2018 season — Model vs AP

Full weekly rankings with the current late-tuned config. Side-by-side Model Top 25 and AP Top 25 for every week with available poll data.

Final #1 match

Final model #1

Clemson Tigers

Final AP #1

Clemson Tigers

Download: summary.json · weekly_agreement.csv

Preseason (Coaches Poll)

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 0 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	100.0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	0-0	99.0	2
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	98.0	3
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	97.0	4
5	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	96.0	5
6	Washington Huskies	0-0	95.0	6
7	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	94.0	7
8	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	93.0	8
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	92.0	9
10	Auburn Tigers	0-0	91.0	10
11	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	90.0	11
12	Michigan State Spartans	0-0	89.0	12
13	Stanford Cardinal	0-0	88.0	13
14	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	87.0	14
15	USC Trojans	0-0	86.0	15
16	TCU Horned Frogs	0-0	85.0	16
17	Virginia Tech Hokies	0-0	84.0	17
18	Mississippi State Bulldogs	0-0	83.0	18
19	Florida State Seminoles	0-0	82.0	19
20	West Virginia Mountaineers	0-0	81.0	20
21	Texas Longhorns	0-0	80.0	21
22	Boise State Broncos	0-0	79.0	22
23	UCF Knights	0-0	78.0	23
24	LSU Tigers	0-0	77.0	24
25	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	76.0	25

AFCA Coaches Poll

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	0-0	2
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	3
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	4
5	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	5
6	Washington Huskies	0-0	6
7	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	7
8	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	8
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	9
10	Auburn Tigers	0-0	10
11	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	11
12	Michigan State Spartans	0-0	12
13	Stanford Cardinal	0-0	13
14	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	14
15	USC Trojans	0-0	15
16	TCU Horned Frogs	0-0	16
17	Virginia Tech Hokies	0-0	17
18	Mississippi State Bulldogs	0-0	18
19	Florida State Seminoles	0-0	19
20	West Virginia Mountaineers	0-0	20
21	Texas Longhorns	0-0	21
22	Boise State Broncos	0-0	22
23	UCF Knights	0-0	23
24	LSU Tigers	0-0	24
25	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	25

Week 1

Model #1 Washington State Cougars AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 88 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Washington State Cougars	1-0	88.5	—
2	Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors	2-0	78.36	—
3	Northwestern Wildcats	1-0	74.35	—
4	Boston College Eagles	1-0	72.64	—
5	Indiana Hoosiers	1-0	72.12	—
6	Houston Cougars	1-0	71.18	—
7	Virginia Tech Hokies	1-0	70.73	20
8	BYU Cougars	1-0	70.52	—
9	Cincinnati Bearcats	1-0	70.4	—
10	LSU Tigers	1-0	69.8	25
11	Ole Miss Rebels	1-0	69.75	—
12	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	1-0	69.48	—
13	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	69.43	1
14	West Virginia Mountaineers	1-0	69.29	17
15	Maryland Terrapins	1-0	68.57	—
16	Auburn Tigers	1-0	68.35	9
17	UCF Knights	1-0	68.03	21
18	Syracuse Orange	1-0	67.67	—
19	Boise State Broncos	1-0	67.48	22
20	Marshall Thundering Herd	1-0	67.26	—
21	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	1-0	66.41	—
22	USC Trojans	1-0	65.86	15
23	Stanford Cardinal	1-0	65.57	13
24	Michigan State Spartans	1-0	65.55	11
25	Vanderbilt Commodores	1-0	65.52	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	13
2	Clemson Tigers	0-0	50
3	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	46
4	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	27
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	38
6	Washington Huskies	0-0	86
7	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	40
8	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	94
9	Auburn Tigers	0-0	16
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	35
11	Michigan State Spartans	0-0	24
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	34
13	Stanford Cardinal	0-0	23
14	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	85
15	USC Trojans	0-0	22
16	TCU Horned Frogs	0-0	56
17	West Virginia Mountaineers	0-0	14
18	Mississippi State Bulldogs	0-0	44
19	Florida State Seminoles	0-0	109
20	Virginia Tech Hokies	0-0	7
21	UCF Knights	0-0	17
22	Boise State Broncos	0-0	19
23	Texas Longhorns	0-0	90
24	Oregon Ducks	0-0	36
25	LSU Tigers	0-0	10

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Florida State Seminoles — model #109 vs AP #19 (Δ +90; model lower)
Miami Hurricanes — model #94 vs AP #8 (Δ +86; model lower)
Washington Huskies — model #86 vs AP #6 (Δ +80; model lower)
Michigan Wolverines — model #85 vs AP #14 (Δ +71; model lower)
Texas Longhorns — model #90 vs AP #23 (Δ +67; model lower)

