers	5-0	66.73	—
20	Boise State Broncos	5-0	66.25	16
21	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	5-0	66.19	22
22	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-2	65.66	21
23	USC Trojans	3-2	65.48	—
24	Virginia Cavaliers	4-1	65.23	23
25	Michigan Wolverines	4-1	65.21	19

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	5
2	Clemson Tigers	5-0	7
3	Georgia Bulldogs	4-0	9
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-0	1
5	LSU Tigers	4-0	3
6	Oklahoma Sooners	4-0	8
7	Auburn Tigers	5-0	2
8	Wisconsin Badgers	4-0	10
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3-1	16
10	Florida Gators	5-0	4
11	Texas Longhorns	3-1	12
12	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-0	11
13	Oregon Ducks	3-1	15
14	Iowa Hawkeyes	4-0	33
15	Washington Huskies	4-1	18
16	Boise State Broncos	4-0	20
17	Utah Utes	4-1	36
18	UCF Knights	4-1	35
19	Michigan Wolverines	3-1	25
20	Arizona State Sun Devils	4-1	13
21	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-1	22
22	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	5-0	21
23	Virginia Cavaliers	4-1	24
24	SMU Mustangs	5-0	6
25	Michigan State Spartans	4-1	26
25	Texas A&M Aggies	3-2	58

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Texas A&M Aggies — model #58 vs AP #25 (Δ +33; model lower)
Iowa Hawkeyes — model #33 vs AP #14 (Δ +19; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #36 vs AP #17 (Δ +19; model lower)
SMU Mustangs — model #6 vs AP #24 (Δ -18; model higher)
UCF Knights — model #35 vs AP #18 (Δ +17; model lower)

Week 7

Model #1 Ohio State Buckeyes AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 441 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-0	90.15	3
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	85.74	1
3	LSU Tigers	6-0	85.02	5
4	Wisconsin Badgers	6-0	82.63	8
5	Auburn Tigers	5-1	80.72	12
6	Clemson Tigers	6-0	78.89	2
7	Oklahoma Sooners	6-0	78.89	6
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-0	78.73	10
9	Florida Gators	6-1	75.64	7
10	Georgia Bulldogs	5-1	73.24	3
11	SMU Mustangs	6-0	72.14	21
12	Oregon Ducks	5-1	71.09	13
13	Baylor Bears	6-0	71.07	22
14	Boise State Broncos	6-0	69.96	14
15	Arizona State Sun Devils	5-1	69.52	18
16	Washington Huskies	5-2	69.36	—
17	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-1	68.85	9
18	Texas Longhorns	4-2	67.83	11
19	Minnesota Golden Gophers	6-0	67.56	—
20	Michigan Wolverines	5-1	66.66	16
21	Cincinnati Bearcats	5-1	66.1	25
22	Missouri Tigers	5-1	65.93	—
23	Appalachian State Mountaineers	5-0	65.8	—
24	Memphis Tigers	5-1	65.34	23
25	Utah Utes	5-1	64.71	15

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	2
2	Clemson Tigers	5-0	6
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-0	1
3	Georgia Bulldogs	5-0	10
5	LSU Tigers	5-0	3
6	Oklahoma Sooners	5-0	7
7	Florida Gators	6-0	9
8	Wisconsin Badgers	5-0	4
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-1	17
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-0	8
11	Texas Longhorns	4-1	18
12	Auburn Tigers	5-1	5
13	Oregon Ducks	4-1	12
14	Boise State Broncos	5-0	14
15	Utah Utes	4-1	25
16	Michigan Wolverines	4-1	20
17	Iowa Hawkeyes	4-1	28
18	Arizona State Sun Devils	4-1	15
19	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	5-0	31
20	Virginia Cavaliers	4-1	29
21	SMU Mustangs	6-0	11
22	Baylor Bears	5-0	13
23	Memphis Tigers	5-0	24
24	Texas A&M Aggies	3-2	63
25	Cincinnati Bearcats	4-1	21

