2017 season — Model vs AP

Full weekly rankings with the current late-tuned config. Side-by-side Model Top 25 and AP Top 25 for every week with available poll data.

Final #1 match

Final model #1

Alabama Crimson Tide

Final AP #1

Alabama Crimson Tide

Download: summary.json · weekly_agreement.csv

Preseason (Coaches Poll)

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 0 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	100.0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	99.0	2
3	Florida State Seminoles	0-0	98.0	3
4	USC Trojans	0-0	97.0	4
5	Clemson Tigers	0-0	96.0	5
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	95.0	6
7	Washington Huskies	0-0	94.0	7
8	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	93.0	8
9	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	92.0	9
10	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	91.0	10
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	90.0	11
12	LSU Tigers	0-0	89.0	12
13	Auburn Tigers	0-0	88.0	13
14	Stanford Cardinal	0-0	87.0	14
15	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	86.0	15
16	Florida Gators	0-0	85.0	16
17	Louisville Cardinals	0-0	84.0	17
18	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	83.0	18
19	Kansas State Wildcats	0-0	82.0	19
20	West Virginia Mountaineers	0-0	81.0	20
21	South Florida Bulls	0-0	80.0	21
22	Virginia Tech Hokies	0-0	79.0	22
23	Texas Longhorns	0-0	78.0	23
24	Tennessee Volunteers	0-0	77.0	24
25	Utah Utes	0-0	76.0	25

AFCA Coaches Poll

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	2
3	Florida State Seminoles	0-0	3
4	USC Trojans	0-0	4
5	Clemson Tigers	0-0	5
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	6
7	Washington Huskies	0-0	7
8	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	8
9	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	9
10	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	10
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	11
12	LSU Tigers	0-0	12
13	Auburn Tigers	0-0	13
14	Stanford Cardinal	0-0	14
15	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	15
16	Florida Gators	0-0	16
17	Louisville Cardinals	0-0	17
18	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	18
19	Kansas State Wildcats	0-0	19
20	West Virginia Mountaineers	0-0	20
21	South Florida Bulls	0-0	21
22	Virginia Tech Hokies	0-0	22
23	Texas Longhorns	0-0	23
24	Tennessee Volunteers	0-0	24
25	Utah Utes	0-0	25

Week 1

Model #1 Colorado Buffaloes AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 91 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Colorado Buffaloes	1-0	88.48	—
2	South Florida Bulls	2-0	78.41	19
3	Washington Huskies	1-0	76.7	8
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-0	75.94	2
5	California Golden Bears	1-0	73.52	—
6	LSU Tigers	1-0	72.61	13
7	Vanderbilt Commodores	1-0	72.55	—
8	Michigan Wolverines	1-0	72.14	11
9	Kentucky Wildcats	1-0	71.9	—
10	Navy Midshipmen	1-0	71.53	—
11	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	70.63	1
12	Maryland Terrapins	1-0	70.26	—
13	South Carolina Gamecocks	1-0	70.07	—
14	Louisville Cardinals	1-0	69.99	16
15	Boston College Eagles	1-0	68.68	—
16	Virginia Tech Hokies	1-0	67.56	21
17	Tennessee Volunteers	1-0	67.13	25
18	Georgia Bulldogs	1-0	67.12	15
19	Northwestern Wildcats	1-0	66.55	—
20	Ole Miss Rebels	1-0	66.3	—
21	Michigan State Spartans	1-0	66.18	—
22	USC Trojans	1-0	65.97	4
23	Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors	2-0	65.84	—
24	Auburn Tigers	1-0	65.79	12
25	UCLA Bruins	1-0	65.71	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	11
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	4
3	Florida State Seminoles	0-0	101
4	USC Trojans	0-0	22
5	Clemson Tigers	0-0	40
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	0-0	36
7	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	39
8	Washington Huskies	0-0	3
9	Wisconsin Badgers	0-0	29
10	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	34
11	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	8
12	Auburn Tigers	0-0	24
13	LSU Tigers	0-0	6
14	Stanford Cardinal	0-0	27
15	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	18
16	Louisville Cardinals	0-0	14
17	Florida Gators	0-0	90
18	Miami Hurricanes	0-0	62
19	South Florida Bulls	0-0	2
20	Kansas State Wildcats	0-0	63
21	Virginia Tech Hokies	0-0	16
22	West Virginia Mountaineers	0-0	91
23	Texas Longhorns	0-0	105
24	Washington State Cougars	0-0	53
25	Tennessee Volunteers	0-0	17

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Florida State Seminoles — model #101 vs AP #3 (Δ +98; model lower)
Texas Longhorns — model #105 vs AP #23 (Δ +82; model lower)
Florida Gators — model #90 vs AP #17 (Δ +73; model lower)
West Virginia Mountaineers — model #91 vs AP #22 (Δ +69; model lower)
Miami Hurricanes — model #62 vs AP #18 (Δ +44; model lower)