Week 2

Model #1 Duke Blue Devils AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 166 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Duke Blue Devils	2-0	83.47	—
2	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	82.18	3
3	Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors	3-0	80.8	—
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	2-0	80.24	13
5	Colorado Buffaloes	2-0	79.84	—
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-0	75.98	4
7	Indiana Hoosiers	2-0	75.02	—
8	Maryland Terrapins	2-0	74.43	—
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	74.39	1
10	Stanford Cardinal	2-0	74.28	10
11	Vanderbilt Commodores	2-0	74.2	—
12	Kentucky Wildcats	2-0	72.65	—
13	Oklahoma Sooners	2-0	70.95	6
14	Washington State Cougars	2-0	70.56	—
15	California Golden Bears	2-0	69.98	—
16	Ole Miss Rebels	2-0	69.46	—
17	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2-0	69.35	8
18	Arizona State Sun Devils	2-0	69.11	—
19	Boise State Broncos	2-0	68.0	20
20	LSU Tigers	2-0	67.73	11
21	Wisconsin Badgers	2-0	67.69	5
22	Mississippi State Bulldogs	2-0	67.53	18
23	Minnesota Golden Gophers	2-0	66.77	—
24	West Virginia Mountaineers	2-0	66.63	14
25	Cincinnati Bearcats	2-0	66.5	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	9
2	Clemson Tigers	1-0	26
3	Georgia Bulldogs	1-0	2
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-0	6
5	Wisconsin Badgers	1-0	21
6	Oklahoma Sooners	1-0	13
7	Auburn Tigers	1-0	28
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1-0	17
9	Washington Huskies	0-1	64
10	Stanford Cardinal	1-0	10
11	LSU Tigers	1-0	20
12	Virginia Tech Hokies	1-0	31
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	1-0	4
14	West Virginia Mountaineers	1-0	24
15	Michigan State Spartans	1-0	36
16	TCU Horned Frogs	1-0	34
17	USC Trojans	1-0	49
18	Mississippi State Bulldogs	1-0	22
19	UCF Knights	1-0	47
20	Boise State Broncos	1-0	19
21	Michigan Wolverines	0-1	56
22	Miami Hurricanes	0-1	75
23	Oregon Ducks	1-0	43
24	South Carolina Gamecocks	1-0	35
25	Florida Gators	1-0	70

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Washington Huskies — model #64 vs AP #9 (Δ +55; model lower)
Miami Hurricanes — model #75 vs AP #22 (Δ +53; model lower)
Florida Gators — model #70 vs AP #25 (Δ +45; model lower)
Michigan Wolverines — model #56 vs AP #21 (Δ +35; model lower)
USC Trojans — model #49 vs AP #17 (Δ +32; model lower)

Week 3

Model #1 Duke Blue Devils AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 232 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Duke Blue Devils	3-0	93.41	—
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	90.93	1
3	LSU Tigers	3-0	83.37	12
4	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3-0	79.23	8
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	3-0	78.75	11
6	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	77.6	3
7	Indiana Hoosiers	3-0	76.54	—
8	Clemson Tigers	3-0	76.54	2
9	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-0	75.12	4
10	California Golden Bears	3-0	73.63	—
11	Oklahoma Sooners	3-0	72.79	5
12	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	72.7	24
13	Mississippi State Bulldogs	3-0	71.42	16
14	Army Black Knights	2-1	71.34	—
15	Kentucky Wildcats	3-0	69.0	—
16	Buffalo Bulls	3-0	68.62	—
17	BYU Cougars	2-1	67.87	—
18	Boston College Eagles	3-0	66.41	—
19	Minnesota Golden Gophers	3-0	65.65	—
20	Missouri Tigers	3-0	65.56	—
21	Stanford Cardinal	3-0	65.12	9
22	Vanderbilt Commodores	2-1	63.75	—
23	Auburn Tigers	2-1	63.54	7
24	Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors	3-1	63.48	—
25	West Virginia Mountaineers	2-0	63.36	14

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	2
2	Clemson Tigers	2-0	8
3	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	6
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-0	9
5	Oklahoma Sooners	2-0	11
6	Wisconsin Badgers	2-0	34
7	Auburn Tigers	2-0	23
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2-0	4
9	Stanford Cardinal	2-0	21
10	Washington Huskies	1-1	44
11	Penn State Nittany Lions	2-0	5
12	LSU Tigers	2-0	3
13	Virginia Tech Hokies	2-0	45
14	West Virginia Mountaineers	2-0	25
15	TCU Horned Frogs	2-0	49
16	Mississippi State Bulldogs	2-0	13
17	Boise State Broncos	2-0	31
18	UCF Knights	2-0	57
19	Michigan Wolverines	1-1	39
20	Oregon Ducks	2-0	47
21	Miami Hurricanes	1-1	42
22	USC Trojans	1-1	69
23	Arizona State Sun Devils	2-0	46
24	Oklahoma State Cowboys	2-0	12
25	Michigan State Spartans	1-1	54

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

USC Trojans — model #69 vs AP #22 (Δ +47; model lower)
UCF Knights — model #57 vs AP #18 (Δ +39; model lower)
Washington Huskies — model #44 vs AP #10 (Δ +34; model lower)
TCU Horned Frogs — model #49 vs AP #15 (Δ +34; model lower)
Virginia Tech Hokies — model #45 vs AP #13 (Δ +32; model lower)

