2016 season — Model vs AP

Full weekly rankings with the current late-tuned config. Side-by-side Model Top 25 and AP Top 25 for every week with available poll data.

Final #1 match

Final model #1

Clemson Tigers

Final AP #1

Clemson Tigers

Download: summary.json · weekly_agreement.csv

Preseason (Coaches Poll)

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 0 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	100.0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	0-0	99.0	2
3	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	98.0	3
4	Florida State Seminoles	0-0	97.0	4
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	96.0	5
6	LSU Tigers	0-0	95.0	6
7	Stanford Cardinal	0-0	94.0	7
8	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	93.0	8
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	92.0	9
10	Tennessee Volunteers	0-0	91.0	10
11	Michigan State Spartans	0-0	90.0	11
12	Ole Miss Rebels	0-0	89.0	12
13	Houston Cougars	0-0	88.0	13
14	TCU Horned Frogs	0-0	87.0	14
15	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	86.0	15
16	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	85.0	16
17	USC Trojans	0-0	84.0	17
18	Washington Huskies	0-0	83.0	18
19	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	82.0	19
20	North Carolina Tar Heels	0-0	81.0	20
21	Baylor Bears	0-0	80.0	21
22	Oregon Ducks	0-0	79.0	22
23	Louisville Cardinals	0-0	78.0	23
24	UCLA Bruins	0-0	77.0	24
25	Florida Gators	0-0	76.0	25

AFCA Coaches Poll

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	0-0	2
3	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	3
4	Florida State Seminoles	0-0	4
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	5
6	LSU Tigers	0-0	6
7	Stanford Cardinal	0-0	7
8	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	8
9	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	9
10	Tennessee Volunteers	0-0	10
11	Michigan State Spartans	0-0	11
12	Ole Miss Rebels	0-0	12
13	Houston Cougars	0-0	13
14	TCU Horned Frogs	0-0	14
15	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	15
16	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	16
17	USC Trojans	0-0	17
18	Washington Huskies	0-0	18
19	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	19
20	North Carolina Tar Heels	0-0	20
21	Baylor Bears	0-0	21
22	Oregon Ducks	0-0	22
23	Louisville Cardinals	0-0	23
24	UCLA Bruins	0-0	24
25	Florida Gators	0-0	25

Week 1

Model #1 Indiana Hoosiers AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 87 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Indiana Hoosiers	1-0	74.97	—
2	Army Black Knights	1-0	74.78	—
3	Clemson Tigers	1-0	73.48	2
4	SMU Mustangs	1-0	73.39	—
5	Western Michigan Broncos	1-0	72.45	—
6	Toledo Rockets	1-0	72.4	—
7	Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles	1-0	71.96	—
8	Ball State Cardinals	1-0	71.29	—
9	South Alabama Jaguars	1-0	71.1	—
10	South Carolina Gamecocks	1-0	70.55	—
11	Boise State Broncos	1-0	70.51	—
12	Georgia Bulldogs	1-0	70.35	18
13	Houston Cougars	1-0	70.22	15
14	Florida State Seminoles	1-0	69.51	4
15	Wisconsin Badgers	1-0	69.07	—
16	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	1-0	68.29	—
17	Penn State Nittany Lions	1-0	68.01	—
18	Iowa Hawkeyes	1-0	67.72	17
19	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	67.31	1
20	BYU Cougars	1-0	67.3	—
21	Minnesota Golden Gophers	1-0	67.03	—
22	West Virginia Mountaineers	1-0	66.95	—
23	Colorado Buffaloes	1-0	66.94	—
24	Nebraska Cornhuskers	1-0	66.64	—
25	Washington Huskies	1-0	66.57	14

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0-0	19
2	Clemson Tigers	0-0	3
3	Oklahoma Sooners	0-0	94
4	Florida State Seminoles	0-0	14
5	LSU Tigers	0-0	87
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	0-0	37
7	Michigan Wolverines	0-0	40
8	Stanford Cardinal	0-0	30
9	Tennessee Volunteers	0-0	33
10	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-0	108
11	Ole Miss Rebels	0-0	100
12	Michigan State Spartans	0-0	68
13	TCU Horned Frogs	0-0	75
14	Washington Huskies	0-0	25
15	Houston Cougars	0-0	13
16	UCLA Bruins	0-0	93
17	Iowa Hawkeyes	0-0	18
18	Georgia Bulldogs	0-0	12
19	Louisville Cardinals	0-0	35
20	USC Trojans	0-0	121
21	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0-0	43
22	North Carolina Tar Heels	0-0	89
23	Baylor Bears	0-0	49
24	Oregon Ducks	0-0	71
25	Florida Gators	0-0	27

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

USC Trojans — model #121 vs AP #20 (Δ +101; model lower)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #108 vs AP #10 (Δ +98; model lower)
Oklahoma Sooners — model #94 vs AP #3 (Δ +91; model lower)
Ole Miss Rebels — model #100 vs AP #11 (Δ +89; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #87 vs AP #5 (Δ +82; model lower)