Week 2

Model #1 Oklahoma Sooners AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 162 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Oklahoma Sooners	2-0	88.92	5
2	South Carolina Gamecocks	2-0	85.05	—
3	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	77.81	15
4	Louisville Cardinals	2-0	77.7	17
5	USC Trojans	2-0	77.19	6
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	76.59	1
7	Colorado Buffaloes	2-0	74.81	—
8	Michigan Wolverines	2-0	74.28	8
9	Iowa Hawkeyes	2-0	73.74	—
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	2-0	73.05	4
11	UCLA Bruins	2-0	72.64	—
12	Oklahoma State Cowboys	2-0	72.57	11
13	Vanderbilt Commodores	2-0	71.52	—
14	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	2-0	71.22	—
15	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-1	70.87	2
16	Illinois Fighting Illini	2-0	70.66	—
17	Maryland Terrapins	2-0	69.98	—
18	Clemson Tigers	2-0	69.69	3
19	TCU Horned Frogs	2-0	69.49	23
20	Minnesota Golden Gophers	2-0	69.04	—
21	Navy Midshipmen	2-0	68.76	—
22	Wisconsin Badgers	2-0	68.26	9
23	San Diego State Aztecs	2-0	65.65	—
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	2-0	65.62	—
25	Oregon Ducks	2-0	65.27	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	6
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-0	15
3	Clemson Tigers	1-0	18
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	1-0	10
5	Oklahoma Sooners	1-0	1
6	USC Trojans	1-0	5
7	Washington Huskies	1-0	27
8	Michigan Wolverines	1-0	8
9	Wisconsin Badgers	1-0	22
10	Florida State Seminoles	0-1	80
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	1-0	12
12	LSU Tigers	1-0	37
13	Auburn Tigers	1-0	54
14	Stanford Cardinal	1-0	41
15	Georgia Bulldogs	1-0	3
16	Miami Hurricanes	1-0	70
17	Louisville Cardinals	1-0	4
18	Virginia Tech Hokies	1-0	28
19	Kansas State Wildcats	1-0	46
20	Washington State Cougars	1-0	32
21	South Florida Bulls	2-0	45
22	Florida Gators	0-1	72
23	TCU Horned Frogs	1-0	19
24	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1-0	57
25	Tennessee Volunteers	1-0	33

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Florida State Seminoles — model #80 vs AP #10 (Δ +70; model lower)
Miami Hurricanes — model #70 vs AP #16 (Δ +54; model lower)
Florida Gators — model #72 vs AP #22 (Δ +50; model lower)
Auburn Tigers — model #54 vs AP #13 (Δ +41; model lower)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #57 vs AP #24 (Δ +33; model lower)

Week 3

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 227 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	3-0	89.43	3
2	Oklahoma Sooners	3-0	85.15	2
3	Michigan Wolverines	3-0	80.52	7
4	Kentucky Wildcats	3-0	79.87	—
5	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	77.02	13
6	Louisville Cardinals	2-1	76.73	14
7	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	75.51	9
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-1	74.8	8
9	Mississippi State Bulldogs	3-0	74.37	—
10	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	73.85	1
11	USC Trojans	3-0	73.46	4
12	TCU Horned Frogs	3-0	72.71	20
13	Iowa Hawkeyes	3-0	72.26	—
14	Minnesota Golden Gophers	3-0	71.86	—
15	Vanderbilt Commodores	3-0	71.29	—
16	California Golden Bears	3-0	69.8	—
17	Wisconsin Badgers	3-0	68.87	10
18	Washington Huskies	3-0	68.51	6
19	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	3-0	68.17	—
20	Purdue Boilermakers	2-1	67.72	—
21	Oregon Ducks	3-0	67.07	—
22	South Carolina Gamecocks	2-1	66.55	—
23	Duke Blue Devils	3-0	66.06	—
24	Penn State Nittany Lions	3-0	65.9	5
25	South Florida Bulls	3-0	65.7	22

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	10
2	Oklahoma Sooners	2-0	2
3	Clemson Tigers	2-0	1
4	USC Trojans	2-0	11
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	2-0	24
6	Washington Huskies	2-0	18
7	Michigan Wolverines	2-0	3
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-1	8
9	Oklahoma State Cowboys	2-0	7
10	Wisconsin Badgers	2-0	17
11	Florida State Seminoles	0-1	72
12	LSU Tigers	2-0	56
13	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	5
14	Louisville Cardinals	2-0	6
15	Auburn Tigers	1-1	48
16	Virginia Tech Hokies	2-0	27
17	Miami Hurricanes	1-0	80
18	Kansas State Wildcats	2-0	63
19	Stanford Cardinal	1-1	59
20	TCU Horned Frogs	2-0	12
21	Washington State Cougars	2-0	29
22	South Florida Bulls	2-0	25
23	Tennessee Volunteers	2-0	55
24	Florida Gators	0-1	37
25	UCLA Bruins	2-0	34

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Miami Hurricanes — model #80 vs AP #17 (Δ +63; model lower)
Florida State Seminoles — model #72 vs AP #11 (Δ +61; model lower)
Kansas State Wildcats — model #63 vs AP #18 (Δ +45; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #56 vs AP #12 (Δ +44; model lower)
Stanford Cardinal — model #59 vs AP #19 (Δ +40; model lower)

Week 4

Model #1 Michigan Wolverines AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 286 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Michigan Wolverines	4-0	90.49	8
2	Georgia Bulldogs	4-0	85.45	11
3	Oklahoma Sooners	4-0	83.98	3
4	Clemson Tigers	4-0	82.5	2
5	USC Trojans	4-0	82.02	5
6	TCU Horned Frogs	4-0	81.8	16
7	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	81.08	1
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-0	76.01	4
9	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-1	75.69	10
10	Washington Huskies	4-0	74.94	7
11	San Diego State Aztecs	4-0	71.67	22
12	Florida Gators	2-1	71.47	20
13	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	4-0	69.56	—
14	Virginia Tech Hokies	4-0	69.52	13
15	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3-1	69.3	—
16	Kentucky Wildcats	3-1	68.73	—
17	Duke Blue Devils	4-0	68.52	—
18	UCF Knights	2-0	68.29	—
19	Texas Tech Red Raiders	3-0	67.26	—
20	Iowa Hawkeyes	3-1	66.66	—
21	Louisville Cardinals	3-1	66.55	19
22	Wisconsin Badgers	3-0	65.32	9
23	Minnesota Golden Gophers	3-0	65.22	—
24	South Carolina Gamecocks	3-1	65.16	—
25	Mississippi State Bulldogs	3-1	64.7	17