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Texas A&M Aggies — model #63 vs AP #24 (Δ +39; model lower)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons — model #31 vs AP #19 (Δ +12; model lower)
Iowa Hawkeyes — model #28 vs AP #17 (Δ +11; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #25 vs AP #15 (Δ +10; model lower)
SMU Mustangs — model #11 vs AP #21 (Δ -10; model higher)

Week 8

Model #1 Ohio State Buckeyes AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 503 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-0	89.85	4
2	LSU Tigers	7-0	88.81	2
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-0	81.3	1
4	Clemson Tigers	7-0	80.95	3
5	Auburn Tigers	6-1	80.73	11
6	Oklahoma Sooners	7-0	80.04	5
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-0	79.92	7
8	Baylor Bears	7-0	78.05	18
9	Florida Gators	7-1	77.83	9
10	Oregon Ducks	6-1	75.09	12
11	SMU Mustangs	7-0	74.24	19
12	Wisconsin Badgers	6-1	73.27	6
13	Georgia Bulldogs	6-1	73.08	10
14	Utah Utes	6-1	72.97	13
15	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-1	70.23	8
16	Washington Huskies	5-3	69.83	25
17	Minnesota Golden Gophers	7-0	69.53	20
18	Memphis Tigers	6-1	69.07	—
19	Cincinnati Bearcats	6-1	67.83	21
20	Texas Longhorns	5-2	66.68	15
21	Appalachian State Mountaineers	6-0	66.19	24
22	Boise State Broncos	6-1	65.98	14
23	Michigan Wolverines	5-2	65.57	16
24	Arizona State Sun Devils	5-2	64.79	17
25	USC Trojans	4-3	64.27	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	3
2	LSU Tigers	6-0	2
3	Clemson Tigers	6-0	4
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-0	1
5	Oklahoma Sooners	6-0	6
6	Wisconsin Badgers	6-0	12
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-0	7
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-1	15
9	Florida Gators	6-1	9
10	Georgia Bulldogs	5-1	13
11	Auburn Tigers	5-1	5
12	Oregon Ducks	5-1	10
13	Utah Utes	5-1	14
14	Boise State Broncos	6-0	22
15	Texas Longhorns	4-2	20
16	Michigan Wolverines	5-1	23
17	Arizona State Sun Devils	5-1	24
18	Baylor Bears	6-0	8
19	SMU Mustangs	6-0	11
20	Minnesota Golden Gophers	6-0	17
21	Cincinnati Bearcats	5-1	19
22	Missouri Tigers	5-1	33
23	Iowa Hawkeyes	4-2	27
24	Appalachian State Mountaineers	5-0	21
25	Washington Huskies	5-2	16

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Missouri Tigers — model #33 vs AP #22 (Δ +11; model lower)
Baylor Bears — model #8 vs AP #18 (Δ -10; model higher)
Washington Huskies — model #16 vs AP #25 (Δ -9; model higher)
Boise State Broncos — model #22 vs AP #14 (Δ +8; model lower)
SMU Mustangs — model #11 vs AP #19 (Δ -8; model higher)

Week 9

Model #1 Ohio State Buckeyes AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 558 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-0	97.62	3
2	LSU Tigers	8-0	89.6	2
3	Clemson Tigers	8-0	84.3	4
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-0	84.22	6
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	79.43	1
6	Baylor Bears	7-0	76.55	14
7	SMU Mustangs	8-0	76.24	16
8	Auburn Tigers	6-2	76.03	9
9	Oklahoma Sooners	7-1	75.45	5
10	Florida Gators	7-1	74.77	7
11	Wisconsin Badgers	6-2	73.8	13
12	Utah Utes	7-1	71.73	12
13	Minnesota Golden Gophers	8-0	71.5	17
14	Oregon Ducks	7-1	71.2	11
15	Michigan Wolverines	6-2	70.72	19
16	Memphis Tigers	7-1	70.71	—
17	Cincinnati Bearcats	6-1	70.29	18
18	Georgia Bulldogs	6-1	68.42	10
19	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-3	68.14	—
20	Texas Longhorns	5-3	67.3	15
21	Appalachian State Mountaineers	7-0	67.0	21
22	Navy Midshipmen	6-1	66.31	—
23	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-2	66.19	20
24	Washington Huskies	5-3	65.82	—
25	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-2	65.53	8