Week 2

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 162 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	85.64	1
2	Georgia Southern Eagles	2-0	82.24	—
3	Tennessee Volunteers	2-0	80.09	17
4	Clemson Tigers	2-0	79.88	2
5	Texas Longhorns	2-0	77.16	11
6	Louisville Cardinals	2-0	75.53	13
7	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	75.02	9
8	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	2-0	74.96	—
9	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-0	73.26	4
10	Arkansas Razorbacks	2-0	73.22	—
11	Nebraska Cornhuskers	2-0	71.91	—
12	Washington Huskies	2-0	71.64	8
13	South Alabama Jaguars	1-1	71.58	—
14	Wisconsin Badgers	2-0	71.31	10
15	Texas A&M Aggies	2-0	70.46	20
16	Indiana Hoosiers	2-0	70.3	—
17	Army Black Knights	2-0	69.79	—
18	Michigan Wolverines	2-0	68.52	5
19	Houston Cougars	2-0	67.0	6
20	Mississippi State Bulldogs	1-1	66.86	—
21	Baylor Bears	2-0	66.57	23
22	Florida Gators	2-0	66.06	—
23	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	2-0	65.72	—
24	Boise State Broncos	2-0	65.6	—
25	Colorado Buffaloes	2-0	65.3	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	1-0	1
2	Clemson Tigers	1-0	4
3	Florida State Seminoles	1-0	27
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	1-0	9
5	Michigan Wolverines	1-0	18
6	Houston Cougars	1-0	19
7	Stanford Cardinal	1-0	54
8	Washington Huskies	1-0	12
9	Georgia Bulldogs	1-0	7
10	Wisconsin Badgers	1-0	14
11	Texas Longhorns	1-0	5
12	Michigan State Spartans	1-0	75
13	Louisville Cardinals	1-0	6
14	Oklahoma Sooners	0-1	56
15	TCU Horned Frogs	1-0	83
16	Iowa Hawkeyes	1-0	36
17	Tennessee Volunteers	1-0	3
18	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0-1	48
19	Ole Miss Rebels	0-1	70
20	Texas A&M Aggies	1-0	15
21	LSU Tigers	0-1	65
22	Oklahoma State Cowboys	1-0	79
23	Baylor Bears	1-0	21
24	Oregon Ducks	1-0	51
25	Miami Hurricanes	1-0	30

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

TCU Horned Frogs — model #83 vs AP #15 (Δ +68; model lower)
Michigan State Spartans — model #75 vs AP #12 (Δ +63; model lower)
Oklahoma State Cowboys — model #79 vs AP #22 (Δ +57; model lower)
Ole Miss Rebels — model #70 vs AP #19 (Δ +51; model lower)
Stanford Cardinal — model #54 vs AP #7 (Δ +47; model lower)

Week 3

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 229 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	84.21	1
2	Texas A&M Aggies	3-0	83.44	17
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-0	80.7	3
4	Tennessee Volunteers	3-0	80.29	15
5	Michigan Wolverines	3-0	77.09	4
6	Wisconsin Badgers	3-0	76.57	9
7	Arkansas Razorbacks	3-0	76.48	24
8	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	75.33	16
9	Houston Cougars	3-0	75.28	6
10	Louisville Cardinals	3-0	75.18	10
11	Nebraska Cornhuskers	3-0	73.65	—
12	Clemson Tigers	3-0	72.59	5
13	Florida Gators	3-0	72.1	23
14	Army Black Knights	3-0	69.77	—
15	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	3-0	67.7	—
16	Central Michigan Chippewas	3-0	67.25	—
17	Stanford Cardinal	2-0	67.15	7
18	Miami Hurricanes	3-0	67.05	25
19	South Carolina Gamecocks	2-1	66.93	—
20	UCLA Bruins	2-1	66.81	—
21	Western Michigan Broncos	3-0	66.4	—
22	Washington Huskies	3-0	66.2	8
23	Boise State Broncos	2-0	66.18	—
24	Baylor Bears	3-0	65.39	21
25	San Diego State Aztecs	3-0	65.04	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	2-0	1
2	Florida State Seminoles	2-0	56
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	2-0	3
4	Michigan Wolverines	2-0	5
5	Clemson Tigers	2-0	12
6	Houston Cougars	2-0	9
7	Stanford Cardinal	1-0	17
8	Washington Huskies	2-0	22
9	Wisconsin Badgers	2-0	6
10	Louisville Cardinals	2-0	10
11	Texas Longhorns	2-0	49
12	Michigan State Spartans	1-0	38
13	Iowa Hawkeyes	2-0	61
14	Oklahoma Sooners	1-1	60
15	Tennessee Volunteers	2-0	4
16	Georgia Bulldogs	2-0	8
17	Texas A&M Aggies	2-0	2
18	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1-1	73
19	Ole Miss Rebels	1-1	85
20	LSU Tigers	1-1	29
21	Baylor Bears	2-0	24
22	Oregon Ducks	2-0	52
23	Florida Gators	2-0	13
24	Arkansas Razorbacks	2-0	7
25	Miami Hurricanes	2-0	18

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Ole Miss Rebels — model #85 vs AP #19 (Δ +66; model lower)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model #73 vs AP #18 (Δ +55; model lower)
Florida State Seminoles — model #56 vs AP #2 (Δ +54; model lower)
Iowa Hawkeyes — model #61 vs AP #13 (Δ +48; model lower)
Oklahoma Sooners — model #60 vs AP #14 (Δ +46; model lower)

Week 4

Model #1 Tennessee Volunteers AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 288 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Tennessee Volunteers	4-0	92.05	14
2	Texas A&M Aggies	4-0	88.65	10
3	Louisville Cardinals	4-0	87.55	3
4	Clemson Tigers	4-0	87.16	5
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	82.42	1
6	Michigan Wolverines	4-0	81.26	4
7	Wisconsin Badgers	4-0	75.44	11
8	Houston Cougars	4-0	74.43	6
9	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	4-0	74.06	—
10	Stanford Cardinal	3-0	72.78	7
11	Florida State Seminoles	3-1	71.95	13
12	Nebraska Cornhuskers	4-0	71.83	20
13	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-0	71.19	2
14	Western Michigan Broncos	4-0	69.46	—
15	Washington Huskies	4-0	68.3	9
16	Arkansas Razorbacks	3-1	67.77	17
17	Georgia Bulldogs	3-1	67.32	12
18	Florida Gators	3-1	66.94	19
19	Boise State Broncos	3-0	66.54	—
20	Baylor Bears	4-0	65.19	16
21	Miami Hurricanes	3-0	65.16	15
22	Ole Miss Rebels	2-2	64.08	23
23	Arizona State Sun Devils	4-0	63.55	—
24	Troy Trojans	3-1	63.52	—
25	Colorado Buffaloes	3-1	62.73	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	3-0	5
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-0	13
3	Louisville Cardinals	3-0	3
4	Michigan Wolverines	3-0	6
5	Clemson Tigers	3-0	4
6	Houston Cougars	3-0	8
7	Stanford Cardinal	2-0	10
8	Michigan State Spartans	2-0	63
9	Washington Huskies	3-0	15
10	Texas A&M Aggies	3-0	2
11	Wisconsin Badgers	3-0	7
12	Georgia Bulldogs	3-0	17
13	Florida State Seminoles	2-1	11
14	Tennessee Volunteers	3-0	1
15	Miami Hurricanes	3-0	21
16	Baylor Bears	3-0	20
17	Arkansas Razorbacks	3-0	16
18	LSU Tigers	2-1	50
19	Florida Gators	3-0	18
20	Nebraska Cornhuskers	3-0	12
21	Texas Longhorns	2-1	68
22	San Diego State Aztecs	3-0	42
23	Ole Miss Rebels	1-2	22
24	Utah Utes	3-0	29
25	Oklahoma Sooners	1-2	64