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	7
2	Clemson Tigers	3-0	4
3	Oklahoma Sooners	3-0	3
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	3-0	8
5	USC Trojans	3-0	5
6	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-0	27
7	Washington Huskies	3-0	10
8	Michigan Wolverines	3-0	1
9	Wisconsin Badgers	3-0	22
10	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-1	9
11	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	2
12	Florida State Seminoles	0-1	79
13	Virginia Tech Hokies	3-0	14
14	Miami Hurricanes	1-0	46
15	Auburn Tigers	2-1	41
16	TCU Horned Frogs	3-0	6
17	Mississippi State Bulldogs	3-0	25
18	Washington State Cougars	3-0	31
19	Louisville Cardinals	2-1	21
20	Florida Gators	1-1	12
21	South Florida Bulls	3-0	26
22	San Diego State Aztecs	3-0	11
23	Utah Utes	3-0	28
24	Oregon Ducks	3-0	32
25	LSU Tigers	2-1	44

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Florida State Seminoles — model #79 vs AP #12 (Δ +67; model lower)
Miami Hurricanes — model #46 vs AP #14 (Δ +32; model lower)
Auburn Tigers — model #41 vs AP #15 (Δ +26; model lower)
Oklahoma State Cowboys — model #27 vs AP #6 (Δ +21; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #44 vs AP #25 (Δ +19; model lower)

Week 5

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 340 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	5-0	90.45	2
2	Georgia Bulldogs	5-0	83.92	7
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	83.01	1
4	TCU Horned Frogs	4-0	81.14	9
5	Oklahoma Sooners	4-0	79.57	3
6	Michigan Wolverines	4-0	78.82	8
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-0	78.38	4
8	UCF Knights	3-0	75.81	—
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-1	73.96	22
10	USC Trojans	4-1	73.92	5
11	Washington Huskies	5-0	73.65	6
12	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-1	73.6	11
13	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-1	72.24	15
14	Washington State Cougars	5-0	71.18	16
15	Florida Gators	3-1	70.21	21
16	San Diego State Aztecs	5-0	70.17	19
17	Miami Hurricanes	3-0	68.37	14
18	Wisconsin Badgers	4-0	68.35	10
19	Kentucky Wildcats	4-1	67.26	—
20	Oregon Ducks	4-1	66.95	—
21	NC State Wolfpack	4-1	66.65	—
22	Maryland Terrapins	3-1	66.13	—
23	Auburn Tigers	4-1	64.95	13
24	Navy Midshipmen	4-0	64.74	—
25	Texas Tech Red Raiders	3-1	64.44	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	3
2	Clemson Tigers	4-0	1
3	Oklahoma Sooners	4-0	5
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	4-0	7
5	USC Trojans	4-0	10
6	Washington Huskies	4-0	11
7	Georgia Bulldogs	4-0	2
8	Michigan Wolverines	4-0	6
9	TCU Horned Frogs	4-0	4
10	Wisconsin Badgers	3-0	18
11	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-1	12
12	Virginia Tech Hokies	4-0	28
13	Auburn Tigers	3-1	23
14	Miami Hurricanes	2-0	17
15	Oklahoma State Cowboys	3-1	13
16	Washington State Cougars	4-0	14
17	Louisville Cardinals	3-1	30
18	South Florida Bulls	4-0	29
19	San Diego State Aztecs	4-0	16
20	Utah Utes	4-0	37
21	Florida Gators	2-1	15
22	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3-1	9
23	West Virginia Mountaineers	3-1	51
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	3-1	43
25	LSU Tigers	3-1	63

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

LSU Tigers — model #63 vs AP #25 (Δ +38; model lower)
West Virginia Mountaineers — model #51 vs AP #23 (Δ +28; model lower)
Mississippi State Bulldogs — model #43 vs AP #24 (Δ +19; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #37 vs AP #20 (Δ +17; model lower)
Virginia Tech Hokies — model #28 vs AP #12 (Δ +16; model lower)

Week 6

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 398 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	6-0	89.54	2
2	Georgia Bulldogs	6-0	85.6	5
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	85.0	1
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-0	82.48	4
5	Washington State Cougars	6-0	80.5	11
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-1	78.47	21
7	TCU Horned Frogs	5-0	77.74	8
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-1	76.75	10
9	Michigan State Spartans	4-1	75.81	—
10	USC Trojans	5-1	74.69	14
11	Washington Huskies	6-0	73.81	6
12	UCF Knights	4-0	73.76	25
13	Oklahoma Sooners	4-1	73.47	3
14	San Diego State Aztecs	6-0	73.19	19
15	Wisconsin Badgers	5-0	72.28	9
16	Michigan Wolverines	4-1	69.85	7
17	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-1	69.76	15
18	Kentucky Wildcats	5-1	67.91	—
19	Iowa Hawkeyes	4-2	67.87	—
20	Miami Hurricanes	4-0	67.51	13
21	NC State Wolfpack	5-1	67.06	24
22	Stanford Cardinal	4-2	65.61	—
23	Texas Tech Red Raiders	4-1	65.49	—
24	South Carolina Gamecocks	4-2	64.9	—
25	Auburn Tigers	5-1	64.66	12