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-0	5
2	LSU Tigers	7-0	2
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-0	1
4	Clemson Tigers	7-0	3
5	Oklahoma Sooners	7-0	9
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-0	4
7	Florida Gators	7-1	10
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-1	25
9	Auburn Tigers	6-1	8
10	Georgia Bulldogs	6-1	18
11	Oregon Ducks	6-1	14
12	Utah Utes	6-1	12
13	Wisconsin Badgers	6-1	11
14	Baylor Bears	7-0	6
15	Texas Longhorns	5-2	20
16	SMU Mustangs	7-0	7
17	Minnesota Golden Gophers	7-0	13
18	Cincinnati Bearcats	6-1	17
19	Michigan Wolverines	5-2	15
20	Iowa Hawkeyes	5-2	23
21	Appalachian State Mountaineers	6-0	21
22	Boise State Broncos	6-1	26
23	Iowa State Cyclones	5-2	32
24	Arizona State Sun Devils	5-2	34
25	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	6-1	31

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #25 vs AP #8 (Δ +17; model lower)
Arizona State Sun Devils — model #34 vs AP #24 (Δ +10; model lower)
SMU Mustangs — model #7 vs AP #16 (Δ -9; model higher)
Iowa State Cyclones — model #32 vs AP #23 (Δ +9; model lower)
Georgia Bulldogs — model #18 vs AP #10 (Δ +8; model lower)

Week 10

Model #1 Ohio State Buckeyes AP #1 LSU Tigers #1 differ 606 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-0	94.13	3
2	LSU Tigers	8-0	87.8	1
3	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-0	81.8	5
4	Auburn Tigers	7-2	80.1	11
5	Clemson Tigers	9-0	79.92	4
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	79.56	2
7	Utah Utes	8-1	77.42	9
8	Baylor Bears	8-0	76.91	12
9	Memphis Tigers	8-1	76.49	24
10	Georgia Bulldogs	7-1	76.39	8
11	Oregon Ducks	8-1	75.46	7
12	Oklahoma Sooners	7-1	72.38	10
13	Wisconsin Badgers	6-2	72.35	18
14	Florida Gators	7-2	71.61	6
15	Cincinnati Bearcats	7-1	71.37	17
16	Michigan Wolverines	7-2	70.11	14
17	Minnesota Golden Gophers	8-0	69.95	13
18	SMU Mustangs	8-1	69.91	15
19	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-3	69.79	—
20	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6-2	68.17	16
21	Navy Midshipmen	7-1	67.43	—
22	Boise State Broncos	7-1	66.18	21
23	Kansas State Wildcats	6-2	65.68	22
24	UCF Knights	7-2	65.53	—
25	Appalachian State Mountaineers	7-1	65.17	20

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	LSU Tigers	8-0	2
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	6
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-0	1
4	Clemson Tigers	8-0	5
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-0	3
6	Florida Gators	7-1	14
7	Oregon Ducks	7-1	11
8	Georgia Bulldogs	6-1	10
9	Utah Utes	7-1	7
10	Oklahoma Sooners	7-1	12
11	Auburn Tigers	6-2	4
12	Baylor Bears	7-0	8
13	Minnesota Golden Gophers	8-0	17
14	Michigan Wolverines	6-2	16
15	SMU Mustangs	8-0	18
16	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-2	20
17	Cincinnati Bearcats	6-1	15
18	Wisconsin Badgers	6-2	13
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-2	26
20	Appalachian State Mountaineers	7-0	25
21	Boise State Broncos	6-1	22
22	Kansas State Wildcats	5-2	23
23	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	6-1	29
24	Memphis Tigers	7-1	9
25	San Diego State Aztecs	7-1	31