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Michigan State Spartans — model #63 vs AP #8 (Δ +55; model lower)
Texas Longhorns — model #68 vs AP #21 (Δ +47; model lower)
Oklahoma Sooners — model #64 vs AP #25 (Δ +39; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #50 vs AP #18 (Δ +32; model lower)
San Diego State Aztecs — model #42 vs AP #22 (Δ +20; model lower)

Week 5

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 350 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	5-0	94.75	5
2	Tennessee Volunteers	5-0	94.1	11
3	Texas A&M Aggies	5-0	87.81	9
4	Michigan Wolverines	5-0	87.27	4
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	84.34	1
6	Louisville Cardinals	4-1	76.78	3
7	Washington Huskies	5-0	74.76	10
8	Western Michigan Broncos	5-0	74.6	—
9	Miami Hurricanes	4-0	74.01	14
10	Houston Cougars	5-0	72.95	6
11	Nebraska Cornhuskers	5-0	72.53	15
12	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-0	71.95	2
13	Wisconsin Badgers	4-1	71.13	8
14	North Carolina Tar Heels	4-1	71.12	—
15	Florida State Seminoles	3-2	69.58	12
16	Florida Gators	4-1	67.84	23
17	Ole Miss Rebels	3-2	66.27	16
18	Stanford Cardinal	3-1	66.22	7
19	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	4-1	65.89	—
20	Baylor Bears	5-0	64.93	13
21	NC State Wolfpack	3-1	64.92	—
22	Maryland Terrapins	4-0	64.51	—
23	Boise State Broncos	4-0	64.44	24
24	Troy Trojans	4-1	63.34	—
25	Georgia Bulldogs	3-2	63.19	25

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	4-0	5
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	3-0	12
3	Louisville Cardinals	4-0	6
4	Michigan Wolverines	4-0	4
5	Clemson Tigers	4-0	1
6	Houston Cougars	4-0	10
7	Stanford Cardinal	3-0	18
8	Wisconsin Badgers	4-0	13
9	Texas A&M Aggies	4-0	3
10	Washington Huskies	4-0	7
11	Tennessee Volunteers	4-0	2
12	Florida State Seminoles	3-1	15
13	Baylor Bears	4-0	20
14	Miami Hurricanes	3-0	9
15	Nebraska Cornhuskers	4-0	11
16	Ole Miss Rebels	2-2	17
17	Michigan State Spartans	2-1	65
18	Utah Utes	4-0	37
19	San Diego State Aztecs	3-0	60
20	Arkansas Razorbacks	3-1	28
21	TCU Horned Frogs	3-1	70
22	Texas Longhorns	2-1	74
23	Florida Gators	3-1	16
24	Boise State Broncos	3-0	23
25	Georgia Bulldogs	3-1	25

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Texas Longhorns — model #74 vs AP #22 (Δ +52; model lower)
TCU Horned Frogs — model #70 vs AP #21 (Δ +49; model lower)
Michigan State Spartans — model #65 vs AP #17 (Δ +48; model lower)
San Diego State Aztecs — model #60 vs AP #19 (Δ +41; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #37 vs AP #18 (Δ +19; model lower)

Week 6

Model #1 Texas A&M Aggies AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 differ 404 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Texas A&M Aggies	6-0	94.73	8
2	Clemson Tigers	6-0	92.49	3
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	91.49	1
4	Tennessee Volunteers	5-1	88.8	9
5	Michigan Wolverines	6-0	87.28	4
6	Louisville Cardinals	4-1	78.4	7
7	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-0	74.02	2
8	Florida State Seminoles	4-2	73.87	23
9	Washington Huskies	6-0	73.4	5
10	Western Michigan Broncos	6-0	72.57	—
11	Virginia Tech Hokies	4-1	70.37	25
12	Boise State Broncos	5-0	70.0	19
13	Nebraska Cornhuskers	5-0	68.81	12
14	Wisconsin Badgers	4-1	68.56	11
15	NC State Wolfpack	4-1	68.3	—
16	Houston Cougars	5-1	67.24	6
17	Ole Miss Rebels	3-2	67.1	14
18	Georgia Bulldogs	4-2	66.43	—
19	Miami Hurricanes	4-1	66.42	10
20	Auburn Tigers	4-2	65.38	—
21	Navy Midshipmen	4-1	64.73	—
22	Florida Gators	4-1	64.53	18
23	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	5-1	64.46	—
24	Washington State Cougars	3-2	63.09	—
25	South Florida Bulls	5-1	63.06	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	5-0	3
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	4-0	7
3	Clemson Tigers	5-0	2
4	Michigan Wolverines	5-0	5
5	Washington Huskies	5-0	9
6	Houston Cougars	5-0	16
7	Louisville Cardinals	4-1	6
8	Texas A&M Aggies	5-0	1
9	Tennessee Volunteers	5-0	4
10	Miami Hurricanes	4-0	19
11	Wisconsin Badgers	4-1	14
12	Nebraska Cornhuskers	5-0	13
13	Baylor Bears	5-0	31
14	Ole Miss Rebels	3-2	17
15	Stanford Cardinal	3-1	30
16	Arkansas Razorbacks	4-1	36
17	North Carolina Tar Heels	4-1	27
18	Florida Gators	4-1	22
19	Boise State Broncos	4-0	12
20	Oklahoma Sooners	2-2	42
21	Colorado Buffaloes	4-1	38
22	West Virginia Mountaineers	4-0	32
23	Florida State Seminoles	3-2	8
24	Utah Utes	4-1	28
25	Virginia Tech Hokies	3-1	11