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	3
2	Clemson Tigers	5-0	1
3	Oklahoma Sooners	4-0	13
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-0	4
5	Georgia Bulldogs	5-0	2
6	Washington Huskies	5-0	11
7	Michigan Wolverines	4-0	16
8	TCU Horned Frogs	4-0	7
9	Wisconsin Badgers	4-0	15
10	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-1	8
11	Washington State Cougars	5-0	5
12	Auburn Tigers	4-1	25
13	Miami Hurricanes	3-0	20
14	USC Trojans	4-1	10
15	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-1	17
16	Virginia Tech Hokies	4-1	27
17	Louisville Cardinals	4-1	30
18	South Florida Bulls	5-0	35
19	San Diego State Aztecs	5-0	14
20	Utah Utes	4-0	39
21	Florida Gators	3-1	34
21	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4-1	6
23	West Virginia Mountaineers	3-1	53
24	NC State Wolfpack	4-1	21
25	UCF Knights	3-0	12

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

West Virginia Mountaineers — model #53 vs AP #23 (Δ +30; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #39 vs AP #20 (Δ +19; model lower)
South Florida Bulls — model #35 vs AP #18 (Δ +17; model lower)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #6 vs AP #21 (Δ -15; model higher)
Auburn Tigers — model #25 vs AP #12 (Δ +13; model lower)

Week 7

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 457 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-0	86.33	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	7-0	82.39	4
3	USC Trojans	6-1	80.32	13
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-0	80.25	3
5	Clemson Tigers	6-1	79.96	2
6	TCU Horned Frogs	6-0	79.69	6
7	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-1	78.69	9
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-1	76.05	16
9	Oklahoma Sooners	5-1	75.39	12
10	Michigan State Spartans	5-1	74.8	21
11	Washington State Cougars	6-1	74.44	8
12	Washington Huskies	6-1	73.52	5
13	Wisconsin Badgers	6-0	72.64	7
14	San Diego State Aztecs	6-1	71.74	19
15	NC State Wolfpack	6-1	71.34	20
16	Stanford Cardinal	5-2	70.53	23
17	UCF Knights	5-0	70.47	22
18	Miami Hurricanes	5-0	70.27	11
19	Michigan Wolverines	5-1	69.66	17
20	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-1	69.44	14
21	Iowa Hawkeyes	4-2	67.5	—
22	South Carolina Gamecocks	5-2	65.92	—
23	Texas A&M Aggies	5-2	65.43	—
24	LSU Tigers	5-2	65.41	—
25	Virginia Cavaliers	5-1	65.27	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	6-0	5
3	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-0	4
4	Georgia Bulldogs	6-0	2
5	Washington Huskies	6-0	12
6	TCU Horned Frogs	5-0	6
7	Wisconsin Badgers	5-0	13
8	Washington State Cougars	6-0	11
9	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-1	7
10	Auburn Tigers	5-1	30
11	Miami Hurricanes	4-0	18
12	Oklahoma Sooners	4-1	9
13	USC Trojans	5-1	3
14	Oklahoma State Cowboys	4-1	20
15	Virginia Tech Hokies	5-1	29
16	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-1	8
17	Michigan Wolverines	4-1	19
18	South Florida Bulls	5-0	37
19	San Diego State Aztecs	6-0	14
20	NC State Wolfpack	5-1	15
21	Michigan State Spartans	4-1	10
22	UCF Knights	4-0	17
23	Stanford Cardinal	4-2	16
24	Texas Tech Red Raiders	4-1	27
25	Navy Midshipmen	5-0	36

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Auburn Tigers — model #30 vs AP #10 (Δ +20; model lower)
South Florida Bulls — model #37 vs AP #18 (Δ +19; model lower)
Virginia Tech Hokies — model #29 vs AP #15 (Δ +14; model lower)
Michigan State Spartans — model #10 vs AP #21 (Δ -11; model higher)
Navy Midshipmen — model #36 vs AP #25 (Δ +11; model lower)

Week 8

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 513 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	85.47	1
2	Clemson Tigers	6-1	83.73	7
3	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-0	83.62	2
4	Georgia Bulldogs	7-0	83.0	3
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6-1	82.32	13
6	TCU Horned Frogs	7-0	79.21	4
7	Oklahoma Sooners	6-1	77.47	9
8	UCF Knights	6-0	77.33	20
9	Wisconsin Badgers	7-0	75.14	5
10	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-1	74.16	6
11	Washington State Cougars	7-1	73.74	15
12	Michigan State Spartans	6-1	71.81	18
13	Miami Hurricanes	6-0	71.72	8
14	Washington Huskies	6-1	70.94	12
15	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-1	70.93	10
16	USC Trojans	6-2	70.88	11
17	NC State Wolfpack	6-1	69.7	16
18	Virginia Tech Hokies	6-1	67.58	14
19	Memphis Tigers	6-1	67.01	25
20	San Diego State Aztecs	6-2	66.57	—
21	LSU Tigers	6-2	66.54	24
22	Auburn Tigers	6-2	66.1	21
23	Stanford Cardinal	5-2	66.01	22
24	Iowa State Cyclones	5-2	65.51	—
25	Mississippi State Bulldogs	5-2	65.41	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-0	1
2	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-0	3
3	Georgia Bulldogs	7-0	4
4	TCU Horned Frogs	6-0	6
5	Wisconsin Badgers	6-0	9
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-1	10
7	Clemson Tigers	6-1	2
8	Miami Hurricanes	5-0	13
9	Oklahoma Sooners	5-1	7
10	Oklahoma State Cowboys	5-1	15
11	USC Trojans	6-1	16
12	Washington Huskies	6-1	14
13	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5-1	5
14	Virginia Tech Hokies	5-1	18
15	Washington State Cougars	6-1	11
16	South Florida Bulls	6-0	29
16	NC State Wolfpack	6-1	17
18	Michigan State Spartans	5-1	12
19	Michigan Wolverines	5-1	27
20	UCF Knights	5-0	8
21	Auburn Tigers	5-2	22
22	Stanford Cardinal	5-2	23
23	West Virginia Mountaineers	4-2	37
24	LSU Tigers	5-2	21
25	Memphis Tigers	5-1	19