Week 4

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 294 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	95.36	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	4-0	89.91	2
3	LSU Tigers	4-0	86.73	6
4	Kentucky Wildcats	4-0	81.42	—
5	Duke Blue Devils	4-0	79.56	—
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-0	78.02	10
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-0	76.09	8
8	Oklahoma Sooners	4-0	75.0	5
9	Maryland Terrapins	3-1	73.64	—
10	Stanford Cardinal	4-0	72.81	7
11	Clemson Tigers	4-0	72.19	3
12	Michigan State Spartans	2-1	71.58	24
13	Buffalo Bulls	4-0	70.48	—
14	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-0	70.43	4
15	Texas Tech Red Raiders	3-1	70.34	—
16	South Carolina Gamecocks	2-1	69.34	—
17	Auburn Tigers	3-1	68.55	9
18	BYU Cougars	3-1	67.96	25
19	California Golden Bears	3-0	67.31	—
20	Wisconsin Badgers	3-1	67.02	18
21	Texas Longhorns	3-1	65.71	—
22	Ole Miss Rebels	3-1	65.36	—
23	North Texas Mean Green	4-0	64.74	—
24	Indiana Hoosiers	3-1	64.46	—
25	Syracuse Orange	4-0	63.53	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	2
3	Clemson Tigers	3-0	11
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-0	14
5	Oklahoma Sooners	3-0	8
6	LSU Tigers	3-0	3
7	Stanford Cardinal	3-0	10
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3-0	7
9	Auburn Tigers	2-1	17
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	3-0	6
10	Washington Huskies	2-1	27
12	West Virginia Mountaineers	2-0	28
13	Virginia Tech Hokies	2-0	59
14	Mississippi State Bulldogs	3-0	34
15	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	31
16	UCF Knights	2-0	53
17	TCU Horned Frogs	2-1	57
18	Wisconsin Badgers	2-1	20
19	Michigan Wolverines	2-1	26
20	Oregon Ducks	3-0	58
21	Miami Hurricanes	2-1	29
22	Texas A&M Aggies	2-1	48
23	Boston College Eagles	3-0	47
24	Michigan State Spartans	1-1	12
25	BYU Cougars	2-1	18

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Virginia Tech Hokies — model #59 vs AP #13 (Δ +46; model lower)
TCU Horned Frogs — model #57 vs AP #17 (Δ +40; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #58 vs AP #20 (Δ +38; model lower)
UCF Knights — model #53 vs AP #16 (Δ +37; model lower)
Texas A&M Aggies — model #48 vs AP #22 (Δ +26; model lower)

Week 5

Model #1 LSU Tigers AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 352 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	LSU Tigers	5-0	89.77	5
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-0	88.81	8
3	Georgia Bulldogs	5-0	84.56	2
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	84.05	1
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-0	81.94	4
6	Oklahoma Sooners	5-0	81.44	6
7	Kentucky Wildcats	5-0	81.41	17
8	Clemson Tigers	5-0	77.39	3
9	Duke Blue Devils	4-1	73.82	22
10	West Virginia Mountaineers	4-0	73.09	12
11	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-1	71.5	9
12	Auburn Tigers	4-1	70.98	10
13	Maryland Terrapins	3-1	70.8	—
14	Virginia Tech Hokies	3-1	70.4	—
15	Michigan State Spartans	3-1	69.7	21
16	Stanford Cardinal	4-1	68.85	7
17	Army Black Knights	3-2	68.68	—
18	Texas Longhorns	4-1	67.61	18
19	Texas Tech Red Raiders	3-2	67.27	25
20	Michigan Wolverines	4-1	67.15	14
21	Washington Huskies	4-1	66.27	11
22	Florida Gators	4-1	66.18	—
23	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-1	65.76	—
24	Indiana Hoosiers	4-1	64.65	—
25	NC State Wolfpack	4-0	64.4	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	4
2	Georgia Bulldogs	4-0	3
3	Clemson Tigers	4-0	8
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-0	5
5	LSU Tigers	4-0	1
6	Oklahoma Sooners	4-0	6
7	Stanford Cardinal	4-0	16
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-0	2
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-0	11
10	Auburn Tigers	3-1	12
11	Washington Huskies	3-1	21
12	West Virginia Mountaineers	3-0	10
13	UCF Knights	3-0	44
14	Michigan Wolverines	3-1	20
15	Wisconsin Badgers	3-1	31
16	Miami Hurricanes	3-1	26
17	Kentucky Wildcats	4-0	7
18	Texas Longhorns	3-1	18
19	Oregon Ducks	3-1	32
20	BYU Cougars	3-1	42
21	Michigan State Spartans	2-1	15
22	Duke Blue Devils	4-0	9
23	Mississippi State Bulldogs	3-1	51
24	California Golden Bears	3-0	48
25	Texas Tech Red Raiders	3-1	19

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

UCF Knights — model #44 vs AP #13 (Δ +31; model lower)
Mississippi State Bulldogs — model #51 vs AP #23 (Δ +28; model lower)
California Golden Bears — model #48 vs AP #24 (Δ +24; model lower)
BYU Cougars — model #42 vs AP #20 (Δ +22; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #31 vs AP #15 (Δ +16; model lower)

Week 6

Model #1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 408 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6-0	88.51	6
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	87.76	1
3	Georgia Bulldogs	6-0	86.66	2
4	Clemson Tigers	6-0	83.5	4
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-0	83.38	3
6	Kentucky Wildcats	5-1	81.4	13
7	LSU Tigers	5-1	79.07	5
8	Florida Gators	5-1	78.92	22
9	Texas Longhorns	5-1	77.56	19
10	Oklahoma Sooners	5-1	75.81	7
11	Michigan Wolverines	5-1	73.53	15
12	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-1	71.4	11
13	West Virginia Mountaineers	5-0	71.22	9
14	Duke Blue Devils	4-1	69.96	—
15	Wisconsin Badgers	4-1	68.48	16
16	Washington Huskies	5-1	67.86	10
17	NC State Wolfpack	5-0	65.92	23
18	Army Black Knights	3-2	65.53	—
19	Texas A&M Aggies	4-2	64.47	—
20	Miami Hurricanes	5-1	64.11	17
21	Michigan State Spartans	3-2	64.06	20
22	Cincinnati Bearcats	6-0	63.96	—
23	South Carolina Gamecocks	3-2	63.81	—
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	4-2	63.52	—
25	Stanford Cardinal	4-2	63.38	14