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Oklahoma Sooners — model #42 vs AP #20 (Δ +22; model lower)
Arkansas Razorbacks — model #36 vs AP #16 (Δ +20; model lower)
Baylor Bears — model #31 vs AP #13 (Δ +18; model lower)
Colorado Buffaloes — model #38 vs AP #21 (Δ +17; model lower)
Stanford Cardinal — model #30 vs AP #15 (Δ +15; model lower)

Week 7

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 458 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-0	101.8	1
2	Clemson Tigers	7-0	91.7	3
3	Texas A&M Aggies	6-0	87.13	6
4	Michigan Wolverines	6-0	81.59	4
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-0	81.53	2
6	Louisville Cardinals	5-1	79.64	7
7	Tennessee Volunteers	5-2	78.12	9
8	Western Michigan Broncos	7-0	77.91	24
9	North Carolina Tar Heels	5-2	74.97	—
10	Nebraska Cornhuskers	6-0	73.79	10
11	Florida State Seminoles	5-2	72.15	14
12	Boise State Broncos	6-0	71.91	15
13	Washington Huskies	6-0	70.01	5
14	Houston Cougars	6-1	67.79	13
15	Florida Gators	5-1	66.81	18
16	Wisconsin Badgers	4-2	65.55	8
17	Utah Utes	6-1	65.46	21
18	Washington State Cougars	4-2	65.23	—
19	South Florida Bulls	6-1	64.93	—
20	Pittsburgh Panthers	5-2	64.73	—
21	Virginia Tech Hokies	4-2	64.68	17
22	Auburn Tigers	4-2	64.66	23
23	Miami Hurricanes	4-2	63.82	16
24	Arkansas Razorbacks	5-2	63.72	22
25	West Virginia Mountaineers	5-0	63.58	20

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	6-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	5-0	5
3	Clemson Tigers	6-0	2
4	Michigan Wolverines	6-0	4
5	Washington Huskies	6-0	13
6	Texas A&M Aggies	6-0	3
7	Louisville Cardinals	4-1	6
8	Wisconsin Badgers	4-1	16
9	Tennessee Volunteers	5-1	7
10	Nebraska Cornhuskers	5-0	10
11	Baylor Bears	5-0	30
12	Ole Miss Rebels	3-2	27
13	Houston Cougars	5-1	14
14	Florida State Seminoles	4-2	11
15	Boise State Broncos	5-0	12
16	Miami Hurricanes	4-1	23
17	Virginia Tech Hokies	4-1	21
18	Florida Gators	4-1	15
19	Oklahoma Sooners	3-2	40
20	West Virginia Mountaineers	4-0	25
21	Utah Utes	5-1	17
22	Arkansas Razorbacks	4-2	24
23	Auburn Tigers	4-2	22
24	Western Michigan Broncos	6-0	8
25	Navy Midshipmen	4-1	36

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Oklahoma Sooners — model #40 vs AP #19 (Δ +21; model lower)
Baylor Bears — model #30 vs AP #11 (Δ +19; model lower)
Western Michigan Broncos — model #8 vs AP #24 (Δ -16; model higher)
Ole Miss Rebels — model #27 vs AP #12 (Δ +15; model lower)
Navy Midshipmen — model #36 vs AP #25 (Δ +11; model lower)

Week 8

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 515 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	102.1	1
2	Michigan Wolverines	7-0	89.1	3
3	Clemson Tigers	7-0	87.89	4
4	Texas A&M Aggies	6-1	81.23	6
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-1	79.36	2
6	Louisville Cardinals	6-1	79.2	7
7	Western Michigan Broncos	8-0	79.03	20
8	Tennessee Volunteers	5-2	75.17	18
9	Boise State Broncos	7-0	74.13	14
10	Nebraska Cornhuskers	7-0	73.96	8
11	North Carolina Tar Heels	6-2	72.76	22
12	Wisconsin Badgers	5-2	71.1	10
13	Washington Huskies	7-0	69.78	5
14	Virginia Tech Hokies	5-2	69.48	—
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-2	69.01	—
16	Florida State Seminoles	5-2	68.8	13
17	Auburn Tigers	5-2	67.78	21
18	Utah Utes	7-1	67.49	19
19	Colorado Buffaloes	6-2	67.35	—
20	Washington State Cougars	5-2	65.52	—
21	Florida Gators	5-1	65.05	15
22	West Virginia Mountaineers	6-0	65.04	12
23	Houston Cougars	6-2	63.73	11
24	Navy Midshipmen	5-1	63.52	24
25	Pittsburgh Panthers	5-2	62.55	—