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

West Virginia Mountaineers — model #37 vs AP #23 (Δ +14; model lower)
South Florida Bulls — model #29 vs AP #16 (Δ +13; model lower)
UCF Knights — model #8 vs AP #20 (Δ -12; model higher)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #5 vs AP #13 (Δ -8; model higher)
Michigan Wolverines — model #27 vs AP #19 (Δ +8; model lower)

Week 9

Model #1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 569 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-1	85.89	9
2	Georgia Bulldogs	8-0	85.14	3
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-1	83.95	6
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-1	81.42	2
5	Clemson Tigers	7-1	81.06	7
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	78.01	1
7	Oklahoma Sooners	7-1	77.62	10
8	Wisconsin Badgers	8-0	77.59	5
9	TCU Horned Frogs	7-1	75.75	4
10	UCF Knights	7-0	75.37	18
11	Iowa State Cyclones	6-2	75.27	25
12	USC Trojans	7-2	74.77	21
13	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-1	72.82	11
14	Washington Huskies	7-1	72.38	12
15	Washington State Cougars	7-2	72.01	15
16	Michigan State Spartans	6-2	70.93	16
17	Miami Hurricanes	7-0	69.27	8
18	Memphis Tigers	7-1	68.57	24
19	San Diego State Aztecs	7-2	68.46	—
20	Auburn Tigers	6-2	67.34	19
21	Arizona Wildcats	6-2	66.82	—
22	Virginia Tech Hokies	7-1	66.71	13
23	Houston Cougars	5-3	66.44	—
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	6-2	66.4	—
25	Boise State Broncos	6-2	66.23	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	6
2	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-0	4
3	Georgia Bulldogs	7-0	2
4	TCU Horned Frogs	7-0	9
5	Wisconsin Badgers	7-0	8
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-1	3
7	Clemson Tigers	6-1	5
8	Miami Hurricanes	6-0	17
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	6-1	1
10	Oklahoma Sooners	6-1	7
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-1	13
12	Washington Huskies	6-1	14
13	Virginia Tech Hokies	6-1	22
14	NC State Wolfpack	6-1	31
15	Washington State Cougars	7-1	15
16	Michigan State Spartans	6-1	16
17	South Florida Bulls	7-0	42
18	UCF Knights	6-0	10
19	Auburn Tigers	6-2	20
20	Stanford Cardinal	5-2	27
21	USC Trojans	6-2	12
22	West Virginia Mountaineers	5-2	45
23	LSU Tigers	6-2	32
24	Memphis Tigers	6-1	18
25	Iowa State Cyclones	5-2	11

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

South Florida Bulls — model #42 vs AP #17 (Δ +25; model lower)
West Virginia Mountaineers — model #45 vs AP #22 (Δ +23; model lower)
NC State Wolfpack — model #31 vs AP #14 (Δ +17; model lower)
Iowa State Cyclones — model #11 vs AP #25 (Δ -14; model higher)
Miami Hurricanes — model #17 vs AP #8 (Δ +9; model lower)

Week 10

Model #1 Georgia Bulldogs AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 630 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Georgia Bulldogs	9-0	86.53	2
2	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-1	85.21	5
3	Clemson Tigers	8-1	82.6	6
4	Oklahoma Sooners	8-1	81.79	8
5	Wisconsin Badgers	9-0	80.47	4
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-0	80.37	1
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-2	79.26	7
8	Michigan State Spartans	7-2	77.82	24
9	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-2	77.21	3
10	UCF Knights	8-0	76.24	15
11	TCU Horned Frogs	8-1	75.96	10
12	USC Trojans	8-2	73.51	17
13	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-3	73.48	—
14	Washington Huskies	8-1	73.25	12
15	Miami Hurricanes	8-0	72.89	9
16	Washington State Cougars	8-2	72.76	25
17	Auburn Tigers	7-2	70.34	16
18	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-2	68.85	11
19	Iowa State Cyclones	6-3	68.75	14
20	Northwestern Wildcats	6-3	67.96	—
21	Memphis Tigers	8-1	67.6	22
22	Houston Cougars	6-3	67.4	—
23	San Diego State Aztecs	8-2	66.4	—
24	Boise State Broncos	7-2	66.29	—
25	Michigan Wolverines	7-2	65.57	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	6
2	Georgia Bulldogs	8-0	1
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-1	9
4	Wisconsin Badgers	8-0	5
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7-1	2
6	Clemson Tigers	7-1	3
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-1	7
8	Oklahoma Sooners	7-1	4
9	Miami Hurricanes	7-0	15
10	TCU Horned Frogs	7-1	11
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-1	18
12	Washington Huskies	7-1	14
13	Virginia Tech Hokies	7-1	26
14	Iowa State Cyclones	6-2	19
15	UCF Knights	7-0	10
16	Auburn Tigers	6-2	17
17	USC Trojans	7-2	12
18	Stanford Cardinal	6-2	28
19	LSU Tigers	6-2	37
20	NC State Wolfpack	6-2	31
21	Mississippi State Bulldogs	6-2	27
22	Memphis Tigers	7-1	21
23	Arizona Wildcats	6-2	33
24	Michigan State Spartans	6-2	8
25	Washington State Cougars	7-2	16