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Memphis Tigers — model #9 vs AP #24 (Δ -15; model higher)
Florida Gators — model #14 vs AP #6 (Δ +8; model lower)
Auburn Tigers — model #4 vs AP #11 (Δ -7; model higher)
Iowa Hawkeyes — model #26 vs AP #19 (Δ +7; model lower)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons — model #29 vs AP #23 (Δ +6; model lower)

Week 11

Model #1 LSU Tigers AP #1 LSU Tigers #1 match 654 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	LSU Tigers	9-0	92.15	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-0	91.28	3
3	Clemson Tigers	10-0	79.97	4
4	Georgia Bulldogs	8-1	78.48	6
5	Baylor Bears	9-0	77.74	11
6	Minnesota Golden Gophers	9-0	77.66	13
7	Auburn Tigers	7-2	77.26	12
8	Utah Utes	8-1	77.03	8
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-1	76.45	5
10	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-1	75.9	2
11	Oregon Ducks	8-1	75.47	7
12	Oklahoma Sooners	8-1	74.75	9
13	Memphis Tigers	8-1	74.58	19
14	Wisconsin Badgers	7-2	73.81	16
15	Florida Gators	8-2	73.35	10
16	Texas Longhorns	6-3	70.91	—
17	Michigan Wolverines	7-2	70.13	14
18	Cincinnati Bearcats	8-1	69.67	17
19	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-2	69.2	15
20	Washington Huskies	6-4	69.17	—
21	SMU Mustangs	9-1	68.87	23
22	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-3	67.24	—
23	Appalachian State Mountaineers	8-1	67.08	—
24	Boise State Broncos	8-1	66.77	21
25	Navy Midshipmen	7-1	65.54	25

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	LSU Tigers	8-0	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	10
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-0	2
4	Clemson Tigers	9-0	3
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-0	9
6	Georgia Bulldogs	7-1	4
7	Oregon Ducks	8-1	11
8	Utah Utes	8-1	8
9	Oklahoma Sooners	7-1	12
10	Florida Gators	7-2	15
11	Baylor Bears	8-0	5
12	Auburn Tigers	7-2	7
13	Minnesota Golden Gophers	8-0	6
14	Michigan Wolverines	7-2	17
15	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6-2	19
16	Wisconsin Badgers	6-2	14
17	Cincinnati Bearcats	7-1	18
18	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-2	27
19	Memphis Tigers	8-1	13
20	Kansas State Wildcats	6-2	30
21	Boise State Broncos	7-1	24
22	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	7-1	35
23	SMU Mustangs	8-1	21
24	San Diego State Aztecs	7-1	38
25	Navy Midshipmen	7-1	25

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

San Diego State Aztecs — model #38 vs AP #24 (Δ +14; model lower)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons — model #35 vs AP #22 (Δ +13; model lower)
Kansas State Wildcats — model #30 vs AP #20 (Δ +10; model lower)
Iowa Hawkeyes — model #27 vs AP #18 (Δ +9; model lower)
Alabama Crimson Tide — model #10 vs AP #2 (Δ +8; model lower)