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	2
2	Georgia Bulldogs	5-0	3
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-0	5
4	Clemson Tigers	5-0	4
5	LSU Tigers	5-0	7
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-0	1
7	Oklahoma Sooners	5-0	10
8	Auburn Tigers	4-1	30
9	West Virginia Mountaineers	4-0	13
10	Washington Huskies	4-1	16
11	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-1	12
12	UCF Knights	4-0	34
13	Kentucky Wildcats	5-0	6
14	Stanford Cardinal	4-1	25
15	Michigan Wolverines	4-1	11
16	Wisconsin Badgers	3-1	15
17	Miami Hurricanes	4-1	20
18	Oregon Ducks	4-1	53
19	Texas Longhorns	4-1	9
20	Michigan State Spartans	3-1	21
21	Colorado Buffaloes	4-0	32
22	Florida Gators	4-1	8
23	NC State Wolfpack	4-0	17
24	Virginia Tech Hokies	3-1	31
25	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-1	40

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Oregon Ducks — model #53 vs AP #18 (Δ +35; model lower)
Auburn Tigers — model #30 vs AP #8 (Δ +22; model lower)
UCF Knights — model #34 vs AP #12 (Δ +22; model lower)
Oklahoma State Cowboys — model #40 vs AP #25 (Δ +15; model lower)
Florida Gators — model #8 vs AP #22 (Δ -14; model higher)

Week 7

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 463 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-0	90.73	1
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-0	87.88	5
3	LSU Tigers	6-1	84.76	13
4	Florida Gators	6-1	82.48	14
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-0	81.13	3
6	Michigan Wolverines	6-1	79.21	12
7	Texas Longhorns	6-1	79.2	9
8	Clemson Tigers	6-0	79.04	4
9	Georgia Bulldogs	6-1	76.44	2
10	Oklahoma Sooners	5-1	75.36	11
11	Kentucky Wildcats	5-1	74.09	18
12	Duke Blue Devils	5-1	73.42	—
13	Texas A&M Aggies	5-2	70.75	22
14	Michigan State Spartans	4-2	69.75	—
15	West Virginia Mountaineers	5-1	68.6	6
16	Iowa Hawkeyes	5-1	68.52	—
17	Washington Huskies	5-2	66.3	7
18	Army Black Knights	4-2	66.2	—
19	Stanford Cardinal	4-2	66.13	—
20	NC State Wolfpack	5-0	65.25	20
21	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-2	63.86	8
22	Wisconsin Badgers	4-2	62.78	15
23	USC Trojans	4-2	62.71	—
24	UCF Knights	6-0	62.33	10
25	Virginia Tech Hokies	4-2	62.17	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	6-0	9
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-0	5
4	Clemson Tigers	6-0	8
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6-0	2
6	West Virginia Mountaineers	5-0	15
7	Washington Huskies	5-1	17
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-1	21
9	Texas Longhorns	5-1	7
10	UCF Knights	5-0	24
11	Oklahoma Sooners	5-1	10
12	Michigan Wolverines	5-1	6
13	LSU Tigers	5-1	3
14	Florida Gators	5-1	4
15	Wisconsin Badgers	4-1	22
16	Miami Hurricanes	5-1	42
17	Oregon Ducks	4-1	36
18	Kentucky Wildcats	5-1	11
19	Colorado Buffaloes	5-0	43
20	NC State Wolfpack	5-0	20
21	Auburn Tigers	4-2	50
22	Texas A&M Aggies	4-2	13
23	South Florida Bulls	5-0	41
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	4-2	29
25	Cincinnati Bearcats	6-0	27

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Auburn Tigers — model #50 vs AP #21 (Δ +29; model lower)
Miami Hurricanes — model #42 vs AP #16 (Δ +26; model lower)
Colorado Buffaloes — model #43 vs AP #19 (Δ +24; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #36 vs AP #17 (Δ +19; model lower)
South Florida Bulls — model #41 vs AP #23 (Δ +18; model lower)

Week 8

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 518 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	92.14	1
2	LSU Tigers	7-1	85.99	5
3	Michigan Wolverines	7-1	85.79	6
4	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-0	84.58	4
5	Clemson Tigers	7-0	82.06	3
6	Oklahoma Sooners	6-1	76.2	9
7	Georgia Bulldogs	6-1	75.81	8
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-1	74.34	2
9	Florida Gators	6-1	74.29	11
10	Kentucky Wildcats	6-1	74.03	14
11	Texas Longhorns	6-1	71.44	7
12	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-1	70.14	19
13	Washington Huskies	6-2	69.69	15
14	Texas A&M Aggies	5-2	69.69	17
15	Duke Blue Devils	5-2	69.56	—
16	Washington State Cougars	6-1	67.27	25
17	Army Black Knights	5-2	66.88	—
18	Purdue Boilermakers	4-3	65.93	—
19	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-2	65.68	18
20	Stanford Cardinal	5-2	65.66	—
21	Northwestern Wildcats	4-3	65.64	—
22	West Virginia Mountaineers	5-1	65.51	13
23	Wisconsin Badgers	5-2	65.28	23
24	Michigan State Spartans	4-3	65.17	24
25	NC State Wolfpack	5-1	65.05	16