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

LSU Tigers — model #37 vs AP #19 (Δ +18; model lower)
Michigan State Spartans — model #8 vs AP #24 (Δ -16; model higher)
Virginia Tech Hokies — model #26 vs AP #13 (Δ +13; model lower)
NC State Wolfpack — model #31 vs AP #20 (Δ +11; model lower)
Stanford Cardinal — model #28 vs AP #18 (Δ +10; model lower)

Week 11

Model #1 Oklahoma Sooners AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 690 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Oklahoma Sooners	9-1	85.8	5
2	Clemson Tigers	9-1	84.08	4
3	Wisconsin Badgers	10-0	83.65	6
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-0	82.8	1
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-2	81.86	11
6	Miami Hurricanes	9-0	81.62	7
7	Georgia Bulldogs	9-1	79.32	2
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-2	79.21	3
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-2	77.97	16
10	Auburn Tigers	8-2	77.83	10
11	Washington State Cougars	9-2	75.89	19
12	UCF Knights	9-0	74.7	14
13	USC Trojans	9-2	73.62	15
14	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-2	73.23	12
15	Michigan State Spartans	7-3	73.12	13
16	TCU Horned Frogs	8-2	72.95	8
17	Northwestern Wildcats	7-3	69.44	—
18	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-4	67.71	25
19	Washington Huskies	8-2	67.62	9
20	Mississippi State Bulldogs	7-3	67.23	18
21	Memphis Tigers	8-1	66.81	20
22	Stanford Cardinal	7-3	66.75	—
23	Boise State Broncos	8-2	66.57	—
24	Michigan Wolverines	8-2	65.99	21
25	Houston Cougars	6-3	64.79	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-0	4
2	Georgia Bulldogs	9-0	7
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-1	8
4	Clemson Tigers	8-1	2
5	Oklahoma Sooners	8-1	1
6	Wisconsin Badgers	9-0	3
7	Miami Hurricanes	8-0	6
8	TCU Horned Frogs	8-1	16
9	Washington Huskies	8-1	19
10	Auburn Tigers	7-2	10
11	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-2	5
12	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-2	14
13	Michigan State Spartans	7-2	15
14	UCF Knights	8-0	12
15	USC Trojans	8-2	13
16	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-2	9
17	Virginia Tech Hokies	7-2	27
18	Mississippi State Bulldogs	7-2	20
19	Washington State Cougars	8-2	11
20	Memphis Tigers	8-1	21
21	Michigan Wolverines	7-2	24
22	South Florida Bulls	8-1	45
23	West Virginia Mountaineers	6-3	36
24	Iowa State Cyclones	6-3	26
25	Iowa Hawkeyes	6-3	18

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

South Florida Bulls — model #45 vs AP #22 (Δ +23; model lower)
West Virginia Mountaineers — model #36 vs AP #23 (Δ +13; model lower)
Washington Huskies — model #19 vs AP #9 (Δ +10; model lower)
Virginia Tech Hokies — model #27 vs AP #17 (Δ +10; model lower)
TCU Horned Frogs — model #16 vs AP #8 (Δ +8; model lower)

Week 12

Model #1 Wisconsin Badgers AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 755 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Wisconsin Badgers	11-0	85.44	5
2	Oklahoma Sooners	10-1	85.02	3
3	Clemson Tigers	10-1	84.82	4
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-0	82.39	1
5	Miami Hurricanes	10-0	82.33	2
6	Georgia Bulldogs	10-1	80.95	7
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-2	80.44	9
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-2	80.36	8
9	Auburn Tigers	9-2	79.69	6
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-2	76.46	13
11	TCU Horned Frogs	9-2	74.62	11
12	Washington State Cougars	9-2	74.41	15
13	USC Trojans	10-2	74.18	12
14	UCF Knights	10-0	74.16	14
15	Northwestern Wildcats	8-3	71.37	—
16	Michigan State Spartans	8-3	70.26	22
17	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-3	70.16	10
18	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	7-4	68.71	—
19	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-3	68.23	17
20	Washington Huskies	9-2	67.95	16
21	Stanford Cardinal	8-3	66.37	20
22	Boise State Broncos	9-2	66.18	—
23	Memphis Tigers	9-1	64.96	18
24	Virginia Tech Hokies	8-3	64.66	—
25	Michigan Wolverines	8-3	64.38	19

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-0	4
2	Miami Hurricanes	9-0	5
3	Oklahoma Sooners	9-1	2
4	Clemson Tigers	9-1	3
5	Wisconsin Badgers	10-0	1
6	Auburn Tigers	8-2	9
7	Georgia Bulldogs	9-1	6
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-2	8
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8-2	7
10	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-2	17
11	TCU Horned Frogs	8-2	11
12	USC Trojans	9-2	13
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-2	10
14	UCF Knights	9-0	14
15	Washington State Cougars	9-2	12
16	Washington Huskies	8-2	20
17	Mississippi State Bulldogs	7-3	19
18	Memphis Tigers	8-1	23
19	Michigan Wolverines	8-2	25
20	Stanford Cardinal	7-3	21
21	LSU Tigers	7-3	31
22	Michigan State Spartans	7-3	16
23	South Florida Bulls	8-1	46
24	West Virginia Mountaineers	7-3	43
25	NC State Wolfpack	7-3	28