Week 12

Model #1 LSU Tigers AP #1 LSU Tigers #1 match 709 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	LSU Tigers	10-0	90.7	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-0	90.27	2
3	Oklahoma Sooners	9-1	81.98	10
4	Georgia Bulldogs	9-1	81.51	5
5	Clemson Tigers	11-0	81.19	3
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-1	78.88	9
7	Wisconsin Badgers	8-2	77.78	15
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-1	77.66	4
9	Utah Utes	9-1	77.02	8
10	Baylor Bears	9-1	76.12	12
11	Oregon Ducks	9-1	75.26	6
12	Florida Gators	9-2	74.76	11
13	Michigan Wolverines	8-2	73.69	14
14	Memphis Tigers	9-1	72.38	18
15	Minnesota Golden Gophers	9-1	72.19	7
16	Auburn Tigers	7-3	71.83	13
17	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-2	70.92	16
18	Cincinnati Bearcats	9-1	69.33	17
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	7-3	68.84	23
20	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-3	68.17	25
21	Appalachian State Mountaineers	9-1	68.16	—
22	Boise State Broncos	9-1	67.85	19
23	Washington Huskies	6-4	67.79	—
24	SMU Mustangs	9-1	67.03	20
25	Texas Longhorns	6-4	66.03	22

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	LSU Tigers	9-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-0	2
3	Clemson Tigers	10-0	5
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-1	8
5	Georgia Bulldogs	8-1	4
6	Oregon Ducks	8-1	11
7	Minnesota Golden Gophers	9-0	15
8	Utah Utes	8-1	9
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-1	6
10	Oklahoma Sooners	8-1	3
11	Florida Gators	8-2	12
12	Baylor Bears	9-0	10
13	Auburn Tigers	7-2	16
14	Michigan Wolverines	7-2	13
15	Wisconsin Badgers	7-2	7
16	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-2	17
17	Cincinnati Bearcats	8-1	18
18	Memphis Tigers	8-1	14
19	Boise State Broncos	8-1	22
20	SMU Mustangs	9-1	24
21	Navy Midshipmen	7-1	29
22	Texas Longhorns	6-3	25
23	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-3	19
24	Indiana Hoosiers	7-2	51
25	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-3	20

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Indiana Hoosiers — model #51 vs AP #24 (Δ +27; model lower)
Minnesota Golden Gophers — model #15 vs AP #7 (Δ +8; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #7 vs AP #15 (Δ -8; model higher)
Navy Midshipmen — model #29 vs AP #21 (Δ +8; model lower)
Oklahoma Sooners — model #3 vs AP #10 (Δ -7; model higher)

Week 13

Model #1 Ohio State Buckeyes AP #1 LSU Tigers #1 differ 773 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-0	93.63	2
2	LSU Tigers	11-0	87.71	1
3	Georgia Bulldogs	10-1	81.45	4
4	Oklahoma Sooners	10-1	80.59	8
5	Utah Utes	10-1	79.36	7
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-2	78.71	9
7	Wisconsin Badgers	9-2	78.67	14
8	Clemson Tigers	11-0	78.25	3
9	Oregon Ducks	9-2	75.5	6
10	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-1	75.27	5
11	Michigan Wolverines	9-2	75.16	12
12	Baylor Bears	10-1	75.08	13
13	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-2	74.13	15
14	Memphis Tigers	10-1	73.64	18
15	Florida Gators	9-2	72.61	10
16	Minnesota Golden Gophers	10-1	71.77	11
17	Cincinnati Bearcats	10-1	70.5	17
18	Boise State Broncos	10-1	70.01	20
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	8-3	69.66	19
20	Auburn Tigers	8-3	69.27	16
21	Navy Midshipmen	8-2	68.83	—
22	Appalachian State Mountaineers	10-1	68.72	23
23	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-3	68.55	22
24	USC Trojans	8-4	67.8	—
25	Washington Huskies	6-5	65.38	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	LSU Tigers	10-0	2
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-0	1
3	Clemson Tigers	11-0	8
4	Georgia Bulldogs	9-1	3
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-1	10
6	Oregon Ducks	9-1	9
7	Utah Utes	9-1	5
8	Oklahoma Sooners	9-1	4
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-1	6
10	Florida Gators	9-2	15
11	Minnesota Golden Gophers	9-1	16
12	Michigan Wolverines	8-2	11
13	Baylor Bears	9-1	12
14	Wisconsin Badgers	8-2	7
15	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-2	13
16	Auburn Tigers	7-3	20
17	Cincinnati Bearcats	9-1	17
18	Memphis Tigers	9-1	14
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	7-3	19
20	Boise State Broncos	9-1	18
21	SMU Mustangs	9-1	27
22	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-3	23
23	Appalachian State Mountaineers	9-1	22
24	Texas A&M Aggies	7-3	40
25	Virginia Tech Hokies	7-3	26