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-0	8
3	Clemson Tigers	6-0	5
4	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-0	4
5	LSU Tigers	6-1	2
6	Michigan Wolverines	6-1	3
7	Texas Longhorns	6-1	11
8	Georgia Bulldogs	6-1	7
9	Oklahoma Sooners	5-1	6
10	UCF Knights	6-0	29
11	Florida Gators	6-1	9
12	Oregon Ducks	5-1	45
13	West Virginia Mountaineers	5-1	22
14	Kentucky Wildcats	5-1	10
15	Washington Huskies	5-2	13
16	NC State Wolfpack	5-0	25
17	Texas A&M Aggies	5-2	14
18	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-2	19
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	5-1	12
20	Cincinnati Bearcats	6-0	44
21	South Florida Bulls	6-0	48
22	Mississippi State Bulldogs	4-2	43
23	Wisconsin Badgers	4-2	23
24	Michigan State Spartans	4-2	24
25	Washington State Cougars	5-1	16

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Oregon Ducks — model #45 vs AP #12 (Δ +33; model lower)
South Florida Bulls — model #48 vs AP #21 (Δ +27; model lower)
Cincinnati Bearcats — model #44 vs AP #20 (Δ +24; model lower)
Mississippi State Bulldogs — model #43 vs AP #22 (Δ +21; model lower)
UCF Knights — model #29 vs AP #10 (Δ +19; model lower)

Week 9

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 574 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	85.9	1
2	LSU Tigers	7-1	85.43	4
3	Clemson Tigers	8-0	84.93	2
4	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-0	81.78	3
5	Michigan Wolverines	7-1	81.23	5
6	Georgia Bulldogs	7-1	80.2	7
7	Oklahoma Sooners	7-1	78.69	8
8	Kentucky Wildcats	7-1	76.9	12
9	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-1	75.55	11
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-2	72.58	17
11	Washington State Cougars	7-1	72.56	14
12	Northwestern Wildcats	5-3	70.71	—
13	Florida Gators	6-2	70.7	9
14	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-2	70.04	18
15	Michigan State Spartans	5-3	69.72	—
16	Iowa State Cyclones	4-3	69.6	—
17	Army Black Knights	6-2	67.38	—
18	Duke Blue Devils	5-3	66.78	—
19	West Virginia Mountaineers	6-1	66.62	13
20	Texas Longhorns	6-2	66.16	6
21	Utah Utes	6-2	65.95	23
22	Mississippi State Bulldogs	5-3	65.75	—
23	Stanford Cardinal	5-3	65.62	24
24	Washington Huskies	6-3	65.53	15
25	Fresno State Bulldogs	7-1	65.31	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	7-0	3
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-0	4
4	LSU Tigers	7-1	2
5	Michigan Wolverines	7-1	5
6	Texas Longhorns	6-1	20
7	Georgia Bulldogs	6-1	6
8	Oklahoma Sooners	6-1	7
9	Florida Gators	6-1	13
10	UCF Knights	7-0	33
11	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-1	9
12	Kentucky Wildcats	6-1	8
13	West Virginia Mountaineers	5-1	19
14	Washington State Cougars	6-1	11
15	Washington Huskies	6-2	24
16	Texas A&M Aggies	5-2	26
17	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-2	10
18	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-1	14
19	Oregon Ducks	5-2	48
20	Wisconsin Badgers	5-2	43
21	South Florida Bulls	7-0	57
22	NC State Wolfpack	5-1	36
23	Utah Utes	5-2	21
24	Stanford Cardinal	5-2	23
25	Appalachian State Mountaineers	5-1	65

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Appalachian State Mountaineers — model #65 vs AP #25 (Δ +40; model lower)
South Florida Bulls — model #57 vs AP #21 (Δ +36; model lower)
Oregon Ducks — model #48 vs AP #19 (Δ +29; model lower)
UCF Knights — model #33 vs AP #10 (Δ +23; model lower)
Wisconsin Badgers — model #43 vs AP #20 (Δ +23; model lower)

Week 10

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 636 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-0	92.07	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	8-1	89.09	6
3	Michigan Wolverines	8-1	84.67	5
4	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-0	84.66	3
5	Clemson Tigers	9-0	81.6	2
6	Oklahoma Sooners	8-1	79.4	7
7	LSU Tigers	7-2	77.2	4
8	Michigan State Spartans	6-3	74.68	—
9	Kentucky Wildcats	7-2	74.67	11
10	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-1	71.7	8
11	Washington State Cougars	8-1	70.59	10
12	Duke Blue Devils	6-3	70.34	—
13	Washington Huskies	7-3	69.0	—
14	West Virginia Mountaineers	7-1	68.63	12
15	Missouri Tigers	5-4	68.38	—
16	Purdue Boilermakers	5-4	68.35	—
17	Stanford Cardinal	5-4	67.43	—
18	Mississippi State Bulldogs	6-3	67.14	21
19	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-3	66.92	14
20	Florida Gators	6-3	66.92	13
21	Northwestern Wildcats	5-4	66.62	—
22	Army Black Knights	7-2	66.31	—
23	UCF Knights	8-0	65.76	9
24	Auburn Tigers	6-3	65.68	—
25	Fresno State Bulldogs	8-1	65.44	20