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	7-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-0	5
3	Michigan Wolverines	6-0	2
4	Clemson Tigers	7-0	3
5	Washington Huskies	6-0	13
6	Texas A&M Aggies	6-0	4
7	Louisville Cardinals	5-1	6
8	Nebraska Cornhuskers	6-0	10
9	Baylor Bears	6-0	27
10	Wisconsin Badgers	4-2	12
11	Houston Cougars	6-1	23
12	West Virginia Mountaineers	5-0	22
13	Florida State Seminoles	5-2	16
14	Boise State Broncos	6-0	9
15	Florida Gators	5-1	21
16	Oklahoma Sooners	4-2	42
17	Arkansas Razorbacks	5-2	35
18	Tennessee Volunteers	5-2	8
19	Utah Utes	6-1	18
20	Western Michigan Broncos	7-0	7
21	Auburn Tigers	4-2	17
22	North Carolina Tar Heels	5-2	11
23	Ole Miss Rebels	3-3	43
24	Navy Midshipmen	4-1	24
25	LSU Tigers	4-2	28

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Oklahoma Sooners — model #42 vs AP #16 (Δ +26; model lower)
Ole Miss Rebels — model #43 vs AP #23 (Δ +20; model lower)
Baylor Bears — model #27 vs AP #9 (Δ +18; model lower)
Arkansas Razorbacks — model #35 vs AP #17 (Δ +18; model lower)
Western Michigan Broncos — model #7 vs AP #20 (Δ -13; model higher)

Week 9

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 569 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	99.86	1
2	Clemson Tigers	8-0	91.06	3
3	Michigan Wolverines	8-0	88.44	2
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-1	82.93	6
5	Texas A&M Aggies	7-1	79.72	9
6	Louisville Cardinals	7-1	78.36	5
7	Wisconsin Badgers	6-2	76.33	11
8	Tennessee Volunteers	5-3	75.8	18
9	Washington Huskies	8-0	75.32	4
10	Western Michigan Broncos	8-0	74.23	20
11	Virginia Tech Hokies	6-2	72.3	25
12	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-2	71.42	24
13	Boise State Broncos	7-1	71.41	13
14	Nebraska Cornhuskers	7-1	69.83	7
15	North Carolina Tar Heels	6-2	69.73	21
16	Auburn Tigers	6-2	69.07	15
17	Florida State Seminoles	5-3	67.36	12
18	Houston Cougars	7-2	66.98	—
19	Florida Gators	6-1	66.58	14
20	Washington State Cougars	6-2	66.27	—
21	Colorado Buffaloes	6-2	65.63	23
22	Utah Utes	7-2	65.36	17
23	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-2	62.64	—
24	South Florida Bulls	7-2	62.6	—
25	Baylor Bears	6-1	62.04	8

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	1
2	Michigan Wolverines	7-0	3
3	Clemson Tigers	7-0	2
4	Washington Huskies	7-0	9
5	Louisville Cardinals	6-1	6
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	6-1	4
7	Nebraska Cornhuskers	7-0	14
8	Baylor Bears	6-0	25
9	Texas A&M Aggies	6-1	5
10	West Virginia Mountaineers	6-0	30
11	Wisconsin Badgers	5-2	7
12	Florida State Seminoles	5-2	17
13	Boise State Broncos	7-0	13
14	Florida Gators	5-1	19
15	Auburn Tigers	5-2	16
16	Oklahoma Sooners	5-2	38
17	Utah Utes	7-1	22
18	Tennessee Volunteers	5-2	8
19	LSU Tigers	5-2	34
20	Western Michigan Broncos	8-0	10
21	North Carolina Tar Heels	6-2	15
22	Navy Midshipmen	5-1	45
23	Colorado Buffaloes	6-2	21
24	Penn State Nittany Lions	5-2	12
25	Virginia Tech Hokies	5-2	11

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Navy Midshipmen — model #45 vs AP #22 (Δ +23; model lower)
Oklahoma Sooners — model #38 vs AP #16 (Δ +22; model lower)
West Virginia Mountaineers — model #30 vs AP #10 (Δ +20; model lower)
Baylor Bears — model #25 vs AP #8 (Δ +17; model lower)
LSU Tigers — model #34 vs AP #19 (Δ +15; model lower)

Week 10

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 630 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-0	103.07	1
2	Clemson Tigers	9-0	89.85	3
3	Michigan Wolverines	9-0	88.07	2
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-1	84.27	6
5	Texas A&M Aggies	7-2	80.4	7
6	Louisville Cardinals	8-1	78.86	5
7	Washington Huskies	9-0	75.69	4
8	Tennessee Volunteers	6-3	73.94	—
9	Virginia Tech Hokies	7-2	73.25	23
10	Auburn Tigers	7-2	73.06	11
11	Wisconsin Badgers	7-2	72.85	8
12	Western Michigan Broncos	9-0	72.81	17
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-2	72.48	20
14	North Carolina Tar Heels	7-2	71.18	18
15	Boise State Broncos	8-1	70.8	24
16	Florida State Seminoles	6-3	68.14	19
17	Houston Cougars	7-2	66.36	—
18	Arkansas Razorbacks	6-3	65.74	—
19	Washington State Cougars	7-2	65.66	25
20	Colorado Buffaloes	7-2	65.63	21
21	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-2	65.24	22
22	Nebraska Cornhuskers	7-2	64.96	9
23	Utah Utes	7-2	64.31	16
24	Miami Hurricanes	5-4	64.08	—
25	Florida Gators	6-2	63.87	10

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	8-0	1
2	Michigan Wolverines	8-0	3
3	Clemson Tigers	8-0	2
4	Washington Huskies	8-0	7
5	Louisville Cardinals	7-1	6
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	7-1	4
7	Texas A&M Aggies	7-1	5
8	Wisconsin Badgers	6-2	11
9	Nebraska Cornhuskers	7-1	22
10	Florida Gators	6-1	25
11	Auburn Tigers	6-2	10
12	Oklahoma Sooners	6-2	32
13	Baylor Bears	6-1	59
14	West Virginia Mountaineers	6-1	28
15	LSU Tigers	5-2	26
16	Utah Utes	7-2	23
17	Western Michigan Broncos	8-0	12
18	North Carolina Tar Heels	6-2	14
19	Florida State Seminoles	5-3	16
20	Penn State Nittany Lions	6-2	13
21	Colorado Buffaloes	6-2	20
22	Oklahoma State Cowboys	6-2	21
23	Virginia Tech Hokies	6-2	9
24	Boise State Broncos	7-1	15
25	Washington State Cougars	6-2	19