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Texas A&M Aggies — model #40 vs AP #24 (Δ +16; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #7 vs AP #14 (Δ -7; model higher)
SMU Mustangs — model #27 vs AP #21 (Δ +6; model lower)
Clemson Tigers — model #8 vs AP #3 (Δ +5; model lower)
Alabama Crimson Tide — model #10 vs AP #5 (Δ +5; model lower)

Week 14

Model #1 Ohio State Buckeyes AP #1 LSU Tigers #1 differ 837 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	12-0	97.92	2
2	LSU Tigers	12-0	88.18	1
3	Oklahoma Sooners	11-1	83.49	7
4	Georgia Bulldogs	11-1	81.25	4
5	Wisconsin Badgers	10-2	80.11	13
6	Clemson Tigers	12-0	77.76	3
7	Utah Utes	11-1	77.37	6
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	77.31	12
9	Baylor Bears	11-1	77.09	11
10	Memphis Tigers	11-1	75.67	17
11	Auburn Tigers	9-3	75.28	16
12	Michigan Wolverines	9-3	75.08	10
13	Florida Gators	10-2	73.52	8
14	Oregon Ducks	10-2	72.86	14
15	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-2	72.75	15
16	Boise State Broncos	11-1	70.77	20
17	Iowa Hawkeyes	9-3	70.33	19
18	Navy Midshipmen	9-2	70.03	24
19	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-2	69.77	5
20	Appalachian State Mountaineers	11-1	69.59	22
21	Cincinnati Bearcats	10-2	68.34	18
22	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-4	68.01	21
23	Minnesota Golden Gophers	10-2	67.5	9
24	Texas Longhorns	7-5	67.21	—
25	Washington Huskies	7-5	65.36	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	LSU Tigers	11-0	2
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-0	1
3	Clemson Tigers	11-0	6
4	Georgia Bulldogs	10-1	4
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-1	19
6	Utah Utes	10-1	7
7	Oklahoma Sooners	10-1	3
8	Florida Gators	9-2	13
9	Minnesota Golden Gophers	10-1	23
10	Michigan Wolverines	9-2	12
11	Baylor Bears	10-1	9
12	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-2	8
13	Wisconsin Badgers	9-2	5
14	Oregon Ducks	9-2	14
15	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-2	15
16	Auburn Tigers	8-3	11
17	Memphis Tigers	10-1	10
18	Cincinnati Bearcats	10-1	21
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	8-3	17
20	Boise State Broncos	10-1	16
21	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-3	22
22	Appalachian State Mountaineers	10-1	20
23	Virginia Tech Hokies	8-3	32
24	Navy Midshipmen	8-2	18
25	USC Trojans	8-4	26

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Alabama Crimson Tide — model #19 vs AP #5 (Δ +14; model lower)
Minnesota Golden Gophers — model #23 vs AP #9 (Δ +14; model lower)
Virginia Tech Hokies — model #32 vs AP #23 (Δ +9; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #5 vs AP #13 (Δ -8; model higher)
Memphis Tigers — model #10 vs AP #17 (Δ -7; model higher)