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	8-0	5
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-0	4
4	LSU Tigers	7-1	7
5	Michigan Wolverines	7-1	3
6	Georgia Bulldogs	7-1	2
7	Oklahoma Sooners	7-1	6
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-1	10
9	UCF Knights	7-0	23
10	Washington State Cougars	7-1	11
11	Kentucky Wildcats	7-1	9
12	West Virginia Mountaineers	6-1	14
13	Florida Gators	6-2	20
14	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-2	19
15	Texas Longhorns	6-2	30
16	Utah Utes	6-2	29
17	Houston Cougars	7-1	47
18	Utah State Aggies	7-1	27
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-2	28
20	Fresno State Bulldogs	7-1	25
21	Mississippi State Bulldogs	5-3	18
22	Syracuse Orange	6-2	31
23	Virginia Cavaliers	6-2	46
24	Boston College Eagles	6-2	42
25	Texas A&M Aggies	5-3	32

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Houston Cougars — model #47 vs AP #17 (Δ +30; model lower)
Virginia Cavaliers — model #46 vs AP #23 (Δ +23; model lower)
Boston College Eagles — model #42 vs AP #24 (Δ +18; model lower)
Texas Longhorns — model #30 vs AP #15 (Δ +15; model lower)
UCF Knights — model #23 vs AP #9 (Δ +14; model lower)

Week 11

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 698 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-0	95.1	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	9-1	89.94	5
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-0	84.8	3
4	Clemson Tigers	10-0	84.66	2
5	Michigan Wolverines	9-1	83.29	4
6	Oklahoma Sooners	9-1	77.56	6
7	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-1	77.18	8
8	LSU Tigers	8-2	75.2	9
9	Kentucky Wildcats	7-3	73.78	12
10	Washington State Cougars	9-1	71.73	10
11	Northwestern Wildcats	6-4	71.01	—
12	West Virginia Mountaineers	8-1	70.71	7
13	Michigan State Spartans	6-4	70.11	24
14	Duke Blue Devils	7-3	69.21	—
15	Boise State Broncos	8-2	68.71	—
16	Florida Gators	7-3	68.69	19
17	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-3	68.56	21
18	Missouri Tigers	6-4	67.41	—
19	Washington Huskies	7-3	67.35	20
20	UCF Knights	9-0	67.08	11
21	Pittsburgh Panthers	6-4	65.85	—
22	Texas A&M Aggies	6-4	65.58	—
23	Army Black Knights	8-2	64.87	—
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	6-4	64.68	18
25	Stanford Cardinal	6-4	64.47	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	9-0	4
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-0	3
4	Michigan Wolverines	8-1	5
5	Georgia Bulldogs	8-1	2
6	Oklahoma Sooners	8-1	6
7	West Virginia Mountaineers	7-1	12
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-1	7
9	LSU Tigers	7-2	8
10	Washington State Cougars	8-1	10
11	UCF Knights	8-0	20
12	Kentucky Wildcats	7-2	9
13	Syracuse Orange	7-2	35
14	Utah State Aggies	8-1	31
15	Texas Longhorns	6-3	26
16	Fresno State Bulldogs	8-1	33
17	Boston College Eagles	7-2	41
18	Mississippi State Bulldogs	6-3	24
19	Florida Gators	6-3	16
20	Washington Huskies	7-3	19
21	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-3	17
22	NC State Wolfpack	6-2	39
23	Iowa State Cyclones	5-3	27
24	Michigan State Spartans	6-3	13
25	Cincinnati Bearcats	8-1	30

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Boston College Eagles — model #41 vs AP #17 (Δ +24; model lower)
Syracuse Orange — model #35 vs AP #13 (Δ +22; model lower)
Utah State Aggies — model #31 vs AP #14 (Δ +17; model lower)
Fresno State Bulldogs — model #33 vs AP #16 (Δ +17; model lower)
NC State Wolfpack — model #39 vs AP #22 (Δ +17; model lower)

Week 12

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 764 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-0	93.61	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	10-1	89.51	5
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-0	87.12	3
4	Clemson Tigers	11-0	84.66	2
5	Michigan Wolverines	10-1	82.66	4
6	Oklahoma Sooners	10-1	77.63	6
7	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-1	77.41	9
8	Kentucky Wildcats	8-3	75.41	20
9	LSU Tigers	9-2	74.75	10
10	Washington State Cougars	10-1	72.03	8
11	Northwestern Wildcats	7-4	71.81	24
12	Missouri Tigers	7-4	70.6	—
13	Boise State Broncos	9-2	70.2	23
14	UCF Knights	10-0	69.81	11
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-3	69.79	16
16	West Virginia Mountaineers	8-2	69.35	7
17	Florida Gators	8-3	68.89	15
18	Texas A&M Aggies	7-4	67.65	—
19	Michigan State Spartans	6-5	67.43	—
20	Mississippi State Bulldogs	7-4	67.04	25
21	Texas Longhorns	8-3	66.45	13
22	Pittsburgh Panthers	7-4	66.44	—
23	Auburn Tigers	7-4	65.45	—
24	Wisconsin Badgers	7-4	64.75	—
25	Duke Blue Devils	7-4	64.71	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	10-0	4
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-0	3
4	Michigan Wolverines	9-1	5
5	Georgia Bulldogs	9-1	2
6	Oklahoma Sooners	9-1	6
7	West Virginia Mountaineers	8-1	16
8	Washington State Cougars	9-1	10
9	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-1	7
10	LSU Tigers	8-2	9
11	UCF Knights	9-0	14
12	Syracuse Orange	8-2	44
13	Texas Longhorns	7-3	21
14	Utah State Aggies	9-1	29
15	Florida Gators	7-3	17
16	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-3	15
17	Washington Huskies	7-3	26
18	Iowa State Cyclones	6-3	30
19	Cincinnati Bearcats	9-1	37
20	Kentucky Wildcats	7-3	8
21	Utah Utes	7-3	31
22	Boston College Eagles	7-3	47
23	Boise State Broncos	8-2	13
24	Northwestern Wildcats	6-4	11
25	Mississippi State Bulldogs	6-4	20