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Baylor Bears — model #59 vs AP #13 (Δ +46; model lower)
Oklahoma Sooners — model #32 vs AP #12 (Δ +20; model lower)
Florida Gators — model #25 vs AP #10 (Δ +15; model lower)
West Virginia Mountaineers — model #28 vs AP #14 (Δ +14; model lower)
Virginia Tech Hokies — model #9 vs AP #23 (Δ -14; model higher)

Week 11

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 689 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-0	103.01	1
2	Clemson Tigers	9-1	87.65	3
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-1	84.74	6
4	Michigan Wolverines	9-1	82.95	2
5	Louisville Cardinals	9-1	80.24	5
6	Texas A&M Aggies	7-3	76.71	10
7	Virginia Tech Hokies	7-3	74.69	18
8	Tennessee Volunteers	7-3	74.59	—
9	Wisconsin Badgers	8-2	73.87	7
10	North Carolina Tar Heels	7-3	73.73	15
11	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-2	72.57	12
12	Washington Huskies	9-1	72.2	4
13	Western Michigan Broncos	10-0	72.17	14
14	Boise State Broncos	9-1	71.73	24
15	Florida State Seminoles	7-3	70.79	20
16	Auburn Tigers	7-3	70.06	8
17	USC Trojans	7-3	68.06	—
18	Washington State Cougars	8-2	67.77	23
19	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-2	67.62	17
20	Miami Hurricanes	6-4	67.1	—
21	LSU Tigers	6-3	67.05	19
22	Florida Gators	7-2	67.03	22
23	Utah Utes	8-2	66.63	13
24	Colorado Buffaloes	8-2	66.23	16
25	Nebraska Cornhuskers	8-2	65.46	21

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	9-0	1
2	Michigan Wolverines	9-0	4
3	Clemson Tigers	9-0	2
4	Washington Huskies	9-0	12
5	Louisville Cardinals	8-1	5
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	8-1	3
7	Wisconsin Badgers	7-2	9
8	Auburn Tigers	7-2	16
9	Oklahoma Sooners	7-2	32
10	Texas A&M Aggies	7-2	6
11	West Virginia Mountaineers	7-1	31
12	Penn State Nittany Lions	7-2	11
13	Utah Utes	7-2	23
14	Western Michigan Broncos	9-0	13
15	North Carolina Tar Heels	7-2	10
16	Colorado Buffaloes	7-2	24
17	Oklahoma State Cowboys	7-2	19
18	Virginia Tech Hokies	7-2	7
19	LSU Tigers	5-3	21
20	Florida State Seminoles	6-3	15
21	Nebraska Cornhuskers	7-2	25
22	Florida Gators	6-2	22
23	Washington State Cougars	7-2	18
24	Boise State Broncos	8-1	14
25	Baylor Bears	6-2	65

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Baylor Bears — model #65 vs AP #25 (Δ +40; model lower)
Oklahoma Sooners — model #32 vs AP #9 (Δ +23; model lower)
West Virginia Mountaineers — model #31 vs AP #11 (Δ +20; model lower)
Virginia Tech Hokies — model #7 vs AP #18 (Δ -11; model higher)
Utah Utes — model #23 vs AP #13 (Δ +10; model lower)

Week 12

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 754 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-0	98.24	1
2	Clemson Tigers	10-1	85.67	5
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-1	84.71	2
4	Michigan Wolverines	10-1	82.33	4
5	Louisville Cardinals	9-2	75.96	3
6	Tennessee Volunteers	8-3	75.91	—
7	Texas A&M Aggies	8-3	75.88	23
8	Virginia Tech Hokies	8-3	75.29	—
9	North Carolina Tar Heels	8-3	74.54	—
10	Houston Cougars	9-2	73.9	—
11	Washington Huskies	10-1	73.31	7
12	Wisconsin Badgers	9-2	72.91	6
13	USC Trojans	8-3	72.53	15
14	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-2	71.88	9
15	Colorado Buffaloes	9-2	71.8	12
16	Florida State Seminoles	8-3	71.29	17
17	Boise State Broncos	10-1	70.59	22
18	Western Michigan Broncos	11-0	70.4	14
19	Oklahoma State Cowboys	9-2	69.82	13
20	Florida Gators	8-2	69.8	21
21	Auburn Tigers	8-3	68.29	18
22	Oklahoma Sooners	9-2	67.76	8
23	Miami Hurricanes	7-4	67.3	—
24	Nebraska Cornhuskers	9-2	66.05	19
25	Washington State Cougars	8-3	65.92	20

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	10-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	9-1	3
3	Louisville Cardinals	9-1	5
4	Michigan Wolverines	9-1	4
5	Clemson Tigers	9-1	2
6	Wisconsin Badgers	8-2	12
7	Washington Huskies	9-1	11
8	Oklahoma Sooners	8-2	22
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	8-2	14
10	West Virginia Mountaineers	8-1	37
11	Utah Utes	8-2	32
12	Colorado Buffaloes	8-2	15
13	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8-2	19
14	Western Michigan Broncos	10-0	18
15	USC Trojans	7-3	13
16	LSU Tigers	6-3	26
17	Florida State Seminoles	7-3	16
18	Auburn Tigers	7-3	21
19	Nebraska Cornhuskers	8-2	24
20	Washington State Cougars	8-2	25
21	Florida Gators	7-2	20
22	Boise State Broncos	9-1	17
23	Texas A&M Aggies	7-3	7
24	San Diego State Aztecs	9-1	47
25	Troy Trojans	8-1	45