Week 15

Model #1 Ohio State Buckeyes AP #1 LSU Tigers #1 differ 847 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	13-0	101.02	2
2	LSU Tigers	13-0	93.34	1
3	Oklahoma Sooners	12-1	85.94	6
4	Clemson Tigers	13-0	80.07	3
5	Oregon Ducks	11-2	79.97	13
6	Georgia Bulldogs	11-2	79.78	4
7	Wisconsin Badgers	10-3	78.4	10
8	Memphis Tigers	12-1	76.76	16
9	Baylor Bears	11-2	76.07	8
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	75.97	12
11	Michigan Wolverines	9-3	73.57	17
12	Utah Utes	11-2	73.56	5
13	Auburn Tigers	9-3	72.7	11
14	Florida Gators	10-2	72.02	7
15	Boise State Broncos	12-1	71.75	19
16	Appalachian State Mountaineers	12-1	71.69	20
17	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-2	71.28	14
18	Iowa Hawkeyes	9-3	69.31	18
19	Navy Midshipmen	9-2	69.21	23
20	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-2	68.97	9
21	Cincinnati Bearcats	10-3	68.07	21
22	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-4	67.32	—
23	Texas Longhorns	7-5	66.83	—
24	Minnesota Golden Gophers	10-2	66.41	15
25	Washington Huskies	7-5	64.5	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	LSU Tigers	12-0	2
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	12-0	1
3	Clemson Tigers	12-0	4
4	Georgia Bulldogs	11-1	6
5	Utah Utes	11-1	12
6	Oklahoma Sooners	11-1	3
7	Florida Gators	10-2	14
8	Baylor Bears	11-1	9
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-2	20
10	Wisconsin Badgers	10-2	7
11	Auburn Tigers	9-3	13
12	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	10
13	Oregon Ducks	10-2	5
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-2	17
15	Minnesota Golden Gophers	10-2	24
16	Memphis Tigers	11-1	8
17	Michigan Wolverines	9-3	11
18	Iowa Hawkeyes	9-3	18
19	Boise State Broncos	11-1	15
20	Appalachian State Mountaineers	11-1	16
21	Cincinnati Bearcats	10-2	21
22	Virginia Cavaliers	9-3	35
23	Navy Midshipmen	9-2	19
24	USC Trojans	8-4	26
25	Air Force Falcons	10-2	31

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Virginia Cavaliers — model #35 vs AP #22 (Δ +13; model lower)
Alabama Crimson Tide — model #20 vs AP #9 (Δ +11; model lower)
Minnesota Golden Gophers — model #24 vs AP #15 (Δ +9; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #5 vs AP #13 (Δ -8; model higher)
Memphis Tigers — model #8 vs AP #16 (Δ -8; model higher)

Week 16

Model #1 Ohio State Buckeyes AP #1 LSU Tigers #1 differ 848 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	13-0	100.92	2
2	LSU Tigers	13-0	93.2	1
3	Oklahoma Sooners	12-1	85.8	4
4	Clemson Tigers	13-0	80.0	3
5	Oregon Ducks	11-2	79.81	7
6	Georgia Bulldogs	11-2	79.8	5
7	Wisconsin Badgers	10-3	78.34	11
8	Memphis Tigers	12-1	77.08	15
9	Baylor Bears	11-2	75.93	8
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	75.91	13
11	Michigan Wolverines	9-3	73.6	17
12	Utah Utes	11-2	73.46	12
13	Auburn Tigers	9-3	72.68	9
14	Florida Gators	10-2	71.97	6
15	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-2	71.93	14
16	Appalachian State Mountaineers	12-1	71.64	20
17	Boise State Broncos	12-1	71.63	18
18	Navy Midshipmen	10-2	70.22	21
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	9-3	69.26	19
20	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-2	68.92	9
21	Cincinnati Bearcats	10-3	68.19	23
22	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-4	67.28	25
23	Texas Longhorns	7-5	66.71	—
24	Minnesota Golden Gophers	10-2	66.37	16
25	Washington Huskies	7-5	64.35	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	LSU Tigers	13-0	2
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	13-0	1
3	Clemson Tigers	13-0	4
4	Oklahoma Sooners	12-1	3
5	Georgia Bulldogs	11-2	6
6	Florida Gators	10-2	14
7	Oregon Ducks	11-2	5
8	Baylor Bears	11-2	9
9	Auburn Tigers	9-3	13
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-2	20
11	Wisconsin Badgers	10-3	7
12	Utah Utes	11-2	12
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	10
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-2	15
15	Memphis Tigers	12-1	8
16	Minnesota Golden Gophers	10-2	24
17	Michigan Wolverines	9-3	11
18	Boise State Broncos	12-1	17
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	9-3	19
20	Appalachian State Mountaineers	12-1	16
21	Navy Midshipmen	9-2	18
22	USC Trojans	8-4	26
23	Cincinnati Bearcats	10-3	21
24	Air Force Falcons	10-2	30
25	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-4	22