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Syracuse Orange — model #44 vs AP #12 (Δ +32; model lower)
Boston College Eagles — model #47 vs AP #22 (Δ +25; model lower)
Cincinnati Bearcats — model #37 vs AP #19 (Δ +18; model lower)
Utah State Aggies — model #29 vs AP #14 (Δ +15; model lower)
Northwestern Wildcats — model #11 vs AP #24 (Δ -13; model higher)

Week 13

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 828 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	12-0	94.91	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	11-1	89.17	5
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	12-0	86.08	3
4	Clemson Tigers	12-0	84.96	2
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-1	84.18	10
6	Michigan Wolverines	10-2	77.63	4
7	Oklahoma Sooners	11-1	77.49	6
8	Kentucky Wildcats	9-3	76.36	17
9	Washington Huskies	9-3	73.15	16
10	Northwestern Wildcats	8-4	72.88	20
11	Texas A&M Aggies	8-4	72.52	—
12	Missouri Tigers	8-4	72.32	—
13	LSU Tigers	9-3	71.88	8
14	Boise State Broncos	10-2	71.7	21
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-3	70.74	15
16	Florida Gators	9-3	70.54	13
17	UCF Knights	11-0	70.12	8
18	Washington State Cougars	10-2	70.0	7
19	Michigan State Spartans	7-5	67.32	—
20	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	67.05	22
21	Utah Utes	9-3	65.2	18
22	Texas Longhorns	9-3	64.89	11
23	Stanford Cardinal	7-4	64.26	—
24	Minnesota Golden Gophers	6-6	63.69	—
25	Iowa Hawkeyes	8-4	63.22	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	11-0	4
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	11-0	3
4	Michigan Wolverines	10-1	6
5	Georgia Bulldogs	10-1	2
6	Oklahoma Sooners	10-1	7
7	Washington State Cougars	10-1	18
8	LSU Tigers	9-2	13
8	UCF Knights	10-0	17
10	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-1	5
11	Texas Longhorns	8-3	22
12	West Virginia Mountaineers	8-2	26
13	Florida Gators	8-3	16
14	Utah State Aggies	10-1	38
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-3	15
16	Washington Huskies	8-3	9
17	Kentucky Wildcats	8-3	8
18	Utah Utes	8-3	21
19	Syracuse Orange	8-3	30
20	Northwestern Wildcats	7-4	10
21	Boise State Broncos	9-2	14
22	Mississippi State Bulldogs	7-4	20
23	Army Black Knights	9-2	29
24	Pittsburgh Panthers	7-4	28
25	Iowa State Cyclones	6-4	35

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Utah State Aggies — model #38 vs AP #14 (Δ +24; model lower)
West Virginia Mountaineers — model #26 vs AP #12 (Δ +14; model lower)
Washington State Cougars — model #18 vs AP #7 (Δ +11; model lower)
Texas Longhorns — model #22 vs AP #11 (Δ +11; model lower)
Syracuse Orange — model #30 vs AP #19 (Δ +11; model lower)

Week 14

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 844 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	13-0	99.02	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	11-2	87.58	4
3	Clemson Tigers	13-0	87.37	2
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	12-1	85.76	6
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	12-0	84.63	3
6	Oklahoma Sooners	12-1	80.63	5
7	Michigan Wolverines	10-2	76.72	8
8	Washington Huskies	10-3	75.94	10
9	Kentucky Wildcats	9-3	75.42	16
10	Northwestern Wildcats	8-5	72.62	21
11	Texas A&M Aggies	8-4	72.51	22
12	Missouri Tigers	8-4	71.12	—
13	LSU Tigers	9-3	70.8	12
14	UCF Knights	12-0	70.62	7
15	Washington State Cougars	10-2	70.54	12
16	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-3	70.18	14
17	Florida Gators	9-3	70.17	11
18	Boise State Broncos	10-3	70.07	19
19	Fresno State Bulldogs	11-2	69.96	25
20	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	66.44	20
21	Utah Utes	9-4	65.92	17
22	Michigan State Spartans	7-5	64.63	—
23	Stanford Cardinal	8-4	63.99	—
24	Texas Longhorns	9-4	63.74	9
25	Pittsburgh Panthers	7-6	63.21	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	12-0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	12-0	3
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	12-0	5
4	Georgia Bulldogs	11-1	2
5	Oklahoma Sooners	11-1	6
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-1	4
7	UCF Knights	11-0	14
8	Michigan Wolverines	10-2	7
9	Texas Longhorns	9-3	24
10	Washington Huskies	9-3	8
11	Florida Gators	9-3	17
12	LSU Tigers	9-3	13
12	Washington State Cougars	10-2	15
14	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-3	16
15	West Virginia Mountaineers	8-3	27
16	Kentucky Wildcats	9-3	9
17	Utah Utes	9-3	21
18	Syracuse Orange	9-3	26
19	Boise State Broncos	10-2	18
20	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	20
21	Northwestern Wildcats	8-4	10
22	Texas A&M Aggies	8-4	11
23	Army Black Knights	9-2	33
24	Iowa State Cyclones	7-4	40
25	Fresno State Bulldogs	10-2	19