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

West Virginia Mountaineers — model #37 vs AP #10 (Δ +27; model lower)
San Diego State Aztecs — model #47 vs AP #24 (Δ +23; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #32 vs AP #11 (Δ +21; model lower)
Troy Trojans — model #45 vs AP #25 (Δ +20; model lower)
Texas A&M Aggies — model #7 vs AP #23 (Δ -16; model higher)

Week 13

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 815 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	12-0	99.6	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-1	87.48	2
3	Clemson Tigers	11-1	86.73	4
4	Michigan Wolverines	10-2	81.47	3
5	Washington Huskies	11-1	77.48	6
6	Florida State Seminoles	9-3	75.4	15
7	Virginia Tech Hokies	9-3	75.0	—
8	Louisville Cardinals	9-3	74.62	11
9	Wisconsin Badgers	10-2	73.68	5
10	Tennessee Volunteers	8-4	73.55	24
11	USC Trojans	9-3	72.5	12
12	North Carolina Tar Heels	8-4	71.82	—
13	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	71.36	8
14	Western Michigan Broncos	12-0	71.33	14
15	Texas A&M Aggies	8-4	70.82	22
16	Colorado Buffaloes	10-2	70.47	9
17	Miami Hurricanes	8-4	69.63	—
18	Florida Gators	8-3	69.48	13
19	Houston Cougars	9-3	68.72	18
20	Auburn Tigers	8-4	68.59	16
21	Oklahoma State Cowboys	9-2	68.17	10
22	Boise State Broncos	10-2	67.16	20
23	LSU Tigers	7-4	66.66	25
24	South Florida Bulls	10-2	66.54	—
25	Oklahoma Sooners	9-2	66.07	7

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	11-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	10-1	2
3	Michigan Wolverines	10-1	4
4	Clemson Tigers	10-1	3
5	Wisconsin Badgers	9-2	9
6	Washington Huskies	10-1	5
7	Oklahoma Sooners	9-2	25
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	9-2	13
9	Colorado Buffaloes	9-2	16
10	Oklahoma State Cowboys	9-2	21
11	Louisville Cardinals	9-2	8
12	USC Trojans	8-3	11
13	Florida Gators	8-2	18
14	Western Michigan Broncos	11-0	14
15	Florida State Seminoles	8-3	6
16	Auburn Tigers	8-3	20
17	Nebraska Cornhuskers	9-2	31
18	Houston Cougars	9-2	19
19	West Virginia Mountaineers	8-2	41
20	Boise State Broncos	10-1	22
21	Utah Utes	8-3	37
22	Texas A&M Aggies	8-3	15
23	Washington State Cougars	8-3	33
24	Tennessee Volunteers	8-3	10
25	LSU Tigers	6-4	23

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

West Virginia Mountaineers — model #41 vs AP #19 (Δ +22; model lower)
Oklahoma Sooners — model #25 vs AP #7 (Δ +18; model lower)
Utah Utes — model #37 vs AP #21 (Δ +16; model lower)
Nebraska Cornhuskers — model #31 vs AP #17 (Δ +14; model lower)
Tennessee Volunteers — model #10 vs AP #24 (Δ -14; model higher)

Week 14

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 831 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	13-0	99.98	1
2	Clemson Tigers	12-1	90.01	3
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-1	86.81	2
4	Washington Huskies	12-1	83.86	4
5	Michigan Wolverines	10-2	82.02	5
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-2	78.18	8
7	Virginia Tech Hokies	9-4	74.82	19
8	Louisville Cardinals	9-3	74.18	16
9	Western Michigan Broncos	13-0	72.99	13
10	Florida State Seminoles	9-3	72.85	12
11	North Carolina Tar Heels	8-4	72.27	—
12	USC Trojans	9-3	71.39	10
13	Wisconsin Badgers	10-3	71.35	6
14	Oklahoma Sooners	10-2	70.75	7
15	Colorado Buffaloes	10-3	70.6	9
16	Tennessee Volunteers	8-4	69.48	—
17	Temple Owls	10-3	69.3	—
18	Miami Hurricanes	8-4	68.94	—
19	Texas A&M Aggies	8-4	68.73	—
20	Florida Gators	8-4	68.41	15
21	Houston Cougars	9-3	68.0	—
22	Oklahoma State Cowboys	9-3	67.82	11
23	Boise State Broncos	10-2	67.2	—
24	Auburn Tigers	8-4	66.38	18
25	South Florida Bulls	10-2	65.24	24

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	12-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-1	3
3	Clemson Tigers	11-1	2
4	Washington Huskies	11-1	4
5	Michigan Wolverines	10-2	5
6	Wisconsin Badgers	10-2	13
7	Oklahoma Sooners	9-2	14
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	10-2	6
9	Colorado Buffaloes	10-2	15
10	USC Trojans	9-3	12
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	9-2	22
12	Florida State Seminoles	9-3	10
13	Western Michigan Broncos	12-0	9
14	West Virginia Mountaineers	9-2	36
15	Florida Gators	8-3	20
16	Louisville Cardinals	9-3	8
17	Stanford Cardinal	9-3	27
18	Auburn Tigers	8-4	24
19	Virginia Tech Hokies	9-3	7
20	Navy Midshipmen	9-2	32
21	LSU Tigers	7-4	30
22	Iowa Hawkeyes	8-4	26
23	Nebraska Cornhuskers	9-3	31
24	South Florida Bulls	10-2	25
24	Pittsburgh Panthers	8-4	29

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

West Virginia Mountaineers — model #36 vs AP #14 (Δ +22; model lower)
Virginia Tech Hokies — model #7 vs AP #19 (Δ -12; model higher)
Navy Midshipmen — model #32 vs AP #20 (Δ +12; model lower)
Oklahoma State Cowboys — model #22 vs AP #11 (Δ +11; model lower)
Stanford Cardinal — model #27 vs AP #17 (Δ +10; model lower)