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

South Florida Bulls — model #46 vs AP #23 (Δ +23; model lower)
West Virginia Mountaineers — model #43 vs AP #24 (Δ +19; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #31 vs AP #21 (Δ +10; model lower)
Oklahoma State Cowboys — model #17 vs AP #10 (Δ +7; model lower)
Michigan Wolverines — model #25 vs AP #19 (Δ +6; model lower)

Week 13

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 817 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	11-1	88.07	4
2	Auburn Tigers	10-2	85.23	6
3	Oklahoma Sooners	11-1	84.9	3
4	Wisconsin Badgers	12-0	84.75	5
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-2	81.18	8
6	Georgia Bulldogs	11-1	80.75	7
7	Miami Hurricanes	10-1	80.12	2
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-1	77.71	1
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	76.74	12
10	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-3	76.36	9
11	USC Trojans	10-2	74.62	11
12	UCF Knights	11-0	74.39	13
13	Stanford Cardinal	9-3	73.99	20
14	TCU Horned Frogs	10-2	73.61	10
15	Washington Huskies	10-2	72.81	15
16	Northwestern Wildcats	9-3	72.31	23
17	Washington State Cougars	9-3	70.04	14
18	Michigan State Spartans	9-3	70.02	21
19	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	7-5	69.49	—
20	Oklahoma State Cowboys	9-3	68.32	18
21	Virginia Tech Hokies	9-3	66.46	24
22	NC State Wolfpack	8-4	66.3	—
23	Boise State Broncos	9-3	64.98	25
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	64.67	16
25	Iowa Hawkeyes	7-5	64.61	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-0	8
2	Miami Hurricanes	10-0	7
3	Oklahoma Sooners	10-1	3
4	Clemson Tigers	10-1	1
5	Wisconsin Badgers	11-0	4
6	Auburn Tigers	9-2	2
7	Georgia Bulldogs	10-1	6
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-2	5
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-2	10
10	TCU Horned Frogs	9-2	14
11	USC Trojans	10-2	11
12	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-2	9
13	UCF Knights	10-0	12
14	Washington State Cougars	9-2	17
15	Washington Huskies	9-2	15
16	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-3	24
17	Memphis Tigers	9-1	26
18	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-3	20
19	LSU Tigers	8-3	27
20	Stanford Cardinal	8-3	13
21	Michigan State Spartans	8-3	18
22	South Florida Bulls	9-1	54
23	Northwestern Wildcats	8-3	16
24	Virginia Tech Hokies	8-3	21
25	Boise State Broncos	9-2	23

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

South Florida Bulls — model #54 vs AP #22 (Δ +32; model lower)
Memphis Tigers — model #26 vs AP #17 (Δ +9; model lower)
Mississippi State Bulldogs — model #24 vs AP #16 (Δ +8; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #27 vs AP #19 (Δ +8; model lower)
Alabama Crimson Tide — model #8 vs AP #1 (Δ +7; model lower)

Week 14

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 match 833 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	12-1	91.54	1
2	Oklahoma Sooners	12-1	89.22	2
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-2	86.58	8
4	Georgia Bulldogs	12-1	86.04	6
5	Wisconsin Badgers	12-1	81.81	3
6	Auburn Tigers	10-3	81.36	4
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-3	77.87	15
8	USC Trojans	11-2	77.62	11
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-1	76.44	5
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	76.32	9
11	Miami Hurricanes	10-2	75.45	7
12	UCF Knights	12-0	73.93	12
13	Washington Huskies	10-2	72.44	13
14	Stanford Cardinal	9-4	71.97	14
15	Northwestern Wildcats	9-3	71.7	20
16	TCU Horned Frogs	10-3	70.94	10
17	Washington State Cougars	9-3	70.1	21
18	Michigan State Spartans	9-3	69.32	19
19	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	7-5	68.38	—
20	Boise State Broncos	10-3	67.43	—
21	Oklahoma State Cowboys	9-3	66.73	18
22	NC State Wolfpack	8-4	66.58	—
23	Virginia Tech Hokies	9-3	65.83	22
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	64.38	24
25	Iowa Hawkeyes	7-5	63.93	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	11-1	1
2	Oklahoma Sooners	11-1	2
3	Wisconsin Badgers	12-0	5
4	Auburn Tigers	10-2	6
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-1	9
6	Georgia Bulldogs	11-1	4
7	Miami Hurricanes	10-1	11
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-2	3
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	10
10	TCU Horned Frogs	10-2	16
11	USC Trojans	10-2	8
12	UCF Knights	11-0	12
13	Washington Huskies	10-2	13
14	Stanford Cardinal	9-3	14
15	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-3	7
16	Memphis Tigers	10-1	27
17	LSU Tigers	9-3	28
18	Oklahoma State Cowboys	9-3	21
19	Michigan State Spartans	9-3	18
20	Northwestern Wildcats	9-3	15
21	Washington State Cougars	9-3	17
22	Virginia Tech Hokies	9-3	23
23	South Florida Bulls	9-2	55
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	24
25	Fresno State Bulldogs	9-3	37