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Iowa State Cyclones — model #40 vs AP #24 (Δ +16; model lower)
Texas Longhorns — model #24 vs AP #9 (Δ +15; model lower)
West Virginia Mountaineers — model #27 vs AP #15 (Δ +12; model lower)
Northwestern Wildcats — model #10 vs AP #21 (Δ -11; model higher)
Texas A&M Aggies — model #11 vs AP #22 (Δ -11; model higher)

Week 15

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 845 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	13-0	98.97	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	11-2	87.54	6
3	Clemson Tigers	13-0	87.34	2
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	12-1	85.71	5
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	12-0	84.6	3
6	Oklahoma Sooners	12-1	80.67	4
7	Michigan Wolverines	10-2	76.69	8
8	Washington Huskies	10-3	75.93	9
9	Kentucky Wildcats	9-3	75.4	16
10	Northwestern Wildcats	8-5	72.59	—
11	Texas A&M Aggies	8-4	72.48	21
12	Missouri Tigers	8-4	71.1	24
13	LSU Tigers	9-3	70.79	11
14	Washington State Cougars	10-2	70.53	12
15	UCF Knights	12-0	70.47	7
16	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-3	70.17	13
17	Florida Gators	9-3	70.16	10
18	Boise State Broncos	10-3	70.05	23
19	Fresno State Bulldogs	11-2	69.94	19
20	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	66.43	18
21	Utah Utes	9-4	65.91	20
22	Michigan State Spartans	7-5	64.63	—
23	Stanford Cardinal	8-4	63.98	—
24	Texas Longhorns	9-4	63.73	14
25	Pittsburgh Panthers	7-6	63.2	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	13-0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	13-0	3
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	12-0	5
4	Oklahoma Sooners	12-1	6
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	12-1	4
6	Georgia Bulldogs	11-2	2
7	UCF Knights	12-0	15
8	Michigan Wolverines	10-2	7
9	Washington Huskies	10-3	8
10	Florida Gators	9-3	17
11	LSU Tigers	9-3	13
12	Washington State Cougars	10-2	14
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-3	16
14	Texas Longhorns	9-4	24
15	West Virginia Mountaineers	8-3	27
16	Kentucky Wildcats	9-3	9
17	Syracuse Orange	9-3	26
18	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	20
19	Fresno State Bulldogs	11-2	19
20	Utah Utes	9-4	21
21	Texas A&M Aggies	8-4	11
22	Army Black Knights	9-2	28
23	Boise State Broncos	10-3	18
24	Missouri Tigers	8-4	12
25	Iowa State Cyclones	8-4	39

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Iowa State Cyclones — model #39 vs AP #25 (Δ +14; model lower)
West Virginia Mountaineers — model #27 vs AP #15 (Δ +12; model lower)
Missouri Tigers — model #12 vs AP #24 (Δ -12; model higher)
Texas Longhorns — model #24 vs AP #14 (Δ +10; model lower)
Texas A&M Aggies — model #11 vs AP #21 (Δ -10; model higher)

Final (postseason)

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 match 884 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	15-0	102.42	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	14-1	97.04	2
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	13-1	86.13	3
4	Georgia Bulldogs	11-3	82.7	7
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	12-1	79.97	5
6	Oklahoma Sooners	12-2	79.45	4
7	Kentucky Wildcats	10-3	76.73	12
8	Florida Gators	10-3	76.68	7
9	Texas A&M Aggies	9-4	75.43	16
10	Michigan Wolverines	10-3	73.49	14
11	LSU Tigers	10-3	72.7	6
12	Washington Huskies	10-4	72.1	13
13	Northwestern Wildcats	9-5	71.95	21
14	Boise State Broncos	10-3	71.37	23
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-4	70.66	17
16	Fresno State Bulldogs	12-2	70.27	18
17	Texas Longhorns	10-4	68.5	9
18	Washington State Cougars	11-2	67.66	10
19	UCF Knights	12-1	67.12	11
20	Auburn Tigers	8-5	66.25	—
21	Syracuse Orange	10-3	66.21	15
22	Iowa Hawkeyes	9-4	66.14	25
23	Missouri Tigers	8-5	65.85	—
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-5	65.77	—
25	Minnesota Golden Gophers	7-6	64.8	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	15-0	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	14-1	2
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	13-1	3
4	Oklahoma Sooners	12-2	6
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	12-1	5
6	LSU Tigers	10-3	11
7	Florida Gators	10-3	8
7	Georgia Bulldogs	11-3	4
9	Texas Longhorns	10-4	17
10	Washington State Cougars	11-2	18
11	UCF Knights	12-1	19
12	Kentucky Wildcats	10-3	7
13	Washington Huskies	10-4	12
14	Michigan Wolverines	10-3	10
15	Syracuse Orange	10-3	21
16	Texas A&M Aggies	9-4	9
17	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-4	15
18	Fresno State Bulldogs	12-2	16
19	Army Black Knights	11-2	34
20	West Virginia Mountaineers	8-4	44
21	Northwestern Wildcats	9-5	13
22	Utah State Aggies	11-2	28
23	Boise State Broncos	10-3	14
24	Cincinnati Bearcats	11-2	40
25	Iowa Hawkeyes	9-4	22

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

West Virginia Mountaineers — model #44 vs AP #20 (Δ +24; model lower)
Cincinnati Bearcats — model #40 vs AP #24 (Δ +16; model lower)
Army Black Knights — model #34 vs AP #19 (Δ +15; model lower)
Boise State Broncos — model #14 vs AP #23 (Δ -9; model higher)
Texas Longhorns — model #17 vs AP #9 (Δ +8; model lower)