Week 15

Model #1 Alabama Crimson Tide AP #1 Alabama Crimson Tide #1 match 832 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	13-0	100.85	1
2	Clemson Tigers	12-1	89.74	3
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-1	86.48	2
4	Washington Huskies	12-1	83.37	4
5	Michigan Wolverines	10-2	81.8	6
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-2	78.8	5
7	Virginia Tech Hokies	9-4	74.46	18
8	Louisville Cardinals	9-3	73.74	15
9	Florida State Seminoles	9-3	73.29	10
10	Western Michigan Broncos	13-0	72.93	12
11	North Carolina Tar Heels	8-4	71.89	—
12	Wisconsin Badgers	10-3	71.31	8
13	USC Trojans	9-3	71.01	9
14	Oklahoma Sooners	10-2	70.38	7
15	Colorado Buffaloes	10-3	70.26	11
16	Tennessee Volunteers	8-4	69.87	—
17	Temple Owls	10-3	69.67	23
18	Houston Cougars	9-3	68.96	—
19	Texas A&M Aggies	8-4	68.77	—
20	Miami Hurricanes	8-4	68.73	—
21	Florida Gators	8-4	68.39	20
22	Oklahoma State Cowboys	9-3	67.53	13
23	Boise State Broncos	10-2	66.86	—
24	Auburn Tigers	8-4	66.44	17
25	South Florida Bulls	10-2	65.51	25

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	13-0	1
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-1	3
3	Clemson Tigers	12-1	2
4	Washington Huskies	12-1	4
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-2	6
6	Michigan Wolverines	10-2	5
7	Oklahoma Sooners	10-2	14
8	Wisconsin Badgers	10-3	12
9	USC Trojans	9-3	13
10	Florida State Seminoles	9-3	9
11	Colorado Buffaloes	10-3	15
12	Western Michigan Broncos	13-0	10
13	Oklahoma State Cowboys	9-3	22
14	West Virginia Mountaineers	10-2	36
15	Louisville Cardinals	9-3	8
16	Stanford Cardinal	9-3	27
17	Auburn Tigers	8-4	24
18	Virginia Tech Hokies	9-4	7
19	LSU Tigers	7-4	29
20	Florida Gators	8-4	21
21	Iowa Hawkeyes	8-4	26
22	Pittsburgh Panthers	8-4	30
23	Temple Owls	10-3	17
24	Nebraska Cornhuskers	9-3	32
25	South Florida Bulls	10-2	25

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

West Virginia Mountaineers — model #36 vs AP #14 (Δ +22; model lower)
Stanford Cardinal — model #27 vs AP #16 (Δ +11; model lower)
Virginia Tech Hokies — model #7 vs AP #18 (Δ -11; model higher)
LSU Tigers — model #29 vs AP #19 (Δ +10; model lower)
Oklahoma State Cowboys — model #22 vs AP #13 (Δ +9; model lower)

Final (postseason)

Model #1 Clemson Tigers AP #1 Clemson Tigers #1 match 873 games through this point

Model Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Score	AP
1	Clemson Tigers	14-1	104.43	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	14-1	100.01	2
3	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-2	83.52	6
4	Florida State Seminoles	10-3	80.64	8
5	Washington Huskies	12-2	78.45	4
6	Michigan Wolverines	10-3	77.62	10
7	Virginia Tech Hokies	10-4	75.68	16
8	Oklahoma Sooners	11-2	75.35	5
9	Wisconsin Badgers	11-3	73.66	9
10	USC Trojans	10-3	73.36	3
11	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-3	72.98	7
12	Oklahoma State Cowboys	10-3	72.88	11
13	Tennessee Volunteers	9-4	71.77	22
14	Miami Hurricanes	9-4	71.76	20
15	Stanford Cardinal	10-3	70.75	12
16	Louisville Cardinals	9-4	70.03	21
17	North Carolina Tar Heels	8-5	68.66	—
18	LSU Tigers	8-4	68.52	13
19	Florida Gators	9-4	68.43	14
20	Western Michigan Broncos	13-1	68.38	15
21	Colorado Buffaloes	10-4	67.65	17
22	Pittsburgh Panthers	8-5	65.08	—
23	San Diego State Aztecs	11-3	64.64	25
24	Texas A&M Aggies	8-5	64.24	—
25	West Virginia Mountaineers	10-3	64.23	18

AP Top 25

Rk	Team	Rec	Model
1	Clemson Tigers	14-1	1
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	14-1	2
3	USC Trojans	10-3	10
4	Washington Huskies	12-2	5
5	Oklahoma Sooners	11-2	8
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	11-2	3
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	11-3	11
8	Florida State Seminoles	10-3	4
9	Wisconsin Badgers	11-3	9
10	Michigan Wolverines	10-3	6
11	Oklahoma State Cowboys	10-3	12
12	Stanford Cardinal	10-3	15
13	LSU Tigers	8-4	18
14	Florida Gators	9-4	19
15	Western Michigan Broncos	13-1	20
16	Virginia Tech Hokies	10-4	7
17	Colorado Buffaloes	10-4	21
18	West Virginia Mountaineers	10-3	25
19	South Florida Bulls	11-2	34
20	Miami Hurricanes	9-4	14
21	Louisville Cardinals	9-4	16
22	Tennessee Volunteers	9-4	13
23	Utah Utes	9-4	42
24	Auburn Tigers	8-5	28
25	San Diego State Aztecs	11-3	23

Largest disagreements (AP teams):

Utah Utes — model #42 vs AP #23 (Δ +19; model lower)
South Florida Bulls — model #34 vs AP #19 (Δ +15; model lower)
Virginia Tech Hokies — model #7 vs AP #16 (Δ -9; model higher)
Tennessee Volunteers — model #13 vs AP #22 (Δ -9; model higher)
USC Trojans — model #10 vs AP #3 (Δ +7; model lower)