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

South Florida Bulls — model #55 vs AP #23 (Δ +32; model lower)
Fresno State Bulldogs — model #37 vs AP #25 (Δ +12; model lower)
Memphis Tigers — model #27 vs AP #16 (Δ +11; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #28 vs AP #17 (Δ +11; model lower)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #7 vs AP #15 (Δ -8; model higher)

Week 15

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 match 834 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	12-1	91.51	1
2	Oklahoma Sooners	12-1	89.27	2
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-2	86.62	5
4	Georgia Bulldogs	12-1	86.03	3
5	Wisconsin Badgers	12-1	81.84	6
6	Auburn Tigers	10-3	81.33	7
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-3	77.93	14
8	USC Trojans	11-2	77.59	8
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-1	76.41	4
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	76.34	9
11	Miami Hurricanes	10-2	75.41	11
12	UCF Knights	12-0	73.72	10
13	Washington Huskies	10-2	72.41	12
14	Stanford Cardinal	9-4	71.93	15
15	Northwestern Wildcats	9-3	71.7	20
16	TCU Horned Frogs	10-3	70.91	13
17	Washington State Cougars	9-3	70.07	21
18	Michigan State Spartans	9-3	69.32	18
19	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	7-5	68.36	—
20	Boise State Broncos	10-3	67.4	25
21	Oklahoma State Cowboys	9-3	66.7	17
22	NC State Wolfpack	8-4	66.56	—
23	Virginia Tech Hokies	9-3	65.81	22
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	64.37	24
25	Iowa Hawkeyes	7-5	63.93	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	12-1	1
2	Oklahoma Sooners	12-1	2
3	Georgia Bulldogs	12-1	4
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-1	9
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-2	3
6	Wisconsin Badgers	12-1	5
7	Auburn Tigers	10-3	6
8	USC Trojans	11-2	8
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	10
10	UCF Knights	12-0	12
11	Miami Hurricanes	10-2	11
12	Washington Huskies	10-2	13
13	TCU Horned Frogs	10-3	16
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	9-3	7
15	Stanford Cardinal	9-4	14
16	LSU Tigers	9-3	26
17	Oklahoma State Cowboys	9-3	21
18	Michigan State Spartans	9-3	18
19	Memphis Tigers	10-2	29
20	Northwestern Wildcats	9-3	15
21	Washington State Cougars	9-3	17
22	Virginia Tech Hokies	9-3	23
23	South Florida Bulls	9-2	54
24	Mississippi State Bulldogs	8-4	24
25	Boise State Broncos	10-3	20

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

South Florida Bulls — model #54 vs AP #23 (Δ +31; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #26 vs AP #16 (Δ +10; model lower)
Memphis Tigers — model #29 vs AP #19 (Δ +10; model lower)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #7 vs AP #14 (Δ -7; model higher)
Alabama Crimson Tide — model #9 vs AP #4 (Δ +5; model lower)

Final (postseason)

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 874 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	13-1	92.06	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	13-2	89.25	2
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	12-2	89.2	5
4	Oklahoma Sooners	12-2	88.31	3
5	Wisconsin Badgers	13-1	84.83	7
6	Clemson Tigers	12-2	84.64	4
7	UCF Knights	13-0	79.28	6
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-2	78.96	8
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-3	78.8	11
10	TCU Horned Frogs	11-3	75.61	9
11	Auburn Tigers	10-4	74.44	10
12	Northwestern Wildcats	10-3	73.0	17
13	USC Trojans	11-3	72.96	12
14	Miami Hurricanes	10-3	71.92	13
15	Michigan State Spartans	10-3	71.26	15
16	Oklahoma State Cowboys	10-3	70.79	14
17	Mississippi State Bulldogs	9-4	67.97	19
18	Boise State Broncos	11-3	67.34	22
19	Washington Huskies	10-3	67.3	16
20	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	8-5	67.08	—
21	Iowa Hawkeyes	8-5	66.87	—
22	NC State Wolfpack	9-4	66.11	23
23	Army Black Knights	10-3	65.03	—
24	Stanford Cardinal	9-5	64.99	20
25	Virginia Tech Hokies	9-4	64.83	24

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	13-1	1
2	Georgia Bulldogs	13-2	2
3	Oklahoma Sooners	12-2	4
4	Clemson Tigers	12-2	6
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	12-2	3
6	UCF Knights	13-0	7
7	Wisconsin Badgers	13-1	5
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-2	8
9	TCU Horned Frogs	11-3	10
10	Auburn Tigers	10-4	11
11	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10-3	9
12	USC Trojans	11-3	13
13	Miami Hurricanes	10-3	14
14	Oklahoma State Cowboys	10-3	16
15	Michigan State Spartans	10-3	15
16	Washington Huskies	10-3	19
17	Northwestern Wildcats	10-3	12
18	LSU Tigers	9-4	38
19	Mississippi State Bulldogs	9-4	17
20	Stanford Cardinal	9-5	24
21	South Florida Bulls	10-2	45
22	Boise State Broncos	11-3	18
23	NC State Wolfpack	9-4	22
24	Virginia Tech Hokies	9-4	25
25	Memphis Tigers	10-3	35

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

South Florida Bulls — model #45 vs AP #21 (Δ +24; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #38 vs AP #18 (Δ +20; model lower)
Memphis Tigers — model #35 vs AP #25 (Δ +10; model lower)
Northwestern Wildcats — model #12 vs AP #17 (Δ -5; model higher)
Stanford Cardinal — model #24 vs AP #20 (Δ +4; model lower)