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Alabama Crimson Tide — model #20 vs AP #9 (Δ +11; model lower)
Florida Gators — model #14 vs AP #6 (Δ +8; model lower)
Minnesota Golden Gophers — model #24 vs AP #16 (Δ +8; model lower)
Memphis Tigers — model #8 vs AP #15 (Δ -7; model higher)
Michigan Wolverines — model #11 vs AP #17 (Δ -6; model higher)

Final (postseason)

Model #1 LSU Tigers AP #1 LSU Tigers #1 match 888 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	LSU Tigers	15-0	104.38	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	13-1	95.77	3
3	Georgia Bulldogs	12-2	83.28	4
4	Clemson Tigers	14-1	83.19	2
5	Oregon Ducks	12-2	81.71	5
6	Oklahoma Sooners	12-2	78.96	7
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-2	78.9	9
8	Wisconsin Badgers	10-4	77.79	11
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-2	75.38	8
10	Florida Gators	11-2	74.92	6
11	Memphis Tigers	12-2	74.68	17
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-2	72.45	12
13	Appalachian State Mountaineers	13-1	72.09	19
14	Utah Utes	11-3	71.87	16
15	Minnesota Golden Gophers	11-2	71.22	10
16	Michigan Wolverines	9-4	71.15	18
17	Iowa Hawkeyes	10-3	70.99	15
18	Baylor Bears	11-3	70.46	13
19	Auburn Tigers	9-4	70.42	14
20	Washington Huskies	8-5	70.0	—
21	Navy Midshipmen	11-2	69.54	20
22	Boise State Broncos	12-2	68.19	23
23	Cincinnati Bearcats	11-3	67.57	21
24	Texas Longhorns	8-5	67.07	25
25	UCF Knights	10-3	65.12	24

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	LSU Tigers	15-0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	14-1	4
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	13-1	2
4	Georgia Bulldogs	12-2	3
5	Oregon Ducks	12-2	5
6	Florida Gators	11-2	10
7	Oklahoma Sooners	12-2	6
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-2	9
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-2	7
10	Minnesota Golden Gophers	11-2	15
11	Wisconsin Badgers	10-4	8
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-2	12
13	Baylor Bears	11-3	18
14	Auburn Tigers	9-4	19
15	Iowa Hawkeyes	10-3	17
16	Utah Utes	11-3	14
17	Memphis Tigers	12-2	11
18	Michigan Wolverines	9-4	16
19	Appalachian State Mountaineers	13-1	13
20	Navy Midshipmen	11-2	21
21	Cincinnati Bearcats	11-3	23
22	Air Force Falcons	11-2	30
23	Boise State Broncos	12-2	22
24	UCF Knights	10-3	25
25	Texas Longhorns	8-5	24

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Air Force Falcons — model #30 vs AP #22 (Δ +8; model lower)
Memphis Tigers — model #11 vs AP #17 (Δ -6; model higher)
Appalachian State Mountaineers — model #13 vs AP #19 (Δ -6; model higher)
Minnesota Golden Gophers — model #15 vs AP #10 (Δ +5; model lower)
Baylor Bears — model #18 vs AP #13 (Δ +5; model